Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery industry [2] Core Insights - The overall revenue of the industry remains stable, with significant improvement in the profitability of the breeding chain. In 2024, the SW Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery industry achieved total operating revenue of CNY 12,411.05 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1.67%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 479.85 billion, marking a turnaround from losses in 2023. In Q1 2025, the industry achieved total operating revenue of CNY 2,907.39 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.09%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching CNY 133.35 billion, a significant increase compared to the same period last year [4][17][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Industry - The industry shows overall stable revenue with a significant improvement in profitability. The operating revenue for 2024 was CNY 12,411.05 billion, down 1.67% year-on-year, while the net profit was CNY 479.85 billion, indicating a recovery from losses in 2023. In Q1 2025, the revenue increased by 8.09% year-on-year to CNY 2,907.39 billion, with net profit rising significantly [4][17][22]. 2. Swine Industry - The profitability of the swine industry has improved significantly, with major companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe reporting revenue growth of 24.43%, 16.64%, and -27.27% respectively in 2024. The net profit for these companies increased by 519.42%, 244.46%, and 90.50% respectively. In Q1 2025, the top five swine companies saw substantial net profit growth, with Shen Nong Group leading at 6510.85% [30][45]. 3. Animal Health - The animal health sector faced significant pressure, with many companies experiencing revenue declines in 2024. However, Q1 2025 showed signs of recovery, particularly in the chemical drug segment, driven by a rebound in prices of veterinary raw materials. The top three companies in revenue growth for Q1 2025 were Huisheng Biological, Jinhai Biological, and Ruipu Biological, with increases of 20.42%, 7.58%, and 5.97% respectively [49][50]. 4. Feed Industry - The feed industry experienced a decline in total production in 2024, with a 2.10% drop year-on-year. However, revenue began to recover in Q1 2025, with leading companies like Bangji Technology and Haida Group showing significant growth. The average gross profit per ton for major feed companies also improved, with Haida Group achieving a gross profit margin of 12.66% in Q1 2025 [62][65][68]. 5. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector showed varied performance across different categories. In 2024, the top three companies in revenue growth were Xiaoming Co., Lihua Co., and Xiangjia Co., with increases of 16.83%, 15.44%, and 8.06% respectively. The profitability of the poultry industry improved significantly, with Lihua Co. leading in net profit growth at 447.72% [76][78].

Core Viewpoint - The company has completed the repurchase and cancellation of 60,000 restricted stocks from one incentive object due to retirement, which represents 0.01% of the total share capital before the repurchase [1][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Incentive Plan Details - The 2023 restricted stock incentive plan involved one incentive object, with a total of 60,000 shares repurchased at a price of 2.39 yuan per share, totaling 143,400 yuan [1][7]. - After the cancellation, the company's total share capital decreased from 771,694,398 shares to 771,634,398 shares [1][7]. Approval Procedures - The company has followed the necessary approval procedures for the 2023 restricted stock incentive plan, including independent opinions from the board and verification from the supervisory board [1][2][3]. Repurchase Reasons and Conditions - The repurchase was necessitated by the retirement of one incentive object, who no longer qualifies for the incentive plan, leading to the cancellation of their unvested shares [6][7]. - The repurchase price was adjusted to 2.39 yuan per share, in accordance with the company's regulations [6][7]. Impact on Company Structure - The repurchase of restricted stocks will not adversely affect the company's operational results or its compliance with listing conditions, and the stock incentive plan will continue to be executed as per regulations [8].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights the significant role of agricultural technology innovation in modernizing agriculture, emphasizing the importance of enhancing the innovation ecosystem and supporting agricultural self-sufficiency [11] - In the pig farming sector, the average price of pigs is currently fluctuating around 14.5-15 CNY/kg, with a slight decrease observed this week [12] - The report suggests that the commercialization of genetically modified crops will accelerate, which is expected to improve self-sufficiency in key varieties [11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and other departments have issued an implementation opinion to enhance the agricultural technology innovation system, focusing on eight key tasks [11] - Companies like Beidahuang and Su-Kun Agricultural Development are expected to benefit from these initiatives [11] Pig Farming - The average price of external three yuan pigs is 14.80 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week change of -0.05% [12] - The number of breeding sows is 40.39 million, showing a slight decrease of 0.66% [12] - The report recommends focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, such as Jingji Zhino, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff [12] Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies in the planting sector include Longping High-Tech, Denghai Seeds, and Qianyuan High-Tech [11] - In the pig farming sector, companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, and Haida Group are highlighted for their potential benefits [12] - The report also mentions companies in the animal health sector, such as Jinhai Biological and Zhongmu Co., which are expected to gain from market trends [12]

01 主题： 鸿蒙PC解读 时间： 5月12日（周一）20:00 主讲： 曹佩 计算机首席分析师 参会密码： 273628 02 主 题： 迈威生物深度报告 时间： 5月13日（周二）15 :00 主讲： 谭紫媚 医药首席分析师 郭广洋 医药分析师 参会密码： 880503 03 主 题： 凯文教育近况交流 时间： 5月13日（周二）16 :00 主讲： 王湛 社服分析师 嘉宾：董秘 叶总 参会密码： 955278 04 主题： 安培龙公司近况解读电话会议 时间： 5月14日（周三）15 :00 主讲： 崔文娟 机械首席分析师 嘉宾：董秘 张总 参会密码： 712661 05 主题： 连云港报告解读 时间： 5月14日（周三）16 :00 主讲： 程志峰 交运分析师 参会密码： 932796 06 主 题： 汽车零部件的人形机器人时刻 时间： 5月15日（周四）20 :00 主讲： 刘虹辰 汽车首席分析师 参会密码： 797802 07 主题： 2025年动保行业业绩前瞻 时间： 5月16日（周五）15 :00 主讲： 程晓东 农业首席分析师 李忠华 农业分析师 参会密码： 976469 08 主题： 行业配 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, highlighting significant profit recovery in 2024 and continued growth in 2025 [2][3]. Core Insights - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry saw a substantial turnaround in 2024, with a total net profit of 39.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 694% [16][17]. - Key sub-sectors such as pig farming, poultry farming, and seed industry reported impressive profit growth rates of 321%, 261%, and 130% respectively in 2024 [2][16]. - The first quarter of 2025 continued to show strong performance, with a total net profit of 9.932 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 764% [20][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview of 2024 and Q1 2025 Performance - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved a net profit of 39.648 billion yuan in 2024, marking a significant recovery from losses in 2023 [16][17]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's net profit reached 9.932 billion yuan, continuing the positive trend from 2024 [20][21]. 2. Key Sub-Sector Performance 2.1 Pig Farming - The pig farming sector reported a total revenue of 387.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 30.7 billion yuan, driven by rising pig prices and reduced costs [23][28]. - In Q1 2025, the sector maintained profitability with a net profit of 7.62 billion yuan, despite a slight decline in pig prices [40][45]. 2.2 Poultry Farming - The white-feathered chicken sector faced challenges with low demand and oversupply, resulting in a revenue of 31.69 billion yuan in 2024, while the yellow-feathered chicken sector saw a recovery in profitability [2][23]. - In Q1 2025, the poultry sector's net profit was 1.2 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to the previous year [2][20]. 2.3 Pet Food - The pet food industry experienced robust growth, with total revenue of 12.15 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.3% [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the sector's revenue reached 3.09 billion yuan, continuing the upward trend [2][20]. 2.4 Feed Industry - The feed sector faced sales pressure but saw a recovery in gross margins, with total revenue of 156.62 billion yuan in 2024 [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the feed industry reported a revenue of 35.63 billion yuan, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2][20]. 2.5 Animal Health - The animal health sector faced increased competition in 2024, leading to a decline in profitability, but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025 with improved sales [2][4]. - The sector's revenue in 2024 was 16.472 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.162 billion yuan [2][4]. 2.6 Seed Industry - The seed industry reported a revenue of 14.86 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 370 million yuan, affected by declining grain prices [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the sector continued to face challenges, with a revenue of 2.43 billion yuan and a significant drop in net profit [2][4]. 3. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on leading pig farming companies for long-term value, as the sector is currently at a historical low valuation [3][5]. - The pet food sector is highlighted as a long-term growth opportunity, driven by increasing pet ownership and spending [3][6]. - The feed industry is expected to see demand recovery, supported by improved livestock numbers and stable raw material prices [3][4].

Group 1 - The resilience of the index comes from internal certainty, with April A-share market showing a rebound after initial declines, driven mainly by internal policies and medium to long-term funding certainty [3][6][29] - Future changes may become complex, with increasing pressure on the US economy and inflation due to tariff policies, alongside a declining dollar index and record high US debt maturities [3][36][46] - Key investment themes include domestic consumption, domestic substitution, and industries with high Q1 2025 performance, such as non-ferrous metals and home appliances [3][36][68] Group 2 - The market style is expected to rotate between defensive and growth styles, with current policies focusing on stability and potential weak market sentiment [3][36] - The Hong Kong market also shows resilience, with significant inflows from mainland investors and improved valuation due to tariff impacts [3][36] - Domestic policies are anticipated to stimulate investment and real estate, with historical data indicating a significant increase in local government bond issuance [58][59]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The agricultural industry achieved a revenue of CNY 11,498.20 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders rose to CNY 466.39 billion, an increase of 806.55% [6][17] - In Q1 2025, the industry reported a revenue of CNY 2,706.77 billion, a year-on-year growth of 6.79%, with a net profit of CNY 133.13 billion, up 795.07% [6][17] - The overall profitability of the industry improved significantly in Q1 2025, with gross profit margin at 12.91%, net profit margin at 5.16%, and return on equity (ROE) at 2.57%, all showing year-on-year increases [21][30] Summary by Sections Overall Industry Performance - In 2024, the agricultural industry saw a slight decline in revenue but a substantial increase in net profit, indicating improved profitability despite lower sales [17] - The profitability metrics for Q1 2025 showed significant improvements compared to the previous year, with a notable decrease in the expense ratio [21] Sub-industry Analysis - The livestock sector experienced a remarkable increase in net profit, with pig farming turning profitable in 2024 and continuing strong performance into 2025 [6][29] - The poultry farming sector also showed strong growth, with net profit increasing significantly due to reduced feed costs and improved efficiency [43][44] - The pet food sector maintained high growth rates, with revenues and profits continuing to rise [6][25] Livestock Farming - In 2024, pig farming companies generated CNY 4,370.03 billion in revenue, a slight decline, but net profit surged to CNY 320.13 billion, reflecting a recovery in profitability [29] - In Q1 2025, revenues for pig farming increased by 18.69% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 236.12% [29][30] Poultry Farming - Poultry farming companies achieved a revenue of CNY 520.71 billion in 2024, with a net profit of CNY 28.49 billion, marking a significant increase [43] - In Q1 2025, revenue continued to grow, reaching CNY 118.71 billion, with net profit increasing to CNY 4.51 billion [43][44] Feed Industry - The feed industry reported a revenue of CNY 1,863.30 billion in 2024, with a net profit of CNY 52.48 billion, showing a significant recovery in profitability [58] - In Q1 2025, revenues rose to CNY 428.66 billion, with net profit increasing to CNY 15.26 billion [58][61] Animal Health - The animal health sector saw a revenue of CNY 129.02 billion in 2024, with a net profit of CNY 10.82 billion, despite a decline in profitability [66] - In Q1 2025, revenues increased to CNY 30.96 billion, with net profit rising to CNY 4.26 billion [66]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [3]. Core Insights - The pig farming sector is experiencing high growth in performance, with significant profitability in Q1 2025 despite a downward price trend starting in Q4 2024 [1][2]. - The overall financial health of the industry is improving, with a notable reduction in the asset-liability ratio and strong operating cash flow [1][24]. - The supply of pigs is expected to rebound in the short term, while medium-term capacity continues to decline, indicating a cautious approach to long-term asset investment by pig farming companies [1][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Pig Farming: Performance Improvement and Continuous Operations - The pig farming industry maintained high profitability, with a total revenue increase of 2.53% year-on-year in 2024, and a significant recovery in net profit to 30.68 billion yuan [1][13]. - Operating cash flow for 14 listed pig farming companies reached a historical high of 74.77 billion yuan in 2024, with Q1 2025 continuing to show strong performance at 13.29 billion yuan [24][30]. - Inventory levels for listed pig farming companies increased to approximately 96.89 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2025, reflecting a 4.03% year-on-year growth [31]. 2. Post-Cycle: Recovery in Pig Farming and Beneficiaries - The feed and animal health sectors are showing signs of recovery, with animal health revenue reaching 17.56 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.06% [43]. - The feed sector's revenue in 2024 was 261.65 billion yuan, down 8.31% year-on-year, but profitability improved significantly with a net profit of 7.84 billion yuan [43]. 3. Poultry: Stable Revenue and Profitability - The poultry farming sector reported a revenue of 72.91 billion yuan in 2024, with a remarkable year-on-year increase in net profit to 2.95 billion yuan [67]. - The fixed assets of four major white-feathered chicken companies reached 20.33 billion yuan by the end of 2024, indicating a slowdown in long-term asset growth [68].

Group 1: Swine Industry - The domestic supply and demand for pigs is expected to improve marginally by Q2 2025, with pig prices supported and entering a phase of gradual upward movement. External factors such as tariff-driven increases in feed raw material prices and higher costs for imported meat are also contributing positively to pig prices. The swine sector is highlighted as a defensive asset amid macroeconomic shocks, reinforcing investment logic. Recommended stocks include Wens Foodstuff Group, Muyuan Foods, and Juxing Agriculture [4][86]. - In 2024, China's pork production is projected to reach 56.75 million tons, accounting for 49% of global production, with consumption at 57.95 million tons, representing 50% of global consumption. This positions China as the world's largest pork producer and consumer [13][15]. - The average price of pork in 2024 is estimated at 16.8 yuan per kilogram, reflecting an increase of 11.8% year-on-year. The swine farming market size is expected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, up 11.2% year-on-year [17][32]. Group 2: Poultry Industry - The demand for white chicken remains resilient despite uncertainties from U.S.-China tariff policies and avian influenza outbreaks. The consumption of white feather broilers is expected to improve marginally, with recommended stocks including San Nong Development and He Feng Co [5][94]. - In 2024, the total output of meat chickens in China is projected to reach 14.84 billion, with white feather broilers accounting for 60.85% of this figure. The output of white feather broilers is expected to increase by 2.2% year-on-year [99]. Group 3: Animal Health - The market for piglets and poultry chicks is stable, with a solid demand for poultry chicks supported by increasing poultry farming. The market for ruminant and pet vaccines is also expected to remain robust, with recommended stocks including Bio-Group, Kexin Biology, and Pulaike [6]. Group 4: Planting and Seeds - The focus on food security is emphasized, with companies involved in high-yield genetically modified soybeans likely to benefit from the ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. The third batch of genetically modified corn varieties is expected to be approved for planting, which may increase the area under cultivation [7]. Group 5: Feed Industry - The recovery of the swine sector is expected to boost domestic demand for feed, while overseas markets present new growth opportunities. The demand for pig feed is anticipated to rebound as pig farming profitability improves and pig stocks gradually recover [8]. Group 6: Pet Industry - The upcoming shopping festivals are expected to drive demand for pet food, with domestic brands likely to gain market share due to increased tariffs on imported high-end products. Recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co, and Petty Co [6].

Company Overview - The company,普莱柯, reported a revenue of 1.043 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 16.77% year-on-year, and a net profit of 93 million yuan, down 46.82% year-on-year [2] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 279 million yuan, an increase of 18.32% year-on-year, with a net profit of 52.91 million yuan, up 93.75% year-on-year [2] Business Segments - The company's pig vaccine and chemical drug business faced challenges due to downstream breeding structure adjustments and intensified market competition, leading to a decline in revenue and profit [2] - The pet segment showed strong performance, with pet vaccine revenue of 14.42 million yuan, pet chemical drug revenue of 13.14 million yuan (up 5.25% year-on-year), and functional health product revenue of 18.65 million yuan (up 131.93% year-on-year) [2][4] Industry Insights - The pig farming industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability after a downturn in the first half of 2024, which is expected to boost demand for animal health products [3] - The company maintains a leading market share in core products such as the pig roundworm dual vaccine and the pig fever series products [3] - The company invested 106 million yuan in R&D in 2024, accounting for 10.17% of its revenue, and has received multiple new veterinary drug registrations [3] Vaccine Performance - The poultry vaccine and antibody segment achieved a revenue of 429 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 3.31% year-on-year, with high pathogenic avian influenza products growing over 30% [4] - The company’s production base in Nanjing passed GMP certification, supporting the expansion of the high pathogenic avian influenza vaccine market [4] Future Outlook - The company forecasts EPS of 0.54 yuan, 0.62 yuan, and 0.69 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding dynamic PE ratios of 25, 22, and 20 [4]