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9月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、小米、快手、中移動、華虹
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 11:45
1、恆指:看多投資者認為守住十天線上收的話會上試月線阻力26773,牛證過夜,收回價26000點。也有投資者表示在尾盤買注末日熊賭一把,收回價距離 只有0.34% Simon:指數表現不錯,升至26500水平,收復過往跌幅。短線技術信號總結為"買入",同時提醒投資者信號不是指明日會如何,而是未來短線趨勢的方向是 看多方向。如果再上,留意數據系統分析的阻力位26800點和27600點。投資者選擇牛證的收回價26000的產品,稍微近一些。數據系統分析的25600是第一個 支持位。第二支持位25100。選擇收回價低於第二個支持位的產品會安全一些。目前市場上,收回價25600的產品,產品相當多。但溢價幅度相差比較大,有 些溢價只有0.05%,有些溢價0.2%。差距相當大。有些低溢價的產品,槓桿反而高一些。 有些高於30倍,有些27倍。我們想說明的是,當我們選擇產品的時候,需要細緻一些對比產品。當心中有收回價水平後,對比市場上,不同產品的溢價、槓 桿的差異,選擇對自己更加有利的產品 恆指 (HSI) | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | NO OR OTHE ...
9月12日【港股Podcast】恒指、小米、舜宇、快手、招金、匯豐
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 19:23
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors are optimistic about the Hang Seng Index reaching 27,000 points next week, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 25,900 points. Conversely, some investors anticipate a new round of corrections starting Monday, testing the support level at 26,000 points, holding bear certificates with redemption prices of 26,900 and 27,100 points [1] - The index closed at 26,388 points last Friday, with an intraday high of 26,585 points. Technical analysis indicates that the first resistance level is at 26,800 points, and the second resistance level is at 27,400 points. The lower support level is at 25,700 points, slightly lower than the levels mentioned by investors. The short-term signal is summarized as "sell" [1] Group 2: Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) - Investors are questioning whether the stock price of Xiaomi at 55 HKD poses significant pressure, with some bearish investors predicting a drop to 53 HKD next week. The warrant market is focusing on call options with an exercise price of 61.05 HKD [6] - The stock price rose to 55.15 HKD last Friday, with a short-term technical signal indicating "neutral." The first resistance level is at 56.7 HKD, while the support level is at 53.1 HKD. If it breaks below this level, it may drop to 51 HKD. The warrants chosen by investors have a high out-of-the-money ratio, but leverage is around 7.7-8 times, which requires careful consideration [6] Group 3: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the safest entry price, with some waiting for a price correction to 76 HKD while holding put options with an exercise price of 73.88 HKD. The stock price was 81.4 HKD last Friday, remaining above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The short-term signal is not optimistic, primarily indicating "sell." Support levels are at 78.2 HKD and 74.6 HKD [9] Group 4: Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - Investors are asking if there is a chance for the stock price to rise to 80 HKD, with the warrant market focusing on call options with an exercise price of 91.05 HKD. The stock price closed at 75.25 HKD, with resistance levels at 78.5 HKD and 82.7 HKD. The short-term technical signal is "sell" [14] Group 5: Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the support level for entry, with the stock price reaching a high of 30.04 HKD. Data analysis indicates support levels at 26.8 HKD and 24.3 HKD. The short-term trading summary is "sell" [19] Group 6: HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) - The stock has broken through previous highs, and investors are questioning how much further it can rise. The technical signal summary indicates "sell," with resistance levels at 107.9 HKD and 114 HKD [23]
9月10日【港股Podcast】恆指、嗶哩嗶哩、騰訊、港交所、比亞迪、聯通
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-10 19:32
1、恆指:看好投資者認為明天26600,殺熊證,繼續牛證(收回價26488);看淡投資自責認為26300已封頂 ,入熊證。 Simon:恆指越升越有,全日突破保力加通道頂部,高位26296元。全日收在26200點。目前技術信號總結為"賣出",雖然走勢上升但逼近頂部,不排除會有技 術性的調整。阻力位26554點和27100點。如果繼續短期看好的投資者,留意需要挑戰第一個第一個阻力位。擔心回調的話,留意下方支持位在25600點和 25200點。當我們選擇牛熊證的時候,要留意收回機制,選擇產品的時候,要選擇自己認為不會去到的那個價位,相對安全一些。假設要牛證,而支持位在 25600點和25200點,而買牛證當然是看升,需要判斷恆指是否會去到這兩個支持位,如果有機會去到的話,選擇牛證的收回價在25100,比支持位低一點會 更安全一些。選擇收回價氛圍後,再對比不同條款,在同個收回價的產品下。對比輪價或杠杆等。選擇比較擇優的產品。 極指 (HSI) 賣出信號 買入信號 信號總結 中立信號 賣出 9 8 4 3、騰訊控股 (00700.HK):股價不斷突破,有機會挑戰歷史高位嗎?窩輪市場上,持有認購證。行使價730元。也有 ...
9月4日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、快手、匯豐、中芯、百度、
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-04 23:28
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently in a neutral position, with support levels at 24,741 and 24,300, and resistance at 25,500 [1] - Investors are divided, with bullish investors suggesting a rebound to 25,200-25,500, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to 24,800 [1] - The market is unpredictable, and products that slightly move above or below support or resistance levels are considered safer [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) closed at 592.5, above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a critical level to maintain [7] - The technical signals for Tencent are neutral, with support at 575; if it falls below 591, it may require a longer time to recover [7] - Investors are advised to wait if they do not hold shares, as the market shows no clear direction [7] Group 3 - Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) closed at 69.9, with a neutral technical signal and support levels at 67.5 and 62.1 [13] - Investors are advised to be cautious with out-of-the-money options, as they may not be a good strategy unless there is strong confidence in the stock's performance [13] - It is recommended to consider options with a narrower out-of-the-money range of 10%-7% for better leverage [13] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) closed at 99.6, below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a slight bullish signal [19] - Resistance levels are at 102.9 and 106.2, with a potential target of 110, but further time may be needed [19] Group 5 - SMIC (00981.HK) has seen a significant drop, closing at 56, with support levels at 51.6 and 46 [25] - The technical signal is neutral, and the recovery price for bear certificates is set at 67, which is considered relatively safe [25] Group 6 - Baidu Group-SW (09888.HK) closed at 96, having broken through the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a sell signal [29] - The resistance levels are at 98.6 and 103.5, and investors holding options with a strike price of 105 should be cautious of potential technical adjustments [29]
美團均線系統空頭排列,但超賣信號強烈
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 12:22
Group 1 - Meituan's stock price is currently showing signs of being oversold, indicating a potential short-term rebound opportunity [1] - The current support levels for Meituan are at 96.2 HKD (Support 1) and 83.6 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 112 HKD (Resistance 1) and 119.4 HKD (Resistance 2) [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 29, indicating a severe oversold condition, and multiple oscillators suggest a strong demand for a technical rebound [1] Group 2 - Recent performance of Meituan-related bear certificates has been notable, with HSBC's bear certificate (68081) and UBS's bear certificate (67792) recording increases of 90% and 96% respectively within two days, despite the underlying stock's decline of 11.69% [3] - Put options such as JPMorgan's 17348 and UBS's 17140 have also risen by 76% and 73%, respectively, demonstrating that derivative instruments can provide profit opportunities in a declining market [3] Group 3 - Investors in warrants may consider out-of-the-money call options with moderate leverage, such as the call option 19718 (leverage of 6.5 times, exercise price of 119.9 HKD), which has the lowest premium and implied volatility [6] - For bearish outlooks, UBS's put option 18354 (leverage of 3.7 times) or HSBC's put option 18364 (leverage of 3.7 times) are recommended [6] Group 4 - Bull certificates like Societe Generale's 66956 (redemption price of 85 HKD, leverage of 4.9 times) and UBS's 59049 (redemption price of 85 HKD, leverage of 4.7 times) are suitable for bullish investors [8] - For bearish investors, options such as JPMorgan's bear certificate 53290 (redemption price of 120 HKD, leverage of 5.8 times) or Societe Generale's bear certificate 53511 (redemption price of 120 HKD, leverage of 5.9 times) are available [8]
8月27日【港股Podcast】恆指、蔚來、金蝶、騰訊、中移動、中芯
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-27 13:50
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has experienced a decline, with a significant number of bull certificates being liquidated, leading to a cautious market sentiment [1] - The index closed at 25,201 points, remaining above the 25,200 mark, with short-term support levels identified at 24,855 and 24,507 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider bull certificates with a redemption price below 24,500 for relative safety [1] Group 2: NIO Inc. (09866.HK) - NIO's closing price was HKD 51.65, showing a favorable increase, but the trading signal is currently a "sell," indicating a need for caution [3] - The first resistance level is identified at HKD 57.2, while support levels are at HKD 44.5 and HKD 39.3 [3] Group 3: Kingdee International Software Group (00268.HK) - Kingdee's stock has shown some upward movement, closing at HKD 16.57, but remains below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [5] - The trading signal is a "sell," with resistance at HKD 18.3, and investors are advised to be cautious due to high volatility in the past three days [5] Group 4: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's trading signal is currently "neutral," with investors considering entry points at lower levels [8] - Support levels are identified at HKD 574 and HKD 557 [8] Group 5: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile closed at HKD 89.15, reflecting a significant decline, but the trading signal is a "buy" [11] - Resistance is at HKD 92.3, with support levels at HKD 86 and HKD 82.7 [11] Group 6: Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - SMIC's trading signal is a "sell," with a technical outlook leaning bearish [14] - The first resistance level is at HKD 62.6, while the exercise price for call options is set at HKD 64.05, indicating a gap to be covered [14]
7月31日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、金山軟體、泡泡瑪特、中芯、金沙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-31 21:32
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a downward trend, with investors anticipating further declines, particularly around the 24600 level, while some see support at 24700 and are considering bullish options with a recovery price of 24200 [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, indicating a 50% probability of either rising or falling as it approaches the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - The stock price is nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands, with a strong buy signal indicated by 16 buy signals and 1 sell signal [3] - Resistance levels are identified at 81 and 87.1, while support is close to 69.7, aligning with investor expectations around 70 [3] Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) - The stock is showing resilience in a declining market, stabilizing above the recent low of 34.7, with a target range of 38-40 [6] - Technical signals suggest a buy, with resistance at 37.9 and support at 33.7 and 32.6 [7] Pop Mart International (09992.HK) - The stock closed at 246, with a sell signal indicated, and primary support identified at 236 [10] - Investors are holding put options with a strike price of 178.78, which may be too far from the current price, leading to lower price sensitivity [10] Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - The stock opened high but closed at 51.1 after reaching a peak of 52.95, with a recent volatility of 9.2% [13] - Technical signals indicate a buy with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, resistance levels at 54.2 and 56.8, and support at 47.2 and 45.2 [13][14] Sands China Ltd. (01928.HK) - The stock closed at 19.04, maintaining position above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [17] - A buy signal is indicated, with resistance at 19.6 and 20, and support at 18.3 and 17.3 [17][20]
7月15日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、嗶哩嗶哩、網易、舜宇、阿里健康
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 02:54
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows a significant rebound, with bullish investors expecting it to rise to 25,000, supported by a recovery price of 24,020 for overnight bull certificates [1] - Alibaba (09988.HK) has potential upward movement, with bullish investors targeting a price of 130 HKD, while the stock closed at 113.5 HKD, reflecting a 6.97% increase [3] - Bilibili-W (09626.HK) has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 182 HKD, closing at 184.9 HKD, indicating a "buy" signal with resistance levels at 194.5 HKD and 200 HKD [6] Group 2 - NetEase-S (09999.HK) shows signs of a rebound, with a "buy" signal and resistance levels at 216 HKD and 224 HKD, suggesting that options with a strike price around 220 HKD may be more favorable [9] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) is experiencing upward momentum, closing near the upper Bollinger Band at 76.4 HKD, with a strong buy signal and resistance levels at 78.4 HKD and 82.3 HKD [12] - Alibaba Health (00241.HK) has risen for six consecutive days, with resistance levels at 4.8 HKD and 5.13 HKD, and options with a strike price of 4.51 HKD are considered reasonable [15]
7月14日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、蔚來汽車、贛鋒、神華、招金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-14 11:21
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has a support level around 24,000, with a potential upward target of 24,600 if it stabilizes above 24,200 [1] - Investors are advised to pay attention to call options with a strike price of 24,600 and bull certificates with a redemption price of 24,000 [1] - Bear certificates with a redemption price of 24,268 are considered risky due to the proximity to current index levels [1] Group 2 - Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) is expected to rebound, with a support level at 64 and a potential rise to 70 [3] - The current resistance levels for Kuaishou are 67 and 70.6, with a strong buy signal noted [4] Group 3 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is anticipated to experience a short-term surge, with a strong buy signal and resistance levels at 35.5 and 36.5 [7] - The stock needs to break through the monthly and weekly chart resistance to challenge the 40 mark [7] Group 4 - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) has seen its stock price rise from 16-17 to 27.3, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 28.2 and 29.9 [9] - A rise to 40 will require favorable market conditions and fundamental changes [9] Group 5 - China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) shows signs of a rebound, with investors holding call options at a strike price of 36.6 [12] Group 6 - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) has upward potential, with a buy signal and a first resistance level at 21.4, aiming for 22 [15]
中国平安,突发!刚刚,全线暴涨!
券商中国· 2025-06-24 06:51
Core Viewpoint - The surge in subscription certificates for China Ping An and AIA Insurance is driven by regulatory changes and a shift in consumer wealth towards dividend insurance products, indicating a potential positive outlook for leading companies in the insurance sector [2][8][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - China Ping An's subscription certificates saw significant increases, with Ping An Zhongyin 57 Purchase C rising by 138%, and several others doubling in value [2][4]. - AIA Insurance's subscription certificates also experienced substantial gains, with AIA Fa Ba 57 Purchase rising over 270% [2][4]. - The stock of China Ping An in the Hong Kong market has shown a continuous upward trend, increasing by over 3% on the same day [2][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Impact - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission issued a notice regarding the dividend levels for 2024, urging insurance companies to enhance their asset-liability management and improve the sustainability of dividend insurance [8][10]. - This regulatory guidance is expected to benefit leading insurance companies, as it aims to standardize the floating cost levels of dividend insurance and encourage prudent determination of dividend levels [10][12]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The low interest rate environment is prompting a shift in consumer wealth from savings deposits to dividend insurance, creating a supportive capital market chain [12]. - The transition towards dividend insurance is seen as a significant change in the business model of insurance companies, with a potential shift in valuation metrics from Price-to-Book (PB) to Price-to-Earnings Value (PEV) [12]. - The insurance industry is expected to experience a new cycle of development, with a focus on enhancing the attractiveness of products through improved asset management capabilities [11][12].