行政改革
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野心勃勃的改革--值得重视的越南“增长叙事”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-17 03:21
Core Insights - Vietnam is actively constructing a comprehensive "growth narrative" through administrative reforms, capital market reforms, and significant investments in high technology and talent development [1] - Deutsche Bank's chief economist Juliana Lee's report highlights Vietnam's strong economic performance, with a GDP growth of 8.2% year-on-year in Q3, aiming for an annual growth target of 8% [1] - FTSE Russell has confirmed that Vietnam will be upgraded from "frontier market" to "secondary emerging market" by September 2026, potentially bringing in up to $25 billion in net capital inflows by 2030 according to the World Bank [1] Strategic Breakthroughs - The Vietnamese government has set an ambitious target of 10% average annual GDP growth from 2026 to 2030, with a goal to become a "high-income country" by 2045 [2] - The core strategies for achieving these goals focus on three pillars: institutional reform, infrastructure development, and human resource enhancement [2] - Significant administrative reforms are underway, including streamlining government agencies and investing hundreds of billions of dollars in critical infrastructure such as transportation and logistics to position Vietnam as a regional manufacturing and logistics hub [2] Funding and Investment Plans - To support its growth plans, Vietnam is preparing to expand its budget deficit to approximately 5% of GDP and aims to attract $150 billion to $200 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI) between 2026 and 2030 [2] - This reflects Vietnam's determination to leverage external capital for accelerated development [2]