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12月10日金市晚评:美联储今夜恐现“鹰派降息” 黄金谨防凌晨暴击!
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-10 09:41
摘要北京时间周三(12月10日)欧洲时段,美元指数现过山车,交投于99.078附近,金价目前交投于 4199.29美元/盎司,跌幅0.18%,最高触及4218.68美元/盎司,最低触及4194.00美元/盎司。由于美联储 将在今晚公布利率决议,目前市场预期美联储本周降息0.25个百分点的概率高达90%。然而,对通胀粘 性的担忧加剧了市场对FOMC声明和鲍威尔主席在新闻发布会上讲话可能更偏鹰派的预期。 北京时间周三 (12月10日)欧洲时段,美元指数现过山车,交投于99.078附近,金价目前交投于 4199.29美元/盎司,跌幅0.18%,最高触及4218.68美元/盎司,最低触及4194.00美元/盎司。由于美联储 将在今晚公布利率决议,目前市场预期美联储本周降息0.25个百分点的概率高达90%。然而,对通胀粘 性的担忧加剧了市场对FOMC声明和鲍威尔主席在新闻发布会上讲话可能更偏鹰派的预期。 今日黄金价格最新查询(2025年12月10日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | | 现货黄金 | 4199.29 | 美元/盎司 | | 黄金t+d | 951.30 | 元 ...
贵金属板块仍保持活力 市场静待降息“发令枪”
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-04 09:52
摘要今日周四(12月4日)亚盘时段,金价回落至4,210美元附近,交易员在数据公布前获利了结令涨势暂 歇。市场紧盯周三ADP就业与ISM服务业PMI,以判美联储动向。白银受益宏观环境保持韧性,下行受 限。投资者预期美联储下周或降息25基点,鸽派倾向... 技术分析 现货黄金:因交易商聚焦于令人失望的ADP就业变化报告所引发的美元回调,金价随之上扬。从技术面 来看,金价依然呈现看涨态势,稳稳维持在4170-4180美元支撑位之上。 现货白银:尽管白银在收复58.00美元之前跌至57.54美元的日低点,但上升趋势仍然保持不变。看涨势 头依然存在,但价格走势和相对强弱指标(RSI)之间的"温和背离"可能为回调铺平道路。若回调行情触 发,空方将首先瞄准前期阻力趋势线转化的支撑区域53.80-54.00美元,进而测试50日均线50.25美元。 反之,若买盘强势突破59.00美元关口,下一目标将看向60.00美元,并有望刷新历史高位 周三早些时候,美国ADP全国就业报告发布后,金价走高。薪资处理公司ADP周三报告称,美国私营企 业裁员3.2万人,表明劳动力市场进一步放缓。对国内就业市场的担忧加剧,ADP报告称,美国就业人 ...
大有期货:市场缺乏新的强力催化剂 贵金属或将进入震荡整理
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-22 02:03
Group 1: Gold Futures Market Performance - On October 21, the main gold futures in Shanghai reported a price of 993.96 yuan per gram, with an increase of 2.01% [1] - The opening price for the main gold futures was 990.00 yuan per gram, reaching a high of 1001.96 yuan and a low of 982.28 yuan during the day [1] Group 2: Macro News - U.S. President Trump announced an agreement with Russian President Putin to hold another summit to discuss ending the Ukraine war, with the Kremlin confirming the meeting plans but not disclosing specific dates [1] - Western nations have intensified efforts to curb Russian oil sales, with Trump stating that India will stop purchasing Russian oil and the UK imposing sanctions on top Russian oil companies [1] - Ukrainian President Zelensky is scheduled to meet with Trump in Washington to seek military and energy support [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller expressed support for another interest rate cut at the end of the month due to concerning signs in the labor market, while another governor, Milan, advocated for a more aggressive rate cut approach [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its economic growth forecast for Asia but warned that escalating U.S.-China tensions could heavily impact the region deeply integrated into global supply chains [1] Group 3: Institutional Views on Precious Metals - The current precious metals market is characterized by mixed factors, entering a phase of high-level fluctuations [2] - Ongoing U.S. government shutdown and unresolved U.S.-China tensions provide solid safe-haven support, limiting the downside for gold prices [2] - With market consensus on the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut in October and ongoing U.S.-China negotiations potentially leading to easing tensions, the momentum for significant further increases in precious metals is diminishing [2] - The market currently lacks strong catalysts for new direction, suggesting a period of consolidation and waiting for new directional guidance [2]