能力圈原则

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对话朱宁:你没法赚你认知之外的钱,关键性思考很重要︱重阳Talk Vol.13
重阳投资· 2025-07-14 06:43
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of behavioral finance in investment decision-making, highlighting that understanding investor psychology can lead to better investment outcomes [4][5][6]. Group 1: Importance of Behavioral Finance - Behavioral finance is crucial as it helps investors understand their own biases and the market dynamics, which traditional financial theories often overlook [4][5]. - The author discusses the need for investors to develop a comprehensive framework for investment cognition, which includes understanding both market behavior and self-awareness [4][6]. Group 2: Investment Phases and Psychological Traps - Investors typically go through three phases of loss: chasing prices during market optimism, becoming passive during initial market corrections, and panic selling during prolonged downturns [8][10]. - The concept of loss aversion is highlighted, where investors focus on not losing money rather than achieving gains, leading to poor decision-making [18][19]. Group 3: Overconfidence and Herd Behavior - Overconfidence among investors often leads to poor performance, especially during bull markets where they tend to buy high and sell low [21][22]. - The article references historical market events to illustrate how herd behavior can lead to market bubbles and subsequent crashes [23][24]. Group 4: Diversification and Long-term Thinking - Diversification is presented as a key strategy to mitigate risk, with the understanding that it is not merely about spreading investments but ensuring low correlation among assets [26][27]. - The need for a long-term investment perspective is emphasized, encouraging investors to set clear financial goals and avoid impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements [30][31].
上海中广云智投:新手资金管理实用指南
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-25 02:01
投资资金配置需遵循"能力圈"原则。新手投资者应将可投资资金的50%以内配置于中低风险产品,如债券型基金、银行理财等,这部分资金构成投资组合 的"压舱石"。剩余部分可根据风险承受能力逐步涉足权益类资产,年轻投资者可适当提高股票型基金或指数基金的配置比例,利用长期复利效应。需注意 的是,单只个股或行业主题基金的持仓占比不宜超过总权益资产的20%,以避免过度集中风险。 动态调整机制是保持资金管理有效性的核心。建议每季度进行一次财务健康检查,重点评估三个方面:收入结构变化、支出弹性空间、风险偏好波动。当 职业收入出现显著变动时,需相应调整储蓄率与投资比例;若市场出现极端行情,则需重新测试投资组合的最大回撤承受能力。年度层面,应结合通胀率 与GDP增速,更新长期收益目标,确保资金管理策略与经济周期同频。 资金管理的本质是建立个人与金钱的良性关系。它既非刻板节俭,也非盲目冒险,而是通过数据驱动的决策实现财务资源的优化配置。当新手投资者养成 定期检视、理性决策的习惯后,资金管理将不再是一项任务,而成为掌控人生财务自由的起点。这个过程需要耐心与纪律,但每一步优化都将为未来的财 富增长奠定更坚实的基础。 资金管理是投资活动的根 ...