我国建成全球规模最大的碳排放权交易市场并稳定运行；截至8月底，全国碳排放权交易市场累计成交 量近7亿吨……全国碳市场建设迈入新阶段。 如何推动建设更加有效、更有活力、更具国际影响力的全国碳市场？记者采访专家对此进行了解读。 9月24日，"2025年中国碳市场大会"在上海举行。会议介绍，截至8月底，全国碳排放权交易市场累计成 交量近7亿吨。 近期，国务院新闻办公室"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会介绍，我国建成全球规模最大 的碳排放权交易市场并稳定运行，覆盖全国60%以上的碳排放量。我国碳市场领域第一份中央文件—— 《中共中央办公厅国务院办公厅关于推进绿色低碳转型加强全国碳市场建设的意见》（以下简称《意 见》）印发，将为全国碳市场建设提供更完善的制度保障、更强大的能力支撑。 我国碳市场建设经历了怎样的发展历程？发挥了哪些作用？还有哪些需要完善的地方？记者采访了清华 大学能源环境经济研究所所长、中国环境科学学会碳排放交易专业委员会主任委员张希良。 我国碳排放权交易市场建设稳步推进，推动建设更加有效、更有活力、更具国际影响力的全国碳市场 "近年来，我国碳排放权交易市场建设稳步推进。"张希良介绍，从201 ...

Core Viewpoint - The carbon market is a crucial policy tool for promoting green and low-carbon transformation in China, with a focus on establishing a robust national carbon market system that includes both mandatory and voluntary carbon markets to achieve the "dual carbon" goals [2][3]. Summary by Sections Carbon Market Development - China has established a national carbon emissions trading market that mandates key emission units to fulfill reduction responsibilities, alongside a voluntary carbon market that encourages self-reduction efforts. These two markets operate independently but are interconnected through a quota management system [4][5]. - As of August 22, 2023, the mandatory carbon market has seen a cumulative transaction volume exceeding 680 million tons, with a transaction value of 47.41 billion yuan. The voluntary carbon market has recorded a cumulative transaction of 2.49 million tons, amounting to 210 million yuan [4]. Future Plans and Roadmap - The "Opinions" document outlines a timeline and roadmap for the development of the national carbon market. By 2027, the mandatory carbon market will expand to cover major industrial sectors, while the voluntary market will broaden its scope to include biomass utilization and solid waste management [6][9]. Quota Management System - A clear and transparent carbon emissions quota management system is essential for the healthy operation of the national carbon trading market. The distribution of quotas will balance reduction targets with economic costs and industry differences, aiming for a stable total carbon emissions control by 2027 [7][8]. Market Vitality and Financial Integration - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to enhance market vitality by collaborating with financial institutions to develop green financial products related to carbon emissions rights. This includes mechanisms like carbon pledges and carbon repurchase agreements to facilitate financing for key emission units [11]. Data Quality and Regulatory Framework - Accurate and reliable carbon emission data is critical for quota trading and compliance. The government is enhancing data quality management through a three-tier review system and utilizing advanced technologies like big data and blockchain to improve regulatory efficiency [9][12]. Systematic Improvement - The construction of the national carbon market is a complex system engineering task that requires a problem-oriented and goal-oriented approach. The focus will be on improving the reliability of data and inclusivity across industries [10].

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening National Carbon Market Construction" marks the first central document in China's carbon market sector, providing a more comprehensive institutional guarantee and stronger capability support for the national carbon market construction [1][2]. Group 1: National Carbon Market Development - The national carbon market consists of a mandatory carbon emissions trading market and a voluntary carbon emissions trading market, which operate independently but are interconnected through a quota clearing mechanism, achieving full coverage of emission reduction entities [2][4]. - As of August 22, 2023, the mandatory carbon market has seen a cumulative transaction volume of over 680 million tons, with a transaction value of 47.41 billion yuan, while the voluntary carbon market has recorded a cumulative transaction of 2.49 million tons, valued at 21 million yuan [2][4]. Group 2: Future Plans and Roadmap - By 2027, the mandatory carbon market aims to gradually cover major industrial sectors beyond power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, while the voluntary carbon market will expand to include biomass utilization and solid waste treatment [4][5]. - The goal is to establish a transparent and predictable carbon emissions quota management system, balancing emission reduction targets with economic costs and industry differences [5][6]. Group 3: Market Mechanisms and Data Management - The establishment of a quota distribution and clearing system is essential for the healthy and orderly operation of the national carbon emissions trading market [5][6]. - Accurate and reliable carbon emission data is crucial for quota trading and compliance, with ongoing efforts to enhance data quality management through advanced technologies like big data and blockchain [7][8]. Group 4: Enhancing Market Vitality and Management - The ecological environment department plans to collaborate with financial institutions to develop green financial products related to carbon emissions rights and certified voluntary reduction amounts, such as carbon pledges and carbon repurchase policies [9][10]. - Strict regulations on carbon emissions verification and enhanced oversight of data quality are emphasized to combat fraudulent activities [10].

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the "Opinions on Promoting Green and Low-Carbon Transition and Strengthening National Carbon Market Construction" marks the first central document in China's carbon market sector, providing a more comprehensive institutional guarantee and stronger capability support for the national carbon market construction [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Sections National Carbon Market Development - China has established a national carbon emissions trading market for key emission units with mandatory reduction responsibilities and a voluntary carbon market to incentivize social self-reduction. These two markets operate independently but are interconnected through a quota clearing mechanism, achieving full coverage of reduction entities [2][3]. - As of August 22, 2023, the mandatory carbon market has seen a cumulative transaction volume exceeding 680 million tons, with a transaction value of 47.41 billion yuan. The voluntary carbon market has recorded a cumulative transaction of 2.49 million tons of certified voluntary reduction, amounting to 210 million yuan [2]. Timeline and Roadmap - The "Opinions" outline a timeline and roadmap for the national carbon market's development. By 2027, the mandatory carbon market will expand to cover major industrial emission sectors beyond power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting. The voluntary carbon market aims for full coverage of key areas by 2027 and to establish a transparent, unified, and internationally aligned market by 2030 [3][4]. Quota Management System - A clear and transparent carbon emissions quota management system is essential for the healthy and orderly operation of the national carbon trading market. The quota distribution system will balance reduction targets with economic costs and industry differences, implementing total quota control for stable emission sectors by 2027 [4][5]. Development of Voluntary Carbon Market - The government aims to actively develop the national voluntary greenhouse gas reduction trading market, focusing on key areas and technologies for carbon peak and neutrality. This includes establishing a methodological system for voluntary reduction projects and enhancing market trading systems [6][7]. Market Mechanism Improvement - The construction of the national carbon market is a complex system engineering task that requires a problem-oriented and goal-oriented approach. The focus will be on improving the market mechanism, ensuring data reliability, and enhancing industry inclusiveness [7][8]. Management and Oversight - The ecological environment department will enhance carbon emission verification and strengthen the responsibility of key emission units for carbon accounting and reporting. There will be strict supervision of carbon emission data quality to combat fraudulent activities [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry [2] Core Views - The macro industry data shows that the PMI for August is 49.4%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. The main raw material purchasing price index increased by 1.8 percentage points compared to last month. The PPI for chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing has seen an expanded decline, while the oil and gas extraction industry remained stable [2][29] - The report highlights that the chemical industry is undergoing a competitive landscape optimization due to tightened policies, with a focus on energy efficiency standards and carbon emission evaluations set to be implemented from September 1, 2025 [2][50] - The report suggests focusing on specific sub-sectors such as SW pesticides, SW fluorochemicals, SW potash fertilizers, SW coal chemicals, SW food and feed additives, and SW oilfield services based on net profit growth rates and PE valuations [2][56] Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Data - The PMI for August is 49.4%, up by 0.1 percentage points from last month. The main raw material purchasing price index is at 53.3%, up by 1.8 percentage points. The PPI for chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing is at -6.5%, with an expanded decline of 0.4 percentage points [29] - Fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing sector has a cumulative year-on-year decline of 4.7%, while the chemical fiber manufacturing sector shows an increase of 11.1% [29] Industry Policies - The report discusses the implementation of energy efficiency standards and carbon emission evaluations, which will lead to the elimination of substandard products by the end of 2025 [50][53] - The national carbon market is expected to accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity and reshape the market competition landscape [50] Sub-sector Performance - The chemical industry has seen a divergence in performance, with sectors like pesticides, specialty chemicals, and coatings experiencing growth in revenue, profit, and import-export figures, while basic chemicals and fertilizers show mixed results [55][61] - The report emphasizes the importance of adhering to energy efficiency benchmarks for various chemical products, with specific deadlines for compliance [56] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the Penghua CSI Sub-sector Chemical Industry Theme ETF (159870.SZ) as a key investment vehicle [2][19] - It suggests monitoring specific sub-sectors that have shown consistent net profit growth, including SW fluorochemicals and SW potash fertilizers [61]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the growth in the power sector, with a focus on renewable energy and the impact of recent regulatory changes on market dynamics [6][7][10] - The carbon trading market is showing significant activity, with a total transaction volume of 15.1 million tons in the latest month, indicating a robust trading environment [29] - The overall electricity consumption in China reached 10,226 billion kWh in July 2025, marking an 8.6% year-on-year increase, with notable growth in various sectors [31][59] Summary by Sections Industry News - The National Energy Administration issued 236 million green certificates in July 2025, with 70.63% being tradable [6] - The first central document on the carbon market was released, outlining a roadmap for its development by 2027 [7] - Regulatory updates in the Central China region aim to enhance the coordination of power systems and market operations [8] Industry Data - The carbon trading market's price fluctuated between 69.23 and 72.68 yuan per ton, with a total transaction value of approximately 1.04 billion yuan [29] - As of July 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.67 billion kW, a year-on-year increase of 18.2% [25][37] - The cumulative electricity consumption for the first seven months of 2025 was 58,633 billion kWh, reflecting a 4.5% increase compared to the previous year [31] Performance Analysis - The power sector's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1,036.8 billion yuan, a slight decline of 2.2%, while net profit increased by 2.6% to 107.1 billion yuan [48] - The performance of different segments showed that thermal and hydropower sectors experienced profit growth, while nuclear and renewable energy sectors faced challenges [52][54] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on green electricity as demand is expected to rise due to regulatory support, with key companies like Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy highlighted for potential investment [78] - For thermal power, companies with significant coal exposure and stable long-term contracts are recommended, such as Datang Power and Jingtou Energy [78] - Water and nuclear power sectors are seen as having long-term investment value, with companies like Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power recommended [78]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The logic of improving solid waste quality and efficiency, along with cash flow enhancement, continues to be realized, while the construction of the national carbon market is strengthened and carbon constraints are tightening [1] - The report highlights the importance of cash flow improvements and dividend increases in the waste incineration sector, driven by reduced capital expenditures and enhanced operational efficiency [39] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is experiencing a stable revenue growth, with the waste incineration sector's revenue reaching 23.2 billion yuan, a 1% increase year-on-year, and net profit of 5.1 billion yuan, an 8% increase year-on-year [10][13] - The report emphasizes the need for a market-oriented approach in water services, predicting significant cash flow improvements similar to those seen in the waste incineration sector [7] Policy Tracking - The central government has issued guidelines to strengthen the national carbon market, aiming for a more comprehensive coverage of industrial sectors and a robust carbon pricing mechanism by 2030 [35][36] - The report suggests that stricter carbon monitoring will increase demand for carbon monitoring equipment, benefiting companies like Snowy Dragon and Juguang Technology [38] Company Performance - **Huanlan Environment**: Achieved a net profit of 966 million yuan in H1 2025, a 28% increase year-on-year, with a significant contribution from its subsidiary [29] - **Green Power**: Reported a 24% increase in net profit in H1 2025, driven by increased waste incineration and operational efficiency [31] - **Haihua Entrepreneurship**: Experienced a 9.33% increase in net profit, with a focus on stable growth in waste disposal and energy generation [31] - **Yongxing Co.**: Increased its waste processing volume, leading to a 9% rise in net profit [32] Cash Flow and Dividends - The waste incineration sector is seeing a significant increase in free cash flow, with projections indicating potential dividend payouts reaching 50% to 150% in the coming years [40][41] - The report notes that companies are beginning to distribute dividends more actively, with Huanlan Environment initiating its first mid-year dividend [24][29]

Market Overview - In August, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 10.33%, while the public utility index increased by 2.53% and the environmental index by 5.28% [1][22] - The public utility and environmental sectors ranked 25th and 21st respectively among 31 first-level industry classifications [1][22] - The environmental sector saw a 5.28% increase, with sub-sectors such as thermal power up by 4.69% and new energy generation up by 2.26% [1][22] Important Policies and Events - The Central Committee and State Council issued opinions on promoting green and low-carbon transformation, aiming for a nationwide carbon trading market to cover major industrial sectors by 2027 [14][15] - The opinions also emphasize energy conservation and carbon reduction in production, promoting green lifestyles, and enhancing urban ecological environment governance [15][16] Investment Strategy - Public Utilities: - Thermal power profitability is expected to remain reasonable due to synchronized declines in coal and electricity prices, recommending companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric [3][21] - Continuous policy support for new energy development is anticipated to stabilize profitability, recommending leading companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [3][21] - Nuclear power companies are expected to maintain stable profitability, recommending China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [3][21] - High-dividend hydropower stocks are highlighted for their defensive attributes, recommending Changjiang Power [3][21] - For gas, companies with regional advantages like China Resources Gas are recommended [3][21] - Environmental Sector: - The water and waste incineration sectors are entering maturity, with improved free cash flow, recommending Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [3][21] - The domestic scientific instrument market presents significant opportunities, recommending Focused Photonics [3][21] - The EU's SAF policy is expected to benefit the domestic waste oil recycling industry, recommending Shanggou Environmental Energy [3][21] - The agricultural biomass power generation sector is seeing cost improvements, recommending Changqing Group [3][21] Industry Key Data Overview - In July, the total electricity consumption reached 1,022.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [59] - The cumulative installed capacity of renewable energy reached 1.41 billion kW by the end of 2024, accounting for 42% of total installed capacity [19] - The average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased by 188 hours compared to the previous year [76]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong rating for the power sector and recommends specific companies within the sector [4][7][11]. Core Insights - The first central document in the carbon market sector has been issued, marking a new journey in carbon market construction, with significant implications for green investment and industry growth [3][17][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of promoting high-quality urban development, particularly in the water and solid waste management sectors, which are expected to benefit from new policies [4][21]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From August 25 to August 29, the electricity sector fell by 0.40%, the environmental sector by 1.47%, the gas sector by 1.65%, and the water sector by 2.15%, while the CSI 300 index rose by 2.71% [11][12]. Carbon Market Development - The central government's recent document outlines plans to accelerate the construction of a national carbon market, aiming for comprehensive coverage of major industrial sectors by 2027 and a robust voluntary reduction market [3][17][18]. - As of July 2025, the national carbon emissions trading market has seen a cumulative transaction volume of 681 million tons and a transaction value of 46.784 billion yuan, indicating a growing influence of carbon pricing [3][18]. Urban Development Initiatives - The recent policy encourages green low-carbon transformation in urban development, promoting energy efficiency and waste management [4][21]. - The report identifies opportunities in waste-to-energy applications, industrial wastewater treatment, and the recycling of construction waste, which are expected to enhance profitability for related companies [4][21]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies within various sectors: - For the power sector, it suggests Jiangsu Guoxin and cautiously recommends Sheneng Co. and Zhejiang Energy [4]. - In the nuclear power sector, it cautiously recommends China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [4]. - For green energy, it suggests focusing on Three Gorges Energy and Jiangsu New Energy [4]. - In the water sector, it recommends Changjiang Electric Power and cautiously suggests Huaneng Hydropower [4]. - In the environmental sector, it recommends Yongxing Co. and Xuedilong, while suggesting attention to Huaguang Huaneng and China Tianying [4].

Group 1: Urban Development Policies - The central government has released guidelines for promoting high-quality urban development, aiming for significant progress by 2030 and basic completion by 2035 [1][2] - Key measures include enhancing urban competitiveness, fostering new development drivers, and improving urban living quality through better infrastructure and public services [1][2] Group 2: Artificial Intelligence Initiatives - The State Council has issued a roadmap for the "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative, focusing on six key actions, including technology, industry development, and global cooperation [3][4] - By 2030, the goal is for AI applications to exceed 90% penetration, establishing AI as a crucial growth driver for the economy [3][4] Group 3: Carbon Market Development - A new policy has been introduced to accelerate the construction of a national carbon market, with plans to cover major industrial sectors by 2027 [5][6] - The market will transition from intensity control to total control, combining free and paid allocation methods for carbon emissions [5][6] Group 4: Real Estate Market Adjustments - Shanghai has announced adjustments to its real estate policies, including lifting purchase limits for certain residents outside the city’s outer ring [7] - The changes aim to stimulate the housing market and improve buyer sentiment, following similar moves in other major cities [7] Group 5: Industrial Profit Trends - Industrial profits for large enterprises fell by 1.5% year-on-year in July, but the decline rate has narrowed for two consecutive months, indicating a potential recovery [8][9] - Notably, profits for medium and small enterprises improved, suggesting the effectiveness of policies aimed at supporting these businesses [8][9] Group 6: Stock Market Developments - Cambrian Technology's stock surged by 15.73%, surpassing Kweichow Moutai to become the new stock king in A-shares, with a total increase of 133.86% since late July [10][11] - The company reported significant revenue growth of 4347.82% year-on-year, indicating a strong performance despite potential risks related to stock price volatility [10][11] Group 7: Food Delivery Industry Financials - Major players in the food delivery sector, including Meituan and JD, reported significant profit declines due to intense competition, with Meituan's net profit down 89% [12][13] - Alibaba's financial results also showed a decrease in operating profit, attributed to increased investments in user experience and technology [13]