| 交通运输 | | | | 退市锦港 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 石油石化 | -0.37 | 84.91 | -7.00 | 华锦股份 | -3.77 | | 综合 | -0.60 | 16.15 | -17.30 | 中程退 | -69.77 | | 非银金融 | -0.63 | 584.08 | -39.55 | 国盛金控 | -5.43 | （文章来源：证券时报网） 证券时报·数据宝统计，截至下午13:58，今日沪指涨0.43%，A股成交量905.50亿股，成交金额12011.82 亿元，比上一个交易日减少6.02%。个股方面，3644只个股上涨，其中涨停79只，1536只个股下跌，其 中跌停3只。从申万行业来看，国防军工、传媒、纺织服饰等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为3.97%、2.14%、 1.38%；非银金融、综合、石油石化等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为0.63%、0.60%、0.37%。（数据宝） 今日各行业表现（截至下午13:58） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨（跌）股 | 涨跌幅（%） | | ...

Core Insights - The A-share market showed mixed performance last Friday, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.34% and 0.47% respectively. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 15,409.36 billion yuan [1][7] - In terms of industry performance, non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and textile and apparel sectors led the gains, while banking, public utilities, and food and beverage sectors lagged behind. Concept sectors such as copper cable high-speed connections, metal zinc, and newly listed technology stocks saw significant increases, whereas cross-border payments, combustible ice, and digital currencies experienced declines [1][7] Market News - During the 2025 Listed Companies Forum held in Wenzhou on June 28-29, leaders from the four major exchanges (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing, and Hong Kong) emphasized multi-dimensional reform signals. The Shanghai Stock Exchange's deputy general manager stated that they will solidly promote the "1+6" reform measures and demonstration cases [2][8] - The Hong Kong market will adjust its stock transaction fees starting June 30, increasing from 0.002% to 0.0042% of the transaction amount, while removing the minimum fee of 2 HKD and the maximum fee of 100 HKD. This adjustment is expected to lower transaction costs for small trades and help institutional investors better control costs during large-scale transactions [3][9] Investment Highlights - As of June 25, the A-share market indices generally rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,455.97 points, reflecting a 3.24% increase from the end of May. The Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 indices showed significant gains [10] - Market liquidity has improved, with an increase in the scale of locked-up shares released in June compared to the previous month. The establishment of new equity funds and increased share buybacks by major shareholders contributed to a continued rise in trading volume [10] - Investor confidence has rebounded, with trading activity increasing following the easing of US-China trade tensions. However, geopolitical conflicts and domestic economic data have caused some adjustments in the market [10][12] - The Chinese government is focusing on expanding domestic demand and enhancing internal economic momentum, with the People's Bank of China and other departments issuing guidelines to support consumption growth through financial services [13][12] - The recent announcements from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) regarding capital market reforms and support for technology enterprises are expected to boost investor confidence and improve long-term liquidity in the A-share market [13][12]

Market Performance - A-shares indices experienced an overall increase during the week from June 23 to June 27, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.91%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.73%, and the ChiNext Index by 5.69% [1] - On June 28, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3424 points, down 0.70%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10379 points, up 0.34% [3] Stock Performance - A total of 49 stocks saw a price increase of over 30% during the week, with Wanlima leading at a 91.97% increase [4] - The computer industry had the highest number of stocks (7) with over 30% gains, followed by non-bank financials and light industry manufacturing, each with 3 stocks [4] - The largest decline was seen in Henglitui, which dropped by 91.01% [5] Trading Activity - 124 stocks had a turnover rate exceeding 100%, with Huazhijie leading at 357.44% [6] - The electronics, chemical, and computer sectors had the most stocks with turnover rates above 100% [6] Capital Flow - Non-bank financials, home appliances, and telecommunications sectors attracted significant capital inflows, while defense, basic chemicals, and power equipment sectors faced net sell-offs exceeding 40 billion yuan [8] - Oriental Fortune, Ningde Times, and Hengbao Shares were the top three stocks with net inflows, amounting to 27.29 billion yuan, 8.76 billion yuan, and 8.48 billion yuan respectively [8] Margin Trading - A total of 2130 stocks received net buying in margin trading, with 932 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan [10] - Oriental Fortune topped the list with a net buying amount of 14.52 billion yuan [11] Institutional Research - 186 companies were researched by institutions, with Weijian Medical receiving the most attention from 144 institutions [12] - The focus of institutional research was on sectors such as pharmaceuticals, aerospace, electronic components, and industrial machinery [12] New Institutional Interests - 66 stocks were newly favored by institutions, with 15 stocks receiving target prices [17] - Juxin Technology was rated "strong buy" by Huachuang Securities with a target price of 76.84 yuan, while Sany Renewable Energy was also positively rated with a target price of 30.18 yuan [17][18]

主板ST股或将告别5%限制。 6月27日，沪深交易所均发布通知，拟调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例，由目前的5%调整为 10%。 值得注意的是，上述通知尚处于征求意见阶段，反馈截止时间为2025年7月4日。 记者梳理发现，目前沪深主板风险警示股票合计有132只。 主板风险警示股涨跌幅拟调整为10% 可能涉及哪些股票？ 6月27日，沪深交易所发布公告称，为进一步完善股票交易制度，提升定价效率，维护市场交易秩序，保 护投资者合法权益，在中国证监会统筹指导下，起草了关于《调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例 及有关事项的通知（征求意见稿）》（简称"征求意见稿"），拟将主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例 由5%调整为10%，调整后与主板其他股票保持一致，现就有关安排向市场公开征求意见。 若最终按照征求意见稿中的相关规则变动施行，沪深主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例，将统一变为 10%。 记者梳理发现，截至目前，沪深主板风险警示股票目前合计有132只。需要说明的是，因后续可能会有主 板风险警示股票"摘星脱帽"，或者有新的主板股票被实施风险警示，相关股票名单还会出现变动。 目前主板风险警示股票有何特点？ 上述主 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.70% on June 27, with 18 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by non-ferrous metals and communications, which increased by 2.17% and 1.79% respectively. The textile and apparel sector ranked third in terms of gains [1] - The banking and public utilities sectors experienced the largest declines, with drops of 2.95% and 1.01% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital flow showed a net outflow of 19.41 billion yuan across the two markets, with 8 sectors seeing net inflows. The communications sector led with a net inflow of 2.579 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.79%, followed by the electronics sector with a net inflow of 2.435 billion yuan and a daily increase of 0.92% [1] - Conversely, 23 sectors experienced net outflows, with the computer sector leading at 6.630 billion yuan, followed by the defense and military industry with a net outflow of 2.891 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included basic chemicals, automotive, and electrical equipment [1] Textile and Apparel Sector Performance - The textile and apparel sector rose by 1.23% today, with a net inflow of 195 million yuan. Out of 105 stocks in this sector, 84 stocks increased, including 6 that hit the daily limit, while 17 stocks declined [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the textile and apparel sector were Jihua Group with 288.94 million yuan, followed by Feiyada and Jinyi Culture with 165.18 million yuan and 101.35 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector also saw significant outflows, with Wanlima leading at 241.76 million yuan, followed by Bangjie Shares and Nanshan Zhishang with outflows of 35 million yuan and 24.74 million yuan respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 5.4 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 25.9 billion for the fiscal year 2024/25, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.6%, and recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 3.51 billion, up 14.3% year-on-year, slightly below expectations [7]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of HKD 0.22 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.1% for the fiscal year [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the textile and apparel industry, with a market capitalization of RMB 42.34 billion as of June 26, 2025 [2]. - The stock price on June 26, 2025, was HKD 4.62, with a 12-month high of HKD 4.94 and a low of HKD 3.50 [2]. Recent Ratings - The company has consistently received "Buy" ratings in recent evaluations, with the latest rating issued on December 2, 2024, at a closing price of HKD 4.05 [3]. Financial Performance - The main revenue driver is the down jacket business, which generated RMB 21.67 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11%. The OEM processing business saw revenue of RMB 3.37 billion, up 26% year-on-year [8]. - The overall gross margin decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 57.3%, with the down jacket segment's gross margin down 1.6 percentage points to 63.4% [8]. - Despite the decline in gross margin, the net profit margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 13.6% due to enhanced operational efficiency [8]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 4.1 billion, RMB 4.65 billion, and RMB 5.16 billion for the fiscal years 2025/26, 2026/27, and 2027/28, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.8%, 13.2%, and 11.1% [10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the next three fiscal years are RMB 0.36, RMB 0.40, and RMB 0.45, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 12, 10, and 9 [10].

流动性增量预期较强，估值端存在明显支撑——A 股市场 2025 年下半年投资 策略报告 基金研究 市场结构分化，主动权益基金收益跑赢指数——公募基金 2025 年半年度投资 策略 金融工程研究 主要指数全部上涨，两融余额小幅下降——融资融券周报 晨会纪要（2025/06/27） 编辑人 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.06.27） 宏观及策略研究 证 行业研究 券 聚焦内需视角下，关注以旧换新与新消费投资机会——轻工制造&纺织服饰 2025 年半年度投资策略报告 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 7 晨会纪要（2025/06/27） 宏观及策略研究 流动性增量预期较强，估值端存在明显支撑——A 股市场 2025 年下半年投资策略报告 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S115012403000 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of new consumption trends driven by youth, brand value, and technology, indicating a shift towards a more personalized and innovative market landscape [1][4] Section Summaries New Consumption - The rise of brand value is crucial in tapping into the young consumer demographic, which is becoming increasingly influential in the market [4][5] Gold Consumption - Gold consumption is showing significant structural differentiation, with rising demand for gold as a safe-haven asset driving prices higher. The introduction of traditional gold and small-weight gold items is leading the new trend [5][10] - Young consumers aged 18 to 34 account for over one-third of gold jewelry sales, prompting brands to innovate in design and product offerings to cater to this demographic [10] Trendy Toys Consumption - The trendy toy market is supported by three main drivers: the rising purchasing power of Generation Z, accelerated IP commercialization, and technological innovation. The market is expected to reach 110.1 billion yuan by 2026, with a CAGR of 33% from 2015 to 2021 [11][14] - The "Guzi economy," which refers to merchandise derived from various IPs, is experiencing rapid growth, with a market size of 168.9 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 40.63% year-on-year increase [14] Outdoor Consumption - The outdoor sports market is expanding rapidly, with retail sales projected to reach 271.1 billion yuan in 2023. The penetration rate of outdoor activities in China is still low compared to over 50% in other countries, indicating significant growth potential [20] - Key trends include the rise of "light outdoor" products, increased popularity of trail running, and a growing interest in cycling and pet-friendly outdoor activities [20] Technology Consumption - The integration of AI in consumer products is transitioning from exploration to large-scale commercialization, with humanoid robots and smart home devices becoming core growth areas. The report anticipates that 2025 will mark a significant year for humanoid robot production [25] - The development of smart home technology is evolving from individual products to comprehensive ecosystem solutions, enhancing consumer experience and engagement [25]

Group 1: Automotive Industry - The average payment term for domestic automotive companies exceeds 170 days, with some companies extending it to over 240 days [1][3] - The long payment terms are seen as a way for automotive companies to transfer financing and cash flow pressures onto suppliers [1] - The revised "Regulations on Payment of Funds for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises" aims to address the payment difficulties faced by small suppliers, mandating large enterprises to pay within 60 days [3] Group 2: Real Estate Industry - The average payment term for real estate companies is reported to be 9 months, with some companies like Greenland Holdings exceeding 20 months [1] Group 3: Home Appliances Industry - The average payment term for white goods manufacturers is approximately 145 days, with Gree Electric Appliances notably lagging at over 170 days [1] Group 4: Food and Beverage Industry - The average payment term in the liquor industry is around 4 months, while *ST Rock faces a prolonged payment term of 4.5 years due to operational crises [1] Group 5: Textile and Apparel Industry - The textile and apparel industry has an average payment term of 71 days, with 107 listed companies reporting a total operating cost of 351.62 billion and accounts payable of 56.63 billion [5][7] - The payment term for the textile manufacturing sector is 55 days, while the apparel and home textile sector has a significantly longer payment term of 147 days [7] - The jewelry sector has a notably shorter payment term, averaging 8 days, due to the concentrated supply chain and strong bargaining power of suppliers [8][10] Group 6: Specific Company Case - ST Start - ST Start has an alarming payment term of 440 days, significantly higher than its peers in the apparel sector [12] - The company has faced severe operational challenges, leading to a cumulative net loss of 1.258 billion over three years and a debt ratio of 92.69% as of 2024 [14][16] - To alleviate cash flow issues, ST Start has extended its payment terms, with a drastic increase from around 200 days in 2020 to 452 days in 2023 [16]

Group 1 - A total of 24 companies were investigated by institutions on June 25, with 17 companies specifically targeted by funds [1][2] - The most popular company among funds was Botao Bio, which had 21 participating funds, followed by Sanfu Outdoor and Entropy Technology with 7 and 6 funds respectively [1][2] - The companies investigated belong to 12 different industries, with the textile and apparel, and pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors having the most companies, each with 3 stocks listed [1] Group 2 - Among the companies investigated, 3 had a total market capitalization exceeding 50 billion yuan, while 13 had a market cap below 10 billion yuan [1] - In terms of market performance, 9 stocks among the investigated companies saw an increase in the last 5 days, with Haike Xinyuan, Bai'ao Intelligent, and Ganfeng Lithium leading with increases of 50.83%, 10.42%, and 5.88% respectively [1][2] - Conversely, 8 stocks experienced declines, with Mankalon, Botao Bio, and China Merchants Energy showing the largest drops of 7.94%, 5.35%, and 4.76% respectively [1][2]