中国航油市场维持多年的相对稳态格局已被打破，一场由全产业链巨头主导的，重塑游戏规 则与行业版图的变革开始了。 王先生表示，与以往任何一次航油领域的整合不同，这次重组的"新"意，在于其目标直指从"炼厂到机 翼"的全链条一体化。 中国航油集团这家亚洲最大的航空运输服务保障龙头，与国内另一家能源巨头，正试图合二为一。 金联创能源分析师周密表示，此次重组若能落地，将重塑国内航油市场的竞争格局，核心看点在于能否 真正实现从炼化到加注的全链条效率提升。 消息传出，产业链上的各类企业，从巨头到小鱼，反应迅疾而复杂。 一名国内头部航空公司负责航油采购的高管对经济观察报表示，他在得知上述重组消息后的第一时间调 取了公司未来三个季度的用油计划和采购合同。他最关切的是，重组后，议价空间是会扩大还是消失？ 供应是会更稳定，还是将面临新的不确定性？ 一份来自新加坡的公告，在2025年冬天，搅动了中国航油市场的"一池春水"。 2025年10月30日，中国航油（新加坡）股份有限公司（股票代码G92.SG，下称"中航油新加坡"）发布 公告，确认其控股股东中国航空油料集团有限公司（下称"中国航油集团"）正与另一家企业集团进行重 组。 这份措辞 ...

Core Viewpoint - In November, the high dividend sector continued to perform relatively well, driven by its defensive attributes amid declining market risk appetite due to factors such as overseas AI debates, tightening liquidity, and geopolitical disturbances [2][3] Market Overview - The current all-A ERP is near the rolling 5-year average, indicating a potential stabilization in market conditions [1] - High dividend sectors, particularly banks and oil & petrochemicals, showed strong performance this month [1] Investment Strategy - Looking ahead to December, there is an expectation for a recovery in market risk appetite, supported by a decline in long-term U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index [1][3] - The marginal value of high dividend sector allocation has decreased compared to November, suggesting a need for selective investment in "anti-involution" cyclical high dividend stocks and some potential high dividend varieties [1][3] Sector-Specific Insights - **Insurance Sector**: The insurance dividend strategy is transitioning to a 2.0 phase, focusing on selective investments due to declining cash yields and challenges from rising valuations and falling dividend yields [4] - **Transportation**: The sector has seen a recovery in truck demand since Q3, with recommendations for stocks that have experienced significant declines [5] - **Banking**: The stability of LPR rates is beneficial for banks, and recent stock purchases by executives have boosted market confidence [6] - **Telecommunications**: Despite slowing revenue growth, operators are improving operational efficiency and capital expenditures, positioning them well for AI-related opportunities [7] - **Oil & Petrochemicals**: The sector is expected to benefit from a recovery in raw material prices and improved demand for chemical products [8] Conclusion - The overall sentiment indicates a cautious optimism for December, with a focus on high dividend stocks that are undervalued and have strong fundamentals, particularly in cyclical sectors and essential consumer goods [3][5][6]

查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 点击注册小程序 【策略】多重利好因素叠加，市场探底回升——策略周专题（2025年11月第4期） 市场大方向或仍处在牛市中，不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比，当前指数仍然有相当大的上涨 空间，但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，牛市持续的时间或许要比涨幅更加重要。不过短期来看，市场 可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于稳健，股市短期或以震荡蓄势为主。 （张宇生/郭磊）2025-11-29 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【金工】量能决定短期反弹高度——金融工程市场跟踪周报20251130 本周A股市场震荡反弹，创业板指领涨主要宽基指数。量能表现方面，本周主要宽基指数量能逆势收缩，当前 量能状态与市场反弹表现不 ...

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 赵文琪 A0230523060003 zhaowq@swsresearch.com 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 周超 A0230525090001 zhouchao@swsresearch.com 李绍程 A0230525070002 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 2025 年 11 月 30 日 发改委持续推进"反内卷"进程， 多地 MDI 停车检修致价格上涨， 钾肥进口大合同同比持稳 看好 ——《化工周报 25/11/24-25/11/28》 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提 ...

Group 1 - The rapid appreciation of the RMB in the past month is attributed to domestic economic resilience, a weaker USD, and active domestic capital markets, with the RMB appreciating 1.5% against the USD and 3.6% in offshore markets as of November 28 [1][2] - The RMB's appreciation accelerated in November, driven by a reduction in uncertainty regarding China's export environment following a joint arrangement between China and the US to address trade concerns [1][2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes economic construction and aims for a significant increase in the consumption rate, which positively influences both domestic and foreign expectations for the Chinese economy and RMB assets [2] Group 2 - The fourth week of November saw a rebound in global markets, with the expectation of interest rate cuts leading to a weaker USD, which in turn facilitated a rise in stock and bond markets, as well as the appreciation of the RMB [3][4] - The US stock market showed significant rebounds, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rising 3.73% and 4.91% respectively, while the VIX index indicated improved market confidence [4][5] - Commodities, particularly precious metals, benefited from the weaker USD, with gold and silver prices rising significantly, reflecting a strong demand for safe-haven assets [5][6] Group 3 - The US and European bond markets experienced a bullish trend, with the 10-year US Treasury yield dropping below 4%, while the dollar weakened, contributing to the RMB's appreciation [7][8] - The euro gained against the dollar due to easing geopolitical risks, while the Japanese yen remained weak, indicating a divergence in currency performance influenced by regional economic conditions [8][9] Group 4 - Chinese assets across the board rebounded, with technology stocks leading the charge, while trading volumes decreased, indicating a shift in market focus towards technology and cyclical sectors [9][10] - The overall A-share market saw a 2.9% increase, with significant participation from technology and cyclical stocks, while the trading volume showed a decline, suggesting a concentration of investment in fewer stocks [10][11] Group 5 - The recent government initiatives, including the establishment of a dedicated regulatory body for commercial aerospace, aim to enhance the development of strategic emerging industries such as aerospace and new materials [23][24] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines measures to accelerate the growth of strategic emerging industries, with a focus on innovation and large-scale application of new technologies [23][25]

2025 年 11 月 30 日 行业研究 地缘缓和预期下油价低位震荡，关注 OPEC+产量政策 ——石油化工行业周报第 430 期（20251124—20251130） 要点 地缘冲突缓和预期走强，本周油价低位震荡。本周俄乌和平谈判重启，地缘 冲突缓和预期驱动油价振荡加剧，但俄乌双方在核心问题的谈判尚未取得进 展，且 OPEC+增产幅度有望放缓，使得本周油价整体呈低位震荡态势。截至 11 月 28 日，布伦特、WTI 原油分别报收 62.32、58.48 美元/桶，较上周收盘 分别-0.3%、+0.9%。 俄乌谈判核心问题仍存分歧，地缘风险有望持续支撑油价。本周美国与乌克 兰代表在日内瓦举行谈判，美国宣布在达成和平协议方面取得巨大进展，使得 市场对俄乌实现和平预期走强，原油的地缘政治溢价下跌。但是，美乌谈判代 表未透露涉及俄乌重大分歧的具体解决方案，包括领土、乌克兰军队规模、乌 克兰加入北约等众多核心问题。截至本周五，谈判尚未取得任何成果。今年以 来美国数次试图调停俄乌冲突，但我们认为目前美、俄、乌、欧四方就俄乌冲 突的核心问题达成一致的可能性较低，俄乌冲突仍存长期化趋势。此外，委内 瑞拉局势紧张程度不断升 ...

摘要：【图】2025年9月四川省柴油产量统计分析 2025年9月柴油产量统计： 柴油产量：22.8 万吨 同比增长：9.1% 增速较上一年同期变化：低26.7个百分点 据统计，2025年9月四川省规模以上工业企业柴油产量与上年同期相比增长了9.1%，达22.8万吨，增速 较上一年同期低26.7个百分点，增速放缓，增速较同期全国高6.0个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业 柴油产量1741.8万吨的比重为1.3%。 详见下图： 图1：四川省柴油产量分月（当月值）统计图 据统计，2025年1－9月，四川省规模以上工业企业柴油产量与上年同期相比增长了10.3%，达183.4万 吨，增速较上一年同期低4.0个百分点，增速放缓，增速较同期全国高12.8个百分点，约占同期全国规模 以上企业柴油产量14691万吨的比重为1.2%。详见下图： 图2：四川省柴油产量分月（累计值）统计图 注：主要能源产品产量月度统计范围为规模以上工业法人单位，即年主营业务收入2000万元及以上的工 业企业。 产业调研网为您提供更多 2025年1-9月柴油产量统计： 柴油产量：183.4 万吨 同比增长：10.3% 增速较上一年同期变化：低4.0个 ...

Core Viewpoint - The State Intellectual Property Office of China has reported that China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), Sinopec Petroleum and Chemical Research Institute Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Jiao Tong University have applied for a patent titled "A Hard Carbon Material and Its Preparation Method, Battery Anode, and Sodium-Ion Battery" with publication number CN121020544A, filed on May 2024 [1] Group 1 - The patent application involves a hard carbon material and its preparation method, which is relevant for battery anodes and sodium-ion batteries [1] - The method described in the patent includes specific steps, starting with the precursor at a temperature T [1]

Core Viewpoint - The relative stability of China's aviation fuel market has been disrupted, initiating a transformation led by industry giants that aims to reshape the competitive landscape and industry structure [2][8]. Group 1: Announcement and Reorganization - On October 30, 2025, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Co., Ltd. announced that its controlling shareholder, China Aviation Oil Group, is undergoing a reorganization with another enterprise group [3][9]. - The reorganization is characterized as a comprehensive integration of assets, channels, and personnel, indicating a significant shift beyond mere capital cooperation to a restructuring of the entire industry chain [4][5]. Group 2: Market Impact and Industry Response - Analysts suggest that if the reorganization is successful, it will reshape the domestic aviation fuel market's competitive dynamics, focusing on enhancing efficiency across the entire supply chain from refining to refueling [7][15]. - Various stakeholders in the industry, from major corporations to smaller firms, are reacting swiftly to the news, with concerns about pricing power and supply stability emerging as key issues [8][20]. Group 3: Strategic Goals and Future Outlook - The reorganization aims to create a "giant" capable of competing with international energy giants, driven by dual strategies of achieving carbon neutrality and ensuring supply chain autonomy [8][12]. - The integration of China Aviation Oil Group's extensive distribution network with the energy giant's refining capabilities is expected to optimize costs and enhance operational efficiency [11][13]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Challenges - The aviation fuel market, previously characterized by a stable triangular structure dominated by state-owned giants, is facing a potential shift towards a more competitive environment where efficiency and cost become the primary competitive factors [16][15]. - Smaller companies express concerns about being squeezed out of the market as a result of the emergence of a dominant player, leading to strategic reassessments and adaptations [18][19]. Group 5: Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Initiatives - China Aviation Oil Group is actively positioning itself in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) sector, with strategic investments and partnerships aimed at preparing for future regulatory requirements and market demands [25][26]. - The reorganization raises questions about how the new entity will approach the SAF market, particularly regarding the treatment of private sector players [26][27]. Group 6: Investment and Market Opportunities - Investors are reevaluating the energy sector landscape, focusing on the integration of companies within the newly formed industry ecosystem rather than solely on individual technological advancements [29].

Core Viewpoint - The relative stability of the Chinese aviation fuel market has been disrupted, initiating a transformation led by industry giants that aims to reshape the rules and landscape of the sector [1][6]. Restructuring Announcement - On October 30, 2025, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Limited announced that its controlling shareholder, China Aviation Oil Group, is undergoing a restructuring with another enterprise group [2][8]. - The restructuring involves comprehensive integration of assets, channels, and personnel, marking a significant shift from mere capital cooperation to a full industry chain reconstruction [3][4]. Market Dynamics and Reactions - The restructuring has prompted swift and complex reactions from various enterprises within the industry, with concerns about pricing power and supply stability being paramount among aviation companies and smaller refining firms [6][10]. - The restructuring aims to create a "super supply chain" that integrates distribution networks and refining capabilities, potentially enhancing efficiency from refining to refueling [9][10]. Competitive Landscape - The merger of China Aviation Oil Group and a major energy enterprise could significantly alter the competitive landscape of the domestic aviation fuel market, focusing on efficiency improvements across the entire supply chain [5][11]. - The restructuring is expected to elevate competition from channel-based to efficiency and cost-based competition across the entire industry chain [10][11]. Industry Structure and Market Share - Historically, the aviation fuel market in China has been characterized by a stable structure dominated by state-owned giants, with China Aviation Oil Group acting as a key intermediary [13][14]. - China Aviation Oil Group holds approximately 40% of the market share in the distribution and terminal service segments, while state-owned enterprises like Sinopec and PetroChina dominate the production side with about 81% market share [14]. Future Opportunities and Challenges - The restructuring is anticipated to create both pressures and opportunities for smaller players in the market, as they may face challenges in maintaining market share against a newly formed giant [14][21]. - The focus on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is emerging as a critical area, with China Aviation Oil Group actively investing in SAF production to align with future regulatory requirements [20][21]. Strategic Adjustments - Companies within the industry are reassessing their strategies in light of the restructuring, with some exploring partnerships or alternative supply channels to mitigate risks associated with the potential dominance of the new entity [16][18]. - The restructuring is seen as a catalyst for a new wave of differentiation and consolidation within the aviation fuel market, prompting companies to adapt to the evolving competitive landscape [11][21].