Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of seed innovation in agriculture, highlighting China's commitment to advancing its seed industry through technological advancements and international collaboration [1][2][3] Group 1: Seed Industry Development - The 2025 Central Document No. 1 calls for the implementation of seed revitalization actions, leveraging major agricultural research platforms like "South Breeding Silicon Valley" to accelerate breakthroughs in seed varieties [1] - China's agricultural technology contribution rate has reached 63.2%, with crop variety coverage exceeding 96% [1] - The recent Seed Conference showcased 2,094 new crop varieties from 260 research institutions and seed companies, demonstrating significant innovation in the seed industry [1] Group 2: Innovation and Collaboration - The "South Breeding Silicon Valley" is identified as a core platform for technological innovation in the seed industry, with over 70% of newly developed crop varieties originating from this base [3] - The establishment of a new South Breeding Seed Group aims to enhance the entire seed industry chain, focusing on sustainable paths for research results to be effectively utilized [3] - The integration of artificial intelligence and big data in breeding processes is highlighted, with potential yield increases of 15% to 20% reported through smart farming solutions [4] Group 3: Global Market and Trade - China is positioned as the second-largest global seed market, with significant development potential and strong market demand [6] - New policies in Hainan Free Trade Port aim to facilitate the safe and efficient import of plant breeding materials, enhancing seed survival rates and reducing customs clearance times [6] - The article discusses the increasing willingness and capability of Chinese seed companies to engage in international trade, emphasizing the need for technological advantages and localized product development [6]

证券代码：600313 证券简称：农发种业 公告编号：临 2025-007 中农发种业集团股份有限公司 关于完成公开挂牌出售闲置房产的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 中农发种业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"农发种业"）将 位于北京市昌平区小汤山镇常兴庄村南 2 号楼房产，以公开挂牌方式转让 给瑞驰发展（北京）咨询有限公司（以下简称"瑞驰发展"），目前已办 理完成过户登记手续，成交价为 2,570.40 万元。 ? 本次交易不构成关联交易。 ? 本次交易不构成重大资产重组。 农发种业: 中农发种业集团股份有限公司关于完成 公开挂牌出售闲置房产的公告 为盘活闲置资产，提高资产运营效率，公司将位于北京市昌平区小汤山镇常 兴庄村南的闲置房产—--综合办公楼（2 号楼），通过公开挂牌方式出售。上述 事项已经公司第七届董事会第四十三次会议审议通过，具体情况详见公司于 的公告》（临 2024-036）。 （二）公开挂牌完成情况 公司于 2024 年 11 月 7 日在北京产权交易所公开挂牌出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the first batch of certified seeds in China marks a significant milestone in the establishment and implementation of the national crop seed certification system, which aims to enhance the quality of seeds and support the development of the seed industry [2]. Group 1: Seed Certification System - Seed certification is a standardized quality assurance system aimed at high-quality seeds, confirmed by certification bodies through the issuance of certificates and labels [2]. - The certification system is recognized internationally and is considered the most effective way to transition from "good varieties" to "good seeds," serving as a "credit certificate" for quality seeds and a "health certificate" for seed companies [2]. - In 2023, the State Administration for Market Regulation and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs jointly issued implementation opinions on crop seed certification, officially establishing a unified national seed certification system [2]. Group 2: Certification Achievements - As of now, 31 varieties with over 300 batches and more than 10 million kilograms of seeds have been certified [2]. - The inspection results indicate that certified seeds of crops such as rice, soybeans, and corn have significantly improved germination rates and varietal purity [2]. - The launch of the first batch of certified seeds is expected to play a crucial role in promoting high-quality development in China's seed industry and enhancing the yield of grain and oil crops [2].

证券研究报告 | 2025年03月16日 美国农业部（USDA）月度供需报告数据分析专题 优于大市 全球大豆压榨量环比调增，中国玉米进口预估进一步下修 种植链农产品：中国玉米进口量预估下修，全球大豆压榨量调增。 1）玉米：国内供需宽松顶部已现，玉米价格有望维持温和上涨。USDA3 月供 需报告将玉米 24/25 产季期末库销比环比调减 0.13%至 23.32%，其中，中国 玉米 24/25 年度进口目标较 2 月预估进一步下调 200 万吨至 800 万吨玉米， 最终中国玉米期末库销比环比减 0.64%至 64.27%。目前国内玉米价格已处于 历史周期底部位置，中储粮自 2024 年 12 月起多次扩大收储，提振国内玉米 市场，后续预计价格底部支撑较强。 2）大豆：南美丰产压力下预计上半年价格维持底部震荡，新季美国大豆减 产或在今年秋季兑现。USDA3 月供需报告中预计 24/25 产季全球产量维持、 压榨量调增、期末库存略减，最终全球大豆期末库销比环比调减 0.94pcts 至 29.67%；总体 2025 上半年全球大豆供应压力仍大，考虑到贸易政策扰动 影响，预计价格维持底部震荡。当前豆系产品价格处于历 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" [4] Core Viewpoints - The current market for pig farming shows a low price fluctuation, with the average price of live pigs at 14.57 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 0.48% [19] - The average weight of pigs at slaughter is 127.92 kg, which has increased by 0.68 kg week-on-week, indicating a rising inventory level [19] - The report highlights a significant increase in piglet sales, with a year-on-year growth of 181.22% in the first two months of the year [2] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The agricultural sector outperformed the market, with the agricultural index rising by 2.84% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.39% increase [10] - The sub-sectors within agriculture showed varied performance, with aquaculture and animal health sectors leading the gains [10] 2. Key Data Tracking - The average price of piglets is 34.08 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 4.03% [19] - The average weight of pigs sold has increased, indicating a trend towards higher weights in the market [19] - The inventory levels in slaughterhouses are rising, with a cold storage capacity utilization rate of 13.76%, up by 0.44 percentage points [19] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on pig farming companies with high output and cost recovery, specifically mentioning Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Shennong Group [3] - It suggests that the feed and veterinary sectors will benefit from a rebound in pig prices, recommending Hai Da Group for investment [3] - The seed industry is highlighted as having investment opportunities due to stabilizing grain prices and advancements in genetically modified crops, with companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang being recommended [3] 4. Market Trends - The report notes that the pig farming sector is experiencing a significant increase in output, with a total of 2,806.15 million pigs sold in January and February, a year-on-year increase of 20.92% [2] - The prices of feed ingredients such as corn and wheat are showing upward trends, while soybean meal prices are declining, indicating a mixed outlook for feed costs [42]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The agricultural sector is expected to perform better than the market, with specific focus on corn, soybeans, wheat, sugar, cotton, and livestock [5] Corn - The USDA March report indicates a slight increase in global corn production and usage, with the ending stocks-to-use ratio adjusted down by 0.13% to 23.32% [16][17] - China's corn import target for the 2024/25 season has been revised down by 2 million tons to 8 million tons, leading to a reduction in the ending stocks-to-use ratio to 64.27% [17][18] - Domestic corn prices are expected to maintain a recovery trend supported by state reserves and a historical price bottom [19][20] Soybeans - The USDA report maintains global soybean production estimates while increasing the crushing volume by 0.84% to 295 million tons, with ending stocks reduced to 121.41 million tons [25][26] - The soybean market is expected to experience price fluctuations in the first half of 2025, with long-term trends indicating a tightening supply [28][29] - The U.S. soybean planting area is projected to decrease by 3.6%, which may lead to a tighter supply in the upcoming season [31] Wheat - The USDA report shows an increase in global wheat production and consumption, with the ending stocks-to-use ratio rising to 32.24% [35][36] - China's wheat import target for the 2024/25 season has been reduced by 1.5 million tons to 6.5 million tons, indicating a relatively loose supply situation [36][37] Sugar - The report indicates a continuation of a loose supply-demand balance for sugar, with domestic production expected to increase by 1.04 million tons [4] - Short-term sugar prices are anticipated to remain weak due to high inventory levels and seasonal consumption patterns [4] Cotton - Global cotton demand is projected to increase, with the ending stocks-to-use ratio adjusted down to 67.21% [4] - Domestic cotton prices are at historical lows, and a recovery in demand could lead to a rebound [4] Livestock - U.S. pork prices are expected to see a slight increase, while domestic pig prices may decline, but low-cost producers are likely to maintain profitability [7] - The poultry market is affected by avian influenza, with expectations for a gradual recovery in supply [7] - Egg supply in China is currently abundant, with pressure on prices expected to persist throughout the year [7]

Group 1: Utility Industry - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector, particularly focusing on city gas companies transitioning from growth to dividend phases, with expected improvements in free cash flow and dividend payouts [2][24]. - The natural gas consumption volume is projected to grow significantly, with a 5-year CAGR of 12.4%, driven by urbanization and environmental policies [3][24]. - The report highlights the challenges faced by the city gas industry, including slowing gas consumption growth and rising costs, which have led to a decline in return on equity (ROE) and net profit growth [3][25]. Group 2: Kid's King Company - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Kid's King, projecting EPS growth of 76%, 65%, and 37% for 2024-2026, with a target price of 19.14 yuan [6][7]. - The establishment of a subsidiary, Smart Future, aims to provide AI-driven solutions for children and new families, enhancing the company's position in the mother and child retail sector [6][7]. - Kid's King is expanding its store network and enhancing its digital capabilities, which are expected to accelerate its AI product deployment and improve customer engagement [6][7]. Group 3: Market Performance - The report notes that the equity market has performed well, with a year-to-date return of 0.59% for risk parity strategies, indicating a positive outlook for equity investments [8][10]. - The report emphasizes the strong historical performance of H-share gas companies, which have benefited from early market entry and the establishment of exclusive operating rights [3][24]. - The report suggests that the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations for continued growth in the equity market driven by favorable economic conditions [8][10].

春季关注春耕备货，宠物关注新品动向 [Table_Industry] 农业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 上次评级: 增持 wangyanjun022998@gtjas.com linyidan030085@gtjas.com 登记编号 S0880520100002 S0880524090001 本报告导读： 种子：玉米现货价格继续上涨，关注春耕备货。宠物：京宠展召开，看好宠物经济 蓬勃发展，关注国产品牌新品动向。饲料行业：饲料竞争再起。 投资要点： [种业： Table_Summary] 玉米现货价格继续上涨，关注春耕备货 上周玉米现货价格继续上涨，突破 2218 元/吨，延续年初以来的涨 势。2025 年在美国加征关税背景下，我国玉米粮食进口或进一步缩 减，看好 2025 年玉米粮价景气度回升。近期农业农村部发布 19 项 课题目录，包括"保障国家粮食安全的路径选择"、"粮食作物大 面积单产提升瓶颈制约与对策研究"等，体现政策对于粮食安全的 重视。转基因技术应用推动种业格局进一步改善，品种竞争力强、 技术储备领先的公司有望受益。春耕在即，建议关注种子经销商补 货情况，具备强竞争力的品种或在 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][5][39] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recovery potential of undervalued leading breeding companies and the long-term upward trend in rubber prices [1][3][14] - Key recommendations include focusing on high ROE value stocks in the breeding sector and identifying growth opportunities in the pet food market [1][3][39] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - For pets: Guai Bao Pet, Zhong Chong Co., and Rui Pu Biological [1][3][16] - For breeding: Mu Yuan Co., Hua Tong Co., and Wen's Food Group [1][3][39] - For rubber: Hainan Rubber, a leading global player in natural rubber cultivation and processing [1][3][22] Breeding Sector - The breeding sector is expected to maintain low volatility in production capacity, with overall supply-demand balance remaining stable [1][17][39] - Specific insights include: - Swine prices were reported at 14.46 CNY/kg, down 8.88% month-on-month, with a slight increase in average weight [2][25] - Poultry supply is at a low, with potential demand recovery as macroeconomic conditions improve [30][35] Planting Chain - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with R&D and integration advantages in the seed industry [1][19][39] - Key recommendations include: - Hainan Rubber, with significant production and processing capabilities [1][22] Market Trends - The report notes that the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index increased by 0.20% in February, underperforming compared to the broader market [2][5] - The report also highlights the strong performance of specific stocks, such as Tianye Co. and Dayu Biological, with notable increases in their stock prices [2][5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [61] Core Insights - The report indicates that the supply pressure in the pig farming sector is evident, with a slight increase in pig prices followed by a decline due to restored supply [2][9]. - The white feather broiler market is experiencing price increases, supported by improved slaughter profits and a successful import of breeding stock from France by Yisheng [3][31]. - The 2025 Central Document No. 1 emphasizes food security and technological innovation in agriculture, highlighting the importance of enhancing grain supply capabilities and promoting agricultural technology [39][41]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - March pig slaughter is expected to increase month-on-month, but prices may remain weak due to supply pressures. As of March 7, the national average pig price was 14.45 CNY/kg, a decrease of 0.06 CNY/kg week-on-week [2][9]. - Slaughterhouse daily average slaughter volume increased to 140,700 heads, up 3.53% week-on-week, while frozen product inventory rates rose to 15.58%, an increase of 0.55 percentage points [10][24]. - The average weight of pigs at slaughter increased to 127.06 kg, up 0.54 kg week-on-week, indicating a trend of rising weights alongside increased slaughter rates [14][24]. White Feather Broilers - The price of white feather broilers has continued to rise, reaching 6.59 CNY/kg as of March 7, an increase of 0.49 CNY/kg week-on-week, driven by improved market conditions and slaughter profits [3][26]. - Yisheng has successfully imported breeding stock from France, which is expected to strengthen its supply chain amid tight supply conditions for parent stock due to previous import restrictions [31][31]. Seed Industry - The 2025 Central Document emphasizes food security, mentioning "grain" 15 times and outlining measures to enhance grain production and quality [39][41]. - The document introduces the concept of "new agricultural productivity," focusing on the application of technology in agriculture, including biotechnology and artificial intelligence [41][41]. - Investment opportunities are suggested in the areas of biological breeding and smart agriculture, with specific companies highlighted for potential growth [41][41].