Group 1 - The US Treasury market has experienced significant volatility this year, driven by concerns over rising government deficits, tariff disputes, and changes in foreign buyer demand [1][3] - Investor panic has been primarily fueled by worries regarding Trump's tariff policies and the expanding US budget deficit, which may lead to higher inflation and sustained high interest rates [3][4] - The French bank Société Générale anticipates that the current turmoil in the US Treasury market is unlikely to end in the short term, with major developments expected to impact the market [1][4] Group 2 - Key developments to watch in the US Treasury market include a surge in new debt issuance as the government increases borrowing and the Federal Reserve continues quantitative tightening [4] - The demand for stablecoins, supported by short-term US Treasury bills, may boost demand for government bonds, with stablecoin issuers' asset management expected to grow significantly [4]

关税持续搅动全球金融市场。 在经历了史诗级动荡后，华尔街迎来了一则重大利好。有分析称，在特朗普政府豁免了热门消费电子产品和关键零 部件之后，美国科技行业暂时脱离了崩溃的边缘。另外，阿斯麦、台积电等科技巨头下周将披露最新季度财报，或 将为投资者带来新的考验。 在经历了史诗级动荡后，华尔街迎来了一则重大利好。特朗普政府已同意对智能手机、电脑、芯片等电子产品免除 所谓"对等关税"，此举有望在一定程度上缓解关税对美国消费者的价格冲击，苹果、三星等消费电子巨头或从中受 益。 美国投行Wedbush分析师Dan Ives称，在特朗普政府豁免了热门消费电子产品和关键零部件之后，美国科技行业暂 时脱离了崩溃的边缘。 他警告称，如果没有这些豁免，美国科技行业将倒退十年，人工智能革命的进程也将大大减缓。 当前美股第一季度财报季已经拉开序幕，阿斯麦、台积电、奈飞等科技巨头下周将披露最新季度财报，或将为 投资者带来新的考验。 回到市场层面，本周标普500指数累计大涨5.7%，为2023年11月来最佳单周表现；道指累计上涨4.95%，纳指累计 大涨7.29%。其中，大部分涨幅都来自周三的反弹，纳指当天暴涨超12%。 分析认为，这种剧烈 ...