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中金2025下半年通信设备行业展望:AI商业化加速 关注算力主线和政策性机遇
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 00:11
Core Insights - The report from CICC highlights the expected surge in AI hardware demand driven by the increasing capabilities of large models and diverse application scenarios by the second half of 2025 [1] - Key trends to watch include the growing certainty of domestic and international computing power chain demand, the rising importance of networks in AIDC, and the accelerated deployment of AI applications such as Agents [1] Group 1: AI Hardware Demand - The demand for AI hardware is anticipated to grow significantly as AI inference computing power requirements continue to rise [1] - The SW communication equipment sector saw a 31.4% increase as of August 8, 2025, outperforming the broader market [1] - The computing power chain remains a primary investment theme, influenced by factors such as the release of DeepSeek R1 and expectations surrounding North American AI [1] Group 2: Investment Directions - Three main investment directions in AI are suggested: 1. New hardware technologies, with a focus on AI ASICs that offer lower costs and better power efficiency [2] 2. Domestic production, with the resumption of H20 deliveries and the ongoing improvement of the domestic AI chip supply chain [2] 3. AI applications, particularly the acceleration of terminal innovations and the growth of IoT device connectivity [2] Group 3: Telecom Capital Expenditure - Telecom capital expenditures are increasingly directed towards computing networks, with a projected 9.1% year-on-year decrease to 289.8 billion yuan in 2025 [3] - The cumulative mobile internet traffic reached 186.7 billion GB in the first half of 2025, marking a 16.4% year-on-year increase [3] - Key areas of opportunity include the accelerated deployment of 5G-A, advancements in 6G technology, and the growing demand for new types of optical fibers driven by AI [3]
上海瀚讯:2024卫星业务收入超1.5亿,2025 G60星链发射数量大幅增-20250521
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-21 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 353 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.71% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue surged to 126 million yuan, reflecting an 84.41% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 13 million yuan, marking a positive turnaround [4][5]. Market Performance - As of May 5, 2025, the company's closing price was 21.27 yuan, with a total share capital of 628 million shares and a market capitalization of 13.357 billion yuan [3]. Business Developments - The company is significantly involved in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, with 90 satellites currently in orbit and plans to launch 648 satellites by the end of 2025, aiming for global network coverage by 2030. The company is a key supplier for satellite communication systems, contributing to a projected revenue of 1.5 billion yuan from satellite business in 2024 [5][6]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 136 million yuan in 2025, 282 million yuan in 2026, and 444 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 209.4%, 107.9%, and 57.4% respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.22 yuan in 2025, 0.45 yuan in 2026, and 0.71 yuan in 2027 [9][11]. Cost Management - The company effectively controlled its expenses, with total expenses of 65 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 11.3% year-on-year. The company is expected to achieve profitability in the coming year due to improved cost management and the anticipated growth in satellite and military communication businesses [9][10].