钢铁ETF（515210）跌超3%，行业供需格局改善，把握回调布局机会。 钢铁ETF（515210）跟踪的是中证钢铁指数（930606），该指数从沪深市场中选取归属于钢铁行业的相 关上市公司证券作为样本，以反映钢铁行业整体表现。指数成分股涵盖普钢、特钢等主要子领域，具有 显著的周期性特征，其走势与宏观经济周期密切相关。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 银河证券指出，2025年前三季度钢铁行业效益显著改善，重点统计企业利润总额同比增长1.9倍，销售 利润率同比上升1.39个百分点至2.1%。供给端反内卷政策持续加码，《钢铁行业稳增长工作方案 （2025-2026年）》提出实施产能产量精准调控，严禁新增产能，推动行业增加值年均增长4%。需求结 构持续优化，制造业用钢占比从2020年的42%升至2024年的50%，高端产品如硅钢产量较2020年增长 48%，其中高磁感取向硅钢占比提升至68%。普钢板块表现突出，利润总额占比达58.38%。行业供需格 局改善，粗钢产量同比下降2.9%，表观消费量下降5.7%，出口同比增长9.2%，净出口量显著上升。基 金持仓同比增加22.44%，显示市场对龙头企业的关注度提升。 ...

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 钢铁行业改善预期获关注，全市场唯一钢铁ETF（515210）盘中涨近1%，昨日净流入超2.6亿元。 银河证券指出，2025年前三季度钢铁行业效益显著改善，重点统计企业利润总额同比增长1.9倍， 销售利润率同比上升1.39个百分点至2.1%。供给端反内卷政策持续加码，《钢铁行业稳增长工作方案 （2025-2026年）》提出实施产量精准调控，严禁新增产能，推动行业增加值年均增长4%。需求结构持 续优化，制造业用钢占比 ...

供给端反内卷政策加码，钢铁品种结构优化升级 中国银河（601881）证券发布研报称，近日钢企陆续发布2025前三季度业绩报告，龙头钢企归母净利润 高增，部分钢企利润同比扭亏为盈，钢铁行业整体盈利能力修复。在供给侧反内卷持续推进的背景下， 钢铁行业产能持续向优质龙头集中;从需求侧看，行业有望受益于制造业升级和AI转型。中长期来看， 该行认为普钢龙头企业有望受益于行业供需格局的改善。建议关注：受益于行业供需格局改善的普钢板 块龙头公司，基本面向好的特钢板块相关龙头公司等。 中国银河证券主要观点如下： 2025前三季度利润修复，行业效益显著改善 2025年前三季度，从业绩来看，中钢协重点统计钢铁企业累计营业收入为4.56万亿元，同比下降2.36%; 营业成本为4.26万亿元，同比下降3.88%，收入降幅小于成本降幅1.52个百分点;利润总额960亿元，同比 增长1.9倍，行业效益相比去年同期明显改善;销售利润率为2.1%，同比上升1.39个百分点。从供需结构 来看，据国家统计局数据，前三季度，全国累计生产粗钢7.46亿吨，同比下降2.9%，预计全年仍将保持 同比下降，实现粗钢产量调控目标;生产生铁6.46亿吨，同比 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the steel industry, indicating a recovery in profitability and a focus on supply-side reforms [4][29]. Core Insights - The steel industry has shown significant improvement in profitability during the first three quarters of 2025, with total profits reaching 96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 190% [4][6]. - The report highlights the implementation of supply-side reforms aimed at optimizing the structure of steel products and controlling production capacity [4][13]. - The demand for steel is expected to benefit from manufacturing upgrades and AI transformation, with a focus on high-end product development [4][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Profit Recovery and Supply-Side Policies - In the first three quarters of 2025, the cumulative operating revenue of key steel enterprises was 4.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.36%, while total profits reached 96 billion yuan, marking a significant recovery [4][6]. - The production of crude steel was 746 million tons, down 2.9% year-on-year, while steel consumption fell by 5.7% [4][6]. - The report notes that the sales profit margin increased to 2.1%, up 1.39 percentage points year-on-year [4][6]. 2. Fund Holdings in the Steel Sector - As of September 30, 2025, the number of fund holdings in the steel sector increased to 41, with a total holding value of 21.99 billion yuan, up 22.44% year-on-year [4][17]. - The report indicates that the steel sector's holdings accounted for 0.50% of total fund holdings, with a notable increase in the number of holdings during the first and third quarters [4][17]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the ordinary steel sector that are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics, as well as companies in the special steel sector with strong fundamentals [4][29].

Core Viewpoint - Anyang Iron and Steel is divesting two loss-making subsidiaries to optimize its asset structure and improve profitability [1][2][6] Group 1: Asset Transfer Details - Anyang Iron and Steel plans to sell 78.1372% of Yongtong Company and 100% of Yuhe Company to its controlling shareholder, Angang Group, for a total of 837 million yuan [2][3] - Yongtong Company reported a net loss of 110 million yuan in 2024, while Yuhe Company had a net loss of approximately 31.72 million yuan [2] - The transaction is classified as a related party transaction and has been approved by the board, pending shareholder approval [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Anyang Iron and Steel achieved a net profit of 58 million yuan, a turnaround from a net loss of 2.176 billion yuan in the same period of 2024 [6] - The company's operating cash flow turned positive, with a net inflow of 1.082 billion yuan in 2025, compared to a net outflow of 1.8 billion yuan in 2024 [6] - Despite a 3.64% decrease in revenue to 23.29 billion yuan, the company managed to reduce operating costs by 21.19% to 14.207 billion yuan [6] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, implementing strategies such as optimizing transportation and enhancing procurement channels [4][6] - Anyang Iron and Steel has invested over 1 billion yuan in R&D annually from 2021 to 2024, with R&D expenses reaching 880 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [5][6] - The company has developed 43 new products in the first half of 2025, contributing to its transition towards high-end steel products [4][5]

Group 1 - The forum focused on the trends and hot topics of intelligent manufacturing under the new development pattern, aiming to promote high-quality development of the real economy [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized that intelligent manufacturing systems with self-perception, self-learning, self-decision-making, self-execution, and self-adaptive functions are expected to drive global industrial transformation [1] - Experts highlighted that data elements have become the core production material for intelligent manufacturing, and the deep integration of artificial intelligence with the entire manufacturing chain is accelerating the reconstruction of the industrial ecosystem [2] Group 2 - XCMG Group is focusing on end-to-end generative R&D, agile manufacturing, smart operations, and digital twin factory construction to enhance global customization and agile delivery capabilities in the engineering machinery sector [2] - Baosteel, as a leader in the global steel industry, is advancing through four stages of development towards an AI-driven predictive manufacturing paradigm, emphasizing green, low-carbon, and high-tech initiatives [3] - SAIC-GM-Wuling is transforming traditional assembly lines into reconfigurable manufacturing islands, achieving a 30% reduction in new product manufacturing investment and a 67% reduction in body changeover time [3] Group 3 - Rockwell Automation is actively promoting high-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing, focusing on digital intelligence and zero-carbon innovation to foster collaborative ecosystems within the industry [4] - The roundtable discussion highlighted the opportunities and challenges in intelligent manufacturing, emphasizing the need for technology implementation, industry collaboration, and scenario adaptation [8] - The continuous advancement towards high-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing in China is expected to accelerate the transition to mid-to-high-end manufacturing, contributing to global economic sustainability and industrial transformation [8]

Core Insights - Hunan Loudi has made significant progress in establishing the "Materials Valley" in Central China since 2022, becoming a global leader in antimony production and a key base for high-strength steel, automotive sheets, electrical steel, hydraulic cylinders, and fasteners [1][2]. Group 1: Industrial Development - Loudi has transformed its economy from a resource-based model to one that emphasizes upgrading traditional industries and developing emerging sectors, with major projects like the Lianyuan Steel cold-rolled silicon steel and SANY's hydraulic cylinders [2]. - The steel new material industry chain has attracted 111 enterprises, generating an annual revenue of 128.55 billion yuan [2]. - Loudi has successfully developed its silicon steel capacity, producing 4.5 million tons of silicon steel substrates, 2 million tons of automotive steel, and 1 million tons of high-strength steel, with special steel accounting for over 70.5% of production [2]. Group 2: Investment and Economic Growth - The "500 Project" under the "Materials Valley" initiative has led to the establishment of numerous industrial projects, including 140 signed projects in the "three electricity" sector (electric motors, power transformers, home appliances) and 21 titanium material projects [4]. - Loudi aims to create a favorable business environment, launching a one-stop service platform for enterprises and implementing cost-reduction measures [4]. - The city's economic total and quality have improved, with GDP growth surpassing the provincial average, and per capita GDP increasing from 43,000 yuan in 2020 to 57,000 yuan in 2024 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 7.37 yuan [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 232.436 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.29%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 35.32% to 7.959 billion yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items rose by 46.43% to 8.036 billion yuan [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 81.064 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.28% and a year-on-year increase of 1.83%. The net profit for Q3 was 3.081 billion yuan, up 26.00% quarter-on-quarter and 130.31% year-on-year [1]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company sold 39.26 million tons of steel, a year-on-year increase of 1.97%. In Q3 alone, steel sales reached 13.95 million tons, marking a 7.39% year-on-year increase and a 6.65% quarter-on-quarter increase [2]. - The gross profit per ton of steel improved in Q3 2025, with the company achieving a gross profit of 451 yuan per ton, an increase of 57 yuan per ton from the previous quarter [2]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on deepening product management and leveraging export opportunities, with differentiated product sales increasing by 13.9% year-on-year to 25.689 million tons [3]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including a 49% stake in Ma Steel, which has led to a significant increase in crude steel production capacity [3]. - Key projects are progressing, including the development of high-end silicon steel and zero-carbon steel products, which will enhance the company's high-end product capacity [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 10.766 billion yuan, 12.195 billion yuan, and 13.567 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are expected to be 15, 13, and 12 [4][8].

Core Viewpoint - New Steel Co., Ltd. is a leading regional player in the steel industry, focusing on high-end steel products and has a strong R&D capability in the electrical steel sector [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, New Steel's revenue was 27.225 billion, ranking 13th among 17 companies in the industry, with Baosteel leading at 232.436 billion [2] - The net profit for the same period was 373 million, placing the company 8th in the industry, with Baosteel at 8.908 billion [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, New Steel's debt-to-asset ratio was 44.41%, lower than the industry average of 63.37% and down from 49.09% the previous year [3] - The gross profit margin was 3.96%, an improvement from -0.50% year-on-year but still below the industry average of 5.68% [3] Group 3: Management and Shareholder Information - The chairman, Liu Jianrong, has extensive experience in steel production and management, while the general manager, Liao Peng, saw an increase in salary to 1.0961 million, up 83,800 from the previous year [4] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 11.78% to 38,200, while the average number of shares held per shareholder increased by 13.35% to 82,400 [5] Group 4: Market Outlook and Predictions - The company is expected to see significant improvements in profitability, with projected net profits of 680 million, 950 million, and 1.17 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - High-end product sales have increased significantly, with hot-rolled high-end products up 97.6%, and other premium products also showing strong growth [6]

Core Insights - The Chinese steel industry is experiencing a mixed performance in 2023, with a slight decline in revenue but a significant increase in profit, indicating improved industry efficiency [1][5][6] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2023, key steel enterprises reported a total revenue of 4.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.36%, while operating costs fell by 3.88% to 4.26 trillion yuan, resulting in a profit of 96 billion yuan, which is a 1.9-fold increase compared to the previous year [1][5] - The sales profit margin for the industry was 2.10%, up by 1.39 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a recovery in profitability [5][6] - Steel production reached 746 million tons, a 2.9% decline year-on-year, while steel consumption fell by 5.7% to 649 million tons, marking the fifth consecutive year of decline in apparent consumption [3][5] Group 2: Export and Import Trends - Steel exports increased by 9.2% to 87.96 million tons, while imports decreased by 12.6% to 4.53 million tons, resulting in a net export of 96.76 million tons, a 21.0% increase [3][5] - The average export price of steel was $697 per ton, down 9.5% year-on-year, while the average import price rose to $1,692 per ton, an increase of 1.1% [3][5] Group 3: Industry Challenges and Outlook - The steel industry faces challenges such as insufficient effective demand, weakening export expectations, and increasing supply-demand contradictions, which hinder stable operations and recovery of benefits [1][2] - The industry is expected to achieve its best economic performance since 2022 in the fourth quarter if it adheres to production and sales principles [1][6] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives and Future Goals - The "Steel Industry Growth Stabilization Work Plan (2025-2026)" aims for an average annual growth of 4% in industrial added value, with a focus on efficiency and quality rather than expansion [2][9] - The industry is shifting towards high-end, green, and digital development, with significant increases in R&D investment and a focus on optimizing product structure [7][8][9] - By 2024, the proportion of steel used in manufacturing is expected to rise to 50%, while the share for construction is projected to decline to 50% [7]