Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - For soda ash, supply is expected to remain ample, demand will continue to decline, and prices will face continuous pressure. However, with anti - involution speculation, there may be variables. It is recommended to go long on the soda ash main contract at low levels in the short term [2]. - For glass, the current situation is not optimistic. Although there is a small increase in deep - processing orders in the downstream, the overall inventory is rising slightly. It is recommended to go long on the glass main contract at low levels, but short - term long positions have limited opportunities [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Soda ash main contract closing price: 1311 yuan/ton, down 26 yuan; glass main contract closing price: 1173 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan [2]. - Soda ash and glass price difference: 138 yuan/ton, down 8 yuan; soda ash main contract open interest: 1,399,714 lots, up 13,450 lots; glass main contract open interest: 1,196,769 lots, down 4,653 lots [2]. - Soda ash top 20 net positions: - 313,904 lots, up 11,584 lots; glass top 20 net positions: - 245,653 lots, down 10,925 lots [2]. - Soda ash exchange warehouse receipts: 9,313 tons, up 249 tons; glass exchange warehouse receipts: 2,099 tons, up 456 tons [2]. - Soda ash September - January contract spread: - 111 yuan/ton, unchanged; glass September - January contract spread: - 189 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan [2]. - Soda ash basis: - 91 yuan/ton, up 26 yuan; glass basis: - 109 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan [2]. Spot Market - North China heavy soda ash: 1,220 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China heavy soda ash: 1,325 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - East China light soda ash: 1,265 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China light soda ash: 1,215 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan [2]. - Shahe glass large plate: 1,064 yuan/ton, unchanged; Central China glass large plate: 1,090 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - Soda ash plant operating rate: 88.48%, up 1.16 percentage points; float glass enterprise operating rate: 75.34%, unchanged [2]. - Glass in - production capacity: 15.96 million tons/year, unchanged; glass in - production production lines: 223, unchanged [2]. - Soda ash enterprise inventory: 1.8881 million tons, down 22,700 tons; glass enterprise inventory: 63,606,000 weight boxes, up 180,000 weight boxes [2]. Downstream Situation - Cumulative real - estate new construction area: 35,206 million square meters, up 4,841.68 million square meters; cumulative real - estate completion area: 25,034 million square meters, up 2,467.39 million square meters [2]. Industry News - National policies include improving domestic demand policies, promoting green - low - carbon transformation, and supporting forestry development [2]. - Soda ash supply is increasing, but profit recovery is not sustainable. Glass production is at a low level due to the impact of high - temperature weather on the real - estate industry [2]. - Shanghai has optimized real - estate and housing - loan policies [2]. Viewpoint Summary - Soda ash supply is expected to remain ample, demand will continue to decline, and prices will be under pressure. Although there may be speculation about supply cuts, the de - stocking process will be repeated [2]. - Glass supply remains stable at a low level, demand from the real - estate industry is weak, and the inventory is rising slightly. The de - stocking trend remains unchanged, and there is a possibility of restocking [2].

Group 1 - Trump announced plans to reduce drug prices by 1400% to 1500% and impose tariffs on pharmaceuticals [15] - The U.S. plans to classify copper and potash as critical minerals [15] - Intel warned that government ownership stakes could pose risks to its business, potentially rising to 15% [15] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's Logan indicated that there is still room for reducing bank system reserves [12] - The National Development and Reform Commission of China emphasized the need to improve policies to expand domestic demand and support enterprise innovation [14] Group 3 - The U.S. stock market saw declines across major indices, with the Dow Jones down 0.77%, S&P 500 down 0.43%, and Nasdaq down 0.2% [4] - European stock indices mostly fell, with the DAX down 0.37% and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.81% [4] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose by 1.94%, reaching a high not seen since October 2021 [5] Group 4 - A-shares experienced a strong opening, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.51% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 2.26% [6] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 3.14 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase [6]

1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称，8月25日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了2884亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量2884亿元，中标量2884亿元。Wind数据显 示，当日2665亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放219亿元。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 银行间市场周一资金面持续充裕。存款类机构隔夜回购加权利率下滑超6个bp，重回1.35%附近；七天期因可跨月上涨超5个bp。匿名点击（X-repo）系统 上，隔夜报价在1.3%低位供给超千亿元；非银机构质押存单和信用债融入隔夜报价在1.42%-1.43%附近，七天期报价约在1.55%上下。 | （*数据来源：Wind-成交统计BMW） | | --- | 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为4.32%。 （IMM） // 债市综述 // 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在1.67%附近，较上日基本持平。 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 纷纷下行 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 5. 近期城投债（AAA）各期限利差走势及 ...