股票技术分析

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一放量就没好事
猛兽派选股· 2025-08-14 16:02
工业富联,仍然在持股线上运行,不必躁动,继续观察,未来是不可知的,好不容易抱定一只趋势票,能放飞尽量放飞: 再还有性感无比的男模先生,持股线的标尺作用能够给出很好的持仓决策参考: 像这些节奏明晰的票,拿起来是很轻松的,不需要过多的主观介入,主观一介入反而乱。 CXO主要看药明康德的示范作用,药明强整个板块就跟随强,昨天的超量支点信号还是不错的,本ID继续看好,个股方面出现分化属实正常,资金肯定 是越来越集中到头部股票的,凡事都逃不出幂律效应。 推升段放量容易反转,不过今天从领涨大票角度看,还算正常。平均股价指数本次回调仍然看15分钟级别200均为性质分水岭: 如上图这么推演的话,日线级别应该很快就会有高胜率低吸时机,看情绪指标: 希望它快速缩量,跟上次一样,这才是良性的推进节奏,低吸的胜算也会大一些。 6.23日之后,市场整体成交量是逐步抬升的,20均量保持着缓慢爬升态势,挺好。 持仓方面,强趋势票以TR持股线为基准管理仓位,比如新易盛,稳妥的策略就是每击穿一次TR减仓一部分,一般三次也就彻底见顶,而像长城军工,今 天出现避雷针信号,就应该快速减仓: 从回撤耗尽到支点(枢轴点),再进入右侧,过程并不一定都一帆 ...
8.3:A股,大盘指数调整,但大小有差异
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 10:33
日线级别的走势来看,周五的阴线,实体、上下影线都比较明显,释放了进一步调整的信号。和上证指数相比,该指数日线级别没有阶段性顶部形态,只 有六十分钟级别有潜在的双重顶形态。因此,该指数调整是六十分钟级别的,上证指数调整是日线级别的,调整的级别越大,调整的幅度越大,时间越 长。所以,科创50指数相对于上证指数调整的幅度少,时间短。 过去两天,重点分析了上证指数接下来的走势,今天,重点分析科创50指数未来走势。 一、大盘指数分析 科创50指数,周线级别的走势来看,本周冲高回落,碰到了年线的压制,受到了比较大的压力。本周的K线,也释放了明显的调整信号。周期面来看,周 线级别到上上周为止,走了五个有效的上涨周期,到了变盘节点,本周开始调整,是符合周期面规律的。因此,下周开始科创50指数整体的运行趋势是调 整。 调整的目标位,我们需要重点分析。周线级别的走势来看,一个比较大的中枢结构突破和回踩动作已经走完,结构的突破,意味着后期还有比较大的波段 上涨。在结构调整的末期,构筑了一个比较清晰的双重底形态,上上周实现了有效突破。从形态角度来看,接下来的调整,是底部形态突破后的回踩。均 线方面来看,目前半年线和六十日均线上行速度 ...
Don't Sweat Duolingo Stock's June Doldrums
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-25 17:33
The shares of language learning platform Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) are down 2.7% at $411.54 at last glance, looking to extend their recent slide. The stock hung around its May 14 record high of $544.93 for a few weeks before beginning a sharp descent lower, marking only three positive days since June 6.On the side of the bulls, however, DUOL is still up 26.9% in 2025, and currently flashing a historically bullish signal. Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, the recent pullback has Duoli ...
周评:收出阴孕线后面临强弱选择
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 11:27
Core Viewpoint - The market is currently in a bearish trend, with short-term bearish sentiment dominating, and a need for the index to close above certain levels to indicate strength [1][7]. Technical Analysis - Weekly chart shows a small bearish candlestick pattern, indicating a potential weak market; the closing price is below key support levels [3][5]. - Volume has decreased, and key indicators such as MACD and KDJ are showing bearish signals, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend [3][5]. - The monthly and weekly moving averages indicate that the market needs to stabilize above certain levels (e.g., 5-week moving average at 3273) for a potential reversal [5][6]. Trading Strategy - The strategy involves oscillating between upper and lower gaps, with a focus on short-term trading; bullish positions are favored if the market can fill the upper gap, while bearish positions are considered if the lower gap is filled [4]. Key Levels - Critical levels for next week include: - Life lines: Monthly at 3236, weekly at 3302, and daily at 3282 [6]. - Resistance levels: 3292, 3317, with strong resistance between 3327-3342 [8]. - Support levels: 3273, 3257, with strong support between 3233-3193 [8]. Summary of Market Sentiment - The market is currently viewed as weak, with a need for a close above 3300 to be acceptable, above 3320 for a bullish advantage, and above 3340 for strong bullish sentiment; closing below 3260 indicates a strong bearish trend [7].
三天之后变了的和没变的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 14:01
Core Viewpoint - The market is currently in a state of adjustment, with a slight bearish sentiment prevailing, but the overall strength of the bears is not significant. The market is expected to oscillate between two gaps, with potential upward movement after the adjustment period [1][2][11]. Market Performance - The market opened lower at 3281, with a low of 3277 and a high of 3294, closing at 3286. The ratio of advancing to declining stocks was 3557 to 1674, indicating more stocks rose than fell [1]. - The market has shown a consistent pattern of minor adjustments, with the recent high of 3313 being established as a short-term peak. The likelihood of a significant downward adjustment has decreased, although it cannot be completely ruled out [1][12]. Technical Analysis - The key trading range for the market is identified between 3285 and 3304, with the upper boundary indicating strength and the lower boundary indicating weakness. The market is currently positioned just above the lower boundary [3][4][12]. - The ChiNext index is trading between 1939 and 2036, currently below the lower boundary, while the 50 index is between 2647 and 2649, also below the lower boundary [5][12]. Short-term Strategy - The current strategy involves oscillating between the two gaps, with a focus on short-term trading (T) strategies. The market is expected to first address the upper gap before considering the lower gap [2][12]. Upcoming Key Dates - Tomorrow marks a critical point for the week and month, with the monthly candlestick expected to close bearish. The weekly candlestick remains uncertain, indicating potential volatility [8][11].
周评:一周三个交易日,小心一根中大阳完成任务或一根中大阴调整展开
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-26 21:55
Core Viewpoint - The market is currently in a non-bullish and non-bearish state, having seen a bottom but with weak bullish momentum. The ability to break the downward trend line depends on trading volume [1][5]. Technical Analysis - The market needs to close above 3281 to break the downward trend line formed since 3439, with a focus on trading volume for further upward movement [1]. - The closing prices for the week were as follows: opened at 3273, reached a low of 3270, a high of 3313, and closed at 3295, resulting in a 0.56% increase [2]. - Weekly technical indicators show a low opening small bullish candle, with the closing price below the weekly life line and key areas, indicating a mid-term bearish outlook and a short-term weak balance between bulls and bears [4]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels are at 3288, 3280, and strong support between 3277-3258, while resistance levels are at 3310, 3317, and strong resistance between 3327-3342 [9]. - The market must maintain above 3288 to avoid further declines, with potential adjustments down to 3233 if significant losses occur [5]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to oscillate between the upper and lower gaps, with a focus on filling the upper gap first for bullish sentiment, and the lower gap for bearish sentiment [6]. - The next week's critical levels are: monthly life line at 3239, weekly life line at 3309, and daily life line at 3289 [7]. - Closing above 3310 is acceptable, above 3330 is favorable, and above 3350 indicates strong bullish momentum [8].