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恒指牛熊街货比(59:41)︱9月27日
智通财经网· 2025-09-27 00:06
牛证街货重货区在25800-25899区间,该区间最新牛证数量为1013张,较上一交易日增加405张;牛证街货最多新增在25700-25799区间,该区间最新牛证数 量为865张,较上一交易日增加583张。 智通财经APP获悉,截至9月27日,恒指最新的牛熊街货比例为59:41。 中信证券牛熊证街货分布图中的数据显示,熊证街货重货区在26700-26799区间,该区间最新熊证数量为1002张,较上一交易日增加421张;最多新增在 26700-26799区间,该区间最新熊证数量为1002张,较上一交易日增加421张。 ...
9月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、小米、快手、中移動、華虹
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 11:45
1、恆指:看多投資者認為守住十天線上收的話會上試月線阻力26773,牛證過夜,收回價26000點。也有投資者表示在尾盤買注末日熊賭一把,收回價距離 只有0.34% Simon:指數表現不錯,升至26500水平,收復過往跌幅。短線技術信號總結為"買入",同時提醒投資者信號不是指明日會如何,而是未來短線趨勢的方向是 看多方向。如果再上,留意數據系統分析的阻力位26800點和27600點。投資者選擇牛證的收回價26000的產品,稍微近一些。數據系統分析的25600是第一個 支持位。第二支持位25100。選擇收回價低於第二個支持位的產品會安全一些。目前市場上,收回價25600的產品,產品相當多。但溢價幅度相差比較大,有 些溢價只有0.05%,有些溢價0.2%。差距相當大。有些低溢價的產品,槓桿反而高一些。 有些高於30倍,有些27倍。我們想說明的是,當我們選擇產品的時候,需要細緻一些對比產品。當心中有收回價水平後,對比市場上,不同產品的溢價、槓 桿的差異,選擇對自己更加有利的產品 恆指 (HSI) | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | NO OR OTHE ...
9月12日【港股Podcast】恒指、小米、舜宇、快手、招金、匯豐
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 19:23
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors are optimistic about the Hang Seng Index reaching 27,000 points next week, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 25,900 points. Conversely, some investors anticipate a new round of corrections starting Monday, testing the support level at 26,000 points, holding bear certificates with redemption prices of 26,900 and 27,100 points [1] - The index closed at 26,388 points last Friday, with an intraday high of 26,585 points. Technical analysis indicates that the first resistance level is at 26,800 points, and the second resistance level is at 27,400 points. The lower support level is at 25,700 points, slightly lower than the levels mentioned by investors. The short-term signal is summarized as "sell" [1] Group 2: Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) - Investors are questioning whether the stock price of Xiaomi at 55 HKD poses significant pressure, with some bearish investors predicting a drop to 53 HKD next week. The warrant market is focusing on call options with an exercise price of 61.05 HKD [6] - The stock price rose to 55.15 HKD last Friday, with a short-term technical signal indicating "neutral." The first resistance level is at 56.7 HKD, while the support level is at 53.1 HKD. If it breaks below this level, it may drop to 51 HKD. The warrants chosen by investors have a high out-of-the-money ratio, but leverage is around 7.7-8 times, which requires careful consideration [6] Group 3: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the safest entry price, with some waiting for a price correction to 76 HKD while holding put options with an exercise price of 73.88 HKD. The stock price was 81.4 HKD last Friday, remaining above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The short-term signal is not optimistic, primarily indicating "sell." Support levels are at 78.2 HKD and 74.6 HKD [9] Group 4: Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - Investors are asking if there is a chance for the stock price to rise to 80 HKD, with the warrant market focusing on call options with an exercise price of 91.05 HKD. The stock price closed at 75.25 HKD, with resistance levels at 78.5 HKD and 82.7 HKD. The short-term technical signal is "sell" [14] Group 5: Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the support level for entry, with the stock price reaching a high of 30.04 HKD. Data analysis indicates support levels at 26.8 HKD and 24.3 HKD. The short-term trading summary is "sell" [19] Group 6: HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) - The stock has broken through previous highs, and investors are questioning how much further it can rise. The technical signal summary indicates "sell," with resistance levels at 107.9 HKD and 114 HKD [23]
9月4日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、快手、匯豐、中芯、百度、
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-04 23:28
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently in a neutral position, with support levels at 24,741 and 24,300, and resistance at 25,500 [1] - Investors are divided, with bullish investors suggesting a rebound to 25,200-25,500, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to 24,800 [1] - The market is unpredictable, and products that slightly move above or below support or resistance levels are considered safer [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) closed at 592.5, above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a critical level to maintain [7] - The technical signals for Tencent are neutral, with support at 575; if it falls below 591, it may require a longer time to recover [7] - Investors are advised to wait if they do not hold shares, as the market shows no clear direction [7] Group 3 - Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) closed at 69.9, with a neutral technical signal and support levels at 67.5 and 62.1 [13] - Investors are advised to be cautious with out-of-the-money options, as they may not be a good strategy unless there is strong confidence in the stock's performance [13] - It is recommended to consider options with a narrower out-of-the-money range of 10%-7% for better leverage [13] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) closed at 99.6, below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a slight bullish signal [19] - Resistance levels are at 102.9 and 106.2, with a potential target of 110, but further time may be needed [19] Group 5 - SMIC (00981.HK) has seen a significant drop, closing at 56, with support levels at 51.6 and 46 [25] - The technical signal is neutral, and the recovery price for bear certificates is set at 67, which is considered relatively safe [25] Group 6 - Baidu Group-SW (09888.HK) closed at 96, having broken through the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a sell signal [29] - The resistance levels are at 98.6 and 103.5, and investors holding options with a strike price of 105 should be cautious of potential technical adjustments [29]
美團均線系統空頭排列,但超賣信號強烈
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 12:22
Group 1 - Meituan's stock price is currently showing signs of being oversold, indicating a potential short-term rebound opportunity [1] - The current support levels for Meituan are at 96.2 HKD (Support 1) and 83.6 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 112 HKD (Resistance 1) and 119.4 HKD (Resistance 2) [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29, indicating a severe oversold condition, and multiple oscillators suggest a strong demand for a technical rebound [1] Group 2 - Recent performance of Meituan-related bear certificates has been notable, with HSBC's bear certificate (68081) and UBS's bear certificate (67792) recording increases of 90% and 96% respectively within two days, despite the underlying stock's decline of 11.69% [3] - Put options such as JPMorgan's 17348 and UBS's 17140 have also risen by 76% and 73%, respectively, demonstrating that derivative instruments can provide profit opportunities in a declining market [3] Group 3 - Investors in warrants may consider out-of-the-money call options with moderate leverage, such as the call option 19718 (leverage of 6.5 times, exercise price of 119.9 HKD), which has the lowest premium and implied volatility [6] - For bearish outlooks, UBS's put option 18354 (leverage of 3.7 times) or HSBC's put option 18364 (leverage of 3.7 times) are recommended [6] Group 4 - Bull certificates like Societe Generale's 66956 (redemption price of 85 HKD, leverage of 4.9 times) and UBS's 59049 (redemption price of 85 HKD, leverage of 4.7 times) are suitable for bullish investors [8] - For bearish investors, options such as JPMorgan's bear certificate 53290 (redemption price of 120 HKD, leverage of 5.8 times) or Societe Generale's bear certificate 53511 (redemption price of 120 HKD, leverage of 5.9 times) are available [8]
8月27日【港股Podcast】恆指、蔚來、金蝶、騰訊、中移動、中芯
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-27 13:50
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has experienced a decline, with a significant number of bull certificates being liquidated, leading to a cautious market sentiment [1] - The index closed at 25,201 points, remaining above the 25,200 mark, with short-term support levels identified at 24,855 and 24,507 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider bull certificates with a redemption price below 24,500 for relative safety [1] Group 2: NIO Inc. (09866.HK) - NIO's closing price was HKD 51.65, showing a favorable increase, but the trading signal is currently a "sell," indicating a need for caution [3] - The first resistance level is identified at HKD 57.2, while support levels are at HKD 44.5 and HKD 39.3 [3] Group 3: Kingdee International Software Group (00268.HK) - Kingdee's stock has shown some upward movement, closing at HKD 16.57, but remains below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [5] - The trading signal is a "sell," with resistance at HKD 18.3, and investors are advised to be cautious due to high volatility in the past three days [5] Group 4: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's trading signal is currently "neutral," with investors considering entry points at lower levels [8] - Support levels are identified at HKD 574 and HKD 557 [8] Group 5: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile closed at HKD 89.15, reflecting a significant decline, but the trading signal is a "buy" [11] - Resistance is at HKD 92.3, with support levels at HKD 86 and HKD 82.7 [11] Group 6: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - SMIC's trading signal is a "sell," with a technical outlook leaning bearish [14] - The first resistance level is at HKD 62.6, while the exercise price for call options is set at HKD 64.05, indicating a gap to be covered [14]
7月14日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、蔚來汽車、贛鋒、神華、招金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-14 11:21
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has a support level around 24,000, with a potential upward target of 24,600 if it stabilizes above 24,200 [1] - Investors are advised to pay attention to call options with a strike price of 24,600 and bull certificates with a redemption price of 24,000 [1] - Bear certificates with a redemption price of 24,268 are considered risky due to the proximity to current index levels [1] Group 2 - Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) is expected to rebound, with a support level at 64 and a potential rise to 70 [3] - The current resistance levels for Kuaishou are 67 and 70.6, with a strong buy signal noted [4] Group 3 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is anticipated to experience a short-term surge, with a strong buy signal and resistance levels at 35.5 and 36.5 [7] - The stock needs to break through the monthly and weekly chart resistance to challenge the 40 mark [7] Group 4 - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) has seen its stock price rise from 16-17 to 27.3, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 28.2 and 29.9 [9] - A rise to 40 will require favorable market conditions and fundamental changes [9] Group 5 - China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) shows signs of a rebound, with investors holding call options at a strike price of 36.6 [12] Group 6 - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) has upward potential, with a buy signal and a first resistance level at 21.4, aiming for 22 [15]
5月19日【港股Podcast】恆指、聯通、中芯、中遠、比亞迪、泡泡瑪特
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-19 12:31
1、恆指:全日收23332點。有投資者認為會繼續挑戰23500-23700點,也有投資者保持謹慎心態,認為目前走勢震盪,近價牛證比較多,等待市場收回牛證 後再選擇方向。數據系統分析的阻力位在23800點,與投資者的觀點類似。支持位在22500點。從走勢看,恒指比較平靜,變化不大。信號總結為"買入"偏 多。雖然以買入為主,也有一定 的"賣出"信號。 3、中芯國際(0981):全日收42.45元。投資者問短期走勢是否轉勢?從走勢看,近期在底部橫盤,走勢偏弱。目前信號總結"賣出"信號比較多,看法偏 淡。走勢圖看,暫時在底部橫行。進一步再跌的話,下方支持位在40.8元左右。 4、中遠海航(1919):全日收14.36元,投資者問能否挑戰15元?走勢可喜可賀,整體走勢比較強。自4月中至今,升勢沒有停過。短期信號總結為"強力買 入",周線圖的股價走勢向上。短期可以高看一線,參考數據系統分析的阻力位14.7元。不過留意周線圖的保利加通道頂部已經被突破,留意是否會有技術 性調整。有投資者早前留意行使價14元左右的認購證,目前會食糊一部分盈利。 2、中國聯通(00762):全日收9.26元。投資者問短期能否延續升勢?從走勢看, ...
【港股Podcast】Part.1-恆指、舜宇、領展、中國鐵塔、騰訊、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-19 01:20
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index opened lower at 19,591 but rebounded to close at 19,752, supported by Tencent's performance. The index has been fluctuating around the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a narrow trading range. A breakout above this level could signal further upward movement, but the current trend remains sideways due to holiday market conditions [1]. Individual Stock Analysis - **Sunny Optical Technology (02382)**: The stock has shown a strong upward trend, reaching a high of 71.7. Investors are optimistic about the price reaching levels between 72-75. The monthly chart indicates a potential target of 82.7, although a short-term adjustment may occur upon reaching the upper Bollinger Band [2]. - **Link REIT (00823)**: The stock has experienced significant declines, closing at 32.5, which is below the lower Bollinger Band. There is a possibility of further declines to 31.6. Investors are advised to wait before attempting to bottom-fish for a rebound, as the current technical outlook is weak [2]. - **China Tower (788)**: The stock has risen for two consecutive days, approaching October highs. The next resistance level is at 1.14, with a potential for technical adjustments as it nears this level. There are suitable options for investors, including call warrants with a 5%-6% out-of-the-money range [3]. - **Tencent (00700)**: The stock showed notable movement, reaching a high of 422 before closing at 415.2. If it maintains above 415, there is potential for further gains, with resistance at 418 and 420. Investors are purchasing call warrants and bull certificates, with a preference for options that are 3%-7% out-of-the-money [3]. - **Baidu (9888)**: The stock closed at 84.1, showing some stability above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 83.8. However, if it falls below 80, it may test lower levels around 77.5, indicating a cautious outlook for investors [4].