高盛还提到，各国央行可能在今年11月购买大量黄金，这一趋势已持续多年，旨在通过储备多元化来对 冲地缘政治和金融风险。 18日，国际期货黄金报4037美元/盎司。受多重因素影响，金价今年以来已上涨55%。(完) 中新网11月18日电 (记者 宫宏宇)据路透社报道，高盛18日发布报告称，预计到2026年底，金价将达到 4900美元/盎司，若私人投资者继续进行资产多元化，金价可能进一步上涨。 高盛预测2026年底金价将升至4900美元 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：付健青 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview")，看更多精彩财经资讯。 ...

【世行预期金价2025年达每盎司3400美元】10月31日，世界银行发表《商品市场展望》，预期2025年金 价每盎司平均达3400美元，明年平均见3575美元，预计升5%。 不过，世行预计至2027年金价升势或结 束，每盎司平均料为3375美元，预计跌5%。 世行称，今年金价预期升约42%，明年升势放缓，但仍较 2015至2019年平均水平高逾1.8倍。 报告指出，地缘政治紧张局势缓和及鹰派货币政策，或对黄金和白 银避险与投资需求构成压力。 本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 扫码查看原文 世界银行:预测金价2025年平均3400 美元/盎司 【世行预期金价2025年达每盎司3400美元】 10月 31日,世界银行发表《商品市场展望》,预期2025 年金价每盎司平均达3400美元,明年平均见3575美 元,预计升5%。不过,世行预计至2027年金价升 势或结束,每盎司平均料为3375美元,预计跌5%。 世行称,今年金价预期升约42%,明年升势放缓, 但仍较2015至2019年平均水平高逾1.8倍。报告指 出,地缘政治紧张局势缓和及鹰派货币政策,或对 黄金和白银避险与投资需求构成压力。 ...

高盛认为，当前的抛售主要是由投机性头寸平仓和白银市场的溢出效应导致，并非基本面恶化。真正的"聪明钱"，包括各国央行、超高 净值人士和长期资产配置机构在内的结构性买盘仍在持续流入。而由于大型机构投资者配置需求的苏醒，4900美元/盎司的目标价甚至 存在"上行风险"。 追风交易台消息，10月22日，高盛分析师Lina Thomas和Daan Struyven发表研报， 重申其2026年底4900美元/盎司的目标价，并强 调这一预测甚至存在"上行风险" 。 高盛认为，当前的抛售主要是由投机性头寸平仓和白银市场的溢出效应导致，并非基本面恶化。真正的"聪明钱"，包括各国央行、超 高净值人士和长期资产配置机构在内的结构性买盘仍在持续流入。 高盛进一步强调由于大型机构投资者配置需求的苏醒，4900美元/盎司的目标价甚至存在"上行风险"。周三现货黄金一度跌至4000美 元关口上方，但随后受支撑反弹。 尽管本周黄金价格一度累跌超8%，但高盛依然保持坚定的看涨立场。 报告进一步揭示了金价未来更大的潜在驱动力，即 大型长期资本配置者的持续入场 。 与投机性资金的快进快出形成鲜明对比，高盛强调，支撑金价长期走牛的"粘性"（stick ...

瑞银：因美联储和美元前景上调2026年上半年金价预测，预计金价有望在2026年中期上涨至3,700美元/ 盎司。 来源：金融界AI电报 ...

Core Viewpoint - Central bank gold demand has significantly decreased in Q2, raising concerns about the potential impact on gold prices, which may lead to adjustments in future price expectations [2][3][5]. Group 1: Central Bank Demand Trends - Global central bank gold demand fell by one-third in Q2 compared to Q1, reaching the lowest level since Q2 2022 [2][3]. - The decline in central bank demand is particularly alarming as it has been a key driver of rising gold prices in recent years [5]. - Central bank demand's share in the global gold market has increased from 10% in 2021 to 21% in 2024 [6]. Group 2: Implications for Gold Prices - The slowdown in central bank demand suggests a weakening of the crucial support for gold prices, potentially threatening future price stability [2][3]. - Deutsche Bank's analysis indicates that if the current pace of central bank demand continues, gold price forecasts for 2026 may need to be adjusted downwards from $3,700 per ounce to around $3,600 per ounce [14]. - In extreme scenarios, if annual central bank demand drops to 500 tons, gold price predictions could fall to $3,300 per ounce [14]. Group 3: Forecasting Challenges - Deutsche Bank acknowledges that the slowdown in central bank demand poses a downside risk to its gold price forecasting model, which previously assumed a demand of 1,000 tons in 2025 [12]. - The actual demand in the first half of 2025 was only 415 tons, necessitating a significant increase in the second half to meet annual targets [12]. - The bank has set 375 tons per half-year as a critical threshold for maintaining current price forecasts [14]. Group 4: Potential Demand Drivers - Despite the decline in central bank demand, other sources of investment demand may help offset this shortfall [15]. - Recent policy changes in the U.S. could introduce new demand dynamics for gold, such as including precious metal funds in 401(k) retirement plans [15]. - The asymmetric response of jewelry consumption and gold recycling markets may provide additional support for gold prices [15].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that ANZ Bank predicts gold prices will rise to $3,500 per ounce by the end of Q3 2025 [1] Group 2 - The forecast indicates a significant increase in gold prices, suggesting a bullish outlook for the gold market [1] - This prediction may influence investment strategies and market sentiment towards gold-related assets [1] - The timeline for this price increase is set for the third quarter of 2025, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing volatility ahead of the U.S. non-farm payroll data release, with a focus on potential impacts from employment figures and Federal Reserve interest rate expectations [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices paused after three days of gains, with attention shifting to the upcoming U.S. non-farm employment data [1]. - The U.S. dollar has seen a temporary halt in its decline, which has exerted bearish pressure on gold prices [3]. - Concerns over the U.S. labor market have resurfaced, contributing to renewed selling pressure on the dollar [3][4]. Group 2: Employment Data Expectations - The market anticipates an increase of 110,000 in non-farm payrolls for June, with the unemployment rate expected to rise slightly to 4.3% from 4.2% in May [7]. - A non-farm payroll figure below 100,000 could intensify selling pressure on the dollar and increase the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in July, which would be favorable for gold prices [8]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - As of the latest data, gold prices are struggling around the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3,350, having faced rejection near $3,365 [12]. - The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is above the midpoint, currently close to 52.30, indicating potential buying interest [13]. - A poor U.S. employment report could restore upward momentum towards the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,377, with a significant upward trend possible if prices close above this level [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing volatility, influenced by the Federal Reserve's upcoming statements and concerns over U.S. trade agreements, particularly with Japan, which are affecting the dollar's strength [1][5][7]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Gold prices found buying support near a monthly low of $3,250, as the market anticipates dovish signals from the Federal Reserve [1]. - The dollar is under pressure, having reached a near four-year low against major currencies, which is contributing to gold's recovery [4][7]. - Concerns regarding U.S. trade agreements, especially with Japan, are overshadowing optimism surrounding trade deals with China and Canada [5][6]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold closed below a key support level, indicating potential for further declines [2]. - The price is attempting to rebound from the $3,250 demand zone, aiming to reclaim the resistance level at $3,297 [14]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, suggesting that any rebound may be temporary [15]. - If buyers can maintain upward momentum and surpass $3,297, a new rally towards the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3,321 could occur [16]. - On the downside, a break below the intraday low of $3,248 could trigger a move towards the 50% Fibonacci level at $3,232 [18].