证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 2026 年 2 月 3 日 成长占优，大小盘表现差异收敛 ——A 股流动性与风格跟踪月报（202602） 展望 2 月，市场在未来一段时间将会以震荡为主，节后指数有望强于节前。日 历效应显示 2 月小盘、成长风格的胜率相对更高，考虑到市场仍处春季行情阶 段，风格层面继续推荐成长风格，大小盘表现差异有望收敛，先大盘后小盘。推 荐指数主要包括中证 1000、创业板 50、300 质量、800 信息等。 ❑流动性与资金供需：2 月增量资金或继续净流入，节前外资有望继续净流入， 节后融资有望回流。宏观流动性方面，政府债券在 1 月集中发行缴款，对流动 性形成一定抽水效应。央行采取了精准有力的对冲措施，通过中期流动性工具 弥补资金缺口，2 月资金面有望继续保持平稳充裕。外部流动性方面，从特朗 普新提名的美联储主席沃什的政策主张来看，沃什更可能采取温和且渐进的降 息策略，其更倾向于将降息与缩减资产负债表（缩表）配合，以对冲宽松效应， 避免通胀反弹。目前市场对 2026 年的降息预期从原先的 1 次上调至 2 次。股 票市场资金供需方面，1 月股票市场可跟踪资金转为净流出，融资成为主力增 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that over 20 A-share listed brokerages have released performance forecasts for 2025, with most expected to achieve year-on-year profit growth, and several are projected to double their profits [13][14]. - The insurance sector is increasingly focusing on pension and technology innovation investments, with significant capital being allocated to these areas, indicating a shift towards building a health and pension ecosystem [40][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Securities Business Overview and Weekly Review - As of January 30, 2026, more than 20 A-share listed brokerages have issued performance forecasts for 2025, with most reporting positive year-on-year growth in net profit. Notably, major brokerages like CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan are expected to exceed 10 billion CNY in net profit [13][14]. - The report anticipates a favorable performance for the securities industry in 2025, driven by a recovery in both primary and secondary markets, as well as a rebound in margin financing [13]. 2. Insurance Business Overview and Weekly Review - Insurance capital is increasingly directed towards diverse equity investments, with the total equity investment assets reaching 1.92 trillion CNY by the end of 2024, marking a nearly 13% year-on-year increase [40]. - Major insurance companies are establishing funds to invest in the pension and technology sectors, with China Life investing approximately 125 billion CNY in two equity funds focused on the pension industry and technology innovation [41]. 3. Market Liquidity Tracking - The report notes that the central bank conducted a net injection of 530.5 billion CNY into the market during the week of January 26-30, 2026, indicating a proactive approach to managing liquidity [47].

北京商报讯（记者 李秀梅）2月3日，上海市人民政府印发《鼓励留学人员来上海工作和创业的若干规 定》，其中提到，鼓励上海市保险企业开发适应留学人员医疗需求的商业医疗保险产品。鼓励支持具备 条件的医院加强与国内外保险公司合作，加入国际医疗保险的直付网络系统。支持市场主体建立第三方 国际医疗保险结算平台。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of fraudulent insurance products mimicking "惠民保" (Huiminbao) has led to significant financial losses for consumers, particularly targeting vulnerable groups such as the elderly and those with non-standard health conditions [1][3][6]. Group 1: Fraudulent Activities - A major fraud case involving "屹腾惠民保障服务" has been exposed, with over 71 million yuan involved and operations spanning 30 provinces [1][3]. - The fraudulent company promised to reimburse all out-of-pocket medical expenses, attracting consumers with low entry barriers, but later denied large claims under various pretexts [3][4]. - The company established branches in 10 provinces and 15 cities within a year, with over 70,000 policyholders, and used high commission rates of up to 27% to recruit agents, significantly higher than legitimate insurance commissions [3][4]. Group 2: Characteristics of Fraudulent Products - The fraudulent products closely mimic legitimate insurance offerings, using enticing promises such as "0 deductible" and "100% reimbursement" without age or health restrictions, which are unrealistic compared to standard insurance products [5][6]. - These scams often involve the use of fake government documents to create a facade of legitimacy, misleading consumers into believing they are purchasing authorized products [5][6]. - Unlike legitimate "惠民保" products, which have defined coverage periods and terms, these fraudulent offerings often claim immediate activation and nationwide availability [5][6]. Group 3: Consumer Protection Measures - Consumers are advised to verify the operating qualifications of insurance providers through official channels, as only entities approved by financial regulatory authorities can legally offer insurance [7]. - It is crucial for consumers to critically assess promotional claims, especially those that seem too good to be true, and to consult official sources for product verification [7]. - Legitimate "惠民保" products are government-guided and can be purchased through official channels, contrasting sharply with the fraudulent schemes [8].

Core Insights - Round Heart Insurance was awarded the "Annual Outstanding Beneficial Insurance Special Drug Service Provider" at the 2025 Sina Finance Golden Unicorn Insurance Industry Awards, reflecting the deepening of China's multi-tiered medical security system and the continuous upgrade of beneficial insurance [1][6] Industry Developments - In recent years, to meet the urgent demand for high-priced cancer drugs and rare disease medications, the coverage responsibilities of beneficial insurance products across the country have been continuously upgraded, with special drug coverage becoming a core element of differentiation and "big disease" positioning [3][8] - The implementation of the first version of the "Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug Catalog" in December 2025 provides clear policy guidance and significant opportunities for commercial health insurance to support innovative drug payments [4][9] Company Initiatives - Round Heart Insurance has developed an intelligent service closed loop that connects medical, pharmaceutical, and insurance resources, enhancing the accessibility and affordability of high-priced special drugs, thereby translating the increasingly rich special drug coverage into tangible benefits for patients [4][9] - In 2025, Round Heart Insurance participated in the operation and service of 40 beneficial insurance projects nationwide and expanded coverage to special groups such as veterans, indicating the depth and breadth of its services are evolving in line with industry trends to meet diverse public welfare needs [4][9] Future Outlook - The beneficial insurance industry has entered a high-quality development stage focused on "precise pricing" and "value competition," shifting attention from expanding coverage to enhancing the effectiveness and sustainability of insurance through scientific design of special drug coverage, refined management of medication processes, and optimized claims and service experiences [4][9] - The award received by Round Heart Insurance symbolizes its commitment to deepening special drug services and enhancing the effectiveness of beneficial insurance, highlighting the need for more participants grounded in solid service and technological innovation to contribute positively to the social security safety net [5][10]

中国人民财产保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 同意中国人民财产保险股份有限公司乌苏支公司八十四户乡营销服务部将营业场所变更为：新疆维吾尔 自治区塔城地区乌苏市重庆路467号。 2026年1月29日，塔城金融监管分局发布批复称，《关于中国人民财产保险股份有限公司乌苏支公司八 十四户乡营销服务部变更营业场所的请示》(塔人保财险发〔2025〕116号)收悉。经审核，批复如下： ...

2025年保险行业成绩单正式出炉。 储蓄需求推动寿险增长 金融监管总局数据显示，2025年人身险公司原保费收入为4.36万亿元，同比增长8.9%，成为今年总保费 增长的主要推动力。 "我们预计人身险保费的增长主要为保险储蓄需求旺盛下新单及续期保费共同推动。"刘欣琦团队称。 储蓄需求旺盛主要带来的是人身险中的寿险保费增长。在金融监管总局披露的人身险公司三大产品类型 中，除了寿险保费实现11.4%的增长，意外险及健康险均呈现同比下降的态势。刘欣琦团队认为，这说 明保障类产品的客户需求仍然偏弱。 根据东吴证券数据，2025年第四季度单季人身险公司原保费规模达5191亿元，同比增长0.3%，较第三 季度增速回落24.7个百分点，这主要受预定利率下调后市场需求短期偏弱和筹备开门红影响。不过， 2025年12月单月人身险公司原保费规模又从11月的负增长中转正，同比增长6.0%，达2152亿元。刘欣 琦团队称，12月人身险保费的增速转正预计主要由部分保险公司冲刺年度业务目标所致。 从渠道方面来说，2025年寿险的增长延续近两年的由银保渠道驱动的趋势，多家大型上市险企的银保渠 道增幅均大幅高于个险渠道。以中国太保披露的全年保 ...

香港宏福苑火灾超八成理赔个案已处理完毕。 2月3日，香港保险业监管局（香港保监局）发布消息称，宏福苑大火发生后，香港保监局全力协调保险 公司为受影响人士提供支援，并密切监察处理理赔个案的进度。截至目前，1032宗（85%）个案已处理 完毕，涉及金额近5.1亿港元。 具体来看，目前的理赔个案中，一般保险理赔个案共1030宗，其中863宗已处理完毕（84%），涉及金 额约4.5亿港元；人寿保险理赔个案共188宗，其中169宗（90%）已处理完毕，涉及金额约6000万港 元。 香港保监局行政总监张云正表示："保监局得悉大部分理赔个案已成功在基于公平待客的原则下获得解 决，而余下个案则须作出实地勘察和损毁评估，我们会继续与香港保险业联会积极跟进。" 2025年12月19日，香港保监局曾披露，人寿保险方面，宏福苑住户共持有由36间保险公司发出约10660 张保单，主要为终身人寿、年金/储蓄及医疗/危疾保单，其中17间涉及理赔个案。一般保险方面，宏福 苑住户共持有由35间保险公司发出约1800张保单，主要为家居、医疗及个人意外保单，其中34间涉及理 赔个案。 香港宏福苑火灾超八成理赔个案已处理完毕。 2月3日，香港保险业 ...

作为第一家海峡两岸合资寿险公司，陆家嘴国泰人寿总部设在上海，注册资本30亿元，由上海陆家 嘴金融发展有限公司和国泰人寿保险股份有限公司分别持股50%，于2005年1月正式对外销售保单。开 业以来，陆家嘴国泰人寿已顺利筹设江苏、浙江、福建、北京、山东、广东、辽宁、天津、厦门、四 川、河南11家分公司，同时在近50个城市设立了营销网点。 最新披露的2025年四季度偿付能力报告显示，2025年，陆家嘴国泰人寿实现保险业务收入106.09亿 元，同比增长近50%；净利润10.51亿元，同比大增750%。截至2025年四季度末，公司核心偿付能力充 足率为116.69%，综合偿付能力充足率为157.61%，最近两次风险综合评级结果均为AA级。 从履历来看，王岗此前并无保险从业经历。其出生于1982年，研究生学历，经济法硕士，现任上海 陆家嘴金融贸易区开发股份有限公司党委委员、副总经理，上海陆家嘴金融发展有限公司董事长及陆家 嘴国际信托有限公司董事长。 在此之前，王岗曾任上海市青浦区国家税务局第四税务所副主任科员，中国证监会上海监管局主任 科员，中国证监会上海专员办副处长、团委书记，上海国盛（集团）有限公司资本运营部副总经 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices exhibited a V-shaped trend, collectively closing higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 4000 points due to the joint efforts of heavyweight and thematic stocks. The Shenzhen Component Index led the gains, with growth stocks performing prominently, and the ChiNext Index rebounding under the leadership of the sci-tech sector [2]. Market Performance - A total of 4851 stocks rose, indicating a broad market rally, with a notable increase in the number of stocks hitting the daily limit up. Key sectors leading the gains included commercial aerospace/satellite internet, optical modules/CPO, controllable nuclear fusion, rare metals/rare earths, photovoltaic equipment, military industry, communication equipment, and AI computing hardware. Consumer sectors such as food and beverage and retail also saw upward movement ahead of the holiday, while precious metals, petrochemicals, and banking insurance experienced capital outflows and adjustments [3]. Capital Flow - The total trading volume of the two markets was 1.54 trillion yuan, down 1.57%, reflecting an overall contraction in trading volume and structural differentiation. Capital did not significantly withdraw but shifted from traditional heavyweight stocks in the Shanghai market to growth stocks in the Shenzhen market. Sectors like finance and real estate showed lackluster performance, while commercial aerospace, photovoltaic equipment, rare metals, and AI computing saw impressive trading volumes. Leading growth stocks had the highest trading volumes, indicating a concentration of funds in high-prosperity sectors [5]. Fund Inflows - Institutional investors actively positioned themselves, clearly adjusting their portfolios, with emerging sectors such as commercial aerospace, space photovoltaic, AI computing, and optical modules becoming the main focus for capital. There was a noticeable outflow from defensive sectors like precious metals, banking, and insurance. Retail investors transitioned from passive following to active participation, with some chasing strong stocks, particularly those hitting the daily limit up, especially in the commercial aerospace and AI computing sectors [6].