The Gordon growth model (GGM) is used to determine the intrinsic value of a stock based on a future series of dividends that grow at a constant rate. https://t.co/MR2SboZtX4 ...

Group 1 - Invictus Origin is a high-alpha investment management firm founded by Oliver Rodzianko in May 2025, aiming to become a globally recognized actively managed fund [1] - The firm's flagship product, the Nasdaq High-Alpha Black Swan Portfolio, is designed to sustainably outperform the Nasdaq-100 and maintains approximately 20% in strategic cash reserves for downside protection [1] - Oliver Rodzianko has extensive experience as a macro-focused investment analyst with expertise in technology, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and energy sectors [1] Group 2 - The investment process of Invictus Origin integrates U.S. market specialization with a comprehensive understanding of international markets, aiming for durable outperformance [1] - The firm is characterized by resilience, performance, and disciplined capital stewardship, supported by the development of a family office structure for lower-volatility capital preservation [1] - Oliver Rodzianko has built a strong reputation for providing actionable insights to sophisticated investors through platforms like Seeking Alpha, TipRanks, and GuruFocus [1]

Oliver Rodzianko is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Invictus Origin, a pioneering high-alpha investment management firm launched in May 2025, dedicated to becoming a globally recognized, actively managed fund. Invictus Origin is developing innovative portfolio strategies, notably through its flagship Nasdaq High-Alpha Black Swan Portfolio, strategically designed to sustainably outperform the Nasdaq-100. Distinctively, this portfolio maintains approximately 20% in strategic cash reserves, providin ...

Group 1: Market Dynamics and Investment Strategies - The concept of "gravity" in investing suggests that assets trend toward an intrinsic value, leading to cyclical patterns in price movements [2][3][4] - Buy-the-dip strategies, also known as "swing trading," rely on the pendulum-like gravitational pull of asset prices [4][5] - Timing market swings is challenging, and quantitative tools are increasingly used to identify smart money purchases and unusual price signals [5] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Salesforce Inc. (CRM) reported earnings per share of $2.58, beating Wall Street forecasts by 1.4%, and raised full-year guidance, with Agentforce generating over $100 million in annual recurring revenue [11][12] - Weyerhaeuser Co. (WY) is positioned to benefit from the depletion of cheap wood supplies, with analysts expecting a narrowing of losses and a potential 9% increase in shares over the next 30 days [16][18] - Magna International Inc. (MGA) has seen shares drop 65% since 2021, but analysts have recently upgraded 2025 earnings estimates by 7%, indicating a potential 11% return over the next 30 days [19][21][27] Group 3: Historical Context and Future Outlook - The timber market is recovering from a slump caused by Hurricane Helene, with a stabilization in mortgage rates and an increase in new housing starts [15][18] - Historical performance shows that strong companies can withstand market volatility, making them attractive for investment during downturns [22][23] - The upcoming "Countdown to Chaos" event will provide insights into anticipated market volatility and investment strategies [7][25]

Salesforce ( CRM ) is frequently mentioned as a cheap or undervalued stock on account of its depressed pricing multiples. During my analysis I outline why this is not the case, and why the stockEquity research with an emphasis on intrinsic value. We prioritize undervalued and growing companies, preferably in the early stages of their development. We have an internal wishlist - message us a ticker or write it in comment sections.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position i ...

Core Viewpoint - Concerns have been raised regarding Tesla's growth potential and valuation sustainability, leading to a significant exit from the company's stock by The Future Fund [1][2]. Valuation Concerns - Tesla currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 180x based on projected 2025 earnings, which is deemed unprecedented for a $1 trillion company [4]. - Future P/E ratios for 2026 and 2029 are estimated at 120x and 45x, respectively, indicating a perceived valuation imbalance [4]. - The projected slowdown in earnings has led Wall Street to reduce Tesla's earnings estimates for 2026 and 2028 by 25% to 40% [5]. Growth Prospects - The integration of emerging technologies like Robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid robot may contribute to a slowdown in Tesla's growth rate [2][3]. - Analysts predict that as forecasts extend to 2029 and beyond, Tesla's forward growth rate will decline [3]. Investment Strategy - The Future Fund's exit from Tesla stock is based on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term market sentiment, emphasizing a disciplined investment strategy focused on intrinsic value [2][6]. - True valuation should consider the present value of all future cash flows, rather than just short-term results [6]. Market Performance - Tesla's stock has recently lost momentum, closing down over 3% at $346.46, with a year-to-date decline of nearly 9% [7]. - Broader challenges include declining sales and backlash related to CEO Elon Musk's political views, although Musk's recent exit from a government advisory role may be seen as a potential catalyst for renewed growth [9].

Kingstone Companies (KINS) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 09, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Karin Daly - VP - IRMeryl Golden - President & CEORobert Farnam - Managing DirectorJon Old - Managing Member Conference Call Participants None - Analyst Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Kingstone Companies First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, ...

Hello and welcome to my Seeking Alpha page. My name is Jack Elias, and I am a dedicated business student with a fervent passion for the world of investing. With a solid foundation in both theoretical knowledge and practical experience, I bring a unique perspective to the realm of financial analysis.My journey into the world of investing began during my undergraduate studies in Finance at Arizona State University, where I developed a keen interest in dissecting financial markets and evaluating investment opp ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes a focus on intrinsic value in equity research, prioritizing undervalued and growing companies, particularly those in early development stages [1] - There is an internal wishlist for potential investment opportunities, inviting readers to suggest tickers or leave comments [1] Group 2 - No specific companies or stocks are mentioned in the article, and there are no current positions or plans to initiate positions in any mentioned companies [2] - The article does not provide any investment recommendations or advice, highlighting that past performance does not guarantee future results [3]

Core Viewpoint - Sony is expected to align its fundamentals with intrinsic value within three years, with an estimated intrinsic value of $105 billion or $17 per share, considering new tariff impacts [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - The current premium pricing of Sony's stock is acknowledged, but there is confidence in its ability to converge to intrinsic value [1] - The focus is on undervalued and growing companies, particularly those in early development stages [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The analysis emphasizes intrinsic value in equity research, suggesting a preference for companies that are undervalued and have growth potential [1]