研究报告 Research Report 22 Aug 2025 长江基建 CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) 2025 年上半年业绩符合预期，股息增长节奏保持稳定 Performance in Line With Expectation With Dividend Growing Steadily [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$52.65 目标价 HK$61.37 HTI ESG 2.9-3.0-4.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$132.66bn / US$16.98bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$11.69mn 发行股票数目 2,520mn 自由流通股 (%) 24% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$58.20-HK$46.35 注：现价 HK$52.65 为 2025 年 08 月 22 ...

知情人士报道称，摩根大通和三菱日联金融集团正在牵头一项超过220亿美元的贷款，以支持Vantage数 据中心建设大型数据中心园区的计划。这些银行与法国巴黎银行、高盛集团、法国兴业银行、三井住友 银行和富国银行等其他银行一起承销了这笔基础设施贷款。贷款总额约为230亿美元，但由于项目成本 仍在计算中，最终规模尚未确定。Silver Lake Management和DigitalBridge Group Inc.也已承诺为该项目 投资30亿美元。 ...

统计局：1-7月， 全国固定资产投资（不含农户）288229亿元，同比增长1.6%，增速比1-6月放缓1.2个百分点。其中，制造业投资增长6.2%，基础设施投资（不含电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业）增长3.2%。东部地区投资比上年下降2.4%，中部地区投资增长3.2%，西部地区投资增长3.6%，东北地区投资下降3.0%。（前值分别为下降0.8%、增长3.2%、增长4.8%、下降1.9%）内资企业固定资产投资同比增长1.7%，港澳台企业固定资产投资增长3.5%，外商企业固定资产投资下降15.7%。（前值分别为增长2.8、4.8%、下降13.6%） ...

CK Asset Holdings (01113) H1 2025 Earnings Call August 14, 2025 05:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsSophia Lau - Deputy Chief Manager, Corporate Business Development DeptGerald Ma - Executive Committee Member & General Manager - CBD DepartmentSimon Man - General Manager of Accounts DepartmentSophia LauWelcome to Teekay Asset Holdings twenty twenty five Interim Results Analyst Briefing. We have with us today two Executive Committee members, Mr. Simon Mann and Mr. Gerald Ma presenting the group's interim results ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and strategies for stimulating domestic consumption in China amidst economic uncertainties, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach between consumption and investment to achieve sustainable growth [4][19]. Economic Growth Analysis - In the first half of 2023, China's GDP grew by 5.3%, with consumption contributing 52% to economic growth, investment at 16.8%, and exports at 31.2% [4]. - The contribution of consumption to GDP growth increased slightly in the second quarter to 52.3%, while investment and export contributions were 24.7% and 23%, respectively [4]. Investment vs. Consumption - The relationship between investment and consumption is framed as a choice between immediate consumption versus future consumption, highlighting the importance of investment for long-term economic growth [10][12]. - The article argues against the notion of a purely "consumption-driven" growth model, stating that economic growth is fundamentally driven by capital, labor, and technology rather than consumption alone [9][17]. Infrastructure Investment - The article advocates for increased infrastructure investment as a means to stimulate economic growth, suggesting that the potential for infrastructure investment in China is far from saturated [6][22]. - It is noted that infrastructure investment can have immediate positive effects on economic growth, with a multiplier effect that generates additional income and consumption [22][24]. Consumption Patterns - The article highlights the differences in consumption patterns between China and the U.S., noting that while China's consumption rate is lower, the actual consumption levels in certain sectors may not be significantly different [14][15]. - It emphasizes that the structure of consumption in China is heavily weighted towards goods rather than services, which affects the overall consumption rate [15][16]. Income Distribution and Consumption - The article points out the issue of income inequality in China, with a high Gini coefficient indicating significant income disparity, which can impact overall consumption levels [18]. - It suggests that addressing income distribution issues could enhance marginal propensity to consume, thereby stimulating economic growth [18][20]. Policy Recommendations - The article recommends various measures to boost consumption, including issuing consumption vouchers, reducing personal income tax, and reforming the social security system [20][21]. - It also discusses the importance of accurately measuring disposable income in relation to GDP, noting discrepancies in statistical methods that could misrepresent the true economic situation [20][21].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a significant increase in organic net service revenue (NSR) growth, accelerating to 6%, with The Americas segment leading at 8% growth, marking the highest margin segment [8][26] - Adjusted EBITDA and EPS increased by 1016%, with year-to-date figures up 920%, and free cash flow increased by 27% year-to-date [10][30] - The segment adjusted operating margin reached a record 17.1%, a 90 basis point improvement over the prior year [24][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In The Americas, NSR grew by 8%, with an adjusted operating margin increasing by 120 basis points to 20.5% [26] - The International segment saw NSR growth of 3%, driven by The UK and The Middle East, while Australia experienced a decline [27] - The backlog in The Americas design business grew by 4%, and the International segment's contracted backlog grew by 15% [27][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strong growth in key markets such as The UK, The Middle East, and The UAE, while Australia faced near-term budgetary constraints [14][15] - The US market remains robust, with only 36% of IIJA funding targeted to the company's markets spent, indicating continued growth opportunities [15] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from global investments in infrastructure, sustainability, and energy, with a record pipeline [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on organic growth initiatives, technical capabilities, and building trusted client relationships to drive productivity and quality [9] - The advisory business is expected to double to $400 million of NSR within three years, positioning it as a significant growth platform [22] - The company is investing in AI capabilities to enhance operational efficiency and client service delivery [50][80] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term investment in US infrastructure, supported by government initiatives and funding clarity [38] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 financial guidance for the third consecutive quarter, expecting adjusted EBITDA and EPS to increase by 10% and 16%, respectively [18][30] - Management highlighted the unprecedented visibility for continued growth, with a strong backlog and a high book-to-burn ratio [11][30] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $240 million to shareholders year-to-date and maintained a strong balance sheet with net leverage of 0.6 [29] - The company emphasized the importance of investing in high-return organic growth initiatives while maintaining margin expansion [30][100] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the US market and private sector evolution - Management noted stability in the US market, with a clearer funding agenda for infrastructure investments following recent elections [35][38] Question: Drivers of margin improvement - Management attributed margin performance to investments in high-return organic growth opportunities and operational focus on cost improvements [41][42] Question: Update on AI and automation initiatives - Management confirmed that AI initiatives are already impacting margins and are expected to have a material effect over the next three years [49][50] Question: Capital deployment and buyback performance - Management stated that the buyback strategy remains unchanged, with cash flow expected to increase in Q4, aligning with historical patterns [61] Question: Confidence in maintaining a book-to-bill ratio over one - Management expressed confidence in sustaining a book-to-bill ratio over one, supported by a healthy pipeline and high win rates [70][71] Question: Progress of the water and environment advisory business - Management reported double-digit growth in the advisory business, with plans to scale it significantly over the next three years [74] Question: Balancing investment in the business and margin expansion - Management emphasized that margin improvements are driven by investments rather than cost-cutting, with optimism for future growth [100]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net debt position of negative €223 million, excluding infrastructure project companies, which does not include proceeds from the divestment of Hydro [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for the construction segment was €191 million, up 4.2% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 3.5%, in line with long-term targets [18][19] - Operating cash flow was negative €104 million in the first half, compared to negative €53 million in the same period last year, primarily due to a lack of advanced payments [19][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Highways revenues grew by 14.9% in the first half on a like-for-like basis, with adjusted EBITDA improving by 17.1%, driven by strong performance from U.S. assets [7][8] - U.S. Highways represented 88% of total highways revenues and 97% of total adjusted EBITDA, with revenue growth of 15.9% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 14% [8] - The construction segment saw revenues reach €3,453 million, a 2.6% increase year-over-year on a like-for-like basis [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Traffic improved by 5.8% in the second quarter, driven by targeted rush hour promotions, although adverse weather and construction delays impacted performance [10] - At JFK Airport, the new Terminal 1 project is 72% complete, with construction on schedule and on budget [15] - Dalaman Airport in Turkey experienced a slight traffic decline of 0.3% in the first half, influenced by lower domestic passenger volumes [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on growth investments, divestments, and shareholder distributions, with a healthy pipeline of U.S. highways assets [30] - The strategic horizon plan is being executed, with updates on progress expected [30] - The company is optimistic about future opportunities in Poland, particularly with European funds and potential reconstruction efforts in Ukraine [97] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth prospects of North American assets, driven by increased customer segmentation and local economic growth [30] - The company anticipates limited exposure to inflation and a healthy construction order book [30] - Management noted that the competitive environment for U.S. Managed Lanes remains similar to previous years, with expectations for continued success in upcoming bids [70] Other Important Information - The company completed the acquisition of a 5.06% stake in four zero seven ETR for CAD 1.99 billion, increasing its stake from 43.23% to 48.29% [6] - Dividends from North American highways totaled €240 million in the first half, compared to €339 million in the same period last year [9] - The company issued $1.4 billion in long-term green bonds, completing the refinancing of phase A for the NTO project [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on revenue growth in I-77 and I-66 - Management attributed revenue growth to economic activity and population growth in metropolitan areas, along with the ability to adjust toll rates based on customer value [37][40] Question: Earnings from ProBio Construction - Management noted that the decline in Q2 earnings was due to additional costs related to utilizations and IT systems, with a long-term EBIT margin target of 3.5% [44] Question: Upstream dividends and shareholder returns - Management indicated that dividends from infrastructure projects are tied to asset performance, with a target of €2.2 billion in dividends for the period 2024-2026 [54] Question: Schedule 22 provision and traffic trends - Management explained that the reduction in the Schedule 22 provision was based on updated traffic data and successful promotions attracting more users during peak times [68][80] Question: ETR dividend factors and capital structure - Management confirmed that there is potential for increased dividends from ETR, with room for adjustments in capital structure for I-66 and I-407 [110]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Shandong's fiscal expenditure on people's livelihood has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the first time, reaching 1,036.8 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a significant increase in public welfare spending [1] - In 2024, Shandong is focusing on large-scale equipment upgrades and the replacement of consumer goods, with equipment update investments amounting to 476.34 billion yuan, which has driven automobile sales to exceed 100 billion yuan [1] - Infrastructure investment in Shandong has been substantial, with transportation, energy, and water conservancy investments reaching 325.2 billion yuan, 214 billion yuan, and 74.8 billion yuan respectively, showcasing a clear investment-driven effect [1] Group 2 - The previous year's audit report issues have been largely rectified, resulting in a recovery of 14.315 billion yuan through audit corrections, which has promoted increased revenue and reduced expenditure [2] - In 2024, the provincial level has referred 130 cases of disciplinary violations to the disciplinary inspection and supervision authorities, leading to accountability for 161 individuals, including 60 who received party and administrative disciplinary actions [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q2 2025 were $1,050 million, a 1% increase year-over-year [22] - Adjusted operating income was $141.4 million, or 13.5% of net sales, a 70 basis point decrease from the prior year [24] - GAAP diluted loss per share was $1.53, while adjusted EPS declined slightly to $4.88 [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Infrastructure sales were $765.5 million, similar to last year, with utility sales increasing by 5.4% [25] - Solar sales declined nearly 50%, reflecting lower volumes [25] - Agriculture sales increased by 2.7% to $289.4 million, driven by strong execution in international markets [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The infrastructure backlog approached $1.5 billion, with U.S. CapEx expected to exceed $212 billion in 2025, a 22% increase [10][11] - International agriculture sales increased by 22%, led by strength in the EMEA region [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has completed a realignment strategy, exiting unprofitable solar segments and focusing on infrastructure and international agriculture [7][19] - Future priorities include accelerating growth, driving efficiency, and advancing innovation [8][34] - The company aims to capture the infrastructure wave, with utility representing about 35% of total revenue [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in long-term growth drivers such as energy transition and infrastructure investment [6] - The company expects to see revenue and EPS growth starting in Q4 2025, with a strong outlook for 2026 [53][55] - Management highlighted the importance of customer alignment and market demand in driving future growth [88][90] Other Important Information - The company reported nonrecurring charges totaling $138.3 million due to realignment actions, with expected annualized savings of $22 million in 2026 [21] - Operating cash flows reached $167.6 million, with a strong focus on cash and working capital management [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the decision to exit the solar business? - Management stated the exit was due to an inability to provide strong returns in a competitive and fragmented market, while maintaining profitable operations in Italy and Brazil [42][44] Question: How does the increased tariff on steel impact your outlook? - Management indicated that steel pricing is stable and they have not seen any impact on demand, with a strong value proposition for their products [47][49] Question: What is the visibility for telecom growth? - Telecom saw over 40% year-over-year growth, driven by increased carrier activity and technology upgrades, with expectations for continued strength into 2026 [67][68] Question: What are the signs of demand in infrastructure? - Management highlighted strong customer alignment and a $1.5 billion backlog as indicators of future demand in the infrastructure sector [90][91] Question: What is the outlook for the lighting and transportation business? - Management acknowledged softer market conditions but expressed confidence in future performance driven by infrastructure needs and execution improvements [94][96]

Group 1: Infrastructure Investment - The Wuhan Metro Line 12, with a total length of 59.9 kilometers, has successfully completed its construction, enhancing urban connectivity in Wuhan [1] - National fixed asset investment reached 248,654 billion yuan in the first half of the year, showing a nominal growth of 2.8% year-on-year, while the actual growth, after adjusting for price factors, was 5.3% [1] - Infrastructure investment grew by 5.5% year-on-year, serving as a stabilizing factor for the economy amid external fluctuations [2][4] Group 2: Major Projects and Government Support - The Beijing Urban Sub-center Station, Asia's largest underground transportation hub, is nearing completion, with 95% of the main construction finished [3] - The "Two Heavy" projects in Gansu Province have seen significant progress, with 493 projects planned and a total investment of 1,045.33 billion yuan [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated over 300 billion yuan to support the third batch of "Two Heavy" construction projects, totaling 800 billion yuan for 1,459 projects [4] Group 3: Manufacturing and Technological Upgrades - Manufacturing investment increased by 7.5% year-on-year, driven by technological upgrades and new industries [7] - High-tech manufacturing sectors, such as aerospace and computer equipment, saw substantial investment growth of 26.3% and 21.5%, respectively [7] - The "Two New" policies have effectively supported the recovery of consumer spending and the modernization of traditional industries [7][8] Group 4: Regional Investment Trends - Investment growth in central and western regions outpaced that of eastern regions, with central regions growing by 3.2% and western regions by 4.8% [9] - The shift of industries from east to west is becoming a long-term trend, supported by policies like "Western Development" and "Central Region Acceleration" [9] - The data reflects the release of policy dividends, although challenges remain for the long-term transformation of the northeastern region [9] Group 5: Real Estate Market Dynamics - The real estate sector is experiencing a decline in investment, with land transaction volumes down to 2.8 million square meters, only 61% of the new housing transaction volume [10] - Despite the downturn, there are signs of stabilization in the market, with new policies expected to support the real estate sector in the second half of 2025 [11] - The reduction in new land development and ongoing inventory clearance are seen as necessary for achieving a balanced supply-demand dynamic in the real estate market [10][11]