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洞察气候:浙江能源锻造韧性“与天共生”
中国能源报· 2025-09-16 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complex interaction between energy and climate, highlighting how climate change is increasingly influencing energy demand and supply, and vice versa [2][21]. Group 1: Climate Impact on Energy Demand - This summer, Zhejiang experienced extreme heat, with an average maximum temperature of 35.8°C in August, which is 2.9°C higher than the historical average, leading to a significant increase in electricity demand [3][4]. - The peak electricity load in Zhejiang reached a historical high of 1.31 billion kilowatts, with 74 days of load exceeding 100 million kilowatts [4]. - The demand for air conditioning surged, with the maximum load reaching 44.84 million kilowatts, accounting for 34.7% of the total load during peak times [7]. Group 2: Climate Impact on Energy Supply - Climate change has led to phenomena such as "warm wet" and "warm dry," altering precipitation patterns and intensities, which affects hydropower generation [9][10]. - The extreme weather has increased the volatility of renewable energy sources, with issues like "extreme heat with no wind" and "extreme cold with little sunlight" becoming significant challenges for energy systems [17]. - The integration of new energy systems has heightened the sensitivity of electricity supply to weather conditions, necessitating a more resilient energy infrastructure [16][21]. Group 3: Energy System Adaptation Strategies - Zhejiang has implemented strategies to enhance its energy system's resilience, including increasing the output of thermal power plants and maximizing the use of external electricity sources [26][24]. - The province has accelerated the transition to cleaner energy, with solar power output reaching a maximum of 37.85 million kilowatts, an increase of over 1.2 million kilowatts compared to the previous year [26]. - The development of virtual power plants has emerged as a key strategy, aggregating distributed resources to create a more flexible and green energy supply [27][28]. Group 4: Climate Insights and Future Directions - The integration of climate insights into energy production, transmission, and consumption is crucial for enhancing the resilience of energy systems [35][39]. - The article emphasizes the importance of collaboration between meteorological and energy sectors to improve predictive capabilities and manage climate risks effectively [36][38]. - Zhejiang's approach serves as a model for other regions, demonstrating how to navigate the challenges posed by climate change while pursuing a low-carbon energy future [39][40].
洞察气候:浙江能源锻造韧性“与天共生”
Core Insights - The interaction between energy and climate is becoming increasingly complex, with climate change leading to more frequent extreme weather events that directly impact energy demand and supply [1][5][19]. Group 1: Climate Impact on Energy Demand - The summer of 2023 saw extreme heat in Zhejiang, with an average maximum temperature of 35.8°C and 22 high-temperature days, significantly above the historical averages [3][4]. - The peak electricity load in Zhejiang reached a historical high of 1.31 billion kilowatts, with 74 days exceeding 100 million kilowatts [4]. - High temperatures have led to a surge in air conditioning load, which peaked at 44.84 million kilowatts, accounting for 34.7% of the total load [5][6]. Group 2: Climate Impact on Energy Supply - Climate change has altered precipitation patterns, leading to both increased rainfall in some areas and severe droughts in others, affecting hydropower generation [7][12]. - The melting of glaciers and permafrost in regions like the Tibetan Plateau has been exacerbated by rising temperatures, impacting local water resources [8][12]. - The increasing share of renewable energy sources has heightened the sensitivity of power supply to weather conditions, with extreme weather events causing instability in wind and solar power generation [17][18]. Group 3: Energy System Adaptation Strategies - Zhejiang has implemented strategies to enhance the resilience of its energy system, including increasing the output of thermal power plants and maximizing external electricity imports [21][22]. - The province has accelerated the transition to cleaner energy, with solar power output reaching a maximum of 37.85 million kilowatts, an increase of over 1.2 million kilowatts compared to the previous year [22]. - The integration of virtual power plants and flexible energy storage solutions has improved the system's ability to balance supply and demand during peak periods [24][27]. Group 4: Future Directions and Innovations - The collaboration between energy and meteorological services is being strengthened to enhance predictive capabilities for extreme weather events, which is crucial for energy management [31][36]. - The development of a comprehensive energy system that incorporates climate insights is essential for ensuring energy security and sustainability [29][37]. - Zhejiang's approach serves as a model for other regions facing similar climate challenges, showcasing the importance of adaptability and innovation in energy systems [38].
《联合早报》:新加坡未来20年天然气发电占比料可减至一半以下
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-07-31 01:53
Core Insights - Natural gas is expected to remain a significant power source for Singapore over the next 20 years, but its share is projected to decrease from approximately 95% to below 50% [2] - The remaining power gap will primarily be filled through imports, with renewable energy import targets potentially exceeding the current 6 gigawatts if related projects progress smoothly [2] - By 2050, hydrogen or imported electricity is likely to replace natural gas as the main power source, depending on technological advancements and international developments [2] Energy Transition Strategies - The Singapore government is exploring various pathways to achieve sustainable development and energy resilience while ensuring affordable electricity prices [2] - Collaboration with neighboring countries is crucial for importing renewable energy, which could meet over one-third of the national electricity demand [2] - Solar technology is rapidly advancing and has the potential to satisfy about 4% to 5% of electricity needs, while other options like low-carbon hydrogen, carbon capture and storage, and geothermal energy are still under research due to limited data [2]
邓正红软实力思想解析:能源企业的未来竞争将是软实力框架下的全方位较量
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-22 10:46
Core Insights - Energy companies are shifting from being passive price takers to active rule shapers in the industry, focusing on soft power to enhance their competitive edge in a volatile market [5] Group 1: Strategic Adjustments of Energy Giants - Shell is positioning LNG as a core business by securing long-term supply agreements, expanding into emerging markets like India and Southeast Asia, and acquiring key assets, thereby reinforcing its leadership in traditional energy and enhancing stakeholder trust [1][5] - ExxonMobil's advancements in CCS technology, including the acquisition of Denbury Resources and the establishment of a CO2 pipeline network, illustrate its commitment to low-carbon transformation and reshaping its industry image as an energy solutions provider [2][5] Group 2: Market Adaptability and Resource Control - Energy companies are enhancing market adaptability through agile investment portfolio management, prioritizing low-cost projects, and utilizing existing infrastructure to mitigate development risks [2][3] - Digital optimization initiatives, such as AI-driven oilfield development systems, are being implemented to improve operational efficiency and reduce response times to market uncertainties [2][3] Group 3: Technological and Capital Integration - The integration of traditional energy with low-carbon technologies is evident, with ExxonMobil focusing on CCS and hydrogen coupling, while Shell connects biomethane to natural gas networks, reducing transformation costs [3] - Collaborative digital ecosystems, such as partnerships between Petronas and Schlumberger, are accelerating internal efficiency improvements through external technological cooperation [3] Group 4: Strategic Focus and Capital Discipline - European companies are narrowing their focus on hydrogen and biomethane, while U.S. firms like ExxonMobil are betting on CCS, reflecting regional market differences in low-carbon technology commercialization [4] - ExxonMobil maintains a net debt ratio below 20%, and BP is divesting low-return wind assets, demonstrating a commitment to capital discipline and ensuring profitability during the energy transition [4] Group 5: Future Competitive Landscape - The future competition among energy companies will hinge on strategic agility, technological collaboration, and ecological integration, with the ability to deliver industry value in turbulent environments distinguishing the "survivors" from the "leaders" [5]