瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 恢复，总体上需求难有显著增长。随着国内苯乙烯供需转向偏宽平衡，显性库存去化节奏预计放缓。成本 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 助理研究员: 徐天泽 期货从业资格号F03133092 方面，受美委地缘局势恶化影响，近期国际油价涨幅显著。短期EB2602预计震荡走势，日度K线关注6380 附近支撑与6690附近压力。 免责声明 苯乙烯产业日报 2025-12-24 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 89 期货成交量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, 期货收盘价(活跃合约):苯乙烯(日,元/吨) -13121 1月合约收盘价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6598 338468 | 460877 6535 | 15351 68 | | | 手) 前20名持仓:买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | | | | | | 期货持仓量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, ...

苯乙烯产业日报 2025-12-23 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6509 | -31 期货成交量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, | 445526 | 59642 | | | | | 手) | | | | 期货市场 | 前20名持仓:买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | 351589 | -18663 1月合约收盘价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6467 | -36 | | | 期货持仓量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, 手) | 314602 | -228 前20名持仓:净买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | -24911 | -9610 | | | 前20名持仓:卖单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | 376500 | -9053 仓单数量:苯乙烯:总计(日,手) | 600 | 500 | | 现货市场 | 现货价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6642 | 6 苯乙烯:FOB韩国:中间价(日,美元/吨) ) 65 市场价:苯乙烯:华北 ...

"情绪驱动及海外调油需求上升利好，近期盘面有所反弹。不过，短期供需基本面仍无改善迹象，12月合 免责声明 增长空间与持续性。现货紧平衡状态预计持续，缓慢消耗高库存压力。成本方面，欧佩克增产持续至年底 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 ，原油供强于需局面预计维持，但地缘方面美委关系紧张可能加剧，国际油价多空因素交织。受"反内卷 助理研究员: 徐天泽 期货从业资格号F03133092 苯乙烯产业日报 2025-11-18 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 6465 | -31 期货成交量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, | 263018 | -99891 | | | 前20名持仓:买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | 386746 | -9200 1月合约收盘价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) 手) | 6486 | -32 | | | 期货持仓量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB) ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - EB2512 oscillated strongly and closed at 6,306 yuan/ton. The restart of new - capacity devices led to an increase in styrene production and capacity utilization. The downstream EPS and ABS operating rates decreased, while PS, UPR, and styrene - butadiene rubber operating rates increased, with significant consumption reduction in EPS, PS, and ABS. Factory and port inventories declined, and the high - level visible inventory decreased. The upstream raw material prices were weak, but the decline in styrene spot prices was higher than the cost, deepening the losses of non - integrated processes and keeping integrated processes in a slight loss state. This week, the domestic styrene supply may decrease slightly, and the downstream demand will provide some support. The spot market is expected to remain in a tight - balance state, slowly consuming high - inventory pressure, but it is difficult to form a driving force for price increases. In the short term, EB2512 is expected to oscillate weakly, and attention should be paid to the support around 6,160 [2]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the active styrene futures contract was 6,306 yuan/ton, up 75 yuan; the trading volume was down 2,982 lots. The closing price of the January contract was 6,340 yuan/ton, up 71 yuan. The long - position volume of the top 20 holders was not provided, the net long - position volume was - 28,540 lots, up 7,340 lots, and the short - position volume was 481,272 lots, down 10,322 lots. The total number of warehouse receipts was 2,060 lots, up 600 lots [2]. Spot Market - The spot price of styrene was 6,686 yuan/ton, unchanged. The FOB South Korea intermediate price was 768 US dollars/ton, down 11 US dollars; the CFR China intermediate price was 778 US dollars/ton, down 11 US dollars. The mainstream prices in the Northeast, South, North, and East China regions were 6,040 yuan/ton (unchanged), 6,420 yuan/ton (down 30 yuan), 6,225 yuan/ton, and 6,295 yuan/ton (down 10 yuan) respectively [2]. Upstream Situation - The CFR Northeast Asia, CFR Southeast Asia, CIF Northwest Europe, and FD US Gulf intermediate prices of ethylene were 741 US dollars/ton (unchanged), 731 US dollars/ton (unchanged), 644 US dollars/ton (up 2.5 US dollars), and 457 US dollars/ton (down 6 US dollars) respectively. The spot prices of pure benzene in Taiwan (CIF), the US Gulf (FOB), and Rotterdam (FOB) were 650.86 US dollars/ton (unchanged), 259 cents/gallon (up 10 cents), and 685 US dollars/ton (unchanged) respectively. The market prices of pure benzene in the South, East, and North China markets were 5,300 yuan/ton (unchanged), 5,260 yuan/ton (down 25 yuan), and 5,220 yuan/ton (up 40 yuan) respectively [2]. Industry Situation - The overall styrene operating rate was 66.94%, up 0.22%. The national styrene inventory was 180,032 tons, down 6,004 tons. The total inventory in the East China main port was 174,800 tons, down 45,000 tons, and the trade inventory was 101,800 tons, down 80,000 tons [2]. Downstream Situation - The operating rates of EPS, ABS, PS, UPR, and styrene - butadiene rubber were 53.95% (down 8.29%), 71.6% (down 0.5%), 53.5% (up 1.5%), 36% (up 1%), and 72.24% (up 5.53%) respectively [2]. Industry News - From October 31 to November 6, styrene production increased by 2.94% to 332,900 tons, and capacity utilization increased by 0.22% to 66.94%. From November 1 to 7, the consumption of downstream EPS, PS, and ABS decreased by 3.9% to 260,900 tons. As of November 6, the styrene factory inventory was 180,000 tons, down 3.23% from last week; as of November 10, the pure benzene inventory in the East China port was 174,800 tons, down 2.51% from last week. As of November 5, the non - integrated cost of styrene decreased to 6,791.18 yuan/ton, the non - integrated device profit decreased to - 476 yuan/ton, and the integrated profit was around - 126.46 yuan/ton [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - EB2512 fell and then rebounded, closing at 6321 yuan/ton. Last week, the production and capacity utilization of styrene decreased due to the shutdown and maintenance of some devices. The downstream operating rate mainly declined, and the consumption of downstream products such as EPS, PS, and ABS decreased slightly. Factory and port inventories decreased, but the inventory pressure remained high. The spot price of pure benzene and ethylene CFR Northeast Asia continued to be weak, the cost of non - integrated processes decreased, and the profit was repaired. This week, the impact of shutdown devices is expected to expand, and the production and capacity utilization of styrene are expected to continue to decline. Downstream devices have the expectation of increasing load, which may further deepen the short - term tight balance of styrene supply and demand, but the positive impact of supply - demand improvement is limited under high inventory pressure. The current integrated profit of styrene is close to the break - even line, indicating low valuation. Pay attention to the support of the lower Bollinger Band around 6214 for the daily K - line of EB2512 [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the active styrene futures contract was 6321 yuan/ton, a decrease of 33 yuan/ton; the trading volume was 389,583 lots, a decrease of 125,523 lots; the long position of the top 20 holders was 438,372 lots, a decrease of 2,383 lots; the net long position was - 26,139 lots, a decrease of 9,518 lots; the short position was 464,511 lots, an increase of 7,135 lots; the closing price of the January contract was 6358 yuan/ton, a decrease of 33 yuan/ton; the open interest was 384,902 lots, a decrease of 16,126 lots; the total number of warehouse receipts was 0 lots [2] 3.2现货市场 - The spot price of styrene was 6752 yuan/ton; the FOB South Korea intermediate price was 660 US dollars/ton; the CFR China intermediate price was 794 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 11 US dollars/ton; the mainstream prices in the Northeast, South, North, and East China regions were 6075 yuan/ton (a decrease of 100 yuan/ton), 6540 yuan/ton (a decrease of 65 yuan/ton), 6370 yuan/ton (a decrease of 20 yuan/ton), and 6400 yuan/ton (a decrease of 60 yuan/ton) respectively [2] 3.3上游情况 - The CFR Northeast Asia intermediate price of ethylene was 741 US dollars/ton; the CFR Southeast Asia intermediate price was 731 US dollars/ton; the CIF Northwest Europe intermediate price was 662 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 2 US dollars/ton; the FD US Gulf price was 457 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 6 US dollars/ton. The spot price of pure benzene in Taiwan's CIF was 662.52 US dollars/ton; the FOB price in the US Gulf was 244 cents/gallon; the FOB price in Rotterdam was 675 US dollars/ton, a decrease of 1 US dollar/ton; the market prices in the South, East, and North China regions were 5450 yuan/ton, 5405 yuan/ton (a decrease of 15 yuan/ton), and 5230 yuan/ton respectively [2] 3.4产业情况 - The total styrene operating rate was 66.72%, a decrease of 2.53 percentage points; the national styrene inventory was 186,036 tons, a decrease of 10,231 tons; the total inventory in the East China main port was 179,300 tons, a decrease of 13,700 tons; the trade inventory in the East China main port was 109,800 tons, a decrease of 11,200 tons [2] 3.5下游情况 - The operating rates of EPS, ABS, PS, UPR, and styrene - butadiene rubber were 62.24% (an increase of 0.26 percentage points), 72.1% (a decrease of 0.7 percentage points), 52% (a decrease of 1.8 percentage points), 35% (an increase of 1 percentage point), and 66.71% (a decrease of 3.86 percentage points) respectively [2] 3.6行业消息 - From October 24th to 30th, China's styrene production decreased by 1.1% week - on - week to 323,400 tons, and the capacity utilization rate decreased by 2.53% week - on - week to 66.72%. The consumption of downstream EPS, PS, and ABS decreased by 0.18% week - on - week to 271,500 tons. As of October 30th, the styrene factory inventory was 186,000 tons, a decrease of 5.21% week - on - week. As of November 3rd, the inventory in the East China port was 179,300 tons, a decrease of 7.10% week - on - week; the inventory in the South China port was 27,900 tons, a decrease of 10% week - on - week. From October 24th to 30th, the non - integrated cost of styrene decreased to 6,860.06 yuan/ton, and the profit of non - integrated devices was repaired to - 400 yuan/ton [2]

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The cost of non - integrated styrene decreased and the loss deepened as the prices of pure benzene and ethylene remained weak. The supply of styrene is expected to decline slightly due to the expanding impact of previously shut - down plants. The mismatch between upstream and downstream production capacity launches may intensify the supply - demand contradiction. Terminal demand is weak, and the demand growth space of styrene may be limited. However, due to the low profit of integrated plants, the cost support is gradually strengthening. In the short term, styrene is expected to strengthen with the rise of oil prices [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the active styrene futures contract was 6538 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan; the trading volume was 205,417 lots, down 88,489 lots; the long position of the top 20 was 434,796 lots, down 15,741 lots; the short position was 442,328 lots, down 16,687 lots; the net long position was - 7,532 lots, up 946 lots; the open interest was 160,726 lots, down 45,267 lots; the warehouse receipt quantity was 1,107 lots, unchanged; the closing price of the November contract was 6538 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan [2] 现货市场 - The spot price of styrene was 6834 yuan/ton, unchanged; FOB South Korea was 791.5 dollars/ton, down 1.5 dollars; CFR China was 801.5 dollars/ton, down 1.5 dollars; the mainstream price in the Northeast was 6450 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan; in the South China was 6550 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; in the North China was 6395 yuan/ton; in the East China was 6465 yuan/ton, up 35 yuan [2] Upstream Situation - The CFR Northeast Asia price of ethylene was 781 dollars/ton, unchanged; CFR Southeast Asia was 771 dollars/ton, unchanged; CIF Northwest Europe was 683.5 dollars/ton, down 5 dollars; FD US Gulf was 457 dollars/ton, down 6 dollars. The spot price of pure benzene in Taiwan's CIF was 671.33 dollars/ton; in the US Gulf's FOB was 251 cents/gallon; in Rotterdam's FOB was 649 dollars/ton, down 1 dollar; the market price in the South China market was 5450 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan; in the East China market was 5435 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan; in the North China market was 5300 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan [2] Industry Situation - The total styrene operating rate was 71.88%, down 1.73 percentage points; the national inventory was 193,420 tons, down 443 tons; the total inventory in the East China main port was 202,500 tons, up 6,000 tons; the trade inventory in the East China main port was 122,500 tons, up 1,000 tons [2] Downstream Situation - The operating rate of EPS was 62.53%, up 21.79 percentage points; ABS was 73.1%, up 0.6 percentage points; PS was 53.8%, down 0.8 percentage points; UPR was 34%, up 14 percentage points; styrene - butadiene rubber was 70.28%, up 0.23 percentage points [2] Industry News - From October 10th to 16th, styrene production decreased by 2.33% to 339,400 tons, and capacity utilization decreased by 1.73% to 71.88%. The downstream operating rate of styrene mainly increased, and the consumption of EPS, PS, and ABS increased by 13.93% to 273,200 tons. As of October 16th, the factory inventory decreased by 0.23% to 193,400 tons, the East China port inventory increased by 3.05% to 202,500 tons, and the South China port inventory increased by 8.2% to 33,000 tons. The non - integrated cost decreased to 7128 yuan/ton, and the profit decreased to - 588 yuan/ton [2]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - The supply of styrene is expected to decline slightly due to the expanded impact of previously shut - down plants, with no new maintenance or restarting plants this week [2]. - There is a mismatch in the production schedules between upstream and downstream, which may deepen the supply - demand contradiction as 1.2 million tons of styrene production capacity is planned to be put into operation in October, while the downstream EPS, PS, ABS production capacity is concentrated from November to December [2]. - The terminal demand is weak, and the growth space of styrene demand may be limited due to high inventory and low profit in some downstream sectors [2]. - The cost of non - integrated styrene has decreased, and the loss has deepened. The cost support is gradually strengthening as the profit of integrated plants is low [2]. - Although the supply - demand situation of styrene is weak, the valuation of the November contract is low, and there is an expectation of positive macro - policies in late October, so the downward space in the future may be limited [2]. - Technically, the short - term downward trend of EB2511 may continue, but the decline space may be limited as the RSI indicators show the price is in the oversold range [2]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - The trading volume of the active styrene futures contract is 453,930, and the closing price of the November contract is 6,365 yuan/ton [2]. - The net long position of the top 20 holders decreased by 9,570 hands to 263,109 hands [2]. - The number of warehouse receipts decreased by 100 to 35,433 hands [2]. Spot Market - The spot price of styrene is 6,900 yuan/ton, and the FOB South Korea intermediate price is 793 US dollars/ton [2]. - The mainstream prices in different regions have declined to varying degrees, such as the Northeast region at 803 yuan/ton, the South China region at 6,610 yuan/ton, and the North China region at 6,515 yuan/ton [2]. Upstream Situation - The prices of ethylene and pure benzene in different regions have declined, such as the CFR Northeast Asia intermediate price of ethylene at 781 US dollars/ton, and the spot price of pure benzene in the US Gulf at 655 US cents/gallon [2]. Industry Situation - The overall styrene operating rate decreased by 1.73% to 71.88%, and the national inventory decreased by 443 tons to 193,420 tons [2]. - The inventory in the East China main port decreased by 0.54 million tons to 19.65 million tons, and the trade inventory increased by 0.51 million tons to 12.15 million tons [2]. Downstream Situation - The operating rates of downstream products such as EPS, ABS, PS, UPR, and styrene - butadiene rubber have changed to varying degrees, with the operating rate of EPS at 21.79% and that of ABS at 73.1% [2]. Industry News - From October 10th to 16th, styrene production decreased by 2.33% to 339,400 tons, and the capacity utilization rate decreased by 1.73% to 71.88% [2]. - The downstream operating rate of styrene mainly increased, and the consumption of downstream EPS, PS, ABS increased by 13.93% to 273,200 tons [2]. - As of October 16th, the factory inventory of styrene decreased by 0.23% to 193,400 tons, and the East China port inventory decreased by 2.67% to 196,500 tons, and the South China port inventory decreased by 11.59% to 30,500 tons [2]. - As of October 16th, the non - integrated cost of styrene decreased to 7,128 yuan/ton, and the profit decreased to - 588 yuan/ton [2].

苯乙烯产业日报 2025-09-22 预计小幅调整、变化不大。库存回归去化周期，只是目前库存压力仍偏高。成本方面，OPEC+增产影响持 助理研究员: 徐天泽 期货从业资格号F03133092 续，全球原油中长期供强于需预期给到油价一定压力，只是短期地缘局势仍有不确定性。EB2511盘面趋势 免责声明 偏弱，日度K线关注6800附近支撑。 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):苯乙烯(日,元/吨) 前20名持仓:买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | 6928 405128 | -64 期货成交量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, 手) 19939 11月合约收盘价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 253473 6928 | -10606 -64 | | | 期货持仓量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, | | | | | | | | 379614 | 43085 前20名持仓:净买单 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - EB2510 oscillated strongly, closing at 7,087 yuan/ton. Supply decreased last week, with styrene output down 5.98% to 354,000 tons and capacity utilization down 4.76% to 74.98%. Demand increased, with downstream styrene开工率 rising and consumption of EPS, PS, and ABS up 6.52% to 277,900 tons. Inventory situation was mixed, with factory inventory up 2.52% to 220,300 tons, East China port inventory down 10.18% to 176,500 tons, and South China port inventory down 20.83% to 19,000 tons. New production capacity is expected to increase this week, but supply reduction is limited. EPS, PS, and ABS device loads are expected to adjust slightly. ABS is slightly loss - making and inventory is at a historical high. Styrene inventory pressure remains high. Cost - wise, geopolitical conflicts have limited short - term impact, and international oil prices face pressure. Industrial products rose due to expected policies. Technically, EB2510's daily K - line has support around 7,000 and resistance around 7,130 [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The trading volume of styrene futures (active contract) was 369,534, with an increase of 28,213; the closing price of the active contract was 7,087 yuan/ton, up 67; the 11 - month contract closed at 7,097 yuan/ton, up 67. The open interest of the active contract was 220,017, down 35,506. The long position of the top 20 was 218,394, up 28,213; the net long position was - 30,154, down 2,856; the short position was 399,688, down 9,576. The warehouse receipt quantity was 1,498, down 283 [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of styrene was 7,314 yuan/ton, down 80. FOB South Korea's intermediate price was 862 US dollars/ton, down 7; CFR China's intermediate price was 872 US dollars/ton, down 7. The mainstream prices in Northeast, South, North, and East China were 7,080, 7,285, 7,015, and 7,070 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of 0, 60, - 15, and - 55 [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The intermediate price of ethylene CFR Northeast Asia was 851 US dollars/ton, up 10; CFR Southeast Asia was 841 US dollars/ton, unchanged; CIF Northwest Europe was 743.5 US dollars/ton, down 1.5; FD US Gulf was 457 US dollars/ton, down 6. The spot price of pure benzene in the US Gulf was 723.17 cents/gallon, down 3.76; in Taiwan was 261 US dollars/ton, unchanged; in Rotterdam was 666 US dollars/ton, unchanged. The market prices of pure benzene in South, East, and North China were 5,900, 5,910, and 5,990 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of 0, - 20, and 80 [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The overall styrene operating rate was 74.98%, down 4.76%. The national inventory was 220,277 tons, up 5,420. The total inventory in East China's main ports was 176,500 tons, down 20,000; the trade inventory was 87,000 tons, down 9,500 [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The operating rates of EPS, ABS, PS, UPR, and styrene - butadiene rubber were 61.02%, 70%, 61.9%, 34%, and 69.57% respectively, with changes of 8.5, 1, 0.9, 1, and 1.92 [2] 3.6 Industry News - From September 5th to 11th, China's styrene factory output was 354,000 tons, down 5.98% from the previous period; the capacity utilization was 74.98%, down 4.76% from the previous period. The consumption of the main downstream products (EPS, PS, ABS) was 277,900 tons, up 6.52% from the previous period. As of September 11th, the sample inventory of Chinese styrene factories was 220,300 tons, up 2.52% from the previous cycle [2]

下游行业开工负荷预计小幅调整，目前下游利润偏低、库存偏高仍抑制苯乙烯需求端增长。短期来看供需 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 助理研究员: 徐天泽 期货从业资格号F03133092 矛盾难有改善，库存压力持续偏高。成本方面，全球原油供需偏弱，俄乌和谈持续推进，只是短期中东地 免责声明 缘恶化对油价仍有一定支撑。短期盘面趋势偏弱，技术上EB2510关注6800附近支撑。 苯乙烯产业日报 2025-09-01 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货收盘价(活跃合约):苯乙烯(日,元/吨) | 7013 392772 | -71 期货成交量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, | 268617 7036 | 36043 -71 | | | 前20名持仓:买单量:苯乙烯(日,手) | | 21811 11月合约收盘价:苯乙烯(日,元/吨) 手) | | | | | 期货持仓量(活跃:成交量):苯乙烯(EB)(日, | ...