Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [10] Core Insights - The Central Document No. 1 emphasizes "new agricultural productivity" and the need for rural revitalization, highlighting the importance of food security and the promotion of biotechnology and smart agriculture [1][14] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in various sectors, including seeds, low-altitude economy, infrastructure, and animal husbandry [2][3][4][5][6] Seed Sector - The document mentions "food" 15 times, stressing national food security and the need to enhance crop yields through biotechnology [2][14] - The commercialization of genetically modified corn is expected to accelerate, benefiting leading seed companies [2] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech, Dabeinong, and Quanyin High-Tech [2] Low-Altitude Economy - The report supports the development of smart agriculture and low-altitude technologies, predicting a trillion-yuan market by 2030 [2][15] - Applications of drones in agriculture are expected to grow, benefiting companies involved in agricultural drone technology [2] Infrastructure - Emphasis on soil protection and quality improvement, with initiatives for high-standard farmland construction and water conservancy projects [2][15] - Quality enterprises in agriculture, fertilizers, and agricultural reclamation are expected to benefit [2] Swine Sector - The average price of live pigs is stable at 14.67 yuan/kg, with a decrease in profitability for self-breeding farms [3][16] - The supply of pigs is expected to remain high, while demand is sluggish post-Spring Festival [3][16] - Recommended companies include Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and New Hope Liuhe [3][17] Poultry Sector - The report highlights the impact of restricted overseas breeding on supply, with a significant drop in domestic breeding stock [4][19] - Chicken prices have rebounded, with recommendations for companies like Shengnong Development and Yisheng Livestock [4][19] Feed Sector - Hai Da Group is recommended due to its improving fundamentals and relative valuation [6][21] - The report notes a potential recovery in the aquaculture feed market after a prolonged downturn [6][21] Animal Health Sector - The report emphasizes new market opportunities in pet health products and the introduction of innovative vaccines [7][22] - Recommended companies include Kexin Biological and Zhongmu Biological [7][22] Pet Sector - Domestic pet brands are growing rapidly, with a notable increase in pet food exports [8][24] - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [8][24]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the rising prices of agricultural products and emphasizes the need to monitor cost changes in the breeding industry and the procurement advantages of leading feed companies [3][4] - In the pig sector, while the price difference for standard pigs is at a two-year high, there is insufficient marginal support expected during the consumption off-season, leading to potential downward pressure on pig prices [4][21] - The report suggests a shift from "cyclical thinking" to focusing on financial performance, recommending investment in leading pig farming companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [5][22] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The latest pig price has dropped to 14.51 CNY/kg, with an average slaughter weight increasing to 126.52 kg. The price for 15 kg piglets has decreased to 560 CNY/head, and the price difference for 175 kg standard pigs is 1.1 CNY/kg [4][21] - The overall supply of pigs is expected to be high throughout the year, indicating a weak price trend [4][21] - The Ministry of Agriculture reported a breeding sow inventory of 40.62 million heads, exceeding the 105% capacity control threshold [4][21] 2. Poultry Industry - The price of broiler chickens has rebounded, with chick prices increasing to 2.5 CNY/bird, up 13.64% week-on-week, while the price of broiler chickens is 6.26 CNY/kg, up 11.79% week-on-week [6][23] - The report identifies two main investment lines: focusing on high-return on equity (ROE) companies like Yisheng and full-chain leaders like Shennong Development [6][23] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to its cash flow turning point and overseas high growth potential [7][10] - Fish prices have shown positive performance, with various species experiencing different percentage changes, indicating a recovery in aquaculture profitability [7][24] 4. Pet Industry - Online sales of pet food have decreased by 7% year-on-year, with various brands showing different growth rates [11][27] - The report suggests focusing on well-performing brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which are entering a growth phase [11][27] 5. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 3890.05, down 2.22% from the previous week, while the Agricultural Index closed at 2460.33, down 0.89% [30][32] - The report notes that the agricultural sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with the pet food sector showing the best performance at 2.77% [30][32]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the release of the 2025 Central Document No. 1, which emphasizes enhancing the supply guarantee capabilities of important agricultural products, including grain and livestock [4][11] - The report indicates that the pig price is expected to experience short-term bottom fluctuations but with a marginal upward trend due to various factors including seasonal demand and supply dynamics [5][13] - The report identifies low-positioning value in the pig sector and a strengthening logic for domestic pet products, driven by consumption recovery and market dynamics [6][22][24] Summary by Sections Central Document Insights - The 2025 Central Document No. 1 focuses on enhancing the supply guarantee capabilities of important agricultural products through various measures, including improving crop yields, supporting stable development in livestock, and advancing agricultural technology [4][11] Pig Market Analysis - As of February 28, 2025, the national average price of pigs is 14.51 yuan/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.38 yuan/kg but a year-on-year increase of 0.58 yuan/kg [5][13] - The average weight of pigs at market is increasing, with a current average of 126.52 kg per head, which may exert pressure on short-term pig prices [18][22] - The report anticipates that the price center for pigs may gradually rise in Q2 2025 due to factors such as seasonal disease impacts and feed price increases [5][13] Market Performance - The agricultural sector outperformed the broader market by 0.83 percentage points during the week of February 24-28, 2025, with the agricultural index declining by 0.89% compared to a 1.72% drop in the Shanghai Composite Index [7][25] - Key stocks such as Honghui Fruits and Vegetables, Fucheng Shares, and Yuegui Shares showed significant gains during this period [25][32] Price Tracking - Prices for various agricultural products, including white feather chickens, bass, and shrimp, have shown an upward trend, with corn futures also increasing by 0.88% [35][42] - The average price of piglets is 33.01 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.68 yuan/kg, while the average price of white meat is 19.66 yuan/kg, up by 0.19 yuan/kg [36][40]

周期，周期，还是周期！ 作者 | 萧瑟 编辑 | 小白 农林牧渔可以说是与春节关系最为紧密的行业，毕竟春节时间节点的确定依据正是古时的农业历法。 农业社会中，春节往往被视作是新一轮生产周期起始的标志。而人们在此时进行的各种庆祝习俗，也 有祈愿新的一年风调雨顺、农业丰收的寓意。 但在二级市场，2024年对于农业来讲并不是一个友好的年份。申万农林牧渔指数全年下跌11.6%，不 仅跑输上证指数24.2pct，更是在31个行业中排在倒数第二。 从行业名字中我们也能感受到，农林牧渔业态繁多，包含种植、养殖、捕捞等，仅用单一指数很难对 下跌原因一以概之。 因此我们还是按老规矩，聚焦到前十大市值公司来逐个剖析。 有意思的是，从这十家公司的股价表现看，倒是很难感受到行业整体的颓势，甚至其中还有接近翻倍 的个股。 | 公司名称 | 2024年末市值(亿元) | 全年涨跌幅 | 二级行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 牧原股份 | 2099.9 | J. 4.7% | 养殖业(申万) | | 金龙鱼 | 1768.0 | 2.0% | 农产品加工(申万) | | 温氏股份 | 1098.6 | J ...

播恩集团股份有限公司 Boen Group CO., LTD. （江西省赣州经济技术开发区迎宾大道中段） 首次公开发行股票招股说明书摘要 保荐人（主承销商） （上海市广东路 689 号） 发行人声明 本招股说明书摘要的目的仅为向公众提供有关本次发行的简要情况，并不包 括招股说明书全文的各部分内容。招股说明书全文同时刊载于深圳证券交易所指 定网站。投资者在做出认购决定之前，应仔细阅读招股说明书全文，并以其作为 投资决定的依据。 投资者若对本招股说明书及其摘要存在任何疑问，应咨询自己的股票经纪 人、律师、会计师或其他专业顾问。 发行人及全体董事、监事、高级管理人员承诺招股说明书及其摘要不存在虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并对招股说明书及其摘要的真实性、准确性、 完整性承担个别和连带的法律责任。 公司负责人和主管会计工作的负责人、会计机构负责人保证招股说明书及其 摘要中财务会计资料真实、完整。 保荐人承诺因其为发行人首次公开发行股票制作、出具的文件有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，给投资者造成损失的，将先行赔偿投资者损失。 1 | | 发行人声明 1 | | --- | --- | | 目 | 录 2 | ...

播恩集团股份有限公司 Boen Group CO., LTD. （江西省赣州经济技术开发区迎宾大道中段） 首次公开发行股票招股意向书摘要 保荐人（主承销商） （上海市广东路 689 号） 发行人声明 本招股意向书摘要的目的仅为向公众提供有关本次发行的简要情况，并不包 括招股意向书全文的各部分内容。招股意向书全文同时刊载于深圳证券交易所指 定网站。投资者在做出认购决定之前，应仔细阅读招股意向书全文，并以其作为 投资决定的依据。 发行人及全体董事、监事、高级管理人员承诺招股意向书及其摘要不存在虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并对招股意向书及其摘要的真实性、准确性、 完整性承担个别和连带的法律责任。 公司负责人和主管会计工作的负责人、会计机构负责人保证招股意向书及其 摘要中财务会计资料真实、完整。 保荐人承诺因其为发行人首次公开发行股票制作、出具的文件有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，给投资者造成损失的，将先行赔偿投资者损失。 中国证监会、其他政府部门对本次发行所作的任何决定或意见，均不表明其 对发行人股票的价值或者投资者的收益做出实质性判断或者保证。任何与之相反 的声明均属虚假不实陈述。 1-2-1-1 | ...