澳新银行：预计到2025年第三季度末，金价将升至3500美元/盎司。 ...

金价为美国就业数据的剧烈波动做好准备 金价在经历了三天的强劲反弹后，因买方疲软而面临新的卖压。 今日Ultima Markets为您带来了 2025年7 月 3 日的黄金深入分析。 ·金价在周四早盘暂停了三天的上涨，所有目光仍然集中在美国非农就业数据上。 ·由于鸽派美联储预期的影响，美元回落至红色区域，贸易协议的担忧浮现。 ·23.6%的斐波那契水平对金价来说似乎是一个难以突破的关口，日线相对强弱指数保持在中线附近。 金价从周四亚洲时段早些时候达到的每周高点$3,366回落。现在所有目光都集中在高影响力的美国非农就业数据发布上，以便为金价提供明确的方向性动 力。 对美元需求的持续下降帮助金价在周三的反弹基础上继续上涨。 在关税担忧和鸽派美联储预期的背景下，周四的美国劳动力数据对于预测美联储未来的利率路径至关重要。 预计6月份美国非农就业人数将增加110,000，而失业率在同一时期略微上升至4.3%，相比5月份的4.2%。 如果非农就业人数低于100,000，将会加大对美元的卖压，增加7月份美联储降息的可能性，从而有利于金价。 美元（USD）似乎暂停了其隔夜的下跌，对以美元计价的金价施加了看跌压力。 市场正在重 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing volatility, influenced by the Federal Reserve's upcoming statements and concerns over U.S. trade agreements, particularly with Japan, which are affecting the dollar's strength [1][5][7]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Gold prices found buying support near a monthly low of $3,250, as the market anticipates dovish signals from the Federal Reserve [1]. - The dollar is under pressure, having reached a near four-year low against major currencies, which is contributing to gold's recovery [4][7]. - Concerns regarding U.S. trade agreements, especially with Japan, are overshadowing optimism surrounding trade deals with China and Canada [5][6]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold closed below a key support level, indicating potential for further declines [2]. - The price is attempting to rebound from the $3,250 demand zone, aiming to reclaim the resistance level at $3,297 [14]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, suggesting that any rebound may be temporary [15]. - If buyers can maintain upward momentum and surpass $3,297, a new rally towards the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3,321 could occur [16]. - On the downside, a break below the intraday low of $3,248 could trigger a move towards the 50% Fibonacci level at $3,232 [18].