来源：滚动播报 美联储米兰：今年晚些时候的政策决定将取决于总统和参议院的行动。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The UK's blue-chip index experienced a decline due to losses in the banking and healthcare sectors, as investors analyzed corporate earnings and awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The decline in the blue-chip index was primarily influenced by negative performance in the banking sector [1] - Healthcare stocks also contributed to the overall losses in the index [1] Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Investors are currently focused on corporate earnings reports, indicating a cautious approach to market movements [1] - The anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision is affecting investor sentiment and market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that U.S. Treasury yields have slightly decreased, reflecting investor positioning ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the day [1] - The market is pricing in a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, with a focus on the Fed's forecasts and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech [1] - Benoit Anne from MFS Investment Management suggests that the Fed may aim for cautious wording while hinting at a tightening bias to maintain policy flexibility, indicating that this meeting may lean towards a tightening-style rate cut [1] Group 2 - The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has recently decreased by 0.4 basis points to 3.608% [1] - The ten-year U.S. Treasury yield has fallen by 0.6 basis points to 4.179% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve, represented by Musalem, emphasizes that political factors are not considered when making policy decisions [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintains a focus on economic indicators rather than political influences in its decision-making process [1]

Group 1: Dollar Performance - The dollar experienced a general decline due to market concerns over the uncertainty surrounding trade agreements promoted by President Trump [1][3][9] - The dollar fell 0.86% against the yen, closing at 142.445 yen [1] - The widening U.S. trade deficit, reported to have increased by 14% to a record $140.5 billion, further exacerbated market worries [6][9] Group 2: Euro Strength - The euro strengthened following the election of conservative leader Merz as Chancellor in Germany, with a closing increase of 0.50% to $1.1371 [4][9] - Merz's election is viewed as a positive signal for political stability in Germany, boosting market confidence in the euro [4] Group 3: Canadian Dollar Performance - The Canadian dollar appreciated by 0.39% against the U.S. dollar, closing at 1.38 CAD, following Prime Minister Carney's firm stance on trade negotiations [5][9] - Carney's comments reflect Canada's strong position on trade issues, enhancing market confidence in the Canadian dollar [5] Group 4: Market Expectations - The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's policy decision, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged [8] - There is speculation that the Bank of England may lower rates by 25 basis points, contributing to a 0.61% increase in the British pound to $1.33780 [8]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing upward momentum, driven by a weaker dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets, with significant fluctuations observed in recent trading sessions [4][5]. Group 1: Current Market Performance - As of May 6, international gold is trading at $3,356.65 per ounce, reflecting a 0.67% increase from the previous session [3]. - The trading session opened at $3,335.94 per ounce, with a high of $3,386.59 and a low of $3,323.14 [3][4]. Group 2: Recent Trends and Influences - On May 5, gold prices surged nearly 3%, closing at $3,333.73 per ounce, which is an increase of nearly $100 compared to the previous Friday's closing price [4]. - The market is currently awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision later this week, which may further influence gold prices [4]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The gold market showed strong upward movement, with the price initially opening at $3,242.70, then experiencing a low of $3,237.10 before rallying to a high of $3,337.80 [5]. - The weekly chart indicates a bullish outlook, with the price recovering from previous losses and suggesting potential targets of $3,418, while support is seen at the 5-week moving average [6]. - The daily chart reflects increased bullish momentum, with expectations of further upward movement towards the $3,500 mark, contingent on maintaining support from short-term moving averages [6].

Fundamental Analysis - Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on overseas film production has raised global trade war concerns, increasing market uncertainty and driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - The U.S. services sector showed signs of recovery in April, with the non-manufacturing PMI rising from 50.8 in March to 51.6, indicating positive growth [3] - However, the index measuring corporate payment prices surged to its highest level in over two years, driven by tariff impacts, leading to increased inflationary pressures [3] - The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's policy decision, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% [3] - Due to the ongoing effects of Trump's tariff policy, market expectations for a rate cut in June have dropped to 37%, with major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Barclays pushing back their rate cut predictions to July [3] Technical Analysis - The gold market exhibited a clear shift in momentum last week, initially experiencing a consolidation phase before a downward trend took hold [5] - A significant bullish reversal occurred on Monday, with gold prices rising sharply and closing with a large bullish candle, indicating a potential shift back to a bullish market [5] - Current technical indicators suggest that if gold can maintain support above the moving averages, an upward trend may continue; otherwise, a new round of adjustments could occur [5] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3353, 3370/3371, and 3386, while support levels are at 3305 and the critical zone of 3270-3260 [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3200 to $3350 ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, influenced by a weaker dollar and anticipation of trade policy clarity between the U.S. and its trading partners [1] Group 1 - Gold prices strengthened on Monday due to a softening dollar, as investors await clearer trade policies [1] - Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, indicated that gold prices may continue to fluctuate within the $3200 to $3350 range before the Federal Reserve meeting [1] - Any new developments regarding trade agreements could lead to increased volatility in gold prices [1]