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恒指牛熊街货比(65:35)︱11月14日
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 22:28
Group 1 - The latest bull-bear ratio of the Hang Seng Index is 65:35 as of November 14 [1] - The heavy area for bear certificates is in the range of 27,500 to 27,599, with the latest number of bear certificates at 815, a decrease of 93 from the previous trading day [1] - The most significant increases in bear certificates were observed in the ranges of 27,800 to 27,899 and 27,600 to 27,699, with the latest numbers at 315 and 595 respectively, both showing an increase of 41 from the previous trading day [1] Group 2 - The heavy area for bull certificates is in the range of 26,400 to 26,499, with the latest number of bull certificates at 885, an increase of 101 from the previous trading day [1] - The most significant increase in bull certificates was in the range of 26,600 to 26,699, with the latest number at 605, reflecting an increase of 605 from the previous trading day [1]
聚焦《個股份析與產品列表.pdf》10只個股技術指標及窩輪推薦
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-13 03:59
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has support at 25,824 and resistance at 27,862, with a cumulative increase of 3.2% since November, driven by financial and technology stocks [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCE) has support at 9,187 and resistance at 9,891, benefiting from favorable policies for domestic real estate stocks and improved profitability in the energy sector [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) has support at 5,596 and resistance at 6,389, with a 5% increase in financing for technology stocks in November, indicating a rebound in AI chips and cloud computing sectors [1] Company Highlights - CK Hutchison (00001) plans to increase its stake in UK telecom assets, with its stock price rising 4.15% to HKD 55.25 following the announcement [1] - HSBC (00005) reported Q3 net profit exceeding expectations and plans to increase its dividend payout, boosting trading activity in the Hong Kong banking sector [1] - Tencent (00700) saw a 15% increase in Q3 gaming revenue, with its AI model being applied in financial scenarios, while shareholder Prosus announced a delay in share reduction [2] - SMIC (00981) received increased investment from the National Integrated Circuit Fund, achieving a 98% utilization rate for its 14nm production capacity, with a projected 30% net profit increase in H1 2025 [2] - Kuaishou (01024) reported a 22% increase in advertising revenue for H1 2025, with daily active users for short drama content exceeding 100 million and a 17.6% year-on-year increase in e-commerce GMV [2] - BYD (01211) sold over 300,000 new energy vehicles in October, with overseas factories commencing production and supply chain cost optimization enhancing profits [2] - Meituan (03690) experienced a 20% increase in instant retail order volume in Q3, securing exclusive partnerships with several supermarkets [2]
10月30日【港股Podcast】恆指、泡泡瑪特、協鑫科技、中國神華、網易、S金ETF、美團
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-31 04:13
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,282 points, showing a decline but remaining above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, which is a slightly positive sign [1] - There is a mixed sentiment among investors, with some being optimistic and others pessimistic, indicating a lack of a clear market direction [1][2] - Current technical signals show 8 sell signals and 6 buy signals, suggesting a predominance of sell signals but not a strong sell or buy consensus [2] Group 2: Bubble Mart (09992) Analysis - Bubble Mart's stock price has dropped to 229.8 HKD, down from previous highs around 280 HKD, and is currently struggling to regain the 230 HKD level [9] - Technical signals indicate a "strong buy" with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, reflecting a potential short-term upward trend [9] - Support levels are identified at 217 HKD and 187 HKD, with caution advised for investors expecting further declines before a rebound [9] Group 3: GCL-Poly Energy (03800) Insights - GCL-Poly Energy's stock price is approaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with increased trading volume indicating positive momentum [14] - Current technical signals show 9 sell signals and 4 buy signals, suggesting a potential for a price correction after recent gains [14] Group 4: China Shenhua Energy (01088) Performance - China Shenhua has shown an upward trend since September 1, with the stock reaching a high of 32 HKD [19] - Resistance levels are noted at 43 HKD and 44.8 HKD, with the possibility of reaching 45 HKD requiring more time [19] Group 5: NetEase (09999) Market Position - NetEase's stock has dropped significantly, closing at 220 HKD and breaking below the lower line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a bearish trend [25] - Key support levels are at 211 HKD and 199 HKD, with the market closely watching if it can hold above 211 HKD [25] Group 6: S&P Gold ETF (02840) Evaluation - The S&P Gold ETF has followed the market trend downwards, currently priced at 2,831 HKD, with support levels at 2,730 HKD and potential further declines to 2,630 HKD [31] - Investors holding put options should be aware of time decay affecting their positions, especially if the ETF price remains stagnant [32] Group 7: Meituan (03690) Stock Dynamics - Meituan's stock price has shown some recovery to 102.4 HKD, with increased trading volume compared to previous days [38] - Support levels are identified at 98 HKD and 94.3 HKD, with the stock currently fluctuating between these levels [38]
聚焦《個股份析與產品列表.pdf》:15 只個股短期趨勢、技術指標及窩輪推薦
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-22 11:27
Group 1: Alibaba (Code: 00988) - Technical analysis indicates a support level at 144.6 and a resistance level at 185.6, with strong rebound momentum from the support level, suggesting a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 21370, 20017, and 15432, while bull warrants are 57383, 57470, and 57384 [1] Group 2: Meituan (Code: 03690) - Support level is at 88 and resistance level at 107.1, with a high probability of breaking through the resistance level, indicating an upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19971, 20069, and 20116, with bull warrants being 58005, 53778, and 53780 [1] Group 3: Xiaomi (Code: 01810) - Technical indicators show a support level at 39.8 and a resistance level at 56.4, with the price at the lower end of an upward channel, indicating a high safety margin and short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 16253, 13630, and 13979, while bull warrants are 67393, 67394, and 67402 [1] Group 4: AIA (Code: 01299) - Support level is at 68.6 and resistance level at 77.2, characterized by low volatility as a blue-chip stock, with a stable short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 18410, 17948, and 18411, with bull warrants being 61825, 53008, and 61274 [1] Group 5: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (Code: 00388) - Technical analysis shows a support level at 399 and a resistance level at 460, with strong performance driven by active market trading, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 27741, 15562, and 23503, while bull warrants are 62570, 56665, and 68548 [1] Group 6: BYD (Code: 01211) - Support level is at 95.8 and resistance level at 113.8, with the stock benefiting from the popularity of the new energy sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 20458, 20495, and 20219, while bull warrants are 56780, 64027, and 63130 [1] Group 7: HSBC (Code: 00005) - Support level is at 94.3 and resistance level at 110.5, with a stable trend influenced by the valuation recovery in the banking sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19105, 18901, and 19104, while bull warrants are 65343, 66095, and 68629 [1] Group 8: China Construction Bank (Code: 00939) - Technical indicators show a support level at 7.38 and a resistance level at 8.26, characterized as a low valuation high dividend stock with strong safety attributes, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 17265, 19572, and 20261, while bull warrants are 62134, 62178, and 57112 [1] Group 9: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Code: 01398) - Support level is at 5.55 and resistance level at 6.35, characterized by low volatility as a large-cap bank stock, indicating a clear short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 20585, 20618, and 16703, while bull warrants are 65682, 57199, and 58321 [1] Group 10: China Mobile (Code: 00941) - Technical analysis indicates a support level at 78.7 and a resistance level at 91.7, with strong earnings supporting the stock price as a leader in the telecommunications industry, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 21277, 21344, and 28920, while bull warrants are 57975, 56130, and 63412 [1] Group 11: SMIC (Code: 00981) - Support level is at 58.5 and resistance level at 89.6, benefiting from favorable policies in the semiconductor sector, indicating high elasticity and a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 13923, 20790, and 20292, while bull warrants are 61294, 61093, and 60800 [1] Group 12: Kuaishou (Code: 01024) - Support level is at 63.1 and resistance level at 88, with strong rebound momentum driven by stable demand in the short video sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 17442, 17594, and 15122, while bull warrants are 59046, 59410, and 61399 [1] Group 13: JD.com (Code: 09618) - Technical indicators show a support level at 115.9 and a resistance level at 141.3, benefiting from the recovery in the e-commerce sector and positive earnings expectations, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19677, 19641, and 19529, while bull warrants are 56434, 55794, and 56562 [1] Group 14: Anta (Code: 02020) - Support level is at 81 and resistance level at 95.6, characterized as a leader in sports apparel, benefiting from consumer recovery, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 13440, 13921, and 15902, while bull warrants are 54515, 54416, and 65820 [1] Group 15: Tencent (Code: 00700) - Technical indicators show a support level at 581 and a resistance level at 680, indicating a short-term upward trend with ample room for growth [1] - Recommended call warrants are 18949, 18902, and 13713, while bull warrants are 55125, 67093, and 55772 [1]
10月17日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、寧德時代、中移動、中海油、匯豐
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 11:01
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at approximately 25,247 points on October 17, indicating a significant decline, having breached key technical levels such as the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [1][2] - The market sentiment is affected by this drop, with many investors feeling psychological pressure due to the volatility [2] Technical Analysis - Currently, there are 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals for the HSI, suggesting a slight bias towards buying in the short term [3][7] - The immediate support level for the HSI is around 24,800 points; if this level is breached, the next support is approximately 23,700 points [4][5] - Investors are advised to select products with recovery prices further from the support level to mitigate risks associated with sudden market declines [5] Individual Stock Analysis Meituan (03690) - Meituan's stock price has also been declining, closing at 94.5 HKD, having breached the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [9] - The first support level is around 91.1 HKD; if this is broken, the next support is at approximately 85.8 HKD [9][10] - Technical signals for Meituan show 9 buy signals and 4 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [12] Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (03750) - The stock closed at 521.5 HKD, down from a high of 614 HKD, with a neutral technical signal showing 5 buy and 5 sell signals [14][15] - The support level is around 477 HKD, which is close to the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [15] China Mobile (00941) - China Mobile's stock closed at 85.3 HKD, maintaining a neutral technical signal with potential resistance at 88.5 HKD [17][18] - If the stock price continues to rise, it could reach 91.8 HKD if it breaks the resistance level [17] China National Petroleum Corporation (00857) - The stock closed at 7.32 HKD, with a bearish technical signal showing 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals [23][24] - The first resistance level is at 7.5 HKD, and if this is surpassed, it could rise to 7.7 HKD [23] HSBC Holdings (00005) - HSBC's stock closed at 100.9 HKD, just above the support level of 96.7 HKD [29][30] - The technical signals show 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [32]
10月16日【港股Podcast】恆指、比亞迪電子、小米、神華、舜宇科技、嗶哩嗶哩
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-17 11:52
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight decline of approximately 22 points, closing at 25,888 points, indicating a lack of clear market direction among investors [1] - Investors are divided, with some bullish investors waiting for the index to reach 26,250 points to fill the gap, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to the 25,200-25,400 range [1] - Current technical signals show a "neutral" market, with an equal number of buy and sell indicators, suggesting no clear trend [2] Group 2: BYD Electronics (00285) - BYD Electronics has seen an increase in trading volume over the past two days, indicating potential buying interest, with a resistance level around 43 HKD [8] - The stock is currently in a "neutral" technical state, similar to the HSI, with no clear direction indicated by the technical signals [8] - If the stock continues to rise, it may challenge the 43 HKD level, while a pullback could see it drop to the 38-39 HKD range [8] Group 3: Xiaomi Group (01810) - Xiaomi's stock has been on a downward trend, reaching a low of 47.32 HKD, but technical signals currently show a "buy" bias with 10 buy signals against 5 sell signals [14] - The short-term resistance level is around 52.7 HKD, while the support level is at 45.8 HKD, with a potential drop to 39.9 HKD if the support is breached [14] - The market sentiment is mixed, with both bullish and bearish perspectives present [14] Group 4: China Shenhua (01088) - China Shenhua's stock has performed well recently, closing at 40.98 HKD, but is considered to be at a relatively high level, with an RSI of 86 indicating overbought conditions [20] - Technical signals suggest a "sell" bias with 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals, indicating a potentially weaker trend [20] - The current resistance level is around 42.2 HKD, with a support level at 39.5 HKD [20] Group 5: Sunny Optical Technology (02382) - Sunny Optical has shown a rebound over the past two days but remains at low levels, with no clear reversal signals yet [26] - Technical analysis indicates a "buy" bias with 8 buy signals and 5 sell signals, suggesting a slightly stronger outlook [26] - The resistance level to watch for a potential rise to 88 HKD is around 85.4 HKD, with a possibility of reaching 89.7 HKD if this level is surpassed [26] Group 6: Bilibili (09626.HK) - Bilibili's stock has recently rebounded, closing at 212 HKD, approaching the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at around 215 HKD [30] - Current technical signals are "neutral," indicating no clear direction, and investors are advised to wait for further analysis [30] - The first support level is around 199 HKD, with a potential drop to 188 HKD if this level is breached [30]
恒指牛熊街货比(59:41)︱9月27日
智通财经网· 2025-09-27 00:06
Core Viewpoint - As of September 27, the Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows a bull-bear ratio of 59:41, indicating a prevailing bullish sentiment in the market [1] Group 1: Bearish Sentiment - The heavy concentration of bear certificates is in the range of 26,700 to 26,799, with the latest count at 1,002 certificates, an increase of 421 from the previous trading day [1] - The most significant increase in bear certificates occurred in the 26,700 to 26,799 range, reflecting heightened bearish sentiment [1] Group 2: Bullish Sentiment - The heavy concentration of bull certificates is in the range of 25,800 to 25,899, with the latest count at 1,013 certificates, an increase of 405 from the previous trading day [1] - The largest increase in bull certificates was noted in the 25,700 to 25,799 range, where the latest count reached 865 certificates, up by 583 from the previous trading day [1]
9月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、小米、快手、中移動、華虹
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 11:45
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors are optimistic about the Hang Seng Index, believing that if it stays above the 10-day moving average, it could test the monthly resistance level of 26,773 [1] - The index has shown a good performance, rising to the 26,500 level and recovering past losses, with short-term technical signals indicating a "buy" [1] - Key resistance levels are identified at 26,800 and 27,600, while support levels are at 25,600 and 25,100 [1] Group 2: Alibaba (09988.HK) - Alibaba's stock price has surged, with a high of 174 HKD, nearing the upper Bollinger Band at 175 HKD, but technical signals suggest a "sell" due to potential adjustments [8] - Resistance levels for Alibaba are at 179.6 HKD and 196 HKD, with support levels at 150 HKD and 136 HKD [8] - Products with a buyback price between 145-150 HKD show competitive leverage, with some having premiums around 1.18%-1.2% and leverage between 4.6-4.9 times [8] Group 3: Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) - Xiaomi's closing price was 56.9 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" [12] - Resistance levels are at 57.4 HKD and 59.2 HKD, while investors can consider options with a strike price around 61 HKD, offering leverage between 4-8 times [12] - Premiums vary significantly, with some reaching 14% and others exceeding 20%, necessitating careful product comparison [12] Group 4: Kuaishou (01024.HK) - Kuaishou's closing price was 76.8 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "sell" and a bearish outlook [19] - Support levels are at 73.2 HKD and 72.2 HKD, with suitable call options available around a strike price of 68 HKD [19] - Premiums for these options range from 18-20%, with implied volatility between 48%-53%, highlighting the need for product comparison [19] Group 5: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile's closing price was 85.7 HKD, with technical signals suggesting a "buy" [22] - Resistance levels are at 88.6 HKD and 91.9 HKD, while support levels are at 82.1 HKD and 78.9 HKD [22] Group 6: Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) - Hua Hong's stock price reached 66.4 HKD, closing at 63.2 HKD, close to the upper Bollinger Band [29] - Support levels are at 56.1 HKD and 51.7 HKD, while resistance levels are at 70.2 HKD and 78.3 HKD [29]
9月12日【港股Podcast】恒指、小米、舜宇、快手、招金、匯豐
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 19:23
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors are optimistic about the Hang Seng Index reaching 27,000 points next week, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 25,900 points. Conversely, some investors anticipate a new round of corrections starting Monday, testing the support level at 26,000 points, holding bear certificates with redemption prices of 26,900 and 27,100 points [1] - The index closed at 26,388 points last Friday, with an intraday high of 26,585 points. Technical analysis indicates that the first resistance level is at 26,800 points, and the second resistance level is at 27,400 points. The lower support level is at 25,700 points, slightly lower than the levels mentioned by investors. The short-term signal is summarized as "sell" [1] Group 2: Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) - Investors are questioning whether the stock price of Xiaomi at 55 HKD poses significant pressure, with some bearish investors predicting a drop to 53 HKD next week. The warrant market is focusing on call options with an exercise price of 61.05 HKD [6] - The stock price rose to 55.15 HKD last Friday, with a short-term technical signal indicating "neutral." The first resistance level is at 56.7 HKD, while the support level is at 53.1 HKD. If it breaks below this level, it may drop to 51 HKD. The warrants chosen by investors have a high out-of-the-money ratio, but leverage is around 7.7-8 times, which requires careful consideration [6] Group 3: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the safest entry price, with some waiting for a price correction to 76 HKD while holding put options with an exercise price of 73.88 HKD. The stock price was 81.4 HKD last Friday, remaining above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The short-term signal is not optimistic, primarily indicating "sell." Support levels are at 78.2 HKD and 74.6 HKD [9] Group 4: Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - Investors are asking if there is a chance for the stock price to rise to 80 HKD, with the warrant market focusing on call options with an exercise price of 91.05 HKD. The stock price closed at 75.25 HKD, with resistance levels at 78.5 HKD and 82.7 HKD. The short-term technical signal is "sell" [14] Group 5: Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the support level for entry, with the stock price reaching a high of 30.04 HKD. Data analysis indicates support levels at 26.8 HKD and 24.3 HKD. The short-term trading summary is "sell" [19] Group 6: HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) - The stock has broken through previous highs, and investors are questioning how much further it can rise. The technical signal summary indicates "sell," with resistance levels at 107.9 HKD and 114 HKD [23]
9月4日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、快手、匯豐、中芯、百度、
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-04 23:28
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently in a neutral position, with support levels at 24,741 and 24,300, and resistance at 25,500 [1] - Investors are divided, with bullish investors suggesting a rebound to 25,200-25,500, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to 24,800 [1] - The market is unpredictable, and products that slightly move above or below support or resistance levels are considered safer [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) closed at 592.5, above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a critical level to maintain [7] - The technical signals for Tencent are neutral, with support at 575; if it falls below 591, it may require a longer time to recover [7] - Investors are advised to wait if they do not hold shares, as the market shows no clear direction [7] Group 3 - Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) closed at 69.9, with a neutral technical signal and support levels at 67.5 and 62.1 [13] - Investors are advised to be cautious with out-of-the-money options, as they may not be a good strategy unless there is strong confidence in the stock's performance [13] - It is recommended to consider options with a narrower out-of-the-money range of 10%-7% for better leverage [13] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) closed at 99.6, below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a slight bullish signal [19] - Resistance levels are at 102.9 and 106.2, with a potential target of 110, but further time may be needed [19] Group 5 - SMIC (00981.HK) has seen a significant drop, closing at 56, with support levels at 51.6 and 46 [25] - The technical signal is neutral, and the recovery price for bear certificates is set at 67, which is considered relatively safe [25] Group 6 - Baidu Group-SW (09888.HK) closed at 96, having broken through the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a sell signal [29] - The resistance levels are at 98.6 and 103.5, and investors holding options with a strike price of 105 should be cautious of potential technical adjustments [29]