小鹏41,581辆，同比+94.7%，环比+10.3%； 蔚来34,749辆，同比+64.1%，环比+11.0%； 民生证券近日发布新势力系列点评二十三：乘联会初步推算本月狭义乘用车零售总市场 规模约为215.0万辆左右，同比+2.0%，环比+6.5%，其中新能源零售预计可达125万，渗透 率约为58.1%。9月6家样本新势力车企（不含小米）合计交付224,308辆，同比+19.9%，环比 +12.6%。9月国家继续规范新能源汽车竞争秩序，市场终端折扣维持稳定，价格体系趋于稳 定；渗透率持续攀升并创历史新高，对整体车市形成有力支撑。 以下为研究报告摘要： 事件概述: 2025年9月重点新能源车企交付量发布，据各公司披露数据：零跑66,657辆，同比 +97.4%，环比+16.8%； 零跑：据公司披露，9月交付66,657辆，同比+97.4%，环比+16.8%，我们判断，公司整 体销量同比增长得益于C10、B01在20万以内的强势产品及性价比优势。随着B系列新车在今 年逐步推出，公司销量有望持续提升。主要车型8月销量中，C10交付1.5万辆，占公司当月 交付量27.1%；B01交付1.0万辆，占17.8%。新车 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment recommendations for individual companies or suppliers in the intelligent driving sector [4][9]. Core Insights - 2025 is identified as a pivotal year for automotive intelligence, with a projected increase in domestic electrification penetration rates to 50%-80% over the next three years, leading to a reshaping of the automotive landscape [4]. - Major intelligent driving manufacturers have successfully implemented complex urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) experiences, enhancing high-level functionalities such as parking and scene understanding [4]. - The report evaluates the intelligent driving experiences of ten manufacturers, including XPeng, NIO, and Tesla, through both large sample and small sample road tests, focusing on various dimensions such as scene implementation and comfort [4][9]. Summary by Sections Road Test Overview - The report includes both large sample concentrated road tests and small sample deep road tests to assess the performance of intelligent driving systems [8][27]. - The large sample tests involved approximately 50 participants testing various models along a standardized route, while the small sample tests were conducted by the same evaluators under similar conditions [9][27]. Intelligent Driving Models Tested - The models tested in September 2025 include XPeng P7, NIO ES8, and Tesla Model 3, among others, with specific versions noted for each [10][11]. Performance Evaluation - Compared to Q1 2025, Q3 2025 shows improvements in intelligent driving capabilities across all manufacturers, with a narrowing gap between the leading and following manufacturers [4]. - The report highlights that new entrants in the self-research sector are showing promising performance, with significant iterations expected in the coming months [4]. Specific Model Insights - XPeng's XOS 5.7.7 demonstrated excellent performance with an average takeover frequency of 1.51 times, showcasing strong capabilities in complex scenarios [34]. - The NIO ES8 with cedar model achieved an average takeover frequency of 2.03, indicating robust performance in urban environments [43]. - Tesla's FSD version 13.2 recorded a higher average takeover frequency of 5.73, suggesting areas for improvement in its intelligent driving capabilities [49]. Technical Developments - The report notes advancements in hardware and software across various manufacturers, with many now utilizing self-developed chips and algorithms [26][24]. - Specific improvements in driving comfort and efficiency were reported, with some models achieving significant enhancements in user experience metrics [22].

Core Insights - ECARX Holdings Inc. has launched a next-generation in-vehicle navigation system and the latest version of its Skyland New intelligent driving solution at IAA Mobility 2025 in Munich, highlighting its commitment to an innovative and scalable technology roadmap [1][4] Group 1: Navigation System - The new global navigation system is integrated with HERE's advanced navigation platform, designed for rapid integration and adaptability across more than 200 countries, ensuring compliance with international data regulations [2] - HERE's map data is utilized in over 222 million vehicles globally, supporting ECARX's goal to shorten automaker development cycles while adhering to regional regulatory requirements [2] - The navigation solution is currently supporting models from various automakers including Lotus, Lynk & Co, smart, and Hongqi, providing dynamic and personalized navigation experiences [2] Group 2: Intelligent Driving Solution - The latest iteration of the Skyland New intelligent driving solution utilizes a single system-on-a-chip architecture based on Black Sesame's Wudang C1236 chip, offering L2+ assisted driving and parking features [3] - Key features include map-free highway Navigate-on-Autopilot (NOA), Automatic Parking Assist (APA), and Remote Parking Assist (RPA), designed for cost-effective performance and seamless integration [3] - The Skyland solution, based on Black Sesame's Huashan A1000, is set to launch on the new Hongqi H9, H9+, and E-HS9 models by late 2025 [3] Group 3: Company Overview - ECARX is a global automotive technology provider that delivers full-stack solutions for next-generation smart vehicles, including system on a chip (SoC), central computing platforms, and software [5] - Founded in 2017 and listed on Nasdaq in 2022, ECARX employs over 1,600 people across 13 major locations worldwide [6] - The company has partnerships with notable automakers such as Volkswagen Group, FAW Group, and Dongfeng Peugeot-Citroën, with its products present in over 9.3 million vehicles globally [6]

Summary of Li Auto Inc. (LI/2015.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Li Auto Inc. - **Industry**: New Energy Vehicles (NEV) Key Points and Arguments 1. Earnings Performance - Li Auto reported a 2Q25 result with sales volume down 2% year-over-year, while the overall NEV retail market in China grew by 29% [1][2] - The company guided for 3Q25 volume and revenue to be over 40% below expectations, primarily due to weak sales of L series EREV models (L7/L8/L9), which declined by 32% year-to-date [1][2] 2. Sales Volume and Pricing - Expected sales volume for 3Q25 is 90k-95k units, a decrease of 17% quarter-over-quarter, with a projected increase to 115k units in 4Q25, driven by the i8 ramp-up and i6 launch [2][6] - Average Selling Price (ASP) is expected to increase by 2% in 3Q25 due to a higher sales mix of the MEGA model, but decline by 3% in 4Q25 due to the i6 launch [2][6] 3. Margin Outlook - Vehicle gross margin is projected to be 19% in 3Q25, down from 19.4% in 2Q25, but expected to recover to 19.4% in 4Q25 as sales volume increases [2][6] - Operating margin is anticipated to decline to 0.4% in 3Q25, improving to 1.5% in 4Q25 [2][6] 4. Product Strategy - Li Auto plans to accelerate product and technology refresh cycles, targeting a 2-year iteration speed for new models, compared to the industry average of 4 years [7] - The company will enhance its assisted driving capabilities with the release of the VLA driver large model, which aims to improve driving comfort and parking experience [7] 5. Self-Developed Technology - Li Auto's self-developed ADAS chips are expected to be deployed on flagship models starting next year, which could reduce BOM costs and improve margins [7] 6. Global Expansion - 2025 marks the beginning of Li Auto's global strategy, with R&D centers established in Germany and the US, targeting markets in the Middle East, Central Asia, and Europe [7] 7. Financial Estimates - Net profit estimates for 2025E-27E have been lowered from Rmb12.6/13.5/15.7 billion to Rmb5.3/8.9/12.6 billion due to the weaker outlook for L series models [3] - The 12-month DCF-based target prices have been adjusted from US$35.3/HK$138 to US$30.9/HK$120, indicating a potential upside of 37%/31% [3][10] 8. Investment Thesis - Li Auto is rated as a "Buy" with a 5% NEV market share in China for 2024, supported by improvements in urban NOA performance and a focus on AI [11] - The company has the best net cash position among major Chinese OEMs, which could facilitate future R&D spending [11] 9. Risks - Key risks include worsening market demand, intensifying competition, and potential pressure on volume and margins [11][12] Additional Important Information - Li Auto experienced Rmb3.0 billion of operating cash outflow in 2Q25, attributed to a decrease in accounts payables and shortened payment terms to 60 days [7] - The company is ramping up production capacity for the i8 model, targeting cumulative deliveries of 8k-10k by the end of September [4][6] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's current performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook within the NEV industry.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached RMB 1.57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 67.6% [18] - Revenue from automotive solutions surged by 67%, with product solutions revenue increasing by 250% to RMB 777.8 million [18][19] - Gross profit margin stood at 65.4%, maintaining a strong position compared to other automotive solution providers [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shipment volume doubled year-on-year, with approximately 2 million units of automotive-grade processing hardware shipped [8] - Mid to high-level intelligent driving solutions accounted for over 80% of revenue, reflecting a significant shift towards higher-end products [13] - Average selling price (ASP) of solutions increased by 70% compared to the previous year [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic brands' market share in the Chinese passenger car market exceeded 63%, with the penetration rate of intelligent driver assistance rising from 51% to 59% [5][6] - The market share for Horizon in the ADAS basic assisted driving market was 45.8%, and 32.4% in the overall intelligent assisted driving computing solutions market among Chinese domestic brands [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to advance its position in the high-end intelligent driving market, focusing on the development of the Horizon SuperDrive (HSD) solution [12][16] - Strategic investments in R&D are being made to enhance cloud services and support the development of advanced intelligent driving solutions [20][60] - Horizon is expanding its international footprint, having secured model nominations from two Japanese car manufacturers and partnerships with global automotive groups [10][11][48] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about sustained growth potential in the intelligent driving market, driven by rising volumes and prices [6][10] - The company anticipates significant growth opportunities from the increasing demand for high-level intelligent driving solutions and the upcoming launch of HSD [12][39] - Management highlighted the importance of adhering to strict industry standards and regulations to foster growth in the intelligent driving ecosystem [54][55] Other Important Information - The company recorded an adjusted operating loss of RMB 1.1 billion, reflecting increased R&D investments [22][23] - Cumulative shipments of the Journey series processing hardware exceeded 10 million units, marking a significant milestone for the company [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Major customers for mid to high-end products - The largest customers in the first half of 2025 were BYD and Auto Li, with both companies significantly increasing their shipments of Horizon's solutions [27][28] Question: Outlook for Journey 6E and HSD revenue contributions - The ASP for J6P and HSD is expected to be significantly higher than previous models, indicating strong future revenue potential [32][34] Question: Volume and ASP guidance for the second half of 2025 - The company anticipates achieving total shipments of around 4 million units, with a balanced mix of low, mid, and high-end solutions [29][42] Question: Details on global customers and solutions - While specific names could not be disclosed, the company is collaborating with leading global automotive groups and joint ventures in China [45][48] Question: Anticipated deployments of robotaxi and L2 standards - The company plans to launch robotaxi technologies within the next three to five years, leveraging partnerships to enhance data collection and validation [56][57] Question: Insights on R&D spending plans - R&D expenditures are expected to continue increasing, particularly for cloud computing resources, which are crucial for developing advanced intelligent driving solutions [60]

Core Insights - XPENG Motors announced the global OTA upgrade of XOS 5.8.0, enhancing user experience through intelligent driving and smart cabin technologies [1][3] - The upgrade is part of XPENG's commitment to user-centric innovation, following previous successful OTA releases in 2025 [2][3] Intelligent Driving Features - The XOS 5.8.0 upgrade introduces the Human-Machine Co-Driving feature, making XPENG the first automaker in Europe to offer this standard [4] - Lane Centering Control (LCC) has been improved to maintain control during driver steering, enhancing performance in complex driving scenarios [5] - Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) has also been significantly enhanced for better cornering speeds and smoother deceleration [5] New User-Centric Features - A new Pet Mode has been introduced to ensure safety and comfort for pets left unattended in vehicles, with automatic window closure and climate control [6][7] - The AUTO Climate Control Mode allows for external air circulation, preventing overheating or excessive cold, with real-time alerts sent to owners [7] Entertainment and Personalization - The upgrade includes a new hands-free in-car karaoke feature, KaraFun, available for download from the in-car App Store [9] - XCOMBO has been upgraded to support 21 languages and over 700 capabilities, allowing users to create personalized scenarios for their driving experience [12] Commitment to User Experience - XPENG emphasizes a user-centric philosophy, tailoring intelligent technology experiences to customer needs, including a smarter charging experience and enhanced safety features [11][14] - The air conditioning minimum temperature has been adjusted to 16°C in response to user feedback from tropical climates [11]

Core Viewpoint - The recent joint action plan by the Ministry of Transport, Ministry of Public Security, and Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims to standardize the vehicle transportation industry from July 2025 to December 2025, addressing illegal modifications and safety hazards in the sector [2][4]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The action plan mandates that vehicle transporters can carry a maximum of 9 vehicles, addressing the issue of illegal modifications that exceed this limit, which poses safety risks and disrupts pricing [2][3]. - The plan includes strict management of new vehicle admissions, enhanced loading supervision, increased law enforcement checks, and stricter penalties to rectify industry irregularities [2][4]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The implementation of the action plan is expected to lead to the gradual elimination of non-compliant vehicles, allowing transport prices to return to reasonable levels, benefiting compliant players like Changjiu Logistics [2][3]. - The timeline for the action plan includes a deployment phase in July 2025, a publicity and education phase in August, comprehensive governance from September to November, and a summary phase in December to establish long-term management mechanisms [2][4]. Group 3: Market Trends - The automotive sector is witnessing advancements in intelligent driving technologies, with companies like Li Auto and Xpeng showcasing new algorithms, while Tesla plans to launch its FSD V14 by the end of September [3][4]. - The report highlights the importance of focusing on strong players in the intelligent driving market and those targeting the high-end market segment, as well as undervalued component manufacturers [3][6]. Group 4: Financial Performance - Geely reported a revenue of 150.3 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a 51.5% contribution from new energy vehicles, and has raised its annual sales target to 3 million units [4][5]. - The Ministry of Finance is providing interest subsidies for consumer loans over 50,000 yuan for vehicle purchases, effective from September [4][5].

Core Insights - Hesai Technology has secured a new design win from Toyota for its long-range automotive lidar ATX, set to enter mass production in 2026 [1] - The partnership signifies a strong endorsement of Hesai's market leadership in lidar technology and marks a new phase of collaboration with Japan's automotive industry [3] Company Developments - Hesai's ATX lidar integrates advanced technology, offering upgrades in optical-mechanical design and laser transceiver modules, making it a preferred choice among leading OEMs [4] - The ATX has already achieved design wins across multiple models, with several OEMs planning to include it as a standard feature in their 2025-2026 production lineups [4] Industry Trends - The joint venture between Toyota and Hesai is part of a broader trend towards electrification and intelligent driving solutions in the automotive industry, driven by local R&D and global engineering standards [2] - The collaboration aims to set a new benchmark for joint venture brands in the new energy vehicle market, focusing on enhancing driver-assistance systems for a safer and more intelligent driving experience [5]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices opened high but experienced a decline, with cryptocurrency and lithium battery stocks showing significant gains, while automotive stocks saw partial increases [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF (159323) rose nearly 2%, with leading stocks including Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, Xiaopeng Motors, Zhongsheng Holdings, and Geely Automobile, where Ganfeng Lithium surged nearly 19% and Xiaopeng Motors increased by nearly 7% [1] - Minsheng Securities noted an improvement in the passenger car fundamentals, with a recovery in terminal sales since late July, reporting sales of 405,000, 370,000, 397,000, and 448,000 units in the first four weeks of July, and 470,000 units in the first week of August [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF (159323) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive Index (931239.CSI), which focuses on the Hong Kong vehicle sector, leading in passenger car content compared to similar indices [2] - The index includes new energy vehicle manufacturers and has a higher content of intelligent driving compared to A-share automotive indices, aligning with industry development trends [2] - As of August 8, the index's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) was 20.31, significantly lower than various A-share automotive theme indices, indicating a certain valuation advantage [2]

Group 1 - The successful development of a 6mm thick rare earth permanent magnet motor marks a significant advancement in China's high-end rare earth permanent magnet motor research and industrialization, opening new avenues for global competition [2] - The "Xingchen No. 1" chip, developed by Hubei Chipking Technology Co., is set for large-scale deployment in vehicles next year, filling a gap in domestic high-performance smart driving chips and has already attracted attention from major automotive manufacturers [2] - Samsung has decided to extend the production of DDR4 1z DRAM until December 2026, reversing its previous plan to cease production this year, which indicates a strategic shift in its product lifecycle management [2] - LG CNS will build its first overseas artificial intelligence data center in Jakarta, Indonesia, with an investment of 100 billion KRW (approximately 72 million USD), marking a significant step for Korean companies in the AI sector [2]