| ESUN | -MON | 二TUE | =WED | 四THU | 五FRI | 六SAT | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 01元旦 | 02+四 | 03+五 | | | | | | 美国至12月26日 | 美国12月标普 | 2026年FOMC | | | | | | 当周EIA天然气 | 全球制造业PMI | 票委、费城联 | | | | | | 库存(2025) | 终值 (2025) | 储主席保尔森 | | | | | | | 欧元区12月制 | 发表讲话 | | | | | | | 造业PMl终值 | | | | | | | | (2025) | | | 04+六 | 05小寒 | 06+// | 07+九 | 08=+ | 09 +- | 10+= | | | 中国12月RATING- | 美国12月标普全 | 中国12月外汇 | 美国至1月3日当周 | 中国12月CPI、 | 美国至1月9日 | | | DOG服务业PMI | 球服务业PMl终值 | 储备(2025) | 初请失业金人数 | PPI (20 ...

12月16日公布的数据显示，美国11月失业率从前值4.4%大幅升至4.6%，远超预期值4.4%。这反映出美 国的就业市场出现了加速恶化的情况。在这样的情况下，美联储在明年（2026年）1月继续降息的可能 性在增大。 同时公布的美国10月零售销售月率从前值0.1%降至0%，不及预期的0.1%。零售销售增长的停滞显露出 美国经济中最重要支柱消费的乏力。如果美国经济中的消费出现大幅下行的情况，那么美国经济也极有 可能出现疲软，甚至衰退。 美国11月非农就业人口为6.4万人，略高于预期值5万人，但是仍然处于低位。这也在一个侧面表明美国 的就业市场的不景气。 虽然美联储主席鲍威尔在不久前结束的12月议息会议后的记者招待会上表示，美联储未来可能更加关注 通货膨胀的反弹而非就业状况，不过如果美国的就业市场继续恶化，那么美联储责无旁贷地会继续降息 进程，甚至加速降息。 特朗普总统也一直催促美联储加快降息步伐，以便降低美国国债的融资成本。如果美国联邦基金利率水 平降至很低的水平，那么美国国债规模将迎来再一次的大幅膨胀，美国资本市场的泡沫就会再一次膨 胀。 JerryZang 免责声明：本文内容及观点仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议 ...

摘要北京时间周二（12月16日）亚市盘中，美元指数交投于98.270附近，现货黄金开盘于4305.12美元/ 盎司，目前交投于4304.36美元/盎司附近，黄金t+d交投于969.35元/克附近，沪金主力交投于974.24元/克 附近。 【要闻速递】 北京时间周二（12月16日）亚市盘中，美元指数交投于98.270附近，现货黄金开盘于4305.12美元/盎 司，目前交投于4304.36美元/盎司附近，黄金t+d交投于969.35元/克附近，沪金主力交投于974.24元/克附 近。 上一交易日美元指数收跌0.12%，报98.276，现货黄金收涨0.11%，报4304.30美元/盎司。在现货黄金下 跌之际，其他贵金属涨跌不一：现货白银收涨3.28%，报64.04美元/盎司；现货铂金收涨2.26%，报 1784.60美元/盎司；现货钯金收涨5.73%，至1572.50美元/盎司。 【最新数据一览】 12月15日COMEX黄金库存1118.71吨，较前一交易日减少0.01吨；COMEX白银库存14138.42吨，较前一 交易日增加37.34吨。 12月15日SPDR黄金ETF持仓1051.69吨，较前一个交易日减少1 ...

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 98.298, while spot silver opened at $64.07/oz and is currently around $63.55/oz, indicating a slight decline [1] - On December 15, the dollar index fell by 0.12% to close at 98.276, while spot silver rose by 3.28% to $64.04/oz, driven by a weaker dollar and declining US Treasury yields [1] - COMEX silver inventory increased by 37.34 tons to 14,138.42 tons on December 15, while silver ETF holdings decreased by 42.3 tons to 16,102.9 tons [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve is considering a rate cut in December due to slowing employment and easing inflation risks, as indicated by various Fed officials [2] - The US delegation in Berlin is insisting on Ukraine ceding the Donbas region, with Ukraine expected to receive security guarantees similar to NATO's Article 5 [2] - The silver market experienced a strong rally after a brief decline, with the daily high reaching $64.16 and closing at $64.071, indicating bullish sentiment [3]

Group 1 - The long-term support level for the monthly chart is at 3230, indicating a bullish outlook for long-term investors [1] - The weekly chart shows a support level at 3900, suggesting a medium-term bullish sentiment [1] - The daily chart indicates a bearish trend with a support level at 4090, which may signal short-term selling opportunities [1] Group 2 - The monthly chart for oil indicates a resistance level at 63.40, reflecting a long-term bearish outlook [3] - The weekly chart shows a resistance level at 60.30, suggesting a medium-term bearish sentiment [3] - The daily chart indicates a resistance level at 59.30, reinforcing the bearish trend [3] Group 3 - Key economic data to watch includes Germany's Q3 GDP final value at 15:00, UK CBI retail sales at 19:00, and Alibaba's earnings call at 20:30 [5] - Additional important U.S. economic indicators include September retail sales at 21:30, PPI year-on-year and month-on-month at 21:30, and FHFA house price index at 22:00 [5] - The report also highlights the importance of the consumer confidence index and Richmond Fed manufacturing index, both scheduled for 23:00 [5]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Focus on key economic events and data releases scheduled for Friday, November 21, including Japan's core CPI, UK retail sales, and manufacturing PMI for France, Germany, and the Eurozone [1][2] - Key Point 2: Specific times for data releases include Japan's core CPI at 07:30, UK retail sales at 15:00, and various manufacturing PMIs at 16:15, 16:30, and 17:00 [1] - Key Point 3: Canada’s retail sales data for September will be released at 21:30 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Barr and Vice Chair Jefferson, are scheduled to speak on the same day, which may influence market sentiment [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the UK retail sales for September showed a month-on-month increase of 0.5%, with the previous value revised from 0.50% to 0.6% [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. August retail sales month-on-month rate is expected to be 0.3%, down from the previous value of 0.5% [1] - The U.S. August industrial production month-on-month rate is anticipated to be 0%, an improvement from the previous value of -0.1% [2] - The U.S. crude oil inventory change for the week ending September 12 is expected to show an increase from the previous value of 3.939 million barrels [3] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 93.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the policy rate range to 4%–4.25% [4] - The Bank of Japan is anticipated to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 0.5% and keep the 10-year government bond yield target unchanged [5]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Eurozone June retail sales month-on-month data will be released at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 2: The US Global Supply Chain Pressure Index for July will be published at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 3: EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending August 1 will be disclosed at 22:30 [1] - Key Point 4: EIA Cushing crude oil inventory data for the week ending August 1 will be revealed at 22:30 [1] - Key Point 5: Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory data for the week ending August 1 will be announced at 22:30 [1] - Key Point 6: The US 10-year Treasury auction results, including the bid rate, will be published at 01:00 [1] - Key Point 7: The bid-to-cover ratio for the US 10-year Treasury auction will be released at 01:00 [1] - Key Point 8: Federal Reserve's Collins will speak on the US and global economy at 02:00 [1] - Key Point 9: Federal Reserve Governor Cook will address the US and global economy at 02:00 [1] - Key Point 10: Federal Reserve's Daly will give a speech at 04:10 [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Italy's seasonally adjusted retail sales increased by 0.6% in June, surpassing the expected growth of 0.3% and recovering from a previous decline of 0.4% [1]