Key Insights - The report highlights the upcoming launch of Huawei's foldable PC and Apple's foldable iPhone, which are expected to drive rapid development in materials for foldable devices [5] - The non-bank financial sector is seeing regulatory changes aimed at enhancing support for technology enterprises, particularly in mergers and acquisitions [8] - The report discusses the performance of various companies, including their revenue growth and profitability, indicating a positive outlook for several sectors [11][13][16] Industry Commentary - The chemical raw materials sector is experiencing growth due to the anticipated demand for materials used in foldable devices, with a notable increase in the new materials index [5] - The non-bank financial sector is undergoing reforms to improve the service capabilities for technology companies, which is expected to enhance the overall market environment [8] - The textile and apparel industry is likely to benefit from Shanghai's new consumption stimulus plan, particularly in sportswear and jewelry [5] Company Analysis - The report provides insights into the financial performance of various companies, such as: - **Zhenyu Technology**: Achieved revenue of 6.20 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of -1.75 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in Q1 2025 with a 23.75% year-on-year revenue increase [9][11] - **Jinxi Axle**: Reported a revenue increase in high-speed train axles, supported by its state-owned enterprise background, which enhances its diversification efforts [16] - **Shanghai Hanxun**: Expected to exceed 150 million yuan in satellite business revenue in 2024, with a significant increase in satellite launches planned for 2025 [21] Financial Performance - Companies are showing varied financial results, with some experiencing significant growth: - **Artis**: Projected to create a second growth engine through large-scale storage, with steady production expansion in the U.S. [5] - **Zhenyu Technology**: Anticipates a recovery in profitability post-transformation, with a focus on human-shaped robots and eVTOL businesses [11] - **Jinxi Axle**: Reported a 33.23% increase in railway vehicle revenue, indicating strong market demand [19] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from emerging trends, such as foldable device materials and advancements in AI and IoT technologies [5][27] - Companies like **Guanghe Tong** are highlighted as leaders in AI IoT, with a strong product matrix and growth potential in smart modules [27] - The overall sentiment is positive for sectors that are adapting to technological advancements and regulatory changes, indicating potential investment opportunities [8][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 353 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.71% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue surged to 126 million yuan, reflecting an 84.41% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 13 million yuan, marking a positive turnaround [4][5]. Market Performance - As of May 5, 2025, the company's closing price was 21.27 yuan, with a total share capital of 628 million shares and a market capitalization of 13.357 billion yuan [3]. Business Developments - The company is significantly involved in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, with 90 satellites currently in orbit and plans to launch 648 satellites by the end of 2025, aiming for global network coverage by 2030. The company is a key supplier for satellite communication systems, contributing to a projected revenue of 1.5 billion yuan from satellite business in 2024 [5][6]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 136 million yuan in 2025, 282 million yuan in 2026, and 444 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 209.4%, 107.9%, and 57.4% respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.22 yuan in 2025, 0.45 yuan in 2026, and 0.71 yuan in 2027 [9][11]. Cost Management - The company effectively controlled its expenses, with total expenses of 65 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 11.3% year-on-year. The company is expected to achieve profitability in the coming year due to improved cost management and the anticipated growth in satellite and military communication businesses [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [3][8]. Core Views - The satellite business is showing significant results, with a competitive advantage as the company participates in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, which aims to provide global network coverage by 2030 [4][6]. - The military communication industry is gradually recovering, with the company positioned well in new fields such as military 5G and broadband data links, leading to a positive outlook for future growth [6][7]. - Effective cost control measures are in place, with expectations of turning profitable in the coming year as the satellite business scales up [8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 353 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, and a net profit of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.7% year-on-year [10]. - The forecast for 2025 estimates a revenue of 853 million yuan, representing a significant year-on-year growth of 141.3%, with a projected net profit of 136 million yuan [10]. - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 42.0% in 2025, with a net profit margin turning positive at 15.9% [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has secured multiple contracts, including a significant project with Shanghai Yanshin for an integrated gateway station system, indicating strong market demand and operational capabilities [5][6]. - The company is expected to supply a substantial portion of the payloads for the Qianfan satellite constellation, which will contribute to rapid revenue growth [4][8]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.36 billion yuan, 2.82 billion yuan, and 4.44 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [8][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.22 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan by 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [10].

Group 1: Company Role and Projects - The company is a core supplier for the G60 constellation communication subsystem, responsible for key communication equipment such as satellite communication payloads and ground stations [1] - The company recovered investment cash of 150 million CNY primarily from purchasing structured deposits, ensuring capital safety while striving to enhance returns [2] - The company is the sole supplier for the payloads in the "Qianfan Constellation" G60 satellite project, providing essential equipment like satellite base stations and phased array antennas [2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Contracts - The company has approximately 150 million CNY in low Earth orbit satellite-related business for 2024, as detailed in the annual report [3] - The company has signed but not yet fulfilled contracts worth 311 million CNY, mainly in broadband communication equipment and low Earth orbit satellite products [3] - The company won a bid for the integrated ground station system procurement project at a price of 2.497 million CNY per set, with an estimated total contract value of about 150 million CNY if calculated at a 50% share [2] Group 3: Market Strategy and Shareholder Relations - Recent large-scale share reductions by shareholders are considered normal market behavior based on investment returns, with the company maintaining a good operational status [2] - The company is focused on technological innovation and sustainable development to ensure a stable improvement in its fundamentals [3] - The company aims to establish broader market relationships and enhance product applications, indicating a proactive approach to market expansion [4]

1Q 实现扭亏为盈，低轨卫星业务扬帆 | 华泰研究 | | 更新报告 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 5 月 | 04 日│中国内地 | 通信设备制造 | 公司 2024 年实现营业收入 3.53 亿元（yoy+12.97%）；归母净利润-1.24 亿 元，同比减亏。1Q25 实现收入 1.26 亿元（yoy+84.41%），主因卫星通信 载荷收入增长；归母净利润 1323.20 万元，单季实现扭亏为盈，且高于我们 此前预期（200 万），主要受益于费用端优化。随着军工行业逐步恢复，以 及军用 5G、数据链新产品的应用，公司主业收入与利润有望迎来复苏；卫 星板块有望跟随千帆星座组网实现快速增长；随着公司收入规模扩张，费用 率有望摊薄，进而推动利润恢复。维持"买入"评级。 证券研究报告 上海瀚讯 (300762 CH) 军用区域宽带主业需求静待复苏，低轨卫星互联网构筑第二增长曲线 受行业影响，公司主业景气度尚未完全恢复，军用区域宽带产品收入及利润 均有所下滑，公司持续聚焦军用宽带通信业务，优化战术通信装备性能，巩 固行业龙头地位，并加速无人机数据链、5G 小基站等新产品研发。低轨卫 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 353 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.97%, with losses narrowing from 190 million yuan in 2023 to 124 million yuan in 2024. In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 126 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 84.41%, and achieved a net profit of 13 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [3]. - The company's expense structure has improved significantly in 2024, with sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio at 8.4%, 17.0%, and 57.1% respectively, compared to 11.1%, 13.9%, and 81.5% in 2023. The gross margin for Q1 2025 rebounded to 37.56%, up from 25.63% in Q4 2024, primarily due to product structure adjustments [3]. - The government continues to encourage and support the development of commercial aerospace, highlighting its strategic importance in the 2025 government work report. This includes initiatives for new technologies and products, with a focus on commercial aerospace and related industries, indicating a golden opportunity for growth [4]. - The G60 satellite network construction is accelerating, with plans to complete a constellation of 1,296 satellites by the end of 2027, providing global service capabilities. The company is involved in the development of low Earth orbit satellite communication subsystems and has begun mass production of related equipment [5]. - The company is expected to benefit from its satellite-related products, with projected net profits of 94 million yuan, 193 million yuan, and 349 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting strong growth potential [5][6]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 353 million yuan, with a projected revenue of 1,062 million yuan in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 200.7%. The net profit is expected to turn positive in 2025, reaching 94 million yuan [6][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.15 yuan in 2025, increasing to 0.56 yuan by 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 137 in 2025, decreasing to 37 by 2027 [6][12].