Core Insights - The China Commodity Price Index (CBPI) for June 2025 is reported at 110.8 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 5.2% [1][3] - The index has shown a moderate recovery over the past two months, indicating a stable overall operation in the commodity market, supported by positive signals from US-China trade talks and enhanced domestic counter-cyclical policies [1][3] Commodity Price Index Summary - **Overall Index**: CBPI at 110.8 points, up 0.5% month-on-month, down 5.2% year-on-year [1][3] - **Energy Price Index**: 97.3 points, up 1.0% month-on-month, down 12.9% year-on-year [3][7] - **Chemical Price Index**: 104.3 points, up 1.4% month-on-month, down 12.6% year-on-year [3][6] - **Black Metal Price Index**: 76.6 points, down 2.6% month-on-month, down 11.8% year-on-year [3][8] - **Non-Ferrous Metal Price Index**: 128.8 points, up 0.8% month-on-month, down 2.0% year-on-year [3][6] - **Mineral Price Index**: 73.6 points, down 2.6% month-on-month, down 11.9% year-on-year [3][8] - **Agricultural Product Price Index**: 98.1 points, down 0.2% month-on-month, up 2.2% year-on-year [3][7] Price Changes of Key Commodities - **Methanol**: Price increased by 7.8% month-on-month [4][6] - **Diesel**: Price increased by 5.4% month-on-month [4][7] - **Xylene**: Price increased by 5.0% month-on-month [4][6] - **Natural Rubber**: Price decreased by 6.9% month-on-month [6][7] - **Coke**: Price decreased by 10.5% month-on-month [5][7] Market Analysis - The chemical price index's rise is attributed to increasing international oil prices, which have pushed up the prices of chemical fibers and basic chemicals [6] - The non-ferrous metal price index's increase is linked to a weaker US dollar, which has positively impacted the prices of metals priced in dollars [6] - The energy price index's rebound is primarily due to rising international crude oil prices, which have strengthened the cost support for products like gasoline and diesel [7] - The black metal price index's decline is driven by falling costs of raw materials like coke and iron ore, coupled with insufficient downstream demand [8]