美联储按兵不动

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百利好早盘分析:数据纷至沓来 谨防行情震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 01:51
Gold Market - Gold prices have continued to decline slightly, but the downward momentum has noticeably slowed, maintaining an overall oscillating pattern [2] - This week, significant data releases including U.S. employment figures, inflation data, and Q2 GDP growth, along with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, may impact market sentiment [2] - Market predictions are generally pessimistic, with the effects of tariff policies on the U.S. economy becoming more apparent [2] - The Federal Reserve is likely to remain on hold this month; a rate cut could raise questions about its independence and potentially lead to a surge in inflation, undermining confidence in the U.S. dollar [2] - Technically, gold's daily chart shows a small bearish candle, indicating a continued oscillating trend, with long-term moving averages acting as a mid-term dividing line [2] Oil Market - Oil prices experienced a limited rebound, but fundamental pressures are increasing, potentially leading to a downward break in the long-term trend [4] - OPEC+ representatives have indicated a temporary plan to restore production, with expectations that Saudi Arabia and partners will approve an increase of 548,000 barrels per day in September [4] - If the new production plan is approved, eight core OPEC+ members will fully reverse the 2.2 million barrels per day cut implemented in 2023 a year earlier than planned [4] - Seasonal demand provides some support for oil prices, but weakening consumption may create pressure from both supply and demand sides, with a long-term possibility of prices testing the $55 per barrel level [4] Copper Market - Copper prices have shown a significant decline, indicating that the upward trend is likely complete, although short-term divergence appears excessive [6] - The price has entered a previous small range, forming a downward structure, with a focus on the resistance level at $5.63 per pound [6] Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index has formed a bearish candle, signaling the completion of an upward structure and the beginning of a mid-term adjustment [7] - The 4-hour chart indicates significant overselling, suggesting a potential for adjustment, with attention on the resistance level at 41,260 [7]
美国银行:美联储抵制降息的背景下,美元有望迎来夏季攻势
news flash· 2025-07-17 18:34
美国银行表示,如果美联储继续按兵不动且机构投资者放慢卖出美元的速度,美元可能迎来夏季行情。 "我们中期看跌美元,但夏季行情的风险已在上升," 以Adarsh Sinha为首的外汇策略师在研报中写道。 ...
分析师:美联储有更长时间按兵不动的理由
news flash· 2025-07-03 12:41
Core Viewpoint - Analysts suggest that the unexpectedly strong non-farm payroll data may support the Federal Reserve's decision to remain inactive for a longer period this year, effectively eliminating concerns about the labor market and ruling out the possibility of a rate cut in July [1] Group 1 - The strong non-farm payroll data is seen as a reason for the Federal Reserve to maintain its current stance [1] - The data is likely to alleviate concerns regarding the labor market [1] - The likelihood of a rate cut in July has been diminished due to this data [1]
美联储按兵不动,降息预期被打压!黄金日内高位回落,多头就此止步见顶?短线能否继续追空?立即观看超V推荐官Jason的分析,马上进入直播间>>>
news flash· 2025-05-08 08:32
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its current interest rates, which has led to a dampening of expectations for future rate cuts [1] - Gold prices experienced a decline after reaching a high, raising questions about whether bullish momentum has peaked [1] - There is speculation regarding short-term trading strategies, particularly the potential for continued short positions in the market [1] Summary by Categories Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady has significant implications for market expectations regarding future monetary policy [1] Gold Market - Following the Fed's announcement, gold saw a high point but subsequently retreated, indicating a possible halt in bullish trends [1] Market Speculation - Traders are considering short positions in light of the recent market movements and the Fed's stance on interest rates [1]
美联储按兵不动,关税动向暗流涌动!黄金后市何去何从?订单流信号如何分析?阿汤哥正在实时分析,点击观看
news flash· 2025-05-08 07:54
Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its current monetary policy, indicating a cautious approach to interest rate changes [1] - There are underlying tensions regarding tariff movements, which could impact market dynamics and investor sentiment [1] - Real-time analysis of gold order flows is being conducted to assess future trends in the gold market [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's decision to hold steady on interest rates suggests stability in the financial markets for the time being [1] - Tariff developments are creating uncertainty, which may influence gold prices and investor behavior [1] - Continuous monitoring of gold order flows is essential for understanding market trends and potential investment opportunities [1]
鲍威尔:美联储掌握的一切都支持FOMC按兵不动。信心数据与开支数据之间的关系已经式微,这也是美联储保持观望的一个依据。
news flash· 2025-05-07 19:19
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has sufficient information to support a decision to maintain the current monetary policy stance without changes [1] Group 1 - The relationship between confidence data and spending data has weakened, which serves as a basis for the Federal Reserve's decision to remain on hold [1]