张尧浠：地缘局势升温降息押注回暖、金价走强保持看涨 上交易日周四(6月12日)：国际黄金继续反弹收涨，延续周三的支撑买盘和重回短期均线上方后的跟进买盘推动，同时也暗示多头力量进一步增强，短期 将继续等待上行触及3435美元及3500美元目标不变。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于3356.10美元/盎司，先行走强，并持稳于3368美元上方持续盘整，虽在欧盘开盘一度坠落触及日内低点3338.58美元，但又迅 速触底回升，并延续到美盘开盘，进一步拉升录得日内高点3398.86美元，最后遇阻回撤，震荡运行，最终收于3386.58美元，日振幅60.28美元，收涨30.48 美元，涨幅0.91%。 影响上，美元指数再度回落收跌，对金价产生利好，其美国就业、通胀双降温，支撑美联储年内降息两次。特朗普也再度建议美联储降息200个基点，以 色列或在数日内袭击伊朗，美国23日起对钢制家电加征关税等等利好因素，推动金价再度反弹收涨。 展望今日周五(6月13日)：国际黄金先行走低回撤，不过下方有众多均线支撑，市场也缺乏持续的强劲利空压力，故此，早间的回撤，仍是在为多头制造 入场机会，关注进场支撑位置。 另外，美元指数，昨日较大幅回落收跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price is expected to maintain a bullish outlook despite fluctuations, with potential support levels identified for future buying opportunities [1][5][10]. Market Performance - On June 9, gold opened at $3311.77 per ounce, reached a low of $3293.69, and closed at $3325.39, marking a daily increase of $13.62 or 0.41% [1]. - The daily trading range was $44.23, indicating significant volatility [1]. Influencing Factors - The U.S. dollar index is experiencing downward pressure due to internal conflicts and geopolitical risks, which has contributed to a rebound in gold prices [3][8]. - The market is currently cautious, with a lack of clear driving factors, and gold's performance is expected to be volatile until it breaks through short-term moving averages [3][7]. Technical Analysis - The monthly chart indicates that gold prices remain above the 5-month moving average, maintaining a bullish trend despite recent volatility [10]. - The weekly chart shows that while bullish momentum has weakened, key support levels are still intact, suggesting potential buying opportunities on dips [12]. - The daily chart highlights that gold has not broken below key support levels, indicating that any pullbacks could present buying opportunities [14]. Economic Indicators - Upcoming U.S. CPI data is anticipated to influence market sentiment, with expectations of rising inflation potentially benefiting gold prices [5][8]. - The overall economic environment, including rising fiscal deficits and geopolitical tensions, continues to support gold as a safe-haven asset [8].

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have shown a rebound after hitting a low, indicating that bearish pressure is being consumed, and the market is expected to continue its upward trend [1][4][8]. Price Movement - On April 28, gold opened at $3324.92 per ounce, reached a high of $3352.81, and closed at $3343.98, marking a daily increase of $19.06 or 0.57% [1]. - Compared to the previous Friday's closing price of $3314.08, gold rose by $29.9, reflecting a 0.9% increase [2]. Market Influences - The decline of the US dollar index below the 99 mark and the drop in the 10-year US Treasury yield have provided support for gold prices [4]. - Ongoing trade concerns due to Trump's statements on tariffs and rising geopolitical risks have further propelled gold prices upward [4][8]. Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate that gold prices have experienced significant volatility but remain above a key upward trend line, suggesting potential for further gains [10]. - Weekly charts show a long upper shadow indicating potential for a pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish as long as prices stay above the 5-week moving average [11]. - Daily charts confirm that gold has rebounded from recent lows, with support levels strengthening, indicating a favorable outlook for future price increases [13]. Future Outlook - The market anticipates continued bullish momentum for gold, with expectations of testing the $3500 mark again [8][10]. - Upcoming economic data releases, including the FHFA house price index and consumer confidence index, may influence market sentiment and gold prices [6].

金荣中国：黄金保持震荡回调发展 但之后，还有美联储理事库格勒就"经济前景与企业家精神"发表讲话。FOMC永久票委、纽约联储威廉 姆斯在一场活动上致开幕词。 根据之前库格勒讲话言论美国经济仍然保持稳健，威廉姆斯表示关税的影响仍然存在很大不确定来看， 讲话也是好坏参半，故此，今日走势还是震荡走盘为主。 其美元指数，日图近日止跌连续反弹回升，短期均线已转为金叉向上支撑，附图指标也维持看涨信号发 展，暗示后市走势仍偏强反弹为主，而会对金价产生压力，不过，上方临近中轨线以及200日均线强劲 阻力，近两年多也只是走区间震荡； 所以，在向上打破区间压力，以及跌破200周均线支撑之前，对金价影响有限。将继续令金价维持周图 级别上行趋势走盘。 美债10年期收益率，日图受到200日均线支撑的持续买盘推动后，多头走势转强，并再度运行在中轨及 短期均线上方，布林带也开口向上发展，附图指标维持看涨信号，短期走势偏强反弹，将会对金价造成 压力，但周图仍处于回落压力中，在重回中轨上方持稳发展前，对金价压力有限。 分析；日内将可关注众多经济数据，包括美国1月FHFA房价指数月率、美国1月S&P/CS20座大城市未季 调房价指数年率、美国2月 ...