中金公司（601995）认为，量子计算作为新一轮科技革命与产业变革的前沿方向，正加速从实验验证走 向商业化应用。随着全球科技巨头（谷歌、IBM、微软等）不断突破量子比特规模与纠错精度，中国 在"祖冲之""九章"等原型机实现多点超越，ICV预计全球量子计算市场规模在2024—2035年由50亿美元 增长至8000亿美元以上。其中，硬件环节先行受益，测控系统、稀释制冷机等核心设备有望早日进入量 产周期。中金公司判断，量子计算正处于由科研突破向商业落地的关键拐点，硬件环节或将率先实现产 业化突破。 国泰海通证券认为，1）量子计算处于早期突破阶段，量子纠错是关键。当前，量子计算已成为最具颠 覆性的前沿技术之一，并逐渐形成集基础科研、工程研发、应用探索和产业培育为一体的发展格局。 2）中国在QKD量子安全领域处于绝对领先地位。量子安全的实现路径一般包括基于数学的传统路径 （PQC）和物理安全路径（QKD）两类。中国已经形成了以QKD技术为核心的较为完整的量子保密通 信产业链。3）量子测量产业进入多元化发展周期。量子精密测量主要是利用量子状态对环境的高度敏 感，提升对时间、位置、加速度、电磁场等物理量的测量精度，涉及的方 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 13.09 CNY [6][13]. Core Views - The company faced short-term pressure on performance due to temporary project delays, but has maintained a stable order book and is expected to achieve optimistic annual results with high-quality development [2][13]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.202 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 24.01%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -235 million CNY, indicating an expanded loss [13]. - The company is strategically positioning itself in the quantum security and quantum computing sectors, having made significant progress and launched products like quantum VPN, which enhances communication performance and reduces customer costs [13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 3,124 million CNY, with a decline of 11.8% year-on-year, while a recovery is expected in 2025 with an estimated revenue of 3,056 million CNY, reflecting an 8.3% increase [4][14]. - The net profit for 2023 is forecasted at -371 million CNY, with a significant recovery anticipated in 2024, reaching 83 million CNY [4][14]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -0.31 CNY in 2023 to 0.25 CNY by 2027 [4][14]. Business Segments - The intelligent computing cloud segment is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenue of 1.29 million CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, accounting for 10.73% of total revenue, and an annual growth rate of approximately 10% [13]. - The company’s key industries, such as telecommunications and transportation, showed year-on-year growth of 13.14% and 18.73%, respectively, contributing to a stable business foundation [13]. - The quantum computing sector has seen the launch of several products and partnerships, indicating a forward-looking strategy that aligns with industry trends [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for the company, with a 6-month target price of 12.78 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 10.12 CNY [6]. Core Insights - The company experienced significant revenue and profit declines in Q3 2025, with a revenue of 3.76 billion CNY, down 46.96% year-on-year, and a net profit of -1.71 billion CNY, a decrease of 568.00% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in revenue and gross margin in Q3 2025 is attributed to temporary project disruptions, with project progress in Q3 2025 lagging behind that of Q3 2024 [2]. - The company has formed a strategic partnership with Xintong Quantum to enhance its quantum security offerings, applying research results in various products and achieving practical success in national network communication projects [3]. - The company is expanding its AI and security product offerings through a "standard products + platform + services" model, including new products based on large models and customized services [4]. - The company is expected to gradually recover in revenue throughout the year, with projected revenues of 30.14 billion CNY, 33.00 billion CNY, and 36.39 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 12.02 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 24.01%, and a net profit of -2.35 billion CNY, down 39.10% year-on-year [1]. - The projected financials indicate a return to profitability with net profits of 1.68 billion CNY, 2.40 billion CNY, and 2.98 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11]. - The company’s revenue growth rate is expected to improve from -11.8% in 2023 to 6.9% in 2025, with a net profit margin projected to reach 5.6% by 2025 [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant revenue decline of 24.01% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.202 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -235 million yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was -252 million yuan [1]. - The company is focusing on quantum security and has established a strategic partnership with Xintong Quantum to enhance its security product offerings [3]. - The company's intelligent computing business is growing steadily, with revenue from intelligent cloud products reaching 129 million yuan, accounting for 10.73% of total revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.59% [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 376 million yuan, a decrease of 46.96% year-on-year, primarily due to slower project progress compared to the previous year. The net profit attributable to shareholders for this quarter was -171 million yuan [1]. - The company has successfully reduced its expenses, with R&D expenses down by 15.05%, sales expenses down by 6.48%, and management expenses down by 17.23% in the first three quarters of 2025 [1]. - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 2.789 billion yuan, 2.990 billion yuan, and 3.187 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 129 million yuan, 190 million yuan, and 267 million yuan [4][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue, with a 24.01% year-on-year decrease, totaling 1.202 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -235 million yuan, with a gross margin of 63.62% [1][2] - The company is strategically investing in the quantum security field, having started its initiatives in 2018. It has developed various quantum communication technologies that are being applied in significant national network communication projects [3] - The company has launched a comprehensive product and solution system in key areas, including AI and cloud security, which has begun to show results from prior investments [2][3] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.202 billion yuan, with a net profit of -235 million yuan. The gross margin was 63.62%, and the sales expense ratio was 51.81% [1] - The company’s revenue from its intelligent computing cloud products reached 129 million yuan, accounting for 10.73% of total revenue [2] - The financial forecast predicts net profits of 164 million yuan, 237 million yuan, and 316 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4] Industry Performance - The report indicates that the telecommunications and transportation sectors showed growth, with year-on-year increases of 13.14% and 18.73% respectively, while the financial and energy sectors remained stable [2] - The company’s stock has shown a 49% absolute return over the past 12 months, outperforming the market [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.202 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 24.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -235 million yuan, down 39.10% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 376 million yuan, down 46.96% year-on-year, with a net profit of -171 million yuan, a staggering decline of 568% [1]. - Despite the overall revenue decline, the company's "Intelligent Computing Cloud" segment is expected to grow by approximately 10% for the full year, with continued growth anticipated in the following year [1][3]. - The company has established a strategic partnership with Xintong Quantum to enhance its quantum security offerings, integrating quantum communication technologies into its products [2]. - The AI + Security strategy is being actively advanced, with the company developing new products and services that leverage AI capabilities, including a new product for large model security [3]. Financial Summary - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 2.974 billion yuan, 3.136 billion yuan, and 3.448 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 136 million yuan, 214 million yuan, and 271 million yuan [4][5]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit margin improvement, with a projected EPS of 0.12 yuan in 2025, increasing to 0.23 yuan by 2027 [5][6].

Core Insights - The company, Qimingxingchen, reported its third-quarter results, highlighting its adaptability to market trends and focus on enhancing operational resilience and development quality in the cybersecurity industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 1.548 billion yuan, with a comprehensive gross margin increase of 7 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The third quarter saw a nearly 16 percentage point increase in comprehensive gross margin compared to the same period last year [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 443 million yuan, representing a 75% year-on-year growth, maintaining positive inflow for two consecutive quarters [2]. - The company has over 4.2 billion yuan in cash reserves and no interest-bearing debt, positioning it among the industry leaders in financial strength [2]. Strategic Collaborations - The company is deepening its strategic collaboration with China Mobile, which is accelerating the conversion of technological achievements into market expansion [2][4]. - The company’s large model application firewall (MAF) was selected as the sole cybersecurity vendor for a major internet company's large model security system, showcasing its leading technological strength in AI application security [3]. Technological Innovation - The company is actively pursuing cutting-edge technologies, including quantum computing, and is integrating quantum key distribution technology into its VPN products [4]. - In collaboration with China Mobile, the company won four out of seven first prizes in the 5G application security competition, demonstrating its capabilities in 5G-A and AI integration across various application scenarios [4]. Market Positioning - The company is focusing on high-margin project opportunities and optimizing its business structure to enhance the core value of its security products and services [2]. - It is committed to maintaining a long-term development strategy while pursuing sustainable and high-quality growth [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance of stocks on the institutional leaderboard, highlighting significant net purchases and sales by institutions [1][2]. - A total of 30 stocks were listed on the institutional leaderboard, with 13 showing net purchases and 17 showing net sales [1]. - The top three stocks with the highest net purchases by institutions were Jingwang Electronics (322 million), Hengbao Co., Ltd. (193 million), and Yunhan Chip City (146 million) [1]. Group 2 - Hengbao Co., Ltd. saw a net purchase of 398 million from three institutions, indicating strong institutional interest [2]. - The company has successfully commercialized its quantum SIM products and completed the development and pilot testing of the integration of anti-quantum encryption algorithms with national encryption algorithms [2]. - The news also references a significant policy announcement regarding cross-strait economic cooperation, which may impact related industries [2].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a focus on the quantum technology industry, particularly highlighting the potential of quantum computing, quantum security, and quantum measurement as key areas for investment [1]. Core Insights - Quantum computing is in an early breakthrough stage, with quantum error correction being crucial for its advancement. The report anticipates significant progress in the next 5 to 10 years, particularly in the U.S. and China, which are leading globally in this field [1][2]. - China is positioned as a leader in the Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) sector, with a comprehensive quantum secure communication industry chain. Chinese institutions hold approximately 93% of the top patents in the global quantum communication field [1][2]. - The quantum measurement industry is entering a diversified development phase, with various applications and clear industrial prospects [1][2]. Summary by Sections Quantum Computing - Quantum computing is recognized as one of the most disruptive technologies, with various technical routes such as superconducting, ion trap, neutral atom, photonic, and silicon semiconductor showing diverse development [1][2][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of quantum error correction, which is essential for realizing the full potential of quantum computing [1][2][3]. - Significant advancements in quantum error correction have been reported, with various teams achieving breakthroughs in error rates and logical qubit reliability [1][2][3]. Quantum Security - Quantum security encompasses traditional mathematical paths (PQC) and physical security paths (QKD), with China leading in QKD technology [1][2]. - The report outlines the structure of the quantum secure communication industry chain in China, which includes core quantum devices and application technologies [1][2]. Quantum Measurement - The quantum precision measurement sector is characterized by its ability to enhance measurement accuracy across various physical quantities, indicating a broad range of applications and clear industrial prospects [1][2]. - The report notes that the maturity of quantum sensors varies across different physical quantities, leading to a diversified development cycle [1][2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on GuoDun Quantum, the only publicly listed quantum technology company in China, which covers quantum computing, quantum security, and quantum measurement [1][2].

Group 1 - Quantum computing is in an early breakthrough stage, with quantum error correction being a key focus. Various technological routes such as superconducting, ion trap, neutral atom, photonic, and silicon semiconductor are showing a diversified and open development trend. Significant progress is expected in the next 5 to 10 years, with the US and China leading globally in this field [1][2] Group 2 - China is in an absolute leading position in the QKD quantum security field. The country has established a relatively complete quantum secure communication industry chain centered on QKD technology, with Chinese institutions accounting for approximately 93% of the top 10 patent applicants in the global quantum communication field [2] Group 3 - The quantum measurement industry is entering a diversified development cycle. Quantum precision measurement leverages the sensitivity of quantum states to enhance the accuracy of measuring various physical quantities, with a clear industrialization prospect despite varying maturity levels of quantum sensors for different physical quantities [2]