来源：中国能源网 中银证券近日发布化工行业周报：本周（12.22-12.28）国际油价持平，WTI原油期货价格收于56.74美 元/桶，收盘价周涨幅0.14%布伦特原油期货价格收于60.64美元/桶，收盘价周涨幅0.28%。宏观方面，根 据新华网消息，乌克兰总统泽连斯基称当地时间22日深夜至23日凌晨乌遭俄大规模袭击，多地能源设施 受损。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资建议 截至12月27日，SW基础化工市盈率（TTM剔除负值）为25.60倍，处在历史（2002年至今）76.58%分位 数；市净率为2.33倍，处在历史61.10%分位数。SW石油石化市盈率（TTM剔除负值）为13.17倍，处在 历史（2002年至今）37.56%分位数；市净率为1.28倍，处在历史36.98%分位数。今年以来，行业受关税 相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，十二月份建议关注：1、低估值行业龙头公司；2、"反 内卷"对相关子行业供给端影响；3、自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司与涨价背景下的部分新能 源材料公司。中长期推荐投资主线：1、政策加持下需求有望复苏，供给端持续优化，优秀龙头企业业 绩估值有望双提升。2、下游行业快速 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights a significant shift in the U.S. energy landscape, driven by a surge in renewable energy projects, particularly solar and battery storage, while also noting a substantial increase in planned natural gas and storage projects for the long term [3][6][7]. Group 1: Renewable Energy Growth - Solar and battery storage projects are expected to dominate the new capacity additions in the short term, with solar projects alone accounting for 94% and 99% of the new capacity forecasted by Goldman Sachs for the next two years [1][6]. - In the first nine months of the year, over 90% of the 32 GW of new capacity added was from solar and battery storage [4]. - The current planning for solar projects has reached a historical high of 122 GW, while natural gas and storage projects have seen increases of 127% and 60%, respectively, reaching 40 GW and 67 GW [3][5]. Group 2: Project Delays and Challenges - Despite strong growth, the article emphasizes that the high rate of project delays remains a significant challenge, with 36.5% of planned solar projects and 38.6% of planned wind projects facing delays of over six months [5]. - In contrast, natural gas projects have a much lower delay rate of 11.2%, indicating better execution efficiency [5]. Group 3: Long-term Planning and Labor Shortages - Looking ahead, there is a clear shift in project timelines, with most renewable energy projects expected to come online between 2026 and 2027, while a significant number of natural gas projects are planned for 2028 to 2030 [6][7]. - Labor shortages are identified as a critical constraint on achieving energy growth targets, with an estimated need for over 500,000 new jobs in the electricity and grid sectors by 2030 [8][10]. - The aging workforce is a concern, as 30% of electricians are nearing retirement, and training skilled workers takes 3-5 years [9].