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聚焦《個股份析與產品列表.pdf》10只個股技術指標及窩輪推薦
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-13 03:59
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has support at 25,824 and resistance at 27,862, with a cumulative increase of 3.2% since November, driven by financial and technology stocks [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCE) has support at 9,187 and resistance at 9,891, benefiting from favorable policies for domestic real estate stocks and improved profitability in the energy sector [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH) has support at 5,596 and resistance at 6,389, with a 5% increase in financing for technology stocks in November, indicating a rebound in AI chips and cloud computing sectors [1] Company Highlights - CK Hutchison (00001) plans to increase its stake in UK telecom assets, with its stock price rising 4.15% to HKD 55.25 following the announcement [1] - HSBC (00005) reported Q3 net profit exceeding expectations and plans to increase its dividend payout, boosting trading activity in the Hong Kong banking sector [1] - Tencent (00700) saw a 15% increase in Q3 gaming revenue, with its AI model being applied in financial scenarios, while shareholder Prosus announced a delay in share reduction [2] - SMIC (00981) received increased investment from the National Integrated Circuit Fund, achieving a 98% utilization rate for its 14nm production capacity, with a projected 30% net profit increase in H1 2025 [2] - Kuaishou (01024) reported a 22% increase in advertising revenue for H1 2025, with daily active users for short drama content exceeding 100 million and a 17.6% year-on-year increase in e-commerce GMV [2] - BYD (01211) sold over 300,000 new energy vehicles in October, with overseas factories commencing production and supply chain cost optimization enhancing profits [2] - Meituan (03690) experienced a 20% increase in instant retail order volume in Q3, securing exclusive partnerships with several supermarkets [2]
11月3日【港股Podcast】恆指、小米集團、中海油、蔚來、快手、港交所
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-04 19:51
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,158 points, near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 26,163 points, indicating a potential for slight upward movement if trading volume increases [1][2] - Investors are divided, with bullish investors targeting levels between 26,300 and 26,500, while bearish investors see strong resistance at 26,200, predicting a potential drop of 300 points [1][2] - Current resistance is estimated at around 26,600 points, with a possibility of reaching 26,679 points if the index breaks through this level [2] Group 2 - Xiaomi's stock price rose slightly to 44.72 HKD, with a first resistance level at 48.1 HKD, and a potential upward movement towards 53.8 HKD if this level is breached [9][10] - Technical signals for Xiaomi show 11 buy signals and 6 sell signals, indicating a slightly positive short-term outlook [9][10] - The support level for Xiaomi is around 42.6 HKD, and if it falls below this, it could drop to 40 HKD [9][10] Group 3 - CNOOC's stock price closed at 20.46 HKD, close to the upper Bollinger Band, with a support level at 19.7 HKD [14] - If CNOOC's stock price drops below 19.7 HKD, it may further decline to 19.2 HKD [14] Group 4 - NIO's stock price increased to 56.9 HKD, with a resistance level at 59.9 HKD, and a potential rise to 63.2 HKD if this level is surpassed [18] - Investors are advised to choose options with a strike price about 10% out of the money and longer expiration dates for better safety [18] Group 5 - Kuaishou's stock price closed at 73.45 HKD, with a resistance level at 78.2 HKD, and a potential rise to 85.7 HKD if this level is broken [25][26] - Technical signals indicate 10 buy signals and 5 sell signals, suggesting a slightly positive short-term outlook [25][26] Group 6 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) closed at 428.8 HKD, with a resistance level at 439 HKD, and a potential rise to 449 HKD if this level is breached [32] - Technical signals show 9 buy signals and 5 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [32]
10月30日【港股Podcast】恆指、泡泡瑪特、協鑫科技、中國神華、網易、S金ETF、美團
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-31 04:13
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,282 points, showing a decline but remaining above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, which is a slightly positive sign [1] - There is a mixed sentiment among investors, with some being optimistic and others pessimistic, indicating a lack of a clear market direction [1][2] - Current technical signals show 8 sell signals and 6 buy signals, suggesting a predominance of sell signals but not a strong sell or buy consensus [2] Group 2: Bubble Mart (09992) Analysis - Bubble Mart's stock price has dropped to 229.8 HKD, down from previous highs around 280 HKD, and is currently struggling to regain the 230 HKD level [9] - Technical signals indicate a "strong buy" with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, reflecting a potential short-term upward trend [9] - Support levels are identified at 217 HKD and 187 HKD, with caution advised for investors expecting further declines before a rebound [9] Group 3: GCL-Poly Energy (03800) Insights - GCL-Poly Energy's stock price is approaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with increased trading volume indicating positive momentum [14] - Current technical signals show 9 sell signals and 4 buy signals, suggesting a potential for a price correction after recent gains [14] Group 4: China Shenhua Energy (01088) Performance - China Shenhua has shown an upward trend since September 1, with the stock reaching a high of 32 HKD [19] - Resistance levels are noted at 43 HKD and 44.8 HKD, with the possibility of reaching 45 HKD requiring more time [19] Group 5: NetEase (09999) Market Position - NetEase's stock has dropped significantly, closing at 220 HKD and breaking below the lower line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a bearish trend [25] - Key support levels are at 211 HKD and 199 HKD, with the market closely watching if it can hold above 211 HKD [25] Group 6: S&P Gold ETF (02840) Evaluation - The S&P Gold ETF has followed the market trend downwards, currently priced at 2,831 HKD, with support levels at 2,730 HKD and potential further declines to 2,630 HKD [31] - Investors holding put options should be aware of time decay affecting their positions, especially if the ETF price remains stagnant [32] Group 7: Meituan (03690) Stock Dynamics - Meituan's stock price has shown some recovery to 102.4 HKD, with increased trading volume compared to previous days [38] - Support levels are identified at 98 HKD and 94.3 HKD, with the stock currently fluctuating between these levels [38]
10月30日【輪證短評】平安好醫、閱文集團、網易、龍湖集團
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-31 04:13
Group 1: Ping An Good Doctor (01833) - The stock price of Ping An Good Doctor has significantly declined from a high of 24.4 HKD to the current price of 13.58 HKD, indicating a potential for further decline [1][2] - Technical analysis suggests a support level at 12.6 HKD; if this level is breached, the next support could be at 10.6 HKD [1] - Investors are generally cautious, with many waiting for the price to drop to around 9-10 HKD before considering bullish products [2] Group 2: Tencent Literature (00772) - Tencent Literature's stock has shown a positive trend, closing at 43.38 HKD and breaking through the upper Bollinger Band [3] - The RSI indicator is nearing 80, suggesting that while there may be further upside, caution is warranted [3][4] - There are two call options expiring in January with a strike price around 52 HKD, which may not be the best choice due to the distance from the current price [4] Group 3: NetEase (09999) - NetEase's stock has experienced significant declines, with current prices around 220 HKD [7][8] - Available call options have high strike prices, such as 265 HKD, which may not be suitable given the current market conditions [8] - The lack of suitable products at closer strike prices limits investment opportunities, suggesting a focus on the underlying stock for now [8] Group 4: Longfor Group (00960) - Longfor Group's stock is currently at 9.73 HKD, close to the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a bearish sentiment among investors [10][11] - There are limited suitable products available, with the nearest strike price at 15.38 HKD, which is too far from the current price [11] - Investors are advised to wait for a more favorable entry point as the current options are too far out of the money [11]
聚焦《個股份析與產品列表.pdf》:15 只個股短期趨勢、技術指標及窩輪推薦
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-22 11:27
Group 1: Alibaba (Code: 00988) - Technical analysis indicates a support level at 144.6 and a resistance level at 185.6, with strong rebound momentum from the support level, suggesting a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 21370, 20017, and 15432, while bull warrants are 57383, 57470, and 57384 [1] Group 2: Meituan (Code: 03690) - Support level is at 88 and resistance level at 107.1, with a high probability of breaking through the resistance level, indicating an upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19971, 20069, and 20116, with bull warrants being 58005, 53778, and 53780 [1] Group 3: Xiaomi (Code: 01810) - Technical indicators show a support level at 39.8 and a resistance level at 56.4, with the price at the lower end of an upward channel, indicating a high safety margin and short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 16253, 13630, and 13979, while bull warrants are 67393, 67394, and 67402 [1] Group 4: AIA (Code: 01299) - Support level is at 68.6 and resistance level at 77.2, characterized by low volatility as a blue-chip stock, with a stable short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 18410, 17948, and 18411, with bull warrants being 61825, 53008, and 61274 [1] Group 5: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (Code: 00388) - Technical analysis shows a support level at 399 and a resistance level at 460, with strong performance driven by active market trading, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 27741, 15562, and 23503, while bull warrants are 62570, 56665, and 68548 [1] Group 6: BYD (Code: 01211) - Support level is at 95.8 and resistance level at 113.8, with the stock benefiting from the popularity of the new energy sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 20458, 20495, and 20219, while bull warrants are 56780, 64027, and 63130 [1] Group 7: HSBC (Code: 00005) - Support level is at 94.3 and resistance level at 110.5, with a stable trend influenced by the valuation recovery in the banking sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19105, 18901, and 19104, while bull warrants are 65343, 66095, and 68629 [1] Group 8: China Construction Bank (Code: 00939) - Technical indicators show a support level at 7.38 and a resistance level at 8.26, characterized as a low valuation high dividend stock with strong safety attributes, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 17265, 19572, and 20261, while bull warrants are 62134, 62178, and 57112 [1] Group 9: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Code: 01398) - Support level is at 5.55 and resistance level at 6.35, characterized by low volatility as a large-cap bank stock, indicating a clear short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 20585, 20618, and 16703, while bull warrants are 65682, 57199, and 58321 [1] Group 10: China Mobile (Code: 00941) - Technical analysis indicates a support level at 78.7 and a resistance level at 91.7, with strong earnings supporting the stock price as a leader in the telecommunications industry, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 21277, 21344, and 28920, while bull warrants are 57975, 56130, and 63412 [1] Group 11: SMIC (Code: 00981) - Support level is at 58.5 and resistance level at 89.6, benefiting from favorable policies in the semiconductor sector, indicating high elasticity and a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 13923, 20790, and 20292, while bull warrants are 61294, 61093, and 60800 [1] Group 12: Kuaishou (Code: 01024) - Support level is at 63.1 and resistance level at 88, with strong rebound momentum driven by stable demand in the short video sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 17442, 17594, and 15122, while bull warrants are 59046, 59410, and 61399 [1] Group 13: JD.com (Code: 09618) - Technical indicators show a support level at 115.9 and a resistance level at 141.3, benefiting from the recovery in the e-commerce sector and positive earnings expectations, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19677, 19641, and 19529, while bull warrants are 56434, 55794, and 56562 [1] Group 14: Anta (Code: 02020) - Support level is at 81 and resistance level at 95.6, characterized as a leader in sports apparel, benefiting from consumer recovery, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 13440, 13921, and 15902, while bull warrants are 54515, 54416, and 65820 [1] Group 15: Tencent (Code: 00700) - Technical indicators show a support level at 581 and a resistance level at 680, indicating a short-term upward trend with ample room for growth [1] - Recommended call warrants are 18949, 18902, and 13713, while bull warrants are 55125, 67093, and 55772 [1]
10月17日【輪證短評】蔚來、銀娛、東方甄選、上海電氣、翰森製藥、商湯、紫金礦業、建滔積層板
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 11:58
Group 1 - The analysis focuses on various stocks and their corresponding products, highlighting the current market conditions and potential investment opportunities [1][3][4] - NIO (09866) shows a slight price recovery but remains close to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a prevailing downtrend despite some optimistic technical signals suggesting a "buy" [3][4][5] - For NIO, there are limited product options available, with four products having exercise prices around 60-61 HKD, but investors should be prepared for a longer wait for price increases [4][5][6] Group 2 - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) has a stable price movement with a slight increase of 0.27%, but some investors anticipate a drop to around 32 HKD, which would require breaking through key support levels [8][9] - There are several products available for Galaxy Entertainment with exercise prices around 32-33 HKD, offering leverage ratios above 6, but with varying implied volatilities and premium rates [9][10] Group 3 - Oriental Selection (1797) has experienced narrow price fluctuations, currently at 24.78 HKD, with a neutral technical signal indicating no clear direction for investment [13][14] - The available products for Oriental Selection are mostly out-of-the-money, with limited options and varying conversion ratios, making it challenging for investors to find suitable products [14] Group 4 - Shanghai Electric (02727) has seen a decline in stock price, currently at 4.48 HKD, with a neutral technical signal and no corresponding put options available for bearish strategies [18][19] - Investors looking for put options for Shanghai Electric may find no suitable products, indicating a lack of options in the current market [19] Group 5 - Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) shows a slight price recovery but is facing bearish sentiment from investors, with no put options currently available for those looking to short the stock [19][20] - The technical signal for Hansoh is predominantly "sell," aligning with investor sentiment, but the absence of put options limits bearish strategies [20] Group 6 - SenseTime (00020) has seen a decline to 2.35 HKD, with investors anticipating further drops, and there are corresponding put options available with varying exercise prices [23][24] - The put options for SenseTime show significant differences in leverage ratios and implied volatilities, necessitating careful comparison by investors [24][25] Group 7 - Zijin Mining (02899) has experienced a slight decline, currently at 32.6 HKD, with investors predicting a potential drop to around 30 HKD, but suitable put options are limited [27][28] - The available put options for Zijin Mining have exercise prices that are too far from the current market price, making them unsuitable for investors [28][29] Group 8 - Kintor Pharmaceutical (01888) has seen a significant drop of 9.72%, with investors considering waiting for a price drop to 11 HKD before making any moves [32][33] - The only available product for Kintor has an exercise price of 12.88 HKD, limiting the options for investors looking for suitable products [33]
10月17日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、寧德時代、中移動、中海油、匯豐
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 11:01
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at approximately 25,247 points on October 17, indicating a significant decline, having breached key technical levels such as the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [1][2] - The market sentiment is affected by this drop, with many investors feeling psychological pressure due to the volatility [2] Technical Analysis - Currently, there are 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals for the HSI, suggesting a slight bias towards buying in the short term [3][7] - The immediate support level for the HSI is around 24,800 points; if this level is breached, the next support is approximately 23,700 points [4][5] - Investors are advised to select products with recovery prices further from the support level to mitigate risks associated with sudden market declines [5] Individual Stock Analysis Meituan (03690) - Meituan's stock price has also been declining, closing at 94.5 HKD, having breached the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [9] - The first support level is around 91.1 HKD; if this is broken, the next support is at approximately 85.8 HKD [9][10] - Technical signals for Meituan show 9 buy signals and 4 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [12] Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (03750) - The stock closed at 521.5 HKD, down from a high of 614 HKD, with a neutral technical signal showing 5 buy and 5 sell signals [14][15] - The support level is around 477 HKD, which is close to the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [15] China Mobile (00941) - China Mobile's stock closed at 85.3 HKD, maintaining a neutral technical signal with potential resistance at 88.5 HKD [17][18] - If the stock price continues to rise, it could reach 91.8 HKD if it breaks the resistance level [17] China National Petroleum Corporation (00857) - The stock closed at 7.32 HKD, with a bearish technical signal showing 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals [23][24] - The first resistance level is at 7.5 HKD, and if this is surpassed, it could rise to 7.7 HKD [23] HSBC Holdings (00005) - HSBC's stock closed at 100.9 HKD, just above the support level of 96.7 HKD [29][30] - The technical signals show 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [32]
10月16日【港股Podcast】恆指、比亞迪電子、小米、神華、舜宇科技、嗶哩嗶哩
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-17 11:52
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight decline of approximately 22 points, closing at 25,888 points, indicating a lack of clear market direction among investors [1] - Investors are divided, with some bullish investors waiting for the index to reach 26,250 points to fill the gap, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to the 25,200-25,400 range [1] - Current technical signals show a "neutral" market, with an equal number of buy and sell indicators, suggesting no clear trend [2] Group 2: BYD Electronics (00285) - BYD Electronics has seen an increase in trading volume over the past two days, indicating potential buying interest, with a resistance level around 43 HKD [8] - The stock is currently in a "neutral" technical state, similar to the HSI, with no clear direction indicated by the technical signals [8] - If the stock continues to rise, it may challenge the 43 HKD level, while a pullback could see it drop to the 38-39 HKD range [8] Group 3: Xiaomi Group (01810) - Xiaomi's stock has been on a downward trend, reaching a low of 47.32 HKD, but technical signals currently show a "buy" bias with 10 buy signals against 5 sell signals [14] - The short-term resistance level is around 52.7 HKD, while the support level is at 45.8 HKD, with a potential drop to 39.9 HKD if the support is breached [14] - The market sentiment is mixed, with both bullish and bearish perspectives present [14] Group 4: China Shenhua (01088) - China Shenhua's stock has performed well recently, closing at 40.98 HKD, but is considered to be at a relatively high level, with an RSI of 86 indicating overbought conditions [20] - Technical signals suggest a "sell" bias with 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals, indicating a potentially weaker trend [20] - The current resistance level is around 42.2 HKD, with a support level at 39.5 HKD [20] Group 5: Sunny Optical Technology (02382) - Sunny Optical has shown a rebound over the past two days but remains at low levels, with no clear reversal signals yet [26] - Technical analysis indicates a "buy" bias with 8 buy signals and 5 sell signals, suggesting a slightly stronger outlook [26] - The resistance level to watch for a potential rise to 88 HKD is around 85.4 HKD, with a possibility of reaching 89.7 HKD if this level is surpassed [26] Group 6: Bilibili (09626.HK) - Bilibili's stock has recently rebounded, closing at 212 HKD, approaching the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at around 215 HKD [30] - Current technical signals are "neutral," indicating no clear direction, and investors are advised to wait for further analysis [30] - The first support level is around 199 HKD, with a potential drop to 188 HKD if this level is breached [30]
10月14日【輪證短評】华虹半导体、广汽集团、比亚迪、建滔積層板、阿里巴巴、金沙中國
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-15 12:07
Group 1: 华虹半导体 (01347) - The stock price of Huahong Semiconductor recently fell to 76.75 HKD after reaching a high of 99.5 HKD, with investors considering buying call options at a support level of 63.3 HKD and 51.8 HKD [1] - There are limited put options available, with a reference support level of 63.33 HKD, and five products with an out-of-the-money range of 10% [1] Group 2: 广汽集团 (02238) - GAC Group's stock price has broken below the Bollinger Band's lower boundary, reaching a three-month low, leading to speculation about a potential rebound [2] - There are currently few suitable call options available for investors [2] Group 3: 比亚迪 (01211) - BYD's stock price is near the Bollinger Band's lower boundary at 69.8 HKD, with potential support levels around 68.5 HKD and 66.3 HKD, and a technical signal indicating a "buy" [3] - Eight call options are available with a resistance level of 73.4 HKD, showing significant differences in implied volatility and leverage [3] Group 4: 建滔积层板 (01888) - Kintor's stock price rose to 14.3 HKD, breaking above the Bollinger Band's upper boundary, but there is only one in-the-money product available, making it difficult to assess its value [4] Group 5: 阿里巴巴 (09988) - Alibaba's stock continues to decline, with a neutral technical signal and several call options available at an out-of-the-money level of 8% [5] - Among the options, there is a notable product with the highest leverage and lowest implied volatility, which may be attractive to investors [5] Group 6: 金沙中国 (01928) - Sands China has seen a significant drop in stock price to 17.89 HKD, attracting investors looking for a rebound [6] - A call option with a strike price of 19.3 HKD is available, with a notable product showing a leverage of 6.1 times and a relatively low premium [6] Group 7: General Observations - The analysis highlights the varying availability of products across different stocks, with some stocks having no products and others having only one, which may not be ideal for investors [6] - The best scenario is when a favorable stock has multiple product options available, allowing for better comparison of terms [6]
9月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、小米、快手、中移動、華虹
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 11:45
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors are optimistic about the Hang Seng Index, believing that if it stays above the 10-day moving average, it could test the monthly resistance level of 26,773 [1] - The index has shown a good performance, rising to the 26,500 level and recovering past losses, with short-term technical signals indicating a "buy" [1] - Key resistance levels are identified at 26,800 and 27,600, while support levels are at 25,600 and 25,100 [1] Group 2: Alibaba (09988.HK) - Alibaba's stock price has surged, with a high of 174 HKD, nearing the upper Bollinger Band at 175 HKD, but technical signals suggest a "sell" due to potential adjustments [8] - Resistance levels for Alibaba are at 179.6 HKD and 196 HKD, with support levels at 150 HKD and 136 HKD [8] - Products with a buyback price between 145-150 HKD show competitive leverage, with some having premiums around 1.18%-1.2% and leverage between 4.6-4.9 times [8] Group 3: Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) - Xiaomi's closing price was 56.9 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" [12] - Resistance levels are at 57.4 HKD and 59.2 HKD, while investors can consider options with a strike price around 61 HKD, offering leverage between 4-8 times [12] - Premiums vary significantly, with some reaching 14% and others exceeding 20%, necessitating careful product comparison [12] Group 4: Kuaishou (01024.HK) - Kuaishou's closing price was 76.8 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "sell" and a bearish outlook [19] - Support levels are at 73.2 HKD and 72.2 HKD, with suitable call options available around a strike price of 68 HKD [19] - Premiums for these options range from 18-20%, with implied volatility between 48%-53%, highlighting the need for product comparison [19] Group 5: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile's closing price was 85.7 HKD, with technical signals suggesting a "buy" [22] - Resistance levels are at 88.6 HKD and 91.9 HKD, while support levels are at 82.1 HKD and 78.9 HKD [22] Group 6: Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) - Hua Hong's stock price reached 66.4 HKD, closing at 63.2 HKD, close to the upper Bollinger Band [29] - Support levels are at 56.1 HKD and 51.7 HKD, while resistance levels are at 70.2 HKD and 78.3 HKD [29]