Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market has experienced significant volatility, with buying interest returning and gold prices rising above $5,000 per ounce, influenced by Japan's political developments and expectations of loose fiscal policy [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices increased by 1.6% in early trading, supported by the victory of Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida in the House of Representatives election, which bolstered expectations for a loose fiscal policy and continued pressure on the yen, typically favorable for gold [1][2]. - As of the last Friday's close, gold prices had retreated approximately 11% from the historical high of January 29 but still showed a year-to-date increase of 15% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - Traders are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic data to better assess the Federal Reserve's policy direction, with the January employment report expected to indicate stabilization in the labor market, and inflation data set to be released later in the week [1][2]. - As of 8:20 AM Singapore time, gold prices rose by 1.4% to $5,034.67 per ounce, while silver increased by 2.2% to $79.52 per ounce, with platinum and palladium also showing gains [1][2].

执政联盟选情告急，民调数据正在持续恶化。根据日媒《每日新闻》和JNN在7月12-13日进行的在线调 查，执政联盟（自民党加公明党）预计将赢得31-55个席位，而维持参议院多数席位需要50席。 更令人担忧的是席位预测的下降趋势。据野村证券报告，日媒《Aera》6月30日版预测执政联盟将获得 54-58席，《文艺春秋》7月3日版将预测降至46席，而Senkyo Dot Com截至7月10日的预测为41-53席， 显示执政联盟的预期席位数随时间推移明显下滑。 一场可能重塑日本政治格局的选举正在逼近。 据追风交易台消息，野村证券7月14日发布的研究报告显示，距离日本参议院选举仅剩一周，执政联盟 失去多数席位的可能性正在日益增加。多项民调显示，执政联盟预期获得的席位数呈下降趋势，这一结 果可能导致石破茂首相辞职、美日贸易谈判暂停、加息预期减弱，并对日本股市和货币政策产生重大影 响。 首相辞职与谈判停摆可能性增加 野村证券在报告中指出，如果执政联盟保住了多数席位（≥50席），石破茂政权将得以延续，日美贸易 谈判将按计划推进至8月1日截止期限。但此情景可能加速日本央行加息步伐，推动日元升值并压制股 市。 据央视新闻，美东时 ...