Group 1 - The focus is on real yields and the iShares TIPS Bond ETF (TIP), with a consideration of inflation expectations among investors [1] - Pearl Gray is identified as a proprietary investment fund and independent market research firm that specializes in systematic analysis, particularly in Bonds, Preferreds, and REITs [1] - The primary sectors of interest for Pearl Gray are Financials and Real Estate, aiming to discover actionable total return ideas [1] Group 2 - The content provided does not constitute financial advice and is intended to foster discussion among subscribers [3] - There is a disclosure indicating that the author has no financial positions in the companies mentioned and is not receiving compensation for the article [2]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market showed weakness on July 11, with government bond futures mostly declining, while liquidity remained balanced but slightly contracted, indicating a mixed outlook for the market [1][4]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed mostly lower, with the 30-year main contract up 0.05% at 120.610, while the 10-year main contract fell 0.02% to 108.830 [2]. - The yield on the 30-year government bond decreased by 0.1 basis points to 1.975%, while the 10-year government bond yield increased by 0.5 basis points to 1.665% [2]. Primary Market - The Ministry of Finance reported weighted average bidding yields for 2-year and 3-year government bonds at 1.3582% and 1.3735%, respectively, with bid-to-cover ratios of 3.6 and 3.12 [3]. Liquidity Conditions - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation of 847 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 507 billion yuan for the day [4]. - Short-term Shibor rates mostly increased, with the overnight rate rising by 1.7 basis points to 1.333% [4]. Institutional Perspectives - Citic Securities noted that the convertible bond market is experiencing high valuations, leading investors to prefer reducing positions in convertible bonds while increasing exposure to equity indices [5]. - Guosheng Fixed Income highlighted the continued growth of bond ETFs, with expectations for further expansion in the sci-tech bond ETF market due to policy support [5].

Market Overview - The bond market experienced a significant pullback on July 10, with all major government bond futures closing lower, indicating increased vulnerability due to compressed spreads, high leverage, and low funding rates [1][2] - The central bank conducted a net injection of 32.8 billion yuan in the open market, with short-term funding rates trending upwards as the month progresses [1][5] Bond Futures Performance - The 30-year main contract fell by 0.36% to 120.530, while the 10-year main contract decreased by 0.16% to 108.845 [2] - The yield on the 30-year government bond rose by 0.75 basis points to 1.869%, and the 10-year government bond yield increased by 1 basis point to 1.656% [2] International Bond Market Trends - In North America, most U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 2-year yield increasing by 4.71 basis points to 3.764% [3] - In the Eurozone, 10-year bond yields for France, Germany, Italy, and Spain all decreased, indicating a mixed sentiment in the international bond markets [3] Primary Market Activity - The China Development Bank's financial bonds had a bid yield of 1.3908% for 185 days, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.97, indicating strong demand [4] - The Export-Import Bank's 3-year fixed-rate bond had a bid yield of 1.4% with a bid-to-cover ratio of 4.22, reflecting investor interest [4] Funding Conditions - The central bank conducted a 900 billion yuan reverse repo operation at a rate of 1.40%, with a net injection of 32.8 billion yuan after accounting for maturing repos [5] - Short-term Shibor rates mostly increased, with the overnight rate rising by 0.3 basis points to 1.316% [5] Institutional Insights - Huatai Fixed Income suggests that while CPI data slightly exceeded expectations, PPI was weaker, indicating a potential bottoming process for prices, but warns of demand-side weakening [6] - CITIC Securities highlights multiple factors affecting the bond market, including concerns over the sustainability of inflation improvements and external demand weakness [7] - Changjiang Fixed Income anticipates that the 10-year government bond yield will continue to fluctuate between 1.6% and 1.65%, with potential opportunities in the yield curve [7]

Group 1 - Ningbo issued 10-year general local bonds with a scale of 12.27065 billion yuan and an issuance rate of 1.6900% with a marginal multiple of 2.37, exceeding the expected multiple of 1.73 [1] - Ningbo issued 7-year ordinary special local bonds with a scale of 3.34233 billion yuan and an issuance rate of 1.6500% with a marginal multiple of 4.85, surpassing the expected multiple of 1.67 [1]

As stated in paragraph 6 in General Terms of Auction for Treasury bonds, the Government Debt Management offered the equivalent of 10% of the nominal value sold in the auction 4. July, at the price of accepted bids. SeriesRIKS 29 0917ISINIS0000037711Additional issuance (nominal)0Total outstanding (nominal)74,650,000,000 ...

Group 1 - Guizhou issued 10-year special local bonds with a scale of 12.2 billion yuan and an issuance rate of 1.72% [1] - The marginal multiple for the 10-year bonds was 1.91 times, with an expected multiple of 1.75 [1] - Guizhou also issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds with a scale of 15 billion yuan and an issuance rate of 2.04% [1] Group 2 - The marginal multiple for the 30-year bonds was 8.33 times, with an expected multiple of 2.00 [1]

债市周一（7日）偏弱整理，期现券波动都不大，国债期货主力全天多数在平盘附近整理，银行间现券 收益率振幅基本在0.5BP以内；公开市场单日净回笼2250亿元，资金利率仍普遍延续下行。 机构认为，随着7月税期走款、MLF回笼、政府债缴款规模提升，资金面波动可能加大，需要关注央行 公开市场投放情况。若短久期国债单期供给规模大幅下行，大行一级市场存在配置缺口，其在二级市场 买入短债力量有望增强，进而推动短端利率下行。 【行情跟踪】 国债期货收盘多数下跌，30年期主力合约跌0.04%报121.150，10年期主力合约持平于109.105，5年期主 力合约跌0.02%报106.225，2年期主力合约跌0.01%报102.502。 银行间主要利率债收益率走势小幅分化，截至发稿时，30年期"25超长特别国债02"收益率上行0.05BP至 1.852%，10年期"25国开10"收益率下行0.18BP至1.7157%，10年期"25附息国债11"收益率上行0.02BP至 1.6412%。 中证转债指数收盘下跌0.19%，报446.59点，成交金额644.01亿元。精装转债、电化转债、楚江转债、 松霖转债、振华转债跌幅居前，分别跌 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in the euro-denominated corporate bond market in June, driven by strong demand from institutional investors, proactive financing strategies by issuers, and anticipation of potential trade policy changes due to the approaching deadline for U.S. tariffs [1] - Institutional investors continue to show robust demand for credit bond assets, providing ample funding support for the primary market [1] - Corporate issuers are completing financing before the quiet period for Q2 earnings reports to avoid regulatory restrictions on issuing new securities [1] - Issuers are adopting a "prepare for the worst" strategy by locking in financing ahead of potential trade policy changes, reflecting heightened awareness of geopolitical risks [1] Group 2 - The current eurozone corporate bond issuance window exhibits a "strong supply and demand" characteristic, with investors maintaining strong demand for relatively high-yielding credit bonds amid the European Central Bank's accommodative monetary policy [1] - Issuers are taking advantage of favorable market conditions for proactive liability management, meeting operational funding needs while preparing liquidity reserves for potential changes in the trade environment [1] - Some multinational companies have noticeably accelerated the pace of euro bond issuance, indicating market participants' heightened vigilance regarding geopolitical risks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of technology innovation bonds (referred to as "Sci-Tech Bonds") has attracted significant attention from institutions, driven by favorable policies and a low interest rate environment, indicating a promising future for the market [1][2]. Market Expansion - The Sci-Tech Bond market has rapidly expanded since its inception in 2015, with issuance volumes increasing from 16.66 billion yuan in 2021 to 121.79 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting explosive growth after the introduction of Sci-Tech notes in 2022 [2]. - As of July 3, 2023, 419 Sci-Tech Bonds have been issued, totaling over 620 billion yuan, with a notable concentration in regions like Beijing, which accounts for approximately 19% of the total issuance [2]. - The distribution of bond issuance highlights a preference for mature technology industry clusters, while indicating a need for improved financing ecosystems in western regions [2]. Issuance Characteristics - New issuances of Sci-Tech Bonds are predominantly from state-owned enterprises, with 94% of the existing bonds being from such entities and 88% rated AAA [3]. Investment Opportunities - Institutions are advised to strategically invest in Sci-Tech Bonds, focusing on high-quality issuers and sectors with strong growth potential, such as coal, non-bank financials, and hardware equipment [4][6]. - Specific recommendations include targeting city investment platforms, provincial or municipal equity investment state-owned enterprises, and local industry-leading private enterprises in key technology sectors [5][6]. ETF Focus - The introduction of Sci-Tech Bond ETFs offers investors a low-cost, diversified investment option, allowing for flexible trading and risk management [7]. - As of July 2023, there are 11 credit bond ETFs with a net asset value of 222.16 billion yuan, and 10 Sci-Tech Bond ETFs have been approved, tracking three related indices [8]. - The Sci-Tech Bond ETFs are positioned as a stable investment option, benefiting from ongoing policy support and the potential for increased bond value as companies achieve technological breakthroughs [7][8].

Investors lapped up 30-year Japanese government bonds in an auction on Thursday that indicates policymakers are having some success in quelling debt-market volatility https://t.co/UeWodmU33g ...