1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Macro - level factors, including the stabilization and recovery of PPI and abundant global liquidity, form dual core benefits driving the rise of the natural resources index. The resource ETF Bosera (510410), which tracks the Shanghai Securities Natural Resources Index, can effectively capture investment opportunities through balanced allocation in various resource sectors [3][6]. - Different resource sectors have their own favorable factors. For example, gold benefits from central bank strategic gold purchases, rigid supply, and the interest - rate cut cycle; silver is supported by industrial demand and low inventory; lithium and cobalt face supply contraction and demand growth; rare earths are supported by quota control and strategic attributes; coal supply is tightening while demand shows resilience; and crude oil prices are supported by demand recovery and supply control [3][7][8][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Natural Resources Industry Fundamental Analysis - **PPI and Global Liquidity**: PPI and global macro - liquidity are important external factors affecting the natural resources index. During the PPI upward phase, resource product prices rise, improving corporate performance and driving the index up. Global liquidity affects commodity prices through multiple channels, and in a period of abundant liquidity, it can push the index higher [16][18]. - **Gold**: In 2026, gold is in a dual resonance period of "long - term credit reshaping" and "medium - term liquidity easing", showing an upward trend. The recent price adjustment is not a signal of a trend reversal. Central bank gold purchases, investment demand, and supply constraints all support the price of gold [23]. - **Silver**: The sharp fluctuations in the silver market are a necessary process from "speculation - driven" to "value re - evaluation". Industrial demand from "photovoltaic + AI" and low inventory levels form a solid price bottom. It is recommended to pay attention to the key support around $75 per ounce [34][35][38]. - **Copper**: Supply - side rigidities, such as mine production limitations and smelter profit compression, make copper prices prone to rise and difficult to fall. The supply in the first half of 2026 is expected to be tighter [44][45]. - **Aluminum**: Domestic and overseas electrolytic aluminum production capacity is restricted, while demand is expected to improve. The industry is in a tight - balance state, and domestic electrolytic aluminum enterprises' profits are expected to expand [52][55][59]. - **Lithium**: The supply - demand fundamentals of the lithium industry have reversed. Supply growth is slowing down, while demand from energy storage and power is increasing. The lithium market is expected to shift from surplus to shortage, and lithium prices are likely to rise [66][73][75]. - **Cobalt**: Congo - Kinshasa's implementation of export quotas will lead to a shortage of cobalt in the next two years. Enterprises with their own cobalt mines will benefit relatively, and the supply uncertainty is increasing [89][95]. - **Nickel**: The nickel industry is currently at the bottom. Although the supply has been increasing, the downward space of nickel prices is limited. With the improvement of macro - demand and the implementation of Indonesian policies, nickel prices may rise [107][108][124]. - **Rare Earths**: Rare earths have significant strategic attributes. Domestic supply control is strengthening, and global trade frictions have increased their strategic value. Prices and valuations are expected to rise [127][135][136]. - **Tungsten**: Tungsten has strong supply rigidities due to resource and policy constraints. The supply is tight, and the price has increased significantly. In the future, new supply may slow down, and tool price increases will support the tungsten price [146][147][156]. - **Coal**: The supply of coal is tightening in the short and long term, while demand shows resilience. The coal price is expected to rise, but the decline in electricity prices may suppress the long - term price center [158][163][173]. - **Oil**: The supply of U.S. shale oil is limited, and OPEC has a strong willingness to cut production to support prices. Global oil demand is expected to continue to recover, and the oil price center is expected to be between $60 - $65 per barrel in 2026 [178][184][195]. 3.2 Shanghai Securities Natural Resources Index - The Shanghai Securities Natural Resources Index selects resource - related securities in Shanghai Stock Exchange. It has a balanced distribution in various resource sub - sectors, which can capture investment opportunities in different resource sectors and reduce risks [201][206]. - Historically, the index's revenue and net profit growth have fluctuated, but it shows strong resilience. Currently, it shows a bottom - reversal trend, and its revenue and net profit growth are expected to recover in 2026 - 2027 [206][207]. - Compared with other broad - based indexes, the Shanghai Securities Natural Resources Index has advantages in different time intervals [213]. 3.3 Bosera Natural Resources ETF (510410) - Bosera Natural Resources ETF closely tracks the Shanghai Securities Natural Resources Index. It uses a full - replication method for passive investment with strict risk - control targets [214]. - As of February 13, 2026, the ETF has achieved good returns and has a scale of 1.057 billion yuan, with good market liquidity. Its fund manager has rich financial experience, and the fund management company has a large asset - management scale [216].

Group 1: CPI Analysis - August CPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, driven mainly by high food price base effects[1] - Month-on-month CPI remained flat, lower than the 0.4% increase in the same period last year[1] - Food CPI rose by 0.5% month-on-month but fell by 4.3% year-on-year due to high base effects from last year[7] Group 2: PPI Insights - August PPI stabilized month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 2.9%, showing a significant narrowing of the decline[2] - Fuel and black metal prices turned from decline to increase month-on-month, positively impacting PPI[2] - PPI is expected to bottom out and recover, supported by potential fiscal and supply-side policies[2] Group 3: Core CPI Trends - Core CPI rose by 0.9% year-on-year in August, continuing its upward trend[7] - Month-on-month core CPI remained flat, indicating stability in core inflation[7] - Prices of durable goods and non-durable goods, such as household appliances and clothing, showed a recovery in year-on-year growth rates[7] Group 4: Risks and Considerations - Risks include declining real estate demand and increasing external uncertainties[3]