中金点睛"本周精选"栏目将带您回顾本周深受读者欢迎的研究报告。 01 银行 Industry 稳定币对金融体系的潜在影响 >>点击图片查看全文<< 稳定币是一类币值锚定特定资产（通常为法定货币）的加密货币，是连接去中心化金融系统（Defi）和传统金融体系的桥梁，也是去中心化金融系统 （Defi）的重要基础设施。近期美国通过稳定币法案，成为美国首个为稳定币建立监管框架的法案，填补了这一领域的监管空白。时隔仅两天，中国 香港也通过了功能类似的稳定币法案，有助于中国香港参与全球数字金融中心竞争，巩固国际金融中心地位。稳定币是传统金融体系和去中心化金融 体系（Defi）之间的"桥梁"，继欧盟之后，美国和中国香港都推出了针对稳定币的监管框架，成为加密货币融入主流金融体系的重要一步。去中心化 金融迎来发展机遇的同时或将加深与传统金融体系的融合，亦对全球金融体系带来新的挑战与风险，我们尝试分析潜在影响。 图表：加密资产初具货币和金融体系的特征 资料来源：中金公司研究部 >>点击图片跳转报告原文<< 2025.06.15 | 林英奇 周基明等 02 策略 Strategy 缪延亮：货币秩序重构下的资产变局 >>点击图片查看全 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has experienced fluctuations due to the impact of "reciprocal tariffs," with the Hang Seng Index dropping below the emotional low point from the previous trade friction, but stabilizing around the support level of 20,500 points before rebounding. Recent optimism in U.S.-China tariff negotiations and the performance of sectors like new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals have contributed to a new round of market increases, although the index has struggled to break through the 23,000-24,000 range [1][2][4]. Group 1 - Since the implementation of reciprocal tariffs on April 2, the Hong Kong stock market has underperformed compared to global markets, with increasing concentration and crowding in sectors such as new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, essential retail, and banking, while sectors like discretionary retail and consumer services lagged behind [1][2][4]. - The sharp decline in Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (Hibor) since early May, with the 1-month Hibor dropping from 4.1% to 0.6%, indicates a significant increase in short-term liquidity, which has positively influenced market trends, particularly for growth stocks concentrated in new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals [8][9][25]. - The decline in Hibor is attributed to the automatic operations of the currency board system under the linked exchange rate regime, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) injecting substantial liquidity to maintain the currency peg, resulting in a significant drop in Hibor rates [11][14][17]. Group 2 - The HKMA's liquidity injection was notably larger than historical norms, with a total of 1,294 billion HKD injected in just four days, leading to a rapid decline in the 1-month Hibor to 0.5% and a swift depreciation of the Hong Kong dollar towards the weak end of the peg [18][20][34]. - The influx of liquidity, combined with a weaker U.S. dollar and positive signals from U.S.-China negotiations, has supported the overall performance of the Hong Kong stock market, particularly benefiting crowded trades in growth sectors [26][30][41]. - The current market environment is characterized by an excess of liquidity ("funding boom") and limited returns ("asset scarcity"), leading to concentrated trading in sectors like new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals, with trading volumes reaching historical highs [27][28][49]. Group 3 - The outlook for Hibor suggests that it is unlikely to decrease further, with potential tightening of liquidity expected as the HKMA may need to intervene to maintain the weak end of the peg, especially as the Hong Kong dollar approaches the 7.85 threshold [38][41]. - The market may face challenges due to the potential for liquidity tightening, the impact of ongoing U.S.-China tariff negotiations, and the pressure from a high number of IPOs and placements, which could increase supply and affect stock performance [41][42][46]. - Investors are advised to consider adjusting their positions, potentially shifting towards dividend-paying stocks or waiting for opportunities to acquire quality assets at lower costs, particularly in light of the current market volatility [50].