Workflow
CoWoP工艺
icon
Search documents
PCB是十问十答:AI算力与终端创新共振,PCB重塑高密度连接格局
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-28 14:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the PCB industry [2]. Core Insights - The industry is entering a new AI-driven cycle, fundamentally changing demand structures. The construction of AI server clusters is leading to simultaneous upgrades in PCB demand and pricing. The expected market for wired communication PCBs will reach 206.9 billion RMB by 2027, with a CAGR of 20% over the next two years [4]. - High-end PCBs are expected to remain in tight supply until 2027, with major global manufacturers expanding production aggressively. The combined output of 13 leading PCB manufacturers is projected to reach 186 billion RMB by 2027, with a CAGR of 54% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. - The trend towards high-end PCB manufacturing is accelerating due to technological iterations and material upgrades. The industry is expected to see a three-pronged evolution in materials, processes, and architectures driven by AI [4]. - The demand surge and profit improvement in upstream materials present opportunities for domestic substitution. The price of copper-clad laminates has risen significantly, and domestic manufacturers are making notable progress in high-end materials [4]. - The PCB industry is experiencing a long-term trend of simultaneous growth in volume, price, and structure, driven by AI. The report recommends focusing on leading companies with high-end manufacturing capabilities and overseas delivery layouts [4]. Summary by Sections AI-Driven Growth - The AI cycle is expected to drive significant growth in PCB demand, particularly in AI servers, high-speed switches, and optical modules. The total market for wired communication PCBs is projected to reach 1,433 billion RMB by 2025 and 1,815 billion RMB by 2026 [19]. Production Capacity Expansion - Major PCB manufacturers are announcing aggressive expansion plans, with significant investments in new production facilities in Southeast Asia and domestic high-end capacity [15]. Technological Advancements - The report highlights the rapid adoption of mSAP technology in AI servers and switches, which is essential for meeting the demands of high-density signal transmission [4][21]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the global PCB market is expected to face a supply-demand gap of nearly 20 billion RMB by 2026, although this gap is anticipated to narrow by 2027 [19]. Key Players - The report identifies leading companies such as Huada Technology, Jingwang Electronics, and Shenghong Technology as key players to watch in the PCB industry due to their high-end manufacturing capabilities and strategic expansion plans [4].
东威科技(688700):CoWoP搭配HDI带动高端电镀设备需求,设备龙头有望充分受益
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-19 14:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Dongwei Technology (688700) [1] Core Views - The demand for high-end electroplating equipment is expected to increase due to the CoWoP technology combined with HDI, positioning the company to benefit significantly [7] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth in HDI electroplating equipment demand, supported by its advanced technology and product offerings [7] Financial Forecasts - Projected total revenue (in million RMB) for 2023A is 909.23, with a decline of 10.13% year-on-year, and is expected to rise to 1,266.38 by 2027E, reflecting a growth of 11.45% [1] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company (in million RMB) is 151.43 for 2023A, with a significant drop of 29.01% year-on-year, expected to recover to 224.36 by 2027E, showing a growth of 21.48% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.51 for 2023A, increasing to 0.75 by 2027E [1] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is 94.25, with future projections of 206.03 for 2024A, decreasing to 63.61 by 2027E [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 47.83 RMB, with a market capitalization of 14,272.54 million RMB [5] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 8.15 and a one-year price range of 16.95 to 51.00 RMB [5] Key Technologies and Market Trends - The CoWoP process is emerging as a mainstream packaging technology, simplifying processes and reducing transmission losses, which is crucial for the PCB industry [7] - The MSAP and SAP processes are identified as key technologies for achieving HDI, driving the demand for high-value electroplating equipment [7] - The company’s horizontal electroplating equipment is validated by leading customers, indicating a promising domestic replacement trend [7]
帝尔激光(300776):CoWoP搭配HDI带动激光微孔设备需求,设备龙头有望充分受益
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-19 13:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The demand for laser micro-hole equipment is expected to increase due to the adoption of CoWoP technology combined with HDI, positioning the company to benefit significantly [7] - The company's TGV laser micro-hole equipment is technologically advanced, meeting the stringent quality requirements of high-end HDI PCBs, and is already being utilized in semiconductor and display chip packaging [7] - The financial forecasts indicate a steady growth in revenue and net profit, with projected net profits of 6.4 billion, 7.2 billion, and 7.6 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to dynamic P/E ratios of 31, 28, and 26 times [7][8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,014 million RMB in 2024 to 3,177 million RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.96% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 643 million RMB in 2025 to 760 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 5.57% in the final year [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.93 RMB in 2024 to 2.78 RMB in 2027 [1][8]
东吴证券:算力需求上行+新工艺涌现 看好PCB设备需求持续向好
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 13:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the demand for computing power is driving the growth of the PCB industry, with global server sales expected to reach $95.2 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 134.1%, and the global server market projected to reach $366 billion in 2025, up 44.6% year-on-year [1] - The PCB market is expected to grow from 73.565 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, to 78.562 billion yuan in 2025, with a further increase in growth rate to 6.8% [1] - The server/storage segment is projected to generate a revenue of 10.916 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 33%, accounting for approximately 15% of the PCB market [1] Group 2 - The drilling, exposure, and testing processes are identified as the core stages of PCB production, with drilling equipment accounting for about 20% of the total industry value, while exposure and testing equipment account for 17% and 15%, respectively [2] - The demand for multilayer boards, HDI, and high-frequency boards is increasing due to the high growth in PCB demand driven by computing server needs, with HDI boards requiring higher precision in drilling, exposure, and plating processes [2] - The CoWoP process is emerging as a new packaging technology that simplifies the manufacturing steps and requires PCBs to have high-density wiring and precision, leading to increased demands on drilling, exposure, and plating processes [3]
机械设备行业点评报告:算力需求上行+新工艺涌现,看好PCB设备需求持续向好
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-15 04:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the PCB equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The demand for computing power is increasing, driving capital expenditure in the PCB industry. According to IDC, global server sales are expected to reach $95.2 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 134.1%. The global server market is projected to grow to $366 billion in 2025, up 44.6% year-on-year. This demand is expected to boost the PCB market, which is forecasted to reach 73.565 billion yuan in 2024, a 5.8% increase, and 78.562 billion yuan in 2025, a 6.8% increase [1][2] - The core processes in PCB production include drilling, exposure, and testing, which are critical for high-end board processing. The value of drilling equipment accounts for approximately 20% of the entire industry chain, while exposure and testing equipment account for 17% and 15%, respectively. The increasing demand for multilayer boards and HDI boards is driving the need for high-precision drilling and exposure technologies [2][3] - The emergence of CoWoP technology simplifies the packaging process by allowing chips to be directly packaged onto PCB boards, requiring high-density wiring and precision. This shift towards high-density and high-precision PCBs will increase the value of related equipment in drilling, exposure, and plating processes [3] Summary by Sections - **Market Demand**: The PCB market is expected to grow significantly due to the rising demand for servers, with a notable increase in the production value of server/storage applications [1][2] - **Production Processes**: Key production processes such as drilling, exposure, and testing are becoming more complex, necessitating advancements in equipment and technology [2] - **Investment Recommendations**: The report suggests focusing on companies involved in core PCB production processes, particularly in drilling (e.g., Dazhu CNC), exposure (e.g., Chipbond), and plating (e.g., Dongwei Technology) [4]