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中金公司:上调永利澳门目标价至7.9港元
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Wynn Macau's performance in Q3 2025 is strong, with net revenue reaching 1.001 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13%, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA is reported at 308 million USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 22% [1] - The report attributes the performance growth primarily to a low base effect and an increase in market share of total gaming revenue from 11.8% to 13% [1] Group 2 - The company maintains its forecasts for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, while also maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to 7.9 HKD [1]
研报掘金丨中金:维持银河娱乐“跑赢行业”评级 下调今明两年经调整EBITDA预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-10 04:43
Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that Galaxy Entertainment's Q3 revenue increased by 14% year-on-year to HKD 12.163 billion, which is 96% of the same period in 2019 [1] - Adjusted EBITDA also rose by 14% year-on-year to HKD 3.341 billion, reaching 81% of the same period in 2019, aligning with market expectations of HKD 3.321 billion [1] Financial Performance - The increase in revenue and EBITDA is attributed to heightened market competition leading to increased operating expenses and the normalization of VIP room win rates [1] - CICC has revised down its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for this year and next year by 1% and 3% to HKD 14.031 billion and HKD 14.923 billion, respectively [1] Investment Rating - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for Galaxy Entertainment with a target price set at HKD 44.8 [1]
大行评级丨高盛:微降永利澳门目标价至7.4港元 维持“中性”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-10 04:01
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA is $308 million, benefiting from an increase in VIP win rate to 4.26% compared to 2.97% in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The adjusted property EBITDA, assuming a theoretical VIP win rate of 3.4%, would be $285 million, reflecting a quarterly growth of 7% and an annual growth of 9%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The market share of gaming revenue increased by 1.1 percentage points to 13.1% quarter-over-quarter [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the Macau gaming industry and the company's business prospects, highlighting strong performance in the high-end market, which supports a double-digit year-on-year growth in gaming volume for October [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Goldman Sachs assumes a market share of 12.6% and anticipates additional costs due to more events at year-end, projecting Q4 property EBITDA to be $280 million, with an annual EBITDA forecast of $1.1 billion [1] - The firm has adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 4% to an increase of 1%, with a slight decrease in target price from HKD 7.5 to HKD 7.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating due to expected market share decline in October and higher costs in Q4 limiting EBITDA and stock price upside [1]
中金:升永利澳门目标价至7.9港元 维持跑赢行业评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 03:36
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of Wynn Macau (01128) is primarily attributed to a low base effect, with the market share of total gaming revenue increasing from 11.8% in Q2 2025 to 13% in Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau reported a net income of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 15% increase year-on-year and a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 102% of the Q3 2019 level, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] Valuation and Ratings - CICC maintains its forecast for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at a 2026 expected EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to HKD 7.9, implying a 2025 expected EV/EBITDA of 8.4 times, with a rating of "outperform" relative to the industry [1]
中金:升永利澳门(01128)目标价至7.9港元 维持跑赢行业评级
智通财经网· 2025-11-10 03:31
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the performance of Wynn Macau (01128) is primarily attributed to a low base effect, with the market share of total gaming revenue increasing from 11.8% in Q2 2025 to 13% in Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Wynn Macau reported a net revenue of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 15% increase year-on-year and a 13% increase quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 93% of the level seen in Q3 2019 [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-on-year and 22% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 102% of the level in Q3 2019, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] Valuation and Ratings - CICC maintains its forecast for adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at a 2026 expected EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times [1] - The rating is maintained at "outperform" with a target price adjustment of 4% to HKD 7.9, implying a 2025 expected EV/EBITDA of 8.4 times [1]
研报掘金丨中金:上调永利澳门目标价至7.9港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-10 03:18
Core Viewpoint - Wynn Macau reported a net revenue of $1.001 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase and a 13% quarter-over-quarter increase, recovering to 93% of the Q3 2019 level [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted property EBITDA reached $308 million, up 17% year-over-year and 22% quarter-over-quarter, recovering to 102% of the Q3 2019 level, slightly exceeding market expectations of $301 million [1] - The market share of total gaming revenue increased from 11.8% in Q2 to 13% in Q3 [1] Valuation and Ratings - The company maintains its EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the stock currently trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.6 times based on 2026 projections [1] - The target price has been raised by 4% to HKD 7.9, with a maintained "outperform" rating [1]
大行评级丨花旗:微升新濠博亚娱乐目标价至13美元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-10 02:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Melco Resorts and Entertainment's adjusted EBITDA for Q3 is $355 million, which is 2% higher than both the bank's and market's expectations [1] - The company's market share decreased by 1.2 percentage points to 14.4% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Management reported strong gaming revenue momentum post-Golden Week, with a year-on-year increase of over 30% during this period [1] Group 2 - The company achieved a total operating revenue of $1.31 billion in Q3, representing an 11% year-on-year growth [3] - The target price for Melco Resorts has been raised from $12.55 to $13, maintaining a "Buy" rating [2] - Management is conducting a strategic review of the Manila property, with any proceeds from its disposal intended for further debt reduction [1]
新濠国际发展(00200.HK)季报点评:海外新客户驱动直接贵宾业务
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-08 04:50
Core Viewpoint - The performance of Melco Resorts in Q3 2025 exceeded consensus expectations, driven by stable operational cost control despite a decline in market share for gaming revenue [1][2] Financial Performance - Melco reported net revenue of $1.31 billion in Q3 2025, an 11% year-on-year increase but a 1% quarter-on-quarter decline, recovering to 91% of Q3 2019 levels [1] - Adjusted property EBITDA was $380 million, up 18% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter, also recovering to 91% of Q3 2019 levels, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $348 million [1] Development Trends - The company noted a weak performance during the Golden Week in October 2025 due to typhoon disruptions, but demand accelerated post-holiday with a 30% year-on-year growth in the following 21 days, achieving the highest monthly total gaming revenue in history at City of Dreams [1] - Management observed that new clients from other countries have been driving growth in direct VIP business in Macau [1] - Following the closure of the Junlong Hotel and Mocha Club in Q3 2025, the company relocated 15 gaming tables to City of Dreams and 90 slot machines to Studio City [1] Strategic Initiatives - A new gaming area was established at the southeast entrance near the Macau light rail station to attract more visitors [2] - Despite intense competition in the Macau gaming industry, Melco believes the long-term trend for high-end mass gaming remains healthy, with no concerns about profit margin erosion [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the current stock price corresponding to 6 times the 2026 estimated EV/adjusted EBITDA, suggesting a 1% upside potential to the target price of $8.50 [2] - For Melco International Development, the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged, with a target price of HKD 5.80, indicating a 20% upside potential based on a 20% discount to net asset value [2]
美高梅中国(02282.HK)11月7日回购632.76万港元,已连续3日回购
美高梅中国回购明细 证券时报·数据宝统计,美高梅中国在港交所公告显示,11月7日以每股15.750港元至15.920港元的价格 回购40.00万股,回购金额达632.76万港元。该股当日收盘价15.800港元,下跌0.82%,全天成交额 6192.84万港元。 自11月5日以来公司已连续3日进行回购,合计回购86.64万股,累计回购金额1372.50万港元。 其间该股 累计上涨2.73%。 今年以来该股累计进行32次回购,合计回购2808.30万股,累计回购金额4.38亿港元。(数据宝) | 日期 | 回购股数(万股) | 回购最高价(港元) | 回购最低价(港元) | 回购金额(万港元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.11.07 | 40.00 | 15.920 | 15.750 | 632.76 | | 2025.11.06 | 40.00 | 15.990 | 15.860 | 637.01 | | 2025.11.05 | 6.64 | 15.500 | 15.420 | 102.73 | | 2025.09.26 | 100.00 | 16.120 ...
大行评级丨里昂:维持永利澳门“跑赢大市”评级 稳健现金流有助支持估值
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-07 05:25
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA increased by 17% year-on-year to HKD 2.405 billion, which is 2% higher than market expectations but 3% lower than the bank's own forecast [1] - The property EBITDA margin expanded by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year to 30.8% [1] - The high win rate in the VIP room contributed HKD 179 million positively to EBITDA, offsetting the additional operational expenses of HKD 195 million caused by Typhoon Haikui [1] Group 2 - The bank maintains a "Outperform" rating for Wynn Macau with a target price of HKD 9, citing the company's robust cash flow generation as a supportive factor for its valuation [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts a slowdown in Macau's total gaming revenue growth to 8% to 10% in November, while maintaining a short-term positive outlook on Wynn Macau [2]