炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 作者 | 第一财经 王方然 过去仅需简单注册即可参与，如今必须提交身份证、银行卡照片等资料，并通过人工审核，整个过程往 往耗时一整天。这是水贝黄金"预定价交易"平台的最新门槛。 两个月前，深圳市黄金珠宝首饰行业协会发出警示函，明确提示水贝地区部分黄金公司开展的"预定价 交易"可能涉嫌违法，（详见《独家|多人爆仓！高杠杆、假收益、"托儿"全上场，水贝黄金预定价交易 是这样的危险赌局》）但第一财者调查发现，这类交易并未收敛，反而以更隐蔽的方式、更复杂的规 则，继续野蛮生长。 一个显著的变化是，部分平台已不再主打"预定价"概念，转而推出"定价结算"模式。用户支付定金后， 可在约定期限内按实时金价结算盈亏，无需交割实物黄金。有平台声称，仅凭1万元保证金即可交易价 值约百万元的黄金，杠杆比例接近100倍。 不仅如此，市场参与主体正在悄然改变。多位业内人士告诉第一财经，此前的交易主导方，多为本地懂 行的黄金料商，如今却涌入大量毫无黄金交易经验的新玩家。这些新兴团队大多只参与线上电子盘交 易，几乎不涉及实物交割，背后的风险正持续积聚。 按要求完成转账 ...

过去仅需简单注册即可参与，如今必须提交身份证、银行卡照片等资料，并通过人工审核，整个过程往往耗时一整天。这是水贝黄 金"预定价交易"平台的最新门槛。 两个月前，深圳市黄金珠宝首饰行业协会发出警示函，明确提示水贝地区部分黄金公司开展的"预定价交易"可能涉嫌违法，但第一 财者调查发现，这类交易并未收敛，反而以更隐蔽的方式、更复杂的规则，继续野蛮生长。 一个显著的变化是，部分平台已不再主打"预定价"概念，转而推出"定价结算"模式。用户支付定金后，可在约定期限内按实时金价 结算盈亏，无需交割实物黄金。有平台声称，仅凭1万元保证金即可交易价值约百万元的黄金，杠杆比例接近100倍。 不仅如此，市场参与主体正在悄然改变。多位业内人士告诉第一财经，此前的交易主导方，多为本地懂行的黄金料商，如今却涌入 大量毫无黄金交易经验的新玩家。这些新兴团队大多只参与线上电子盘交易，几乎不涉及实物交割，背后的风险正持续积聚。 （一家小程序开通预定价交易的人工审核确认页面） 经过多重审核，预定价交易页面展示的均为"不含税"价格。在"中X交易"平台的行情页面上，黄金回购价与销售价分别标注为941元/ 克和943元/克，明确为不含税价格。记者实际 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current dynamics in the gold and silver markets, highlighting the impact of soaring gold prices on consumer behavior and the shift towards silver as an alternative investment option [1][11]. Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - The gold price has surged significantly, reaching 988 yuan per gram, up from 796 yuan in early September, reflecting a rapid increase that has left many young consumers hesitant to purchase [3][10]. - Many young consumers express regret for not buying gold earlier when prices were lower, with some opting for smaller gold items or even considering renting gold for wedding purposes to manage costs [3][4][10]. - The market has seen an increase in gold recycling activities, with more consumers looking to sell their gold at high prices, leading to a widening gap between buying and selling prices [8][10]. Group 2: Shift to Silver - As gold prices remain high, younger consumers are increasingly turning to silver, which has seen a price increase of over 84% year-to-date, outperforming gold [11][12]. - The demand for silver is evident in the market, with quick purchases being made, such as a buyer who ordered two silver bars within ten minutes, indicating a shift in investment strategy [11][12]. Group 3: Emerging Risks in Gold Trading - The rise in gold prices has led to the emergence of risky trading practices, with reports of gold traders engaging in high-leverage betting schemes that deviate from traditional gold trading [14][15]. - The Shenzhen Gold and Jewelry Association has issued warnings about illegal activities in the market, highlighting the risks associated with speculative trading that could lead to significant financial losses for investors [14][15].

Group 1: Gold Price Movement - Gold prices surged on October 13, reaching a peak of $4060 per ounce, with COMEX gold rising over 1.7% and breaking through $4070 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices also increased, with notable rises in prices from various brands: Chow Tai Fook at 1190 CNY per gram (up 0.85%), Lao Feng Xiang at 1182 CNY per gram (up 0.85%), and Chow Sang Sang at 1188 CNY per gram (up 1.02%) [2][1] Group 2: Regulatory Issues in the Gold Jewelry Industry - The Shenzhen Gold Jewelry Association issued a warning on October 11 regarding three gold jewelry companies in the Shui Bei area, which were found to be involved in illegal gambling activities disguised as gold trading [3] - These companies were conducting "non-physical gold betting" through online platforms, which deviated from normal operations in the gold jewelry sector and disrupted market order [3][10] - The association highlighted the risks associated with high-leverage "gold investment" activities that some businesses were promoting, which could lead to significant financial losses for investors [7][8] Group 3: Investor Experiences and Risks - An investor from Guangdong shared her experience with a "pre-priced trading" model, where she lost nearly 400,000 CNY due to forced liquidation after being advised to bet against rising gold prices [9] - The trading model involved paying a small deposit to lock in future gold prices, but it did not involve actual gold purchases, exposing investors to high risks of loss [8][9] Group 4: Industry Response and Recommendations - The Shenzhen Gold Jewelry Association is encouraging merchants to use legitimate hedging tools to manage price volatility and is promoting self-regulation within the industry [10] - The association also emphasizes the importance of reliable information for investors to make informed decisions in the gold market [10]

Core Insights - The article highlights the risks associated with leveraged gold trading platforms that target retail investors, revealing a pattern of significant losses among participants due to sudden price surges in gold [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The gold price has surged significantly, with London gold reaching $3985 per ounce, marking an increase of over 50% year-to-date [2][3] - Retail investors are drawn into high-leverage gold trading, with some platforms offering leverage as high as 80 times, allowing participants to engage in speculative trading with minimal initial capital [11][12] Group 2: Investor Experiences - Individual investors, such as Wang Hua and Hu Rong, experienced catastrophic losses due to the volatile nature of gold prices and the high leverage employed in their trades, leading to forced liquidations of their accounts [3][4][19] - Many investors reported being influenced by social media and peer pressure within trading groups, which often showcased misleading profit screenshots, creating a false sense of security [14][15] Group 3: Regulatory Concerns - The article discusses the lack of effective risk management and regulatory oversight in the gold pre-order trading market, with many platforms failing to hedge their risks adequately [17][18] - There are indications that some platforms may engage in fraudulent practices, such as collecting deposits without the intention of fulfilling contracts, potentially leading to legal repercussions for both the platforms and the investors involved [20]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging risks associated with a high-leverage gold trading model in the Shenzhen Shui Bei market, particularly focusing on the sudden closure of a gold trading company, Shenzhen Yue Baoxin Precious Metals Co., Ltd, which has left many merchants and customers unable to retrieve their funds and gold materials [2][5][9]. Group 1: Trading Model and Risks - The prevalent trading method allows buyers to lock in the price of gold by paying a deposit of approximately 2.4% to 3% of the actual gold price, significantly lower than the typical 10% margin required for gold futures trading [2][10]. - This model has led some traders to engage in speculative practices, such as short-selling, where they do not purchase the gold immediately but wait for prices to drop before fulfilling orders, exposing them to substantial risks if prices rise instead [3][16][17]. - The leverage involved in these transactions can reach 30 to 50 times, creating a scenario where small price fluctuations can lead to significant financial losses or gains for traders [12][15]. Group 2: Company Closure and Impact - On September 13, 2023, Yue Baoxin announced its closure due to the freezing of its bank accounts and the disappearance of its legal representative, leaving many clients unable to access their funds or gold [5][9]. - Reports indicate that affected merchants have suffered significant losses, with one gold shop in Henan losing over 900,000 yuan worth of gold due to the company's abrupt exit [8][9]. - The Shenzhen Gold and Jewelry Association has stated that while some companies are facing issues, the situation has been exaggerated on social media, and many businesses continue to operate normally [9]. Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Concerns - The trading model may be classified as illegal due to its resemblance to futures trading, which is subject to strict regulations. The low deposit requirement and the speculative nature of the transactions raise concerns about potential fraud and illegal operations [20][21][22]. - Legal experts suggest that the practices of these traders could lead to accusations of contract fraud or illegal business operations, especially if they fail to deliver on their agreements [21][23]. - Historical cases have shown that similar trading practices have been deemed illegal by courts, reinforcing the need for regulatory scrutiny in the gold trading sector [22][23].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging risks associated with a high-leverage trading model in the gold market, particularly focusing on the case of Shenzhen's Yue Baoxin Precious Metals Co., which has reportedly ceased operations, leaving many merchants unable to retrieve their funds and gold materials [3][4][10]. Group 1: Trading Model and Risks - In the Shenzhen Shui Bei gold market, a pre-order pricing trading model allows buyers to lock in gold prices by paying a deposit of approximately 2.4% to 3% of the actual gold price, significantly lower than the typical 10% margin required for gold futures trading [4][12]. - This model has led some traders to engage in speculative practices, such as short-selling, where they do not purchase the corresponding gold immediately, hoping to buy it back at a lower price later [4][20]. - The leverage in this trading model can reach 30 to 50 times, as evidenced by a case where a buyer pays only 20 yuan to lock in the price of 1 gram of gold, which is significantly less than the required margin in standard futures trading [16][18]. Group 2: Incident of Yue Baoxin - Yue Baoxin, established in August 2023, abruptly closed its doors, citing the freezing of company bank accounts and the disappearance of its legal representative, leading to significant financial losses for its clients [6][9]. - Reports indicate that the company may have been involved in risky trading practices, with clients unable to retrieve their gold or funds, resulting in police investigations [7][10]. - The incident has sparked rumors of a broader trend of "material merchants" fleeing the market, although the Shenzhen Gold and Jewelry Association has stated that many businesses continue to operate normally [11][12]. Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Implications - The trading practices employed by companies like Yue Baoxin may be classified as illegal operations or fraud, as they involve collecting deposits without actual gold reserves or hedging capabilities, potentially constituting contract fraud [28][29]. - Legal experts suggest that the nature of these transactions resembles futures trading, which is subject to strict regulations, and could lead to significant legal repercussions for those involved [29][30]. - Historical cases have shown that similar trading models have been deemed illegal by courts, reinforcing the potential for severe legal consequences for companies engaging in such practices [30][31].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging risks associated with a high-leverage gold trading model in the Shenzhen Shui Bei market, particularly focusing on the case of Shenzhen Yue Baoxin Precious Metals Co., which has reportedly ceased operations and left many clients unable to retrieve their funds or gold [1][3][7]. Group 1: Trading Model and Risks - The pre-set price trading model allows buyers to lock in gold prices by paying a deposit of approximately 2.4% to 3% of the actual gold price, significantly lower than the typical 10% margin required in standard gold futures trading [1][12][20]. - This model has led to some traders acting as "speculators," engaging in practices such as short-selling, where they do not purchase the gold immediately, hoping to buy it at a lower price later [2][15]. - The high leverage involved in this trading model can lead to substantial financial losses for traders if gold prices rise unexpectedly, as they may be forced to buy at higher prices to fulfill their obligations [16][20]. Group 2: Company Specifics - Shenzhen Yue Baoxin was established in August 2023 and primarily engaged in the sale, wholesale, recycling, and processing of jewelry [5]. - Following the company's abrupt closure, many clients reported being unable to retrieve their gold or funds, with one client citing a loss of over 900,000 yuan worth of gold [6][7]. - The company’s sudden disappearance has raised concerns about a potential wave of similar incidents in the Shui Bei market, although the Shenzhen Jewelry Association has stated that many businesses are still operating normally [7][20]. Group 3: Legal Implications - The trading practices employed by companies like Yue Baoxin may be classified as illegal operations or fraud, as they involve collecting deposits without actual gold reserves or the ability to hedge risks properly [21][22]. - Legal experts suggest that such practices could lead to criminal charges for contract fraud or illegal business operations, as they resemble characteristics of futures trading without proper regulatory oversight [20][21]. - Historical cases have shown that similar trading models have been deemed illegal by courts, leading to penalties for those involved [22].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the risks associated with a high-leverage gold trading model in the Shenzhen Shui Bei market, particularly focusing on the sudden closure of a gold trading company, Shenzhen Yue Baoxin Precious Metals Co., Ltd, which has left many merchants unable to retrieve their funds and gold materials [1][3][7]. Group 1: Trading Model and Risks - The pre-set price trading model allows buyers to lock in the price of gold by paying a deposit of approximately 2.4% to 3% of the actual gold price, significantly lower than the typical 10% margin required for gold futures trading [1][12][20]. - This model has led to a high leverage ratio, with some transactions exhibiting leverage as high as 30 to 50 times, creating substantial risk for traders [13][18]. - Some traders may engage in speculative practices, such as short selling, by not purchasing the gold immediately and instead waiting for prices to drop, which can lead to significant losses if prices rise unexpectedly [2][15][16]. Group 2: Company Closure and Impact - Shenzhen Yue Baoxin announced its closure due to the freezing of its bank accounts and the disappearance of its legal representative, affecting numerous merchants who had transactions with the company [3][5][6]. - Reports indicate that the closure has resulted in financial losses for various merchants, with one gold shop reportedly losing over 900,000 yuan worth of gold [6][7]. - The incident has raised concerns about a potential wave of similar closures among other trading companies in the Shui Bei market, although the Shenzhen Gold and Jewelry Association has stated that many businesses are still operating normally [7][20]. Group 3: Legal and Regulatory Concerns - The trading practices employed by companies like Yue Baoxin may be classified as illegal operations or fraud, as they resemble futures trading without proper regulatory oversight [21][22]. - Legal experts suggest that the collection of deposits under the guise of price locking could constitute contract fraud, especially if there is no actual gold reserve or hedging capability [21][22]. - Previous court cases have ruled similar trading practices as illegal, indicating a potential for significant legal repercussions for companies engaging in these high-risk trading models [22].