Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report highlights the pressure on power consumption and market entry, emphasizing the importance of green energy development efficiency [5] - The company has faced a decline in revenue and net profit in the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to consumption issues and market-driven price pressures [6] - The report anticipates a gradual clarification of marketization and efficiency during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, influenced by recent government policies [6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 26,485 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.23% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is expected to be 7,181 million yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 0.36% year-on-year [5] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.25 yuan [5] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 356,871 million yuan by 2024, with a debt ratio of 71.25% [3][7] - The report forecasts a decline in net profit for 2024 to 6,111 million yuan, a decrease of 14.90% year-on-year [5] Project Development and Capacity - As of June 2025, the company has a total installed capacity of 49.94 million kilowatts, with wind and solar power accounting for 22.97 million and 25.91 million kilowatts, respectively [6] - The company has a robust project reserve, with a balanced proportion of wind and solar projects, indicating strong resource acquisition capabilities [6]

Core Insights - In the next five years, China's new electricity demand will primarily be met by renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power, transitioning green energy from a "supporting role" to a "leading role" in the energy structure [1][5] Group 1: Current State of Green Energy in China - As of July 2023, one-third of China's electricity consumption is derived from green energy, marking a significant advancement in the country's energy development [2] - By the end of July 2023, China's installed capacity for wind and solar power reached 1.68 billion kilowatts, nearly doubling from 530 million kilowatts in 2020, with an annual growth rate of 28% [2] - China has established the world's largest and fastest-growing renewable energy system, contributing 60% of the global increase in renewable energy generation capacity in 2024 [2] Group 2: Factors Driving Rapid Development of Green Energy - The cost of green energy, particularly solar power, has become more affordable, with the average cost of solar electricity decreasing by 80% over the past decade due to increased installed capacity [3] - As of September 2023, China's new energy storage capacity exceeded 100 million kilowatts, growing over 30 times since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, accounting for over 40% of the global total [3] - Policy initiatives, including the optimization of renewable energy consumption responsibilities and the establishment of a green certificate system, have further stimulated the development of green energy [3] Group 3: Impact of Green Energy on Consumption and Environment - The rapid growth of new energy vehicles (NEVs) has significantly boosted the green energy market, with NEV sales exceeding 11 million units in the first three quarters of 2023, representing 46.1% of total new car sales [4] - Green energy has enhanced China's energy security, with non-fossil energy consumption increasing by 1 percentage point annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan, while coal consumption has decreased correspondingly [5] - The widespread application of green energy has led to a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, with China's wind and solar product exports helping to reduce carbon emissions by approximately 4.1 billion tons globally [5]

Core Viewpoint - In the next five years, China's new electricity demand will primarily be met by renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power, transitioning green energy from a "supporting role" to a "leading role" in the energy structure [1][5]. Group 1: Current State of Green Energy in China - As of July 2023, one-third of China's electricity consumption is derived from green energy, marking a significant advancement in the country's energy development [2]. - By the end of July 2023, China's installed capacity for wind and solar power reached 1.68 billion kilowatts, nearly doubling from 530 million kilowatts in 2020, with an annual growth rate of 28% [2]. - China has established the world's largest and fastest-growing renewable energy system, contributing 60% of the global increase in renewable energy generation capacity in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Factors Driving Rapid Development of Green Energy - The cost of green energy, particularly solar power, has become more affordable, with the average cost of solar power generation decreasing by 80% over the past decade [3]. - As of September 2023, China's new energy storage capacity exceeded 100 million kilowatts, growing over 30 times since the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan, accounting for over 40% of the global total [3]. - Policy initiatives, including the optimization of renewable energy consumption responsibilities and the establishment of a green certificate system, have further stimulated the development of green energy [3]. Group 3: Impact of Green Energy on Consumption and Environment - The rapid growth of new energy vehicles (NEVs) has significantly boosted the green energy market, with NEV sales exceeding 11 million units in the first three quarters of 2023, representing 46.1% of total new car sales [4]. - The shift towards green energy has enhanced China's energy security, with non-fossil energy consumption increasing by 1 percentage point annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5]. - The widespread application of green energy has contributed to a significant reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, with China's wind and solar product exports helping to reduce carbon emissions by approximately 4.1 billion tons globally [5].