Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment strategies and portfolio adjustments of Zhang Kun, a prominent fund manager at E Fund, highlighting his recent stock selections and the implications for potential investment opportunities in the market [4][28]. Group 1: Fund Adjustments and Holdings - Zhang Kun has initiated positions in several "potential stocks" including New Industries, NetEase Cloud Music, and Moore Threads-U, while significantly increasing his stake in Hong Kong Exchanges by 200% [4][9]. - E Fund's internal employees have reduced their holdings in Zhang Kun's managed funds, with the largest reduction being over 905,000 units in the E Fund Asia Select fund [4][5]. - As of the end of 2025, the total assets under Zhang Kun's management have decreased to approximately 48.383 billion [6]. Group 2: Key Stock Holdings - The E Fund Blue Chip Select fund held 54 stocks at the end of 2025, with the top ten unchanged, including Tencent Holdings and Kweichow Moutai, while new potential stocks were revealed in the 11th to 20th positions [7][10]. - The hidden key stocks for the E Fund Blue Chip Select include New Industries, Huatai Medical, and NetEase Cloud Music, all of which are newly established positions [8][13]. - The E Fund Quality Enterprise fund also increased its holdings in Hong Kong Exchanges and established new positions in New Industries and NetEase Cloud Music [11][12]. Group 3: Market Insights and Future Outlook - Zhang Kun noted a significant market characteristic in 2025, where investor concerns about domestic demand and consumption have shifted from tactical avoidance to strategic skepticism, indicating a potential long-term concern [28]. - He highlighted a divergence in the market, where companies are generating free cash flow while stock prices reflect pessimistic expectations, suggesting this could present significant investment opportunities [28][29]. - The current portfolio is characterized by "high certainty of basic returns" and "free call options," with expectations of upward revisions in earnings and valuations once the domestic economy stabilizes [28][29].

Group 1 - The core theme of re-industrialization is a long-term trend, with AI accelerating this process [22] - The domestic internet giants are viewed positively in terms of AI applications, as they have accumulated vast amounts of data and customer bases [35] - The investment strategy should focus on avoiding FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and instead look for solid companies that can withstand market volatility [40][82] Group 2 - The real estate market is expected to stabilize or see a reduced decline, which will likely lead to a recovery in consumer spending [90] - The consumption sector is undergoing a transformation, with new consumer demands emerging, such as spiritual and self-care consumption [97] - Companies with strong business models in the consumer sector are becoming increasingly attractive, especially as valuations have returned to reasonable levels [84][90] Group 3 - The concept of "HALO assets" is discussed, indicating that not all assets will benefit from the AI revolution, and a focus on intangible assets like R&D and brand value is essential [49][120] - The investment landscape is shifting, with a focus on upstream sectors benefiting from re-industrialization and technological infrastructure investments [20][44] - The impact of geopolitical tensions, such as the US-Iran conflict, is creating uncertainty, but companies with strong fundamentals are expected to navigate these challenges effectively [60][75] Group 4 - The trend of Chinese companies going global is seen as a natural progression, with a focus on manufacturing capabilities and brand strength [100][106] - The investment strategy should prioritize companies that have a competitive edge in international markets, particularly in manufacturing and technology [107][110] - Caution is advised regarding companies heavily reliant on the domestic market, as their growth potential may be limited [107]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific investment rating information for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the fourth week of March 2026, the situation between the US and Iran remained tense, with oil prices rising at a high level. The increase in transportation costs began to support the ex - factory prices of upstream material manufacturing industries. The improvement in weather since March led to an increase in demand for investment products driven by major project construction, and the demand for rebar has significantly increased in the past two weeks [3][30]. - In terms of inflation, food prices continued to decline, and pork prices continued to weaken. In terms of exports, the average monthly throughput of port container shipping in March was relatively weak year - on - year. The main shipping demand was basically stable, and freight rates continued to strengthen due to energy costs. In terms of investment, cement prices rose for two consecutive weeks, the apparent demand for rebar continued to recover rapidly, and major projects supported construction demand [3][30]. - In the real estate sector, the end - of - month sprint effect of new home sales was evident, and the weekly transactions of second - hand homes also showed a small year - on - year positive growth. For the bond market, the geopolitical situation continued to cause disturbances, and the transmission of high oil prices to upstream raw material prices began to materialize. The construction performance in March was not weak, and it is expected that the PMI in March will return above the boom - bust line [3][30]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Inflation - related - Food prices continued to decline. The average wholesale price of pork in the country decreased by 1.8% week - on - week, and the average in March decreased by 9.4% month - on - month, with the decline expanding. Vegetable prices decreased by 0.9% week - on - week. The decline in food prices continued to narrow, with the 200 - index of agricultural product wholesale prices and the wholesale price index of basket products decreasing by 0.8% and 0.9% respectively week - on - week [9]. 3.2 Import and Export - related - Due to continuous geopolitical disturbances, most freight rates increased. The CCFI index increased by 1.6% week - on - week, and the SCFI index increased by 7.0% week - on - week. The tense geopolitical situation continued to affect the relevant shipping markets, and most long - haul shipping routes saw an increase in freight rates this week [10]. - In terms of port transportation volume, from March 16th to March 22nd, the container throughput and cargo throughput of ports increased by 3.7% and 0.8% respectively week - on - week, with a single - week year - on - year increase of 9.4% and a decrease of 2.7%. On a monthly average basis, in March, they increased by 5.5% and decreased by 3.9% year - on - year, indicating a slowdown in the overall export rhythm in March [10]. - The dry bulk freight index mostly declined. Affected by factors such as oil prices, the freight levels of voyage charter routes in the international dry bulk shipping market decreased [10]. 3.3 Industry - related - Coal prices accelerated their rise. The price of thermal coal (Q5500) at Qinhuangdao Port increased by 3.8% week - on - week, turning from a decline to an increase. National temperatures continued to warm, and the load of residential electricity decreased, but industrial electricity consumption provided support. The supply and consumption of power plants remained balanced overall [15]. - The price of rebar remained the same as last week. The social inventory of rebar decreased by 1.6% week - on - week, with a faster inventory reduction than last week. The apparent demand for rebar increased by 8.4% week - on - week, indicating that construction activities were accelerating, and rebar was gradually entering the consumption peak season [15]. - The asphalt production rate continued to decline. This week, the production rate of asphalt plants decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 19.3%. Geopolitical factors increased the uncertainty of asphalt raw material supply, and asphalt production decreased week - on - week [15]. - The decline in copper prices continued to widen. This week, the average price of copper in the Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metals market decreased by 3.3% week - on - week, with the decline further expanding. Geopolitical conflicts remained unresolved, risk appetite was suppressed, and the strong US dollar continued to suppress copper prices [18]. - The decline in glass futures prices narrowed. This week, the spot trading sentiment weakened slightly. The purchasing enthusiasm of middle and downstream enterprises decreased slightly, and enterprises mainly focused on digesting inventory. The supply - demand pattern of glass was weak, and it is expected that prices will fluctuate in the short term [18]. 3.4 Investment - related - Cement prices continued to rise. This week, the cement price index increased by 0.3% week - on - week, rising for the second consecutive week, but the increase was narrower than last week. The cement shipping rate increased slightly by 2.3 percentage points to 32.9%, but it was still lower than the same period last year [21]. - New home sales increased further, showing an end - of - month sprint effect. As of Friday this week, the transaction area of new homes in 30 cities increased by 12.4% week - on - week and 25% year - on - year. As of March 27th, the transaction area of new homes in 30 cities (7 - day rolling sum) increased by 41.8% year - on - year on a lunar - aligned basis, showing an improvement compared to last week [25]. - Second - hand home sales continued to recover. As of Friday this week, the transaction area of second - hand homes in 17 cities increased by 4.6% week - on - week and decreased by 10.9% year - on - year, with the year - on - year decline slightly expanding. As of March 27th, the transaction of second - hand homes (7 - day rolling sum) increased by 5.6% year - on - year on a lunar - aligned basis, and the "spring market" performance was slightly better than the same period last year [25]. 3.5 Consumption - related - In the third week of March, the retail sales of passenger cars showed a year - on - year negative growth. From March 16th to March 22nd, the retail sales of the national passenger car market reached 512,000 units, a year - on - year decrease of 7% and a month - on - month increase of 62% compared to the same period in February. From March 1st to 22nd, the retail sales of the national passenger car market reached 920,000 units, a year - on - year decrease of 16% and a month - on - month increase of 19% [27]. - The average daily subway passenger volume in 25 cities decreased slightly. From last Saturday to this Friday, the average daily subway passenger volume in 25 cities was 3.241 million person - times, a week - on - week decrease of 0.5% and a year - on - year decrease of 4.9%. The travel enthusiasm continued to decline [28]. - International oil prices remained high and rose. As of March 27th, the prices of Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil increased by 0.3% and 1.4% respectively week - on - week compared to last Friday, reaching $112.6 per barrel and $99.6 per barrel. The reduction in supply from major Middle Eastern oil - producing countries supported the rise in oil prices [28].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the third week of March, the uncertainty of the US - Iran situation continued to increase, with crude oil prices oscillating at a high level and rising compared to the previous week. Rising transportation and energy costs supported freight rates and upstream material prices. Terminal demand for products like rebar was steadily recovering seasonally during the "Golden March". In terms of inflation, the decline in pork prices continued to widen, while the decline in food prices slightly narrowed. In terms of exports, export container shipping prices showed a differentiated trend. Although the port container and cargo throughput increased month - on - month, the average monthly value year - on - year was still weaker than that in February. In terms of investment, cement prices stopped falling and rebounded, and downstream construction continued to pick up. In the real estate sector, the average value of new homes in March showed a year - on - year negative growth, while the year - on - year performance of second - hand homes continued to improve compared to the previous week, with the "Little Spring" market being slightly better than the same period [4][29]. - For the bond market, geopolitical disturbances continued, and high - fluctuating oil prices drove up shipping costs and energy product prices. As downstream demand was steadily recovering seasonally, it was necessary to continuously monitor whether the price increase of upstream products would temporarily suppress the release of demand. Overseas, rising shipping costs and geopolitical factors affected some routes, suppressing demand. Although the port throughput increased month - on - month this week, the average value in March was weaker than that in February year - on - year, so attention should be paid to the possibility of export fluctuations in March. Domestically, the resumption rate of construction sites continued to rise this week but was still lower than the same period in the lunar calendar, and the construction intensity was limited. Rebar inventory changed from accumulation to reduction for the first time this year, and the inflection point basically conformed to the seasonality. The "Little Spring" market was mainly reflected in the trading volume of second - hand homes, which continued to increase year - on - year under the high - base situation of last year, while new homes showed a year - on - year negative growth. Attention should be paid to the transmission of volume to price in the future [4][30]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs (1) Inflation - related: Food prices continued to decline - The decline in pork prices widened. This week, the average wholesale price of pork across the country announced by the Ministry of Agriculture decreased by 3.4% month - on - month, and vegetable prices decreased by 2.4% month - on - month. The decline in food prices narrowed, with the 200 - index of agricultural product wholesale prices and the wholesale price index of basket products decreasing by 0.9% and 1.0% month - on - month respectively [9]. (2) Import and export - related: Container shipping prices showed a differentiated trend - Due to changes in supply - demand fundamentals, freight rates showed a differentiated trend. This week, the CCFI index increased by 4.5% month - on - month, while the SCFI decreased by 0.2% month - on - month. The export container shipping market continued to be affected by the tense geopolitical situation. Relevant routes were greatly affected, and the rest of the routes were affected by supply - demand fundamentals and showed a differentiated trend. Among them, the European route transportation was basically stable, and the booking price continued to rise. The demand on the North American route weakened, and the prices of the West and East US routes decreased by about 7 - 8% month - on - month. The Persian Gulf route was most affected by the US - Iran conflict, and the container shipping market basically stagnated [10]. - In terms of port transportation volume, from March 9th to March 15th, the port's container throughput and cargo throughput increased by 9.3% and 9.5% month - on - month respectively, and the single - week year - on - year increase was 11.1% and 2.3% respectively [10]. - Supported by costs, the BDI and CDFI indices continued to rise. The Shanghai Shipping Exchange reported that the geopolitical conflict continued to drive up international fuel prices. Supported by rising costs, the freight rates of voyage charter routes in the international dry bulk shipping market remained at a high level. However, high oil prices had a certain impact on the release of local coal and grain transportation demand [10]. (3) Industry - related: Rebar inventory decreased for the first time this year, and demand continued to improve - The decline in coal prices narrowed. The price of thermal coal (Q5500) at Qinhuangdao Port decreased by 1.0% month - on - month, with a narrowing decline. Currently in the consumption off - season, power plant coal consumption was weak. However, due to the deep inversion of imported coal prices, procurement demand shifted to domestic trade, and cargo volumes were released intensively. In terms of price, coal prices in the main producing areas rose slightly and steadily. Coupled with the rigid demand for restocking by downstream enterprises after resuming work, coal mine sales improved, and the week - on - week average decline in coal prices narrowed [16]. - Rebar prices continued to rise, and inventory changed from accumulation to reduction for the first time this year. The spot price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) increased by 0.3% month - on - month, and the social inventory of rebar decreased by 0.9% month - on - month, entering the inventory reduction phase for the first time since the beginning of the year. The apparent demand for rebar increased by 17.5% month - on - month and continued to improve. This week, the acceleration of downstream resumption of work drove the recovery of demand. The apparent demand for rebar increased significantly, production continued to rise, inventory changed from increase to decrease, and both factory and social inventories decreased slightly [16]. - The asphalt operating rate declined rapidly. This week, the operating rate of asphalt plants decreased by 1.2 percentage points month - on - month to 21.8%, at a relatively low level. Geopolitical factors in Iran led to uncertainty in raw material supply, and asphalt production continued to decline month - on - month. In terms of demand, current terminal project demand was low, and high prices restricted transactions. Asphalt was in a situation of weak supply and demand [16]. - Due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the decline in risk appetite, the decline in copper prices widened. This week, the average price of Yangtze River non - ferrous copper decreased by 2.8% month - on - month, with the decline continuing to widen. The impact of US - Iran geopolitical factors increased, stagflation expectations trading continued. Coupled with the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at the March interest - rate meeting and a hawkish stance, the US dollar index strengthened, and low risk appetite continued to suppress copper prices [19]. - The glass futures price turned down. Although the energy price at the cost end supported the upstream soda ash price and limited the downward space for the finished product price, the current terminal demand had not substantially improved, and downstream purchasing sentiment was cautious. The spot price remained stable [19]. (4) Investment - related: Cement prices stopped falling and rebounded - Cement prices started to rise. This week, the cement price index increased by 1.6% month - on - month, ending the continuous decline. According to the Centennial Building Network, as of March 18th, the resumption rate of construction sites across the country was 62%, a month - on - month increase of 19.5 percentage points, and a year - on - year decrease of 2.6 percentage points in the lunar calendar; the labor employment rate increased by 17.8 percentage points month - on - month, remaining the same year - on - year in the lunar calendar [23]. - The trading volume of new homes continued to increase. As of Friday this week, the trading area of new homes in 30 cities increased by 12.7% month - on - month and 13% year - on - year, with the year - on - year increase narrowing compared to the previous week. Aligned with the Lunar New Year, as of March 20th, the trading area of new homes in 30 cities (7 - day rolling sum) decreased by 16.3% year - on - year in the lunar calendar, with the decline continuing to widen compared to the previous Friday [24]. - The trading volume of second - hand homes increased rapidly. As of Friday this week, the trading area of second - hand homes in 17 cities increased by 15.1% month - on - month and decreased by 9.7% year - on - year, showing improvement compared to the previous week. Aligned with the Lunar New Year, as of March 20th, the trading volume of second - hand homes (7 - day rolling sum) increased by 5.2% year - on - year, with the increase expanding compared to the previous week. The "Little Spring" market for second - hand homes was better than the same period [24]. (5) Consumption: Oil prices oscillated at a high level - In the first half of March, the retail sales of passenger cars showed a year - on - year negative growth. According to the Passenger Car Association, from March 1st to March 15th, the retail sales of the national passenger car market were 561,000 vehicles, a year - on - year decrease of 21% and a month - on - month increase of 2% compared to the same period in February. The popularity of the car market was gradually recovering [25]. - The average daily subway passenger volume in 25 cities decreased slightly. From last Saturday to this Friday, the average daily subway passenger volume in 25 cities was 3.209 million person - times, a month - on - month decrease of 1.3%. The Baidu Migration Index decreased by 2.6% month - on - month, in line with seasonality. The average value in March increased by 28.1% year - on - year, and travel was still at a high level compared to the same period [25]. - The uncertainty of the US - Iran situation remained high, and international oil prices fluctuated at a high level. As of March 20th, the prices of Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil increased by 8.8% and decreased by 0.5% respectively compared to last Friday, reaching $112.2 per barrel and $98.2 per barrel. Currently, major oil - producing countries were worried about reducing oil supply due to factors such as受阻 overseas shipping capacity, which supported the rise in oil prices [25][28].

Economic Goals - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for GDP growth to remain within a reasonable range, targeting a doubling of per capita GDP by 2035 compared to 2020 levels, requiring an average annual growth rate of 4.17%[18] - The focus shifts from quantity to quality, with the frequency of terms like "high quality" increasing by 0.05 percentage points compared to the "14th Five-Year Plan" while terms like "construction" and "development" decreased[18] Technological Development - Emphasis on breakthroughs in basic research and the cultivation of new industrial clusters, with new industries including robotics and smart driving added to the strategic emerging industries[6] - The plan introduces 10 new "industrial tracks" aimed at fostering new economic growth points, such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude equipment[6] Consumption - The plan aims to significantly increase the resident consumption rate, which currently stands at approximately 39.6%, with a potential increase of 15-20 percentage points compared to OECD countries[38] - Measures include enhancing income distribution and social security levels to boost consumer spending, alongside optimizing service consumption experiences in areas like elderly care and childcare[7][41] Investment - Investment focus is on human capital, new infrastructure, and energy security, with a call for increased participation from private investment[8] - Specific targets include a nuclear power capacity increase from 70 million kW to 110 million kW and a tenfold increase in non-fossil energy consumption over the next decade[44] Social Welfare - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes improving the quality of services for the elderly and children, with a goal of achieving comprehensive coverage of childcare services in city-level centers[9] - The plan aims to enhance the quality of elderly care services, with a target of 70% coverage for community-based elderly care facilities[46] Environmental Goals - The plan sets a target for a cumulative reduction of 17% in carbon emissions per unit of GDP by 2030, with a compound annual reduction rate of 3.7%[49] - The implementation of a dual control system for carbon emissions will begin in 2026, transitioning from energy consumption control to carbon emissions control[49] Safety and Security - Increased focus on energy security and national defense modernization, with specific quantitative targets for energy production capacity and strategic resource management[10]

Economic Growth Data - In the first two months of 2026, China's industrial production value increased by 6.3% year-on-year, while the service production index grew by 5.2%[2] - Industrial production growth accelerated by 1.1 percentage points compared to December 2025, and the service sector's growth improved by 0.2 percentage points[2] - Social retail sales rose by 2.8% year-on-year, with fixed asset investment increasing by 1.8%, both showing significant improvements from December 2025 by 1.9 and 5.6 percentage points respectively[2] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing value added surged by 13.1%, outpacing overall industrial growth by 6.8 percentage points[2] - Export delivery value also rebounded, growing by 6.3% year-on-year, matching the industrial production growth rate and improving by 3.1 percentage points from December 2025[2] - The service sector saw notable growth in information transmission, software, and IT services (10.1%), finance (7.0%), and transportation (6.3%) during the same period[2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment showed a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with infrastructure and manufacturing investments rising by 9.8% and 3.1% respectively[2] - Real estate investment declined by 11.1%, but this was a smaller drop compared to the previous year's overall decline by 6.1 percentage points[2] - Equipment and tool purchases increased by 11.5%, indicating strong policy support for investment recovery[2] Risks and Outlook - Potential risks include the effectiveness of growth stabilization policies falling short of expectations, unexpected severity of overseas economic downturns, and escalation of geopolitical conflicts[8]

Core Viewpoint - The government work report sets a 2026 economic growth target of 4.5% to 5%, which is seen as reasonable but challenging to achieve due to current economic pressures such as weak consumption and real estate drag [3][5][6]. Economic Growth Target - The target of 4.5%-5% is considered rational and not conservative, with expectations that China's GDP growth will enter the "4 era" [6]. - The slowdown in GDP growth is viewed as a structural and long-term trend, with a relatively mild decline compared to other major economies [6][7]. Investment Expansion - The government plans to issue 800 billion yuan in new policy financial instruments, increasing from 500 billion yuan last year, which is expected to leverage an additional 2 trillion to 3 trillion yuan in funding [9][10][11]. - The total investment from these instruments, combined with other financial tools, could reach 1.3 trillion yuan, enhancing project capital and supporting local government investments [10][11]. Export Performance - China's exports saw a significant increase of 21.8% year-on-year in January and February, while imports rose by 19.8%, although this high growth rate may not be sustainable [7][8]. Consumption and Real Estate - "Boosting consumption" remains a top priority, with plans to implement a 1,000 billion yuan fund to support consumer loans and financing guarantees [14]. - The real estate market is expected to take time to recover, with policies likely to be implemented on a city-by-city basis [15][16]. Capital Market Insights - The role of the stock market in driving economic growth is acknowledged but considered limited; it cannot fully replace fiscal and monetary policies [16].

Report Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The industrial production is showing signs of recovery, with some indicators rising and others falling. The flow of people has declined, while freight prices have increased slightly. The movie market has weakened, and prices continue to decline. Construction shows seasonal improvement, and the real estate market has rebounded. Container throughput has increased slightly, and shipping indices have recovered. The performance of major asset classes is mixed [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Major Asset Classes - This week, bond indices, stock indices, and commodities showed mixed performance, and foreign currencies, except for the US dollar, generally declined. Among bond indices, the AA+, AA, and AA- corporate bond indices of ChinaBond rose the most, with a gain of 0.04%, while the 10-year ChinaBond Treasury bond index fell the most, with a decline of 0.15%. Among stock indices, the ChiNext index rose the most, with a weekly gain of 2.51%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 index fell the most, with a decline of 2.88%. Among commodities, the Nanhua Energy and Chemicals Index rose the most, with a gain of 9.76%, and the Nanhua Precious Metals Index fell the most, with a decline of 1.52%. Foreign currencies depreciated against the RMB, with the Japanese yen having the largest decline of 1.17%, and the US dollar appreciated against the RMB, with a weekly gain of 0.07% [2][6]. 2. Industrial Production - Production has recovered. In the upstream, the operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants decreased by 0.30 pcts week-on-week to 23.00%, the blast furnace operating rate increased by 0.67 pcts week-on-week to 78.36%, and the crude steel output decreased by 0.10% week-on-week. In the real estate chain, the rebar operating rate increased by 2.62 pcts week-on-week to 38.38%, the float glass operating rate decreased by 0.10 pcts to 71.42%, and the mill operation rate decreased by 1.94 pcts week-on-week to 14.62%. In the consumer goods chain, the polyester filament operating rate increased by 4.3 pcts week-on-week to 88.79%, the PTA operating rate increased by 0.64 pcts week-on-week to 80.33%, and the methanol operating rate decreased by 1.22 pcts week-on-week to 85.61%. In the automotive chain, the operating rate of automobile semi-steel tires increased by 3.68 pcts week-on-week to 77.71%, and the operating rate of automobile all-steel tires increased by 4.32 pcts week-on-week to 70.22% [2][9]. 3. People and Freight Flow - The flow of people has declined, and freight prices have increased slightly. The 7DMA of the national migration scale index decreased by 14.30% week-on-week, the 7DMA of the number of domestic flights decreased by 7.34% week-on-week, and the 7DMA of the number of international flights decreased by 4.63% week-on-week. The subway passenger volume in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou increased week-on-week, while that in Beijing decreased. The 4WMA of the road logistics freight rate index increased by 0.03% week-on-week, and the total volume was slightly higher than the same period last year [2][28]. 4. Consumption - The movie market has weakened, and prices continue to decline. The previous period's automobile wholesale and retail sales decreased month-on-month, but the 4WMA of the year-on-year growth rate of wholesale and retail sales increased. This period's movie box office decreased by 64.00% week-on-week, and the 7DMA of the number of moviegoers decreased by 63.00% week-on-week. Agricultural product prices decreased slightly, with pork prices decreasing by 4.99% week-on-week and vegetable prices decreasing by 5.18% week-on-week [2][44]. 5. Investment - Construction shows seasonal improvement, and the real estate market has rebounded. This period's cement inventory ratio decreased by 0.3% week-on-week, the cement price index decreased by 0.38% week-on-week, and the cement shipping rate increased by 5.2% week-on-week. The rebar inventory increased by 2.6% week-on-week, the proportion of profitable steel mills nationwide decreased by 1.73% week-on-week, and the apparent demand for rebar increased by 80.0% week-on-week. Overall, the terminal demand for construction shows seasonal improvement. The 7DMA of the commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium-sized cities increased by 4.7% week-on-week. By city tier, the commercial housing transaction areas in first- and third-tier cities increased, while that in second-tier cities decreased. The 7DMA of the second-hand housing transaction area in 16 cities increased by 4.31% week-on-week, and the national second-hand housing listing price index decreased by 0.8% week-on-week. The land transaction area in 100 cities increased, and the land transaction premium rate decreased week-on-week [2][54]. 6. Exports - Container throughput has increased slightly, and shipping indices have recovered. This period's port cargo throughput decreased by 0.42% week-on-week, and container throughput increased by 1.4% week-on-week. The BDI index increased by 0.90% week-on-week, the domestic SCFI index increased by 14.85% week-on-week, and the CCFI index increased by 1.70% week-on-week [2][70].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report analyzes the economic situation from multiple aspects during the period of 2026.03.08 - 2026.03.14, indicating that industrial production is recovering, personnel flow is decreasing, freight prices are slightly rising, the film market is weakening, prices are continuing to decline, construction is seasonally warming up, the real - estate market is recovering, exports show a slight increase, and the performance of major asset classes is mixed [4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1. Large - scale Assets - This week, bond indices showed mixed performance, stock indices showed mixed performance, commodities showed mixed performance, and foreign currencies, except the US dollar, generally declined. Among bond indices, the AA +, AA, and AA - indices of ChinaBond corporate bonds rose the most, with a gain of 0.04%, while the 10 - year ChinaBond Treasury bond index fell the most, with a decline of 0.15%. Among stock indices, the ChiNext index rose the most, with a weekly gain of 2.51%, and the Sci - tech Innovation 50 index fell the most, with a decline of 2.88%. Among commodities, the Nanhua Energy and Chemicals Index rose the most, with a gain of 9.76%, and the Nanhua Precious Metals Index fell the most, with a decline of 1.52%. Foreign currencies against the RMB generally fell, with the Japanese yen having the largest decline of 1.17%, and the US dollar appreciated against the RMB, with a weekly gain of 0.07% [4][9]. 3.2. Industrial Production - Production has recovered. In the upstream, the operating rate of petroleum asphalt plants decreased by 0.30 pcts week - on - week to 23.00%, the blast furnace operating rate increased by 0.67 pcts week - on - week to 78.36%, and the crude steel output decreased by 0.10% week - on - week. In the real - estate chain, the operating rate of rebar increased by 2.62 pcts week - on - week to 38.38%, the operating rate of float glass decreased by 0.10 pcts week - on - week to 71.42%, and the mill operation rate decreased by 1.94 pcts week - on - week to 14.62%. In the general consumer goods chain, the operating rate of polyester filament increased by 4.3 pcts week - on - week to 88.79%, the PTA operating rate increased by 0.64 pcts week - on - week to 80.33%, and the methanol operating rate decreased by 1.22 pcts week - on - week to 85.61%. In the automobile chain, the operating rate of automobile semi - steel tires increased by 3.68 pcts week - on - week to 77.71%, and the operating rate of automobile all - steel tires increased by 4.32 pcts week - on - week to 70.22% [4][12]. 3.3. People and Goods Flow - Personnel flow has decreased, and freight prices have risen slightly. In terms of personnel flow, the 7 - day moving average (7DMA) of the national migration scale index decreased by 14.30% week - on - week, the 7DMA of the number of domestic flights decreased by 7.34% week - on - week, and the 7DMA of the number of international flights decreased by 4.63% week - on - week. The subway passenger volume in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou increased week - on - week, while that in Beijing decreased. In terms of freight flow, the 4 - week moving average (4WMA) of the road logistics freight rate index increased by 0.03% week - on - week, and the total volume was slightly higher than the same period last year [4][32]. 3.4. Consumption - The film market has weakened, and price performance has continued to decline. In the previous period, automobile wholesale and retail sales decreased month - on - month, and the 4WMA of the year - on - year growth rate of wholesale and retail sales increased. This period, the weekly box office of movies decreased by 64.00% week - on - week, and the 7DMA of the number of movie - goers decreased by 63.00% week - on - week. Agricultural product prices decreased slightly, with the pork price decreasing by 4.99% week - on - week and the vegetable price decreasing by 5.18% week - on - week [4][48]. 3.5. Investment - Construction shows seasonal warming, and the real - estate market has recovered. This period, the cement inventory - to - capacity ratio decreased by 0.3% week - on - week, the cement price index decreased by 0.38% week - on - week, and the cement shipment rate increased by 5.2% week - on - week. The rebar inventory increased by 2.6% week - on - week, the proportion of profitable steel mills nationwide decreased by 1.73% week - on - week, and the apparent demand for rebar increased by 80.0% week - on - week. Overall, the terminal demand for construction shows seasonal warming. The 7DMA of the commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium - sized cities increased by 4.7% week - on - week. By city - tier, the commercial housing transaction areas in first - and third - tier cities increased, while that in second - tier cities decreased. The 7DMA of the second - hand housing transaction area in 16 cities increased by 4.31% week - on - week, and the national second - hand housing listing price index decreased by 0.8% week - on - week. The land transaction area in 100 cities increased, and the land transaction premium rate decreased week - on - week [4][58]. 3.6. Exports - Container throughput has increased slightly, and shipping indices have recovered. This period, the port cargo throughput decreased by 0.42% week - on - week, and the container throughput increased by 1.4% week - on - week. The BDI index increased by 0.90% week - on - week, the domestic SCFI index increased by 14.85% week - on - week, and the CCFI index increased by 1.70% week - on - week [4][74].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is the emphasis on deepening the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, with the expectation that the scale of AI-related industries will exceed 10 trillion yuan by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] - The government plans to invest over 7 trillion yuan in key areas, including the construction of the "Six Networks" and major projects outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, which will enhance production conditions and living environments [2] - There will be a focus on boosting domestic consumption through the implementation of new policies and actions aimed at stimulating consumer spending, supported by increased policy measures and funding [3] Group 2 - The expected GDP increment for this year is projected to exceed 6 trillion yuan, which will provide strong support for stabilizing employment, improving people's livelihoods, and mitigating risks [4]