美光科技(MU.US)涨超2%，报168.14美元。消息面上，美光科技即将于周二盘后发布2025财年第四季度 财报，市场预期营收为112.23亿美元，同比增长约45%；预期净利润为28.2亿美元，同比增长超2倍。 业绩公布前，美光获多家大行上调目标价。其中，摩根士丹利将美光科技的目标价从135美元上调至160 美元，维持"持有"评级；Stifel将目标价从145美元上调至173美元。(格隆汇) ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices rose collectively, with the S&P 500 index reaching a new closing high. The Dow Jones increased by 0.77% to 45,621.29 points, the Nasdaq rose by 0.98% to 21,707.69 points, and the S&P 500 gained 0.83% to close at 6,502.08 points [1][3]. Federal Reserve Insights - New York Fed President John Williams indicated that the policy interest rate will gradually decrease over time, although he did not specify a timeline for rate adjustments. He mentioned that if progress continues as per his baseline forecast, it would be appropriate to adjust rates to a more neutral level [1][5]. - According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 0.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 99.4% [5]. Corporate Earnings Reports - Lululemon reported Q2 net revenue of $2.53 billion, slightly below the expected $2.54 billion, and an EPS of $3.10, exceeding the forecast of $2.87. However, the company lowered its full-year EPS guidance, leading to a post-market drop of over 15% [7]. - Broadcom's Q3 adjusted EPS was $1.69, above the expected $1.67, with net revenue of $15.95 billion, surpassing the forecast of $15.84 billion. The company also projected Q4 revenue of approximately $17.4 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, resulting in a post-market increase of over 4% [9]. Trade Policy Developments - President Trump signed an executive order to implement a U.S.-Japan trade agreement, which includes a 15% baseline tariff on nearly all Japanese imports entering the U.S. The agreement also specifies that Japan will provide significant market access for U.S. manufacturers and increase purchases of U.S. agricultural products by $8 billion annually [12].

Group 1 - The company's operating revenue for the first half of 2025 is 604 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.10% [1] - The net profit for the same period is 64.9472 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 1,099.05% [1] - The board of directors has approved a profit distribution plan, proposing a cash dividend of 3 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) to all shareholders, with no bonus shares issued [1]

Core Insights - AbbVie is set to release its earnings report on July 31, 2025, with current consensus estimates projecting earnings of $2.91 per share on sales of $15.03 billion, compared to $2.65 per share on sales of $14.46 billion in the same quarter last year [3][4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, AbbVie has experienced a negative one-day return following earnings announcements in 65% of instances, with a median decline of -1.3% and a maximum drop of -7.3% [3][7] - There have been 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 35% of the time; this percentage decreases to 17% when considering the last 3 years [7] Financial Metrics - AbbVie currently has a market capitalization of $333 billion, with $57 billion in revenue, $13 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $4.2 billion over the last twelve months [4] Trading Strategies - Traders can analyze historical probabilities and take positions before earnings releases, as well as examine correlations between immediate and medium-term returns post-earnings to adjust positions accordingly [6][8]

Core Insights - Starbucks reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 8% in Q3 of fiscal year 2025, reaching $790 million, marking three consecutive quarters of revenue growth [1] - Same-store sales increased by 2%, with both transaction volume and average ticket size showing sequential improvement [1] - Profit margins continued to grow sequentially, maintaining a healthy double-digit level [1] Financial Performance - The total number of stores in China reached 7,828, with 70 new stores opened and entry into 17 new county-level markets [1] - New stores have maintained a high level of profitability, with new openings over the past two years contributing above-average same-store sales [1] Strategic Initiatives - The CEO highlighted that recent adjustments, including the introduction of "sugar-free" beverage innovations and new customization options, have increased customer purchase frequency [1] - Price adjustments on non-coffee products have broadened the customer base and enhanced consumption during lunch and evening periods [1] - The company is evaluating over 20 potential strategic partners to leverage the significant growth potential in the Chinese market while maintaining a substantial equity stake in its operations [1] Future Outlook - The CEO of Starbucks China emphasized a commitment to long-term development in the Chinese market, focusing on core strategies and sustainable high-quality growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 30, with earnings estimates showing a positive trend and a history of surpassing consensus estimates [1][14]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for revenues is $4.01 billion, reflecting a 0.4% decrease from the previous year [2]. - Adjusted earnings are estimated at $2.56 per share, indicating a 0.8% increase year over year [2]. Segment Performance Expectations - The Food Equipment segment is anticipated to see a revenue increase of 0.3% year over year to $668.8 million, driven by growth in institutional markets and strong demand in Europe [3]. - The Welding segment's revenues are expected to decline by 0.1% to $465.3 million, impacted by softness in industrial markets despite recovery in Asia Pacific and the Middle East [4]. - The Specialty Products segment is projected to decrease by 0.2% to $448.2 million, affected by weakness in the filter medical business [6]. - The Polymers & Fluids segment is expected to decline by 1.7% to $446.3 million, influenced by softness in body and tire repair businesses [6]. - The Automotive OEM segment is forecasted to decrease by 2.3% to $795.8 million due to a lower North American auto build rate [7]. - The Test & Measurement and Electronics segment is expected to see a revenue drop of 1.1% to $670.4 million, impacted by declining demand in the semiconductor market [8]. - The Construction Products segment is projected to decrease by 0.3% to $502.4 million, affected by lower demand in commercial and residential markets [10]. Margin and Cost Management - ITW's gross margin is expected to increase by 70 basis points to 44.5% due to effective cost management and enterprise initiatives [7][9]. Earnings Prediction - ITW has an Earnings ESP of +1.19%, suggesting a potential earnings beat, with the most accurate estimate at $2.59 per share [12].

Core Insights - Qualcomm reported strong revenue and profit growth for Q2 of fiscal year 2025, driven by robust chip sales [1][3] - Revenue reached $10.98 billion, a year-over-year increase of 16.9%, surpassing analyst expectations of $10.65 billion [1] - Profit for the quarter was $2.81 billion, up 20.6% from $2.33 billion in the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.85, exceeding the forecast of $2.82 [1] - Adjusted operating income was $3.69 billion, with an operating margin of 28.4% and free cash flow margin of 21.3% [1] - The company's market capitalization stood at $161.3 billion [1] Segment Performance - The devices and services segment, including chip business, saw sales growth of approximately 18%, reaching $9.34 billion [3] - Licensing revenue also increased by 13%, contributing significantly to overall revenue [3] Future Guidance - For Q3, Qualcomm's revenue guidance is projected between $9.9 billion and $10.7 billion, below analyst expectations of $10.33 billion [3] - Expected EPS for Q3 is between $2.14 and $2.34, which does not meet Wall Street's forecast of $2.35 [3] - Adjusted EPS for Q3 is anticipated to be between $2.60 and $2.80, slightly below the analyst estimate of $2.67 [3] Market Reaction - Following the Q3 guidance, Qualcomm's stock price fell by 5.7% in after-hours trading, closing at $140 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is expected to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 7, with an earnings surprise of 1.4% in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Factors Impacting Q2 Earnings - Strategic investments and modernization of transmission and distribution systems are likely to have positively impacted the company's bottom line [2] - An expanding customer base and implementation of new rates in service regions are expected to contribute positively to earnings [3] - Higher distribution revenues and lower interest expenses are anticipated to further benefit the quarterly performance [3] - However, increased operation and maintenance expenses, along with higher depreciation and amortization, may have negatively affected the bottom line [4] Group 2: Q2 Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $2.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.4% [5] - The revenue estimate stands at $1.88 billion, indicating a year-over-year improvement of 14.4% [5] Group 3: Earnings Prediction - The company's Earnings ESP is +1.33%, suggesting a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [6] - Atmos Energy currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), which supports the prediction of an earnings beat [7]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Important economic data and events are scheduled for the upcoming week, including the US April non-farm payrolls and China's April manufacturing PMI [1][2] - Key Point 2: Major companies are set to release earnings reports, including Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon [1][2][3] - Key Point 3: The Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting will take place from May 2 to 3 [3] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Various economic indicators will be released, such as the US ADP employment numbers and the Eurozone GDP growth rate [1][2] - Key Point 2: Central banks, including the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank, will announce monetary policy decisions and economic outlooks [2][3] - Key Point 3: Several countries will observe public holidays, affecting stock market operations [2][3]