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半导体设备市场:中外冰火两重天!
是说芯语· 2025-06-19 12:02
Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor equipment market is projected to grow by 21% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching $32.05 billion, despite a 5% quarter-on-quarter decline, indicating resilience in the industry amid geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain adjustments [1][37]. Regional Summaries Chinese Mainland - In Q1 2025, the revenue was $10.26 billion, maintaining its position as the largest single market globally, but experienced a 14% quarter-on-quarter and 18% year-on-year decline, reflecting a "double drop" trend [5][6][25]. - The market share of the Chinese mainland shrank from 47% in the previous year to 32% due to significant investments in semiconductor equipment in Taiwan and Korea [6]. Korea - The Korean semiconductor equipment market saw a robust performance in Q1 2025, with revenues of $7.69 billion, marking a 24% quarter-on-quarter and 48% year-on-year increase, driven by a recovery in memory chips and substantial investments from major companies [9][10]. - The Korean government’s "K-Semiconductor Strategy" includes significant tax incentives and subsidies, further boosting the market [10][11]. Chinese Taiwan - Taiwan's semiconductor equipment market experienced a remarkable growth of 203% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching $7.09 billion, fueled by major manufacturers' expansion plans and advanced packaging technologies [12][15]. - TSMC's aggressive investment in advanced processes, including a significant capital expenditure directed towards new technologies, has been a key driver of this growth [12][14]. North America - North America's equipment market revenue reached $2.93 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 41% quarter-on-quarter decline but a 55% year-on-year increase, indicating a "pulse-like" expansion pattern influenced by concentrated procurement in the previous quarter [16][17]. - The market is expected to rebound in Q2 2025, driven by ongoing investments in advanced manufacturing processes and local production initiatives [17]. Japan - Japan's semiconductor equipment market reported a 20% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025, reaching $2.18 billion, supported by government subsidies and local production expansions, despite an 18% quarter-on-quarter decline [19][20]. Europe - The European semiconductor equipment market faced a significant downturn, with revenues dropping 54% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter to $0.87 billion, attributed to ineffective policy execution and reduced capital expenditures [21][22]. - The lack of competitive local semiconductor manufacturing capabilities has exacerbated the market's decline, leading to increased supply chain risks [23][24]. Industry Dynamics - The global semiconductor equipment market is characterized by a structural differentiation, with high-end chips driven by AI demand maintaining price resilience, while mid-range chips face downward pressure due to overcapacity [39][42]. - The industry is currently in a recovery phase, with Q1 2025's decline attributed to seasonal fluctuations and geopolitical factors rather than a complete cycle shift [40][42]. - Future growth is anticipated as capacity expansion and demand recovery are expected to lead the industry into an expansion phase in the latter half of 2025 [42].
高盛:芯碁微装- 中高端印制电路板(PCB)设备驱动增长;积极向全球市场拓展
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-19 09:47
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Sell" rating to CFME, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's performance in the near term [1][9][16]. Core Insights - CFME is expected to see a revenue growth of 22% year-over-year and 27% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2025, reaching Rmb308 million, driven by an upgrade in product mix towards mid-to-high-end PCB equipment [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding into global markets, including plans for a new subsidiary and plant in Thailand, which aims to capitalize on the growing PCB demand influenced by AI trends and geopolitical uncertainties [2][4]. - The earnings revision reflects an upward adjustment in revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of Rmb1,761 million in 2025, Rmb2,242 million in 2026, and Rmb2,754 million in 2027, representing increases of 9%, 12%, and 21% respectively [3][4]. Financial Projections - The report projects gross profit margins to remain strong, with gross margins of 40.0% in 2025, 39.6% in 2026, and 38.7% in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [3][4]. - Net income is expected to rise to Rmb328 million in 2025, Rmb400 million in 2026, and Rmb460 million in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 10%, 16%, and 23% respectively [3][4]. - The operating income is forecasted to increase to Rmb381 million in 2025, Rmb469 million in 2026, and Rmb527 million in 2027, with corresponding operating margins of 21.7%, 20.9%, and 19.1% [3][4]. Valuation - The target price for CFME is set at Rmb66.7, based on a discounted P/E methodology using a 21x P/E on the 2027E EPS, discounted back to 2026E at a 10% cost of equity [9][14][16]. - The report indicates a downside potential of 8% from the current price of Rmb72.50, reinforcing the "Sell" rating [16].
半导体设备ETF(159516)涨超1%,行业周期底部供需边际改善受关注
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-19 02:53
每日经济新闻 (责任编辑:董萍萍 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 广发证券指出,高技术制造业PMI连续4月高于荣枯线至50.9%,延续较好发展态势。半导体行业在 AI等新技术带领下呈现增长动力,汽车电子、新能源、物联网、大数据和人工智能等领域需求提升。 国产化持续推进,中美贸易摩擦凸显半导体供应链安全和自主可控的重要性,政府在产业政策、税收、 人才培养等方面加大了对本土半导体制造的支持,国内晶圆制造及其配套产业环节加速发展势在必行。 固态电池、复合集流体等新技术的兴起为锂电设备行业带来增长点,25年将成为固态电池商业化关键 年,其成熟有望带来设备的全面更新及价值量成倍增加。半导体设备领域,国产替代持续推进,行业成 长空间明确。 半导体设备ETF(159516)跟踪的是半导体材料设备指数(931743),该指数由中证指数有限公司 编制,从A股市场中选取涉及半导体材料研发、设备制造等业务的 ...
算力板块景气度较高,半导体设备板块盘中上扬,半导体设备ETF(159516)盘中涨超1%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-19 02:53
Group 1 - The computing power sector remains highly prosperous, with a long-term optimistic outlook based on the growth of tokens, despite the lack of blockbuster applications causing short-term discrepancies [1] - Investment recommendations include focusing on the optical module and CPO segments, as well as continuously monitoring domestic computing power chain-related sectors [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (code: 159516) tracks the semiconductor materials and equipment index (code: 931743), which includes listed companies in the semiconductor materials and equipment manufacturing sector, reflecting the overall performance of the industry [1] Group 2 - The index constituents exhibit high growth potential and significant technical barriers, with industry allocation concentrated in the upstream segments of the semiconductor supply chain, including wafer manufacturing equipment, testing equipment, and photolithography materials [1] - Investors without stock accounts are advised to consider the Guotai Zhongzheng Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme ETF Initiated Link A (019632) and Link C (019633) [1]
屹唐股份IPO启动发行 两大核心设备市占率稳居全球前二
6月19日,屹唐股份披露了招股意向书,宣布正式启动IPO发行,目前正在询价阶段。最新公告显示, 其将在6月27日进行网上申购,之后拟在上交所科创板上市。 市占率构筑竞争优势经营业绩稳步增长 作为国内半导体设备行业的领军企业之一,屹唐股份凭借开创性的技术和稳居全球前列的产品,构筑起 强大市场竞争力,在国内外市场获得认可。截至2024年末,公司产品全球累计装机数量已超过4800台, 并在相应细分领域处于全球领先地位。近年来,公司逐步加大科技研发投入。2022年至2024年,公司研 发费用分别为5.30亿元、6.08亿元和7.17亿元,占营业收入比例分别为11.13%、15.47%和15.47%。截至 2024年末,公司研发人员数量为349人,占员工总数的比例为29.28%。截至2025年2月11日,公司共拥 有发明专利445项。 据招股书显示,屹唐股份在2022年至2024年,营业收入分别为47.63亿元、39.31亿元和46.33亿元;归母 净利润分别为3.83亿元、3.09亿元和5.41亿元;主营业务毛利分别为13.58亿元、13.77亿元和17.32亿元, 随着公司业务拓展,未来经营业绩将进一步提升。 研发 ...
ASML (ASML) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 17:00
Core Viewpoint - ASML has received a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) upgrade, indicating a positive earnings outlook that may lead to increased buying pressure and stock price appreciation [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - Institutional investors often rely on earnings estimates to determine a stock's fair value, influencing their buying and selling decisions, which in turn affects stock prices [4]. ASML's Earnings Outlook - ASML is projected to earn $27.33 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, with no year-over-year change expected [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for ASML has increased by 7.7%, reflecting a positive trend in earnings estimates [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with only the top 20% receiving a "Strong Buy" or "Buy" rating [9][10]. - ASML's upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].
Why KLA (KLAC) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 14:51
Company Overview - KLA Corporation is an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) specializing in process diagnostics and control (PDC) equipment and yield management solutions for semiconductor integrated circuits (ICs) fabrication [11] - The company offers a comprehensive portfolio addressing major PDC subsegments, including photomask inspection, wafer inspection/defect review, and metrology [11] Investment Ratings - KLA is rated 2 (Buy) on the Zacks Rank, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [12] - The company has a VGM Score of B, suggesting a balanced assessment of value, growth, and momentum [12] Performance Metrics - KLA's Momentum Style Score is A, reflecting strong recent performance with shares up 13% over the past four weeks [12] - In the last 60 days, 10 analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.89 to $32.46 per share [12] - KLA has an average earnings surprise of 5.8%, indicating a history of exceeding earnings expectations [12] Investment Considerations - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, KLA is recommended for investors' consideration [13]
Has ASML Holding (ASML) Outpaced Other Computer and Technology Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 14:41
For those looking to find strong Computer and Technology stocks, it is prudent to search for companies in the group that are outperforming their peers. ASML (ASML) is a stock that can certainly grab the attention of many investors, but do its recent returns compare favorably to the sector as a whole? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Computer and Technology peers, we might be able to answer that question.ASML is one of 608 companies in the Computer and Technology ...
Applied Materials: 50% Upside Potential For The Patient
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-18 14:19
Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT ) shows a very common picture in 2025. Strong, profitable businesses with very rich valuations. Until the market decides to care, the stocks can stay elevated. And, dips will be bought. Based on the many market cyclesI'm Rob Isbitts, founder of Sungarden Investment Publishing. I run the new investing group Sungarden Investors Club, a community dedicated to navigating the modern investment climate with humility, discipline, and a non-traditional approach to income invest ...
半导体设备ETF(159516)涨超1%,消费电子3D打印渗透加速叠加AI需求驱动产业链扩容
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-18 06:36
Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is experiencing two major trends driven by new technologies such as AI: increased penetration of new technologies in automotive electronics, new energy, IoT, big data, and AI, which are becoming important growth drivers for the semiconductor sector [1] - The ongoing push for domestic production is highlighted by the urgency for supply chain security and self-sufficiency due to US-China trade tensions, leading to accelerated development in domestic wafer manufacturing and supporting industries [1] - The rise of new technologies like solid-state batteries and composite conductors is providing growth points for the lithium battery equipment industry, with 2025 expected to be a critical year for the commercialization of solid-state batteries, resulting in comprehensive updates and significant increases in equipment value [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) tracks the semiconductor materials and equipment index (931743), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting listed companies involved in key upstream sectors such as semiconductor material preparation and wafer manufacturing equipment from the A-share market [1] - The index focuses on core technology areas of the semiconductor industry chain, aiming to reflect the overall market performance of semiconductor materials and equipment manufacturing companies, with constituent stocks showing significant technological innovation attributes and industry growth potential [1]