转自：扬子晚报 这是自动态调整机制建立以来，该研究值连续第五次公布。回顾2025年前四次发布的数据：1月、4月、 7月、10月的研究值分别为2.34%、2.13%、1.99%和1.90%。 图源 视觉 中国 据中国保险行业协会（简称"中保协"）网站，1月20日，中保协组织召开人身保险业利率研究专家咨询 委员会（原"人身保险业责任准备金评估利率专家咨询委员会"）2025年四季度例会。会上，保险业专家 就人身保险产品预定利率发表了意见，认为当前普通型人身保险产品预定利率研究值为1.89%。 图源 中保 协网站 2025年1月，金融监管总局下发《关于建立预定利率与市场利率挂钩及动态调整机制有关事项的通 知》，要求每季度发布预定利率研究值，为预定利率调整提供核心依据。各人身保险公司动态调整普通 型、分红型人身保险预定利率最高值和万能型人身保险最低保证利率最高值。 扬子晚报/紫牛新闻记者 马燕 ...

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Core Viewpoint - Travelers Companies, Inc. is experiencing mixed signals regarding its stock performance, with an upward trend in price targets contrasted by expectations of a decline in fourth-quarter earnings [2][3][5] Company Overview - Travelers Companies, Inc. operates in the insurance industry, providing a range of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products through three main segments: Business Insurance, Bond & Specialty Insurance, and Personal Insurance [1] Price Target Trends - The consensus price target for TRV's stock has shown an upward trend over the past year, increasing from $299.14 last year to $310.5 last month, although it slightly decreased from $312.67 in the previous quarter [2][5] - Analyst Mark Dwelle from RBC Capital has set a more conservative price target of $190 for TRV, indicating concerns about the company's near-term earnings performance [3] Earnings Expectations - Despite the positive trend in price targets, Travelers is expected to report a decline in its fourth-quarter earnings, which raises potential challenges for the company [3][4][5] Investment Considerations - Investors are advised to focus on value, growth, and momentum trends to identify strong investment opportunities amidst the mixed signals regarding TRV's stock performance [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impending maturity of a significant amount of fixed-term deposits in China, estimated to reach around 50 trillion yuan by early 2026, and the potential shift of these funds towards insurance products, particularly dividend insurance, as a stable investment option amid declining interest rates [2][3][4]. Group 1: Deposit Maturity and Market Impact - A substantial amount of fixed-term deposits, estimated at 50 trillion yuan, will mature by early 2026, with state-owned banks holding the largest share [3]. - The surge in savings began in 2020 due to weak performance in stock and real estate markets, leading to a high demand for fixed-term deposits with attractive interest rates [3][4]. - The current interest rates for short-term large deposits have dropped below 1%, marking a significant decline from the previous rates above 3% in 2023 [2]. Group 2: Shift to Insurance Products - The demand for "wealth migration" has increased, with dividend insurance products becoming a primary choice for residents seeking stable returns [2][4]. - Insurance products are seen as capable of meeting the dual goals of risk management and wealth growth, especially in the context of long-term savings and retirement planning [4][8]. - The insurance industry is expected to adapt by offering better products and services to capture this flow of funds, supporting both the economy and national strategies [3][4]. Group 3: Growth of Bancassurance - Bancassurance is experiencing a resurgence, with new premium income from this channel surpassing individual insurance sales, indicating a strong recovery in the insurance market [5]. - The first half of 2025 saw significant growth in bancassurance premiums, with a year-on-year increase of 10% in the life insurance sector [5]. - The natural advantages of banks, such as stable customer flow and targeted marketing, are driving the growth of bancassurance [5][6]. Group 4: Dividend Insurance as a Key Product - Dividend insurance is highlighted as a core product in the insurance sector, offering guaranteed returns combined with floating dividends, making it attractive during a declining interest rate environment [7]. - The expected yield for dividend insurance products is between 2.5% and 2.9%, appealing to consumers looking for stable returns [7]. - The insurance sector is increasingly viewed as a vital channel for wealth management and risk protection, especially in light of demographic changes and economic conditions [8].

Core Viewpoint - Shares of Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited (FIHL) have shown moderate performance over the past year, with a gain of approximately 10%, but have recently experienced a pullback of about 5% from their highs and were downgraded to "underweight" [1] Company Performance - Over the past year, FIHL's shares gained about 10% [1] - Recently, shares have pulled back approximately 5% from their recent highs [1] - The stock has been downgraded to "underweight" [1]

Core Insights - A significant amount of fixed deposits, estimated at 50 trillion yuan, is set to mature this year, prompting discussions on where these funds will be allocated in a low-interest-rate environment [3][8][10] Group 1: Deposit Maturity Trends - Multiple brokerages estimate that the total amount of fixed deposits maturing this year will reach tens of trillions of yuan, with projections varying among institutions [8][9] - Guotai Junan Securities estimates that 38% of the total deposits at the six major state-owned banks will mature within the next year, with a significant portion concentrated at the end of 2025 and early 2026 [8] - CITIC Securities predicts that the scale of fixed deposits maturing in 2026 could reach 45 trillion yuan, with over 35 trillion yuan being from three-year products initiated in 2023 [9] Group 2: Investment Preferences - As depositors face declining interest rates, there is a noticeable shift towards alternative investment options, including funds and insurance products [10][11] - The demand for insurance products, particularly dividend insurance, is expected to increase due to their stable return characteristics, which are becoming scarce in the current market [10] - The report suggests that the funds released from maturing deposits will likely flow into investment areas, with a preference for stable and low-risk products in the short term [10][11] Group 3: Individual Investor Behavior - Individual investors exhibit varied responses to maturing deposits, with some opting to reinvest in fixed deposits for security, while others are exploring more aggressive investment strategies [4][5][6] - Investors like Mr. Wang are transitioning from fixed deposits to funds and securities, driven by the desire for higher returns, despite experiencing anxiety over market fluctuations [4][6] - Conversely, conservative investors like Mr. Yu prefer to maintain their funds in fixed deposits, valuing simplicity and security over potential higher returns [5][6]

Core Insights - Delaware Life Insurance Company has launched the first fixed indexed annuity linked to a Bitcoin-inclusive index, specifically the BlackRock U.S. Equity Bitcoin Balanced Risk 12% Index [1] - The new annuity product aims to provide principal protection while allowing for potential upside growth linked to Bitcoin and U.S. stocks [1][2] Product Details - The fixed indexed annuity (FIA) will offer policyholders indirect exposure to Bitcoin through an ETF within the index, ensuring that returns are capped and protecting against market declines [2][3] - The BlackRock U.S. Equity Bitcoin Balanced Risk 12% Index targets 12% volatility and incorporates cash adjustments to mitigate Bitcoin's price fluctuations, utilizing the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) which has $74.5 billion in assets under management [4] Market Context - The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. has led to various financial products incorporating them, with significant sales of structured notes linked to Bitcoin ETFs by major financial institutions [5] - Historically, life insurance companies have been cautious in adopting Bitcoin and related products due to market volatility, focusing instead on blockchain for operational efficiencies [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - CNO Financial Group, Inc. will report its fourth quarter and full year results for 2025 on February 5, 2026, with a conference call scheduled for February 6, 2026 to discuss these results [1]. Group 1: Financial Reporting - The results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025 will be announced after market close on February 5, 2026 [1]. - A conference call to discuss the results will take place at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on February 6, 2026 [1]. Group 2: Participation Details - Investors can participate in the conference call by registering online, which will provide call details and a registrant ID for attendance tracking [2]. - The conference call will also be available via a live webcast, accessible through the Investors section of the company's website [3]. - A replay of the conference call will be made available on the Investors section of the website after the event [4]. Group 3: Company Overview - CNO Financial Group, Inc. focuses on securing the future of middle-income America by providing life and health insurance, annuities, financial services, and workforce benefits solutions [5]. - The company manages 3.3 million policies and has total assets amounting to $38.3 billion [5]. - CNO employs 3,300 associates, 4,900 exclusive agents, and over 6,500 independent partner agents to assist customers with financial decisions [5].

Core Viewpoint - Jackson Financial Inc. will release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on February 18, 2026, after market close [1] - A conference call and webcast will be held on February 19, 2026, to discuss the results and the company's outlook for 2026 [2] Company Overview - Jackson Financial Inc. is focused on simplifying retirement planning through a variety of annuity products and a commitment to service excellence [3] - The company aims to provide clarity for financial professionals and their clients, enhancing outcomes for all stakeholders [3] - Jackson is recognized for its service quality, having received awards from the Service Quality Measurement Group for multiple years [4] Additional Information - Jackson Financial Inc. operates as a U.S. holding company and is the parent of Jackson Holdings LLC, which includes several subsidiaries such as Jackson National Life Insurance Company and Jackson National Asset Management, LLC [6]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of new tariffs by President Trump has led to a sharp decline in stock prices and an increase in bond yields, raising concerns about market volatility and the potential for further escalation in trade tensions [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - Stocks fell approximately 2% for both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq following the tariff announcement [1] - The market's overbought condition necessitated some volatility, with the focus now on whether global leaders can work towards de-escalation or if tensions will escalate further [1] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Boeing received an order for nine additional 787 Dreamliner aircraft from Ethiopian Airlines, which adds to a previous commitment for 11 MAX jets [1] - Despite market volatility, Boeing's stock held up relatively well, reaching a new 52-week high earlier in the session [1] - GE Vernova's shares were only slightly lower after a 6% rally, benefiting from the Trump administration's push for an emergency power auction involving over $15 billion in new power generation projects [1] Group 3: Upcoming Earnings Reports - Upcoming earnings reports include Netflix, Interactive Brokers, and United Airlines after Tuesday's closing bell, with Johnson & Johnson, Halliburton, Charles Schwab, and Travelers reporting before Wednesday's opening bell [1] Group 4: Economic Calendar - The economic calendar for Wednesday is relatively quiet, with mortgage applications, October construction spending, and December pending home sales scheduled for release [1]