Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - The company is focusing on improving performance in Q3, acknowledging the seasonal fluctuations in revenue typical of the military industry [2][6] - As of the 2025 semi-annual report, accounts receivable amounted to 706 million CNY, with a provision for bad debts of 63.6 million CNY, resulting in an overall bad debt ratio of 9% [2][6] - The company aims to maintain bad debt levels below 10% within 1-2 years and below 20% within 2-3 years, emphasizing the importance of monitoring accounts over 12 months [3][4] Group 2: Business Strategy and Market Focus - The company is committed to not adopting lenient credit policies to avoid increasing bad debt risks [3] - The focus is on high-quality clients, primarily from military and research institutions, which reduces the risk of defaults [3] - The company is exploring new industry layouts based on product development progress, particularly in military-to-civilian transitions and emerging technologies [4][6] Group 3: Product Development and Orders - The high-energy microwave products are currently in the development stage, with updates to be provided in regular reports [4][6] - The company has not yet engaged in foreign business as of now, focusing on domestic orders [5][6] - Information regarding specific contracts and revenue from military communication and training equipment can be found in the 2025 semi-annual report [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Increase-A" with a downward adjustment [1][8]. Core Viewpoints - The company's satellite revenue is objectively affected by the launch rhythm, while the special communication business is expected to see a substantial turning point [3][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 173 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 63.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -29 million yuan, up 44.97% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is a key research and development unit for low-orbit satellite communication subsystems, with core capabilities in phased array antenna development and satellite payload research [5][7]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 23 million yuan, 120 million yuan, and 183 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is 547 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 54.7% [10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be 49.1% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 4.2% [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for satellite communication, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's guidance expected to accelerate industry development [5][6]. - The establishment of the Information Support Force in April 2024 marks a new phase in national defense informatization, which will drive upgrades in military communication systems [6][7]. Project Progress - The company has made significant progress in various projects, including winning bids for a 5G self-organizing network project and developing communication equipment for unmanned platforms [7]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in the military industry as new equipment is showcased, with a potential increase in defense budget utilization [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 24.32 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - The company experienced rapid revenue growth and improved profitability, with H1 2025 revenue at 631 million RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 47.49%, and a net loss of 114 million RMB, a year-over-year increase in loss of 270.67% [1]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in demand within the military industry, driven by ongoing information technology construction and the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 631 million RMB, a decrease of 47.49% year-over-year, and a net loss of 114 million RMB, which is a significant increase in loss compared to the previous year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 415 million RMB, down 41.73% year-over-year but up 91.90% quarter-over-quarter [1]. Business Segments - The company’s specialized wireless communication terminals and system integration products generated revenues of 344 million RMB and 252 million RMB, respectively, reflecting declines of 41.95% and 56.98% year-over-year [2]. - The company is focusing on expanding its military and civilian wireless communication sectors, with new projects in aviation communication and satellite navigation [2]. Profitability and Costs - The comprehensive gross margin for H1 2025 was 33.88%, down 1.93 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was -18.11%, a decline of 23.68 percentage points year-over-year [3]. - The report notes an increase in R&D expenses, with the R&D expense ratio rising by 14.35 percentage points year-over-year [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 140 million RMB, 308 million RMB, and 379 million RMB, respectively [4]. - The target price for 2026 is set at 24.32 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 61x, reflecting the company's growth potential and multi-sector collaboration [4].

Core Viewpoint - Haige Communication reported a revenue of 2.229 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 13.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.03 billion yuan, down 98.72%, aligning with the performance forecast from July [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 2.229 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 13.97% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.03 billion yuan, showing a significant drop of 98.72% [1] - The performance results were in line with market expectations, indicating stability despite the downturn [1] Group 2: Business Development - Traditional wireless communication business experienced a temporary decline in orders, but future growth trends are expected to improve with new product launches [1] - The company is actively seeking new business growth points and increasing investments in strategic emerging industries [1] - In the drone sector, the subsidiary Xi'an Chida is developing the "Jiutian" heavy drone, which has a maximum takeoff weight of 16 tons and a payload capacity of 6 tons, addressing a market gap for flexible heavy drones in China [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is expected to gradually generate revenue from emerging industries as it continues to enhance research and development and expand its business boundaries [1] - The long-term growth potential of the comprehensive leader in the industry is viewed positively, with a focus on military-civil integration [1] - Considering the rapid recovery of the company's profitability, a target price of 15.60 yuan is set, maintaining a "buy" rating based on a comparable company PE of 60 times for 2026 [1]

Group 1 - The market shows significant divergence regarding the telecommunications industry, with optimism for the computing power sector until 2026, but concerns over AI applications and capital expenditure slowing down [1] - The report suggests that while short-term divergences may persist, there is no evidence to support that concerns will materialize, indicating a need for selective investment in the computing power sector [1] - Telecommunications operators are considered stable and high-quality dividend assets, with a recommendation to focus on H-shares over A-shares due to better dividend yields and valuations [1] Group 2 - The computing power infrastructure sector remains strong, with a positive long-term outlook despite the absence of blockbuster applications, suggesting a focus on high-quality North American companies [2] - Specific companies in the optical module and CPO segments are recommended for investment, including names like NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication [2] - Attention is drawn to the military communication, controller, IoT, and submarine cable sectors, which are expected to see marginal changes and growth opportunities due to evolving international dynamics and military needs [3] Group 3 - The military demand is expected to remain rigid as China aims to achieve its military goals by 2027, with potential recovery in military-related industries [3] - Companies involved in smart controllers and IoT modules are actively entering new markets, which may lead to new growth opportunities [3] - The offshore wind power sector is anticipated to recover, with improvements in deep-sea technology providing new development opportunities for submarine cables and marine communication systems [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 353 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.71% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue surged to 126 million yuan, reflecting an 84.41% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 13 million yuan, marking a positive turnaround [4][5]. Market Performance - As of May 5, 2025, the company's closing price was 21.27 yuan, with a total share capital of 628 million shares and a market capitalization of 13.357 billion yuan [3]. Business Developments - The company is significantly involved in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, with 90 satellites currently in orbit and plans to launch 648 satellites by the end of 2025, aiming for global network coverage by 2030. The company is a key supplier for satellite communication systems, contributing to a projected revenue of 1.5 billion yuan from satellite business in 2024 [5][6]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 136 million yuan in 2025, 282 million yuan in 2026, and 444 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 209.4%, 107.9%, and 57.4% respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.22 yuan in 2025, 0.45 yuan in 2026, and 0.71 yuan in 2027 [9][11]. Cost Management - The company effectively controlled its expenses, with total expenses of 65 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 11.3% year-on-year. The company is expected to achieve profitability in the coming year due to improved cost management and the anticipated growth in satellite and military communication businesses [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [3][8]. Core Views - The satellite business is showing significant results, with a competitive advantage as the company participates in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, which aims to provide global network coverage by 2030 [4][6]. - The military communication industry is gradually recovering, with the company positioned well in new fields such as military 5G and broadband data links, leading to a positive outlook for future growth [6][7]. - Effective cost control measures are in place, with expectations of turning profitable in the coming year as the satellite business scales up [8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 353 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, and a net profit of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.7% year-on-year [10]. - The forecast for 2025 estimates a revenue of 853 million yuan, representing a significant year-on-year growth of 141.3%, with a projected net profit of 136 million yuan [10]. - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 42.0% in 2025, with a net profit margin turning positive at 15.9% [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has secured multiple contracts, including a significant project with Shanghai Yanshin for an integrated gateway station system, indicating strong market demand and operational capabilities [5][6]. - The company is expected to supply a substantial portion of the payloads for the Qianfan satellite constellation, which will contribute to rapid revenue growth [4][8]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.36 billion yuan, 2.82 billion yuan, and 4.44 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [8][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.22 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan by 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1]. Core Insights - The North American optical communication companies such as Coherent, Lumentum, AAOI, Fabrinet, and Macom have shown significant revenue growth, particularly in optical modules and related products, suggesting a strong rebound in the second quarter [2][3][4][5][6][7]. - The demand for optical communication is driven by the growth of AI data centers and telecommunications, with companies like Coherent and Lumentum reporting substantial increases in revenue due to these sectors [3][4][5][6]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, have heightened confidence in defense equipment and military communication capabilities, which are expected to see increased demand [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Coherent reported Q3 2025 revenue of $1.5 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, with 60% of this from the communication market, which grew by 46% [3][16]. - Lumentum's Q3 2025 revenue reached $425.2 million, up 16% year-on-year, driven by hyperscale cloud growth [4][17]. - Fabrinet's Q3 2025 revenue was $872 million, a 19.2% increase, with optical communication revenue at $657 million, up 11.1% [5][18]. - AAOI's Q1 2025 revenue surged to $99.9 million, a 145% increase, largely due to strong CATV market demand [6][19]. - Macom's Q2 2025 revenue was $236 million, a 30% increase, with data center market revenue up 67.3% [7][20]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the optical communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, and Shijia Photon [9][22]. - It also highlights companies in copper connections and military communication sectors as potential investment opportunities [22]. Market Overview - The overall market performance from May 6 to May 9, 2025, showed mixed results, with the Shenwan Communication Index up by 4.96% [22]. - The optical module sector led the gains with a 15.3% increase, followed by controllers and liquid cooling technologies [22][23]. Notable Trends - The report emphasizes the resilience of the optical communication market, driven by the increasing demand for AI-related applications and private cloud deployments [20][21]. - The military communication sector is expected to benefit from advancements in technology and increased defense spending, particularly in the context of recent military conflicts [8][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the communication industry, suggesting an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [28]. Core Viewpoints - The ongoing escalation of the India-Pakistan conflict highlights the importance of military and satellite sectors, with a recommendation to focus on these areas for potential investment opportunities [14][20]. - The communication industry has shown resilience, with a 4.96% increase in the past week, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 2.95 percentage points [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the growing significance of national defense and military capabilities, particularly in the context of low-orbit satellites, which have gained attention during the recent conflict [20]. Industry Overview - The communication industry consists of 124 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 45,863.87 billion and a circulating market value of about 20,038.81 billion [3]. - The industry has experienced a year-to-date decline of 3.21%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which has decreased by 2.26% [7]. Stock Performance - The top five performing stocks in the communication sector for the week include Jialitu (+27.01%), Youfang Technology (+23.40%), and Xinyi Technology (+21.63%) [11]. - Conversely, the stocks with the largest declines include Aojie Technology-U (-12.69%) and Shengke Communication-U (-6.81%) [11]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include major operators such as China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom [21]. - For optical modules and related components, the report recommends Xinyi Technology, Tianfu Communication, and Zhongji Xuchuang, while suggesting attention to Yuanjie Technology and Shijia Photon [21]. - In the military/satellite communication sector, the report highlights Haige Communication, Shanghai Hanhua, and Qiyi Er as key investment opportunities [21].

Summary of Haige Communication Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Haige Communication - **Industry**: Military and Civil Communication, Satellite Navigation Key Points and Arguments Military Business Outlook - Haige Communication maintains a leading position in the military sector in 2025, despite procurement pressures in 2024. Initial signs of order recovery have been observed in early 2025. Full recovery of orders will take time, impacting revenue and profitability in the military segment [2][4][5] - The company has reclassified its business into three categories: communication, navigation, and innovation, with a focus on low-altitude, low-orbit unmanned systems and AI technology. The technological leadership in unmanned systems is a critical evaluation metric [4][10] Civil Business Expansion - Future civil business will focus on the BeiDou satellite navigation system and low-orbit satellite constellations, particularly in the smartphone and vehicle networking markets, which present larger market opportunities compared to previous military operations. Products include navigation and communication functionalities [3][10] Strategic Partnerships - Collaboration with China Mobile began at the end of 2023, enhancing ties and advancing satellite chip projects for smartphones and vehicle networking solutions. This partnership is expected to significantly drive growth between 2026 and 2027 [2][6] International Market Development - Haige Communication has been expanding its international market presence since 2012, with several billion yuan in overseas export orders. Recent international events, such as tensions between China and India, may catalyze overseas demand and accelerate business growth in low-altitude and satellite communication sectors [2][7] Impact of Satellite Internet - The development of satellite internet is expected to significantly benefit Haige's terminal-side business, with low-orbit satellite networking expected to accelerate in the second half of 2026. The company will also benefit from the completion of the BeiDou network, with a focus on commercial partnerships with smartphone manufacturers, operators, and automotive companies [2][8] Investment Considerations - Investors should monitor several factors: military order recovery, civil navigation and communication product development, strategic partnerships, international market catalysts, and progress in low-orbit satellite networking and BeiDou commercial cooperation. These factors could drive stock price increases [2][10] Business Reclassification - The company has re-evaluated its business segments, now categorized into wireless communication, BeiDou navigation, aerospace, and digital ecosystems, with a new classification into communication, navigation, and innovation categories [10][11] Achievements in Unmanned Systems - Haige Communication has achieved notable success in unmanned systems, ranking highly in industry competitions and gaining recognition from various institutions and listed companies for its systems [11][13]