Core Viewpoint - The integration of solar energy and energy storage has become an inevitable trend in energy transition, with major solar companies entering the energy storage sector to enhance their market positions [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 25, A-shares opened higher, with the solar ETF Huaxia (515370) rising by 0.91%, and key holdings such as Hongyuan Green Energy, Shangneng Electric, and Sunshine Power increasing by over 2% [1]. Group 2: Company Developments - Longi Green Energy plans to acquire approximately 61.9998% of the voting rights of Suzhou Jingkong Energy Technology Co., Ltd. through multiple methods, achieving sole control over this energy storage "unicorn" [1]. - Other major solar companies, including Tongwei Co., JA Solar, Trina Solar, and JinkoSolar, have also entered the energy storage market this year, marking a significant shift in their business strategies [1]. Group 3: Industry Trends - Wanlian Securities believes that the integration of solar and storage is a key pathway for building a new power system, transitioning from an optional to a necessary component, and upgrading from auxiliary power to a primary power source [1]. - The Huaxia solar ETF (515370) tracks the CSI Solar Industry Index, covering upstream, midstream, and downstream companies in the solar industry, including silicon wafers, polysilicon, battery cells, cables, solar glass, battery modules, inverters, solar brackets, and solar power plants, providing a comprehensive reflection of the solar industry's overall performance [1].

Core Viewpoint - The recent positive developments in the new energy sector have led to a significant increase in the performance of the new energy sector, with the ChiNext New Energy ETF (159387) rising over 2.5% and attracting nearly 150 million yuan in net inflows over the past 20 days [1] Group 1: Solar Energy Industry - The solar industry is currently undergoing a critical transformation, shifting from a "price war" to a "value war" driven by technological innovation, which is essential for breaking the cycle of intense competition [3] - Capital expenditures in the solar industry are expected to significantly decrease by the third quarter of 2025, indicating a reduction in new capacity and a strategic shift towards quality and profitability rather than mere scale [3] Group 2: Energy Storage Industry - The demand for domestic energy storage cells is robust, with leading battery manufacturers operating at full capacity and some orders extending into early 2026 [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a plan aiming for a new energy storage capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, which is expected to drive direct project investments of approximately 250 billion yuan [4] - The global energy storage market is projected to maintain strong growth, with an estimated cumulative installed capacity of around 1950 GWh by the end of 2030 [4] Group 3: Future Outlook for the New Energy Sector - Key focus areas for the future of the sector include energy storage demand, material price increases, and solar policy developments [5] - Energy storage demand will be influenced by provincial capacity pricing policies, battery production schedules, and overseas demand, particularly in collaboration with leading domestic storage manufacturers [5] - Material prices are expected to rise due to short-term supply shortages of lithium carbonate, with ongoing monitoring of mining expansion and pricing trends in the lithium battery materials sector [5] - The solar policy landscape is still evolving, with ongoing efforts to combat excessive competition, although some challenges remain in finalizing storage solutions and managing material price fluctuations [5] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The new energy industry chain is anticipated to unlock new growth opportunities through technological advancements, with the ChiNext New Energy ETF (159387) tracking an index that includes companies involved in clean energy production, storage, and application, where solid-state batteries and energy storage account for over 65% [6]

证券研究报告 证券研究报告 证券研究报告 国内储能原材料价格上涨，英国大储放量增长 敬请参阅末页重要声明及评级说明 华安电新 张志邦 SAC执业证书号：S0010523120004 邮箱： zhangzhibang@hazq.com 2025年11月25日 敬请参阅末页重要声明及评级说明 华安证券研究所 证券研究报告 证券研究报告 要点总结 Ø需求侧 低ROE市场 高ROE市场 敬请参阅末页重要声明及评级说明 敬请参阅末页重要声明及评级说明 华安证券研究所 • 国内：1）量：25年10月国内装机2.87GW/7.46GWh ；2）先导指标：招标：25年10月国内储能招标规模为10GW/29.4GWh ，容量同/环比+116%/-31% 。 • 印度：1）量：10月底，储能系统装机0.5GWh；2）先导指标：招标：独储25年累计招标46.59GWh，光储项目累计招标25.24GWh ；3）政策：光伏开启强制 配储；4）展望：印度全年装机预计超1.7GWh；5） 2025-26财年印度要求并网4GW/17GWh的电化学储能项目，且不能有任何拖延。 • 量：德国：10月储能装机344MWh ，其中户储304MWh， ...

Group 1 - The A-share energy storage sector index has recently experienced a decline, but industry experts remain optimistic about the sector's unexpected growth due to increased demand and large-scale project implementations [1] - The demand for energy storage is shifting from the power generation side to the grid side, driven by the ongoing expansion of renewable energy installations and the construction of new power systems in China [1] - The rapid growth of artificial intelligence data centers and the advancement of independent renewable energy power systems for green hydrogen and ammonia projects are expected to further expand domestic and international energy storage applications [1] Group 2 - The energy storage sector has seen a surge in orders, particularly for grid-side storage, as companies like Haibo Technology and CATL announce significant procurement agreements and production expansions [2] - The price increases of raw materials like lithium carbonate and supply chain disruptions due to equipment failures have heightened market attention on the energy storage industry [2] - The introduction of policy documents such as the "Notice on Deepening the Market-oriented Reform of Renewable Energy Grid Pricing" has decoupled energy storage from renewable energy construction, allowing it to become an independent market investment entity [3] Group 3 - The rapid expansion of overseas markets, particularly in North America, Europe, and Southeast Asia, is driving new demand for energy storage solutions [4] - Strategic partnerships, such as that between Envision Group and Statera Energy for a major storage project in the UK, highlight the growing international collaboration in the energy storage sector [4] - New applications, including high-power charging and data center energy management, are expected to significantly increase energy storage demand [4] Group 4 - Analysts predict a 40% year-on-year growth in global energy storage demand by 2026, driven by the increasing need for renewable energy integration in the U.S. [5] - The domestic energy storage market is approaching an economic inflection point, with expectations of 300 GWh of new installations next year, supported by market-driven pricing and capacity incentives [5] - The current market dynamics indicate that energy storage does not face theoretical oversupply; rather, the challenge lies in affordability and accessibility for users [6] Group 5 - Government initiatives to expand public energy storage infrastructure and enhance market competition are crucial for achieving large-scale development in the energy storage sector [6] - Recent policy announcements from national authorities have set higher renewable energy installation targets, reinforcing the role of energy storage as a key component for energy consumption [6] - The energy storage industry is positioned to meet global supply demands, with competitive advantages in providing low-cost green electricity [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Options: Consider partial profit - taking on deeply out - of - the - money short put options [5]. - Hedging: Lithium salt producers should moderately increase the proportion of selling hedging, and downstream enterprises can buy hedging in a medium - proportion according to orders to lock in procurement costs [5]. - Basis: Hold a small - position long spot - short futures positive arbitrage portfolio (entering delivery) and manage risks well [5]. - Calendar spread: Participate in a small - position short 03 - long 05 reverse arbitrage portfolio [5]. - Unilateral strategy: As the exchange takes measures to cool down, long - position funds may gradually take profits, potentially leading to a short - term price correction. Short - position entry should be in a light position with profit - taking settings [6]. Summary by Related Catalogs Supply Side - In Yichun, the probability of production suspension in operating mines is low. The 8 lithium - related mines in Yichun have all submitted mineral type change reserve verification reports. The Jiaxiaowo Mine is expected to have a low probability of resuming production this year, though there are still reports indicating a possible December restart [6][14][15]. - The prices of lithium raw materials have increased. As of November 20, the price of Australian lithium spodumene concentrate increased by 195 to 1245 US dollars/ton week - on - week, and the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) increased by 420 to 2700 yuan/ton [15]. - The production of lithium carbonate from various raw materials has increased. In the week of November 20, the production of lithium carbonate was 22,130 tons, a week - on - week increase of 585 tons. In October 2025, the monthly total production of domestic lithium carbonate was 92,260 tons, a month - on - month increase of 6% and a year - on - year increase of 55%. It is expected that the output in November will remain at the same level as in October [21][22]. - Import data shows that in October 2025, Chile exported 25,000 tons of lithium carbonate, a month - on - month increase of 56%. China imported about 23,900 tons of lithium carbonate, a month - on - month increase of 22% [27]. Demand Side - The new energy vehicle industry is in the peak production and sales season. In October 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles were 1.772 million and 1.715 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 21.1% and 20%. From January to October, the cumulative production and sales were 13.015 million and 12.943 million respectively, with year - on - year increases of 33.1% and 32.7%. In October, new energy vehicle exports were 256,000, a month - on - month increase of 15% and a year - on - year increase of 100% [33]. - The energy storage demand remains strong. The supply of energy storage cells is growing steadily, and the demand from diversified investment entities for independent energy storage power stations is increasing. Policies in China and other countries are also promoting the development of the energy storage industry [36]. - The lithium battery production in November continues to be prosperous. In November 2025, the planned production of power + energy storage + consumer - type batteries in the Chinese market was 209 GWh, a month - on - month increase of 12.4% and a year - on - year increase of 64.6% [47]. - The production of cathode materials is expected to increase. In October, the production of lithium iron phosphate was 394,350 tons, a month - on - month increase of 10.5% and a year - on - year increase of 51%. It is expected that the planned production in November will increase by 8% to 425,898 tons. The production of ternary materials in October was 84,090 tons, a month - on - month increase of 11.6% and a year - on - year increase of 43%. The market demand in November is expected to continue to improve [49]. Inventory Side - Both factory inventories and warehouse receipts of lithium carbonate are decreasing. As of November 20, the lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 2052 tons to 118,400 tons week - on - week. The warehouse receipt volume was 26,916 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 254 tons [53]. Basis Analysis - There are opportunities for spot - futures positive arbitrage. The holding cost for 1 month is about 2663 yuan/ton, and for 2 months is about 3317 yuan/ton. Hold the long spot - short futures positive arbitrage portfolio and manage risks well [55]. Spread Analysis - Consider participating in the reverse arbitrage opportunity of the 03 - 05 contracts. The 11 - 12 contracts showed a reverse arbitrage trend approaching the November delivery month. Considering the off - season demand in the first quarter of next year, one can moderately participate in the reverse arbitrage of the 03 - 05 contracts. However, the arbitrage trading space between contracts is limited [59]. Overseas Mines - Some mines have production and cost changes. For example, the Greenbushes Mine's CGP3 project is planned to start commissioning at the end of 2025, and the Mt Pilgangoora Mine's unit operating cost has decreased [60]. - There are many new/expansion projects in 2026, with a total lithium carbonate equivalent of 34.99 tons, including the CGP3 expansion of Greenbushes, the expansion of Goulamina in Mali under Ganfeng Lithium, etc. [61].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - Strategy: For unilateral trading, maintain a long - position mindset, monitor price movements at previous high levels (take profit if there is a sharp rally), and set stop - profit points. For options, hold out - of - the - money short put options with a light position and manage risks (rolling operations are possible). For calendar spreads, stay on the sidelines [4]. - Supply: Yichun's lithium mines are less likely to stop production. The Zhenkouli - Jianxiawo mine in Jiangxi is unlikely to resume production this year, eliminating supply concerns. Overall, supply is expected to increase steadily as expected. Also, new warehouse receipts registration volume may be a concern due to high demand and large open interest [5]. - Demand: Energy storage cell production is full, with independent energy storage contributing significant growth. New energy vehicles are in the peak production and sales season, and demand is expected to remain high in Q4 2025. Lithium prices are supported by strong demand, but supply growth may increase price volatility [5]. - Hedging: Lithium salt producers should conduct low - proportion short hedging, and downstream enterprises can conduct medium - proportion long hedging based on orders to lock in procurement costs [5]. - Basis: Hold cash - and - carry arbitrage portfolios with a light position and manage risks [5]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Review - As of November 13, battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 3950 yuan week - on - week to 84350 yuan/ton, and industrial - grade lithium carbonate increased by 3800 yuan to 82000 yuan/ton. Battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) increased by 500 yuan to 76180 yuan/ton. The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 2350 yuan/ton, and the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate was - 8170 yuan/ton [9]. - As of November 13, the closing price of the lithium carbonate 2601 contract increased by 5540 yuan (+6.73%) week - on - week to 87840 yuan/ton, and the weighted open interest increased by 128,300 lots to 1,037,300 lots [9]. 2. Supply - Side Analysis 2.1 Lithium Ore Production and Import - In October 2025, the output of Chinese sample lithium spodumene was 7350 tons, a month - on - month increase of 550 tons (+8%); the total output of Chinese lithium mica was 12,700 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 450 tons (-3%) [12]. - In September 2025, China's lithium spodumene imports reached 711,000 physical tons, a month - on - month increase of 14.8%, equivalent to about 67,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE). Imports from Australia were 347,000 tons, a significant month - on - month increase of 64.1%; imports from Nigeria were about 120,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 14.4%; imports from Zimbabwe were 109,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 7.8% [12]. - From November 3 to November 9, 2025, the total shipment of Mysteel's Australian lithium concentrate to China was 76,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 27,000 tons. The weekly average shipment to China was 68,000 tons, and the global shipment that week was 76,000 tons [12]. 2.2 Lithium Ore Price and Inventory - As of November 13, the price of Australian lithium spodumene concentrate increased by 125 dollars week - on - week to 1050 dollars/ton, and the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) increased by 195 yuan to 2280 yuan/ton. As of November 7, the available inventory of lithium ore was 100,000 tons (82,000 tons in the previous period, increasing for three consecutive weeks) [15]. - As of November 13, the cash cost of producing lithium carbonate from imported lithium spodumene was 84,065 yuan/ton, with a production loss of 907 yuan/ton; the cash cost of producing lithium carbonate from imported lithium mica was 87,365 yuan/ton, and the loss from imported mica production was 6361 yuan/ton. The loss from producing lithium carbonate from imported raw materials deepened [15]. 2.3 Lithium Mine Project Progress - On November 6, 2025, the Natural Resources Department of Jiangxi Province released the "Public Notice of the Assessment Report on the Mining Right Transfer Income of the Zhenkouli - Jianxiawo Mine (Utilized but Unpaid Resources) in Yifeng County, Jiangxi Province". It is estimated that the probability of resuming production this year is low, and concerns about its resumption are weakened in the short term [15]. 2.4 Lithium Carbonate Production - According to SMM statistics, the weekly output of lithium carbonate in the week of November 13 was 21,545 tons, a week - on - week increase of 11 tons. Among them, the output from spodumene decreased by 220 tons to 12,904 tons (accounting for 60%), the output from mica decreased by 70 tons to 2941 tons (accounting for 14%), the output from salt lakes increased by 236 tons to 3555 tons (accounting for 17%), and the output from recycled materials increased by 65 tons to 2145 tons (accounting for 10%) [21]. - In October 2025, the monthly output of domestic lithium carbonate was 92,260 tons, a month - on - month increase of 6% and a year - on - year increase of 55%. The cumulative output from January to October was 780,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 39%. It is expected that the output of domestic lithium carbonate in November can still maintain the production level of October, with a roughly flat month - on - month change [21]. 2.5 Lithium Carbonate and Hydroxide Import and Export - According to Chilean customs data, in October 2025, Chile exported 25,000 tons of lithium carbonate, a month - on - month increase of 56%; the amount exported to China was 16,200 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4% and a month - on - month increase of 46%. From January to October 2025, Chile exported a total of 189,400 tons of lithium carbonate, a year - on - year decrease of 5.3%, and the amount exported to China was 137,100 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 15% [27]. - According to customs data, in September 2025, China's lithium carbonate imports were about 19,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 10.3%, mainly affected by previous concentrated arrivals and domestic inventory digestion rhythms. Among them, 10,800 tons were imported from Chile, accounting for 55.2%, and 6948 tons were imported from Argentina, accounting for 35.5% [27]. - According to SMM statistics, in October 2025, the output of lithium hydroxide was 29,220 tons, a month - on - month increase of 6% and a year - on - year decrease of 5%. Among them, the smelting output was 24,950 tons, and the causticizing output was 4270 tons. It is expected that the overall output of lithium hydroxide in November will have a slight upward trend, with a roughly flat year - on - year performance [28]. - According to customs data, China's lithium hydroxide imports in September 2025 were 1473 tons, a month - on - month increase of 20.3%, mainly due to the moderate recovery of high - nickel ternary material demand; exports were 6526 tons, a month - on - month increase of 15% and a year - on - year decrease of 48.7% [28]. 3. Demand - Side Analysis 3.1 New Energy Vehicle Market - In October 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles were 1.772 million and 1.715 million respectively, a year - on - year increase of 21.1% and 20%, and a month - on - month increase of 9.6% and 6.9% respectively. From January to October, the cumulative production and sales of new energy vehicles were 13.015 million and 12.943 million respectively, a year - on - year increase of 33.1% and 32.7% respectively [33]. - In 2025, from January to October, the sales of new energy heavy - duty trucks in China exceeded 119,600, a year - on - year increase of 198%. In September 2025, 392,000 new energy vehicles were sold in Europe, a year - on - year increase of 33% and a month - on - month increase of 62%, with a market penetration rate of 31.7% [33]. - In October 2025, new energy vehicle exports were 256,000, a month - on - month increase of 15% and a year - on - year increase of 100%. From January to October, the cumulative exports were 1.983 million, a year - on - year increase of 87.4% [33]. - As of November 13, 17 mainstream automobile brands have launched purchase tax subsidy plans, which will ease the cliff - like decline in vehicle sales across the year to some extent [33]. 3.2 Energy Storage Market - Domestic energy storage cell supply is growing steadily, and demand from diversified investment entities is increasing. Overseas energy storage orders are also growing due to tariff relief and favorable policies [36]. - The "New Energy Storage Large - scale Construction Special Action Plan (2025 - 2027)" sets a goal of reaching an installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, driving direct investment of about 250 billion yuan [36]. - Australia, the UK and other countries have introduced policies to support the development of energy storage, ensuring sufficient energy storage orders [36]. 3.3 Lithium Battery Production - According to SMM statistics, in October 2025, China's lithium battery output was 192.9 GWh, a month - on - month increase of 8%. Among them, the output of power cells increased by 11% to 125 GWh, the output of energy storage cells increased by 3% to 54 GWh, and the output of consumer and other cells increased by 3% to 14 GWh [43]. - From November 7, 2025, to November 10, 2026, the implementation of 6 export control measures related to strategic fields such as rare earths, lithium batteries, and super - hard materials will be suspended [43]. - According to大东时代智库, in November 2025, the production of power + energy storage batteries in Chinese battery factories was 193 GWh; the production of lithium battery A was 71.4 GWh, the production of lithium battery B was 31.4 GWh, and the production of lithium battery C was 14.9 GWh. The production of consumer - type batteries in the Chinese market was about 16 GWh. The production of power + energy storage + consumer - type batteries in the Chinese market in November 2025 was 209 GWh, a month - on - month increase of 12.4% and a year - on - year increase of 64.6% [47]. 3.4 Lithium Battery Material Market - Lithium iron phosphate: In October 2025, the output of lithium iron phosphate was 394,350 tons, a month - on - month increase of 10.5% and a year - on - year increase of 51%. It is expected that the production in November will increase by 8% month - on - month to 425,898 tons [49]. - Ternary materials: In October 2025, the output of ternary materials was 84,090 tons, a month - on - month increase of 11.6% and a year - on - year increase of 43%. It is expected that the market demand will continue to improve in November, and the production plan will continue to rise slightly, with a month - on - month increase of 1.37% and a year - on - year increase of 39.76% [49]. - According to SMM statistics, in October 2025, China's electrolyte output increased by 4.8% month - on - month to 207,580 tons, a year - on - year increase of 29%. From January to October, the cumulative output was 1.655 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 52.3% [50]. - According to SMM research, in October 2025, China's lithium hexafluorophosphate output increased by 14% month - on - month to 25,420 tons, a year - on - year increase of 29%. From January to October, the cumulative output was 200,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 38.4% [50]. 4. Inventory Analysis - As of November 13, the lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 3481 tons week - on - week to 120,500 tons. Among them, the smelter inventory decreased by 2445 tons to 28,000 tons, the downstream inventory decreased by 3236 tons to 48,800 tons, and the inventory of other sectors such as traders increased by 2200 tons to 43,400 tons [54]. - As of November 13, the warehouse receipt volume was 26,420 tons, a week - on - week increase of 176 tons and a month - on - month decrease of 2384 tons. New warehouse receipts registration volume may be a concern due to high demand and the forced cancellation of non - compliant warehouse receipts at the end of November [54]. 5. Basis Analysis - The holding cost for 1 - month is about 1838 yuan/ton, and for 2 - month is about 2460 yuan/ton. Hold cash - and - carry arbitrage portfolios and manage risks [56]. 6. Spread Analysis - The 11 - 12 spread showed a reverse - arbitrage trend approaching the November delivery month. Pay attention to the reverse - arbitrage opportunity of the 03 - 04 spread approaching the March delivery month [58].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The energy storage market in China, North America, and Europe continues to show unexpected growth potential, emphasizing the importance of the battery cell sector [1][2][6] - The wind power and electrical equipment sectors have validated their performance and trends, making them attractive investment choices [1][3] - Emerging sectors such as solid-state batteries, AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center), and robotics are also worth considering for investment [1][3] Key Insights and Arguments - The photovoltaic industry has reached a consensus against internal competition, maintaining stable prices despite relatively weak demand [1][5] - Companies with minimal production capacity that are extending into energy storage, such as Canadian Solar (阿特斯) and Tianhe (天河), are viewed positively in the medium to long term [1][5] - The energy storage sector remains one of the most prosperous areas within the power sector, with approximately 170 GWh of projects under construction or in operation across various provinces in China [1][6] - Domestic and overseas demand for energy storage is strong, with significant year-on-year growth in installed capacity and bidding data in October [1][6] Investment Recommendations - Short-term focus on GCL-Poly (协鑫) and mid-term on companies like Agricultural Machinery (农机), Tianhe (天河), and JinkoSolar (晶科), which are extending into energy storage and are expected to enter a recovery phase by the second half of 2026 [1][7] - Sunpower (阳光电源) is currently valued at approximately 400 billion RMB, with a favorable investment outlook, especially below 350 billion RMB, and is projected to reach a market cap of 600-700 billion RMB by 2028 [1][9] - The lithium battery sector remains strong, with leading companies maintaining production levels and prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate expected to rise significantly [12] Noteworthy Developments - The solid-state battery sector has seen advancements, with GAC reporting on a large-capacity solid-state battery production line and expected results by December [13] - The wind power sector is entering a cost-effective phase, with companies like Goldwind (金风科技) and Haizhi Wind Power (海力风能) showing promising overseas project bids [14] - The electrical equipment sector is experiencing robust growth, with a year-on-year increase in bidding data exceeding 20% [15][16] Potential Risks and Considerations - The battery cell industry is currently facing adjustments due to market discrepancies regarding demand growth for the upcoming year [2] - Companies like Canadian Solar are undergoing adjustments related to asset disposals in the U.S., which should be monitored closely [10] Future Directions - New directions to watch include AIDC and robotics, with significant developments expected in power supply-related equipment due to advancements in AI [17] - The overall market trend is expected to remain upward from 2026 onwards, with a focus on energy storage, wind power, and AIDC-related electrical equipment [20]

Q&A AIDC（人工智能数据中心）对储能需求的拉动有哪些具体表现？ 从去年底到现在，AIDC 市场持续增长，设备需求逐步从机房内延伸到机房外。 储能在 AIDC 建设中成为新增量，主要针对机房侧储能以平抑电网负荷波动。 北美市场尤其显著，由于市中心建设带来的用电量增长，短期内发电侧和用电 侧出现供需缺口，通过新能源装机补充缺口，从而带来发电侧储能配套需求的 增长。 光储发电竞争力显著，LCOE 约为 50~130 美元/兆瓦时，优于传统发 电方式。大型独立四小时储能系统 LCOS 较低，比两小时大型独立储能 低 14 美元/兆瓦时，具备良好经济性。特斯拉 Megapack 储能系统集成 变电站功能，可调峰和平抑电网负荷波动。 弗若斯特沙利文预测，到 2030 年全球数据中心储能需求将达到 212GWh，2023-2030 年复合增长率为 49%。美国市场数据中心配属 比例将从 2025 年的 20%提升至 2030 年的 50%，平均配属时长从 4 小时增加到 6-8 小时。预计到 2030 年，美国机房侧存量需求将达到 100GWh 左右，复合增长率为 62%。 全球 AIDC 的发展趋势是什么？ 全球 ...

Summary of Longking Environmental Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Longking Environmental - **Industry**: Environmental Protection and Renewable Energy Key Points Shareholder Dynamics - Zijin Mining fully subscribed to Longking Environmental's 2 billion yuan private placement, increasing its shareholding from 25% to nearly 34%, providing significant financial support and accelerating future funding capabilities [2][3] Green Energy Business Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Longking Environmental's green energy business net profit reached 170 million yuan, significantly higher than the previous year's total of 70-80 million yuan [2][8] - The Lagocuo Salt Lake photovoltaic project contributed notably, with expected unit profitability exceeding 500 million yuan per megawatt [9] - New projects, including the Mamito Salt Lake photovoltaic and the Congo hydropower station, are anticipated to drive future performance growth [2][9] Storage and Emerging Business Areas - Longking Environmental is actively recovering its storage business, achieving a turnaround in profitability in 2025, with total battery cell deliveries of 5.9 GWh from January to September [6][12] - The company is exploring new fields such as mining new energy, green electricity, and wall-climbing robots, providing certainty for growth over the next three years [6] Environmental Protection Sector - The environmental protection segment serves as a stabilizer for the company, contributing stable and predictable performance [10] - In 2025, new orders in this sector reached 7.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11%, and the backlog of orders stood at 19.7 billion yuan, sufficient to support two years of performance confirmation [15] Future Growth and Valuation - Zijin Mining aims to achieve a 30% self-supply rate of green electricity by 2030, with a demand for approximately 7 GW of green energy installations [11] - Longking Environmental's current valuation is not fully recognized by the market, particularly for specific projects like mining green electricity, which have higher profitability than average [7] - Overall profit for 2025 is expected to exceed 1.1 billion yuan, with projections for 2026 and 2027 reaching 1.0-1.5 billion yuan and 1.6-1.7 billion yuan, respectively [16] Equipment Business Developments - The equipment business includes mining heavy trucks, mining equipment, and wall-climbing robots, with successful deliveries already made [14] - Partnerships with companies like Hunan Chuangyuan and Jitai Intelligent are expected to become significant growth points in the future [14] Conclusion - Longking Environmental is positioned for strong growth in the green energy sector, supported by significant shareholder investment and a stable environmental protection business. The company is exploring new technologies and markets, which could enhance its profitability and market valuation in the coming years.

储能赛道发展提速。国家能源局公布的数据显示，截至今年三季度末，我国新型储能装机规模超过1亿 千瓦，与"十三五"末相比增长超30倍，装机规模占全球总装机比例超过40%，跃居世界第一。 储能作为光伏、风力等新能源发电的重要消纳方式，已经成为光伏龙头企业重点布局的赛道。 近日，陕西省市场监督管理局网站发布的信息显示，隆基绿能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"隆基绿 能"）拟通过股权收购、增资入股及表决权委托等多重方式，取得苏州精控能源科技股份有限公司约 61.9998%的表决权，实现对这家储能"独角兽"企业的单独控制。 至此，去年光伏组件全球出货量排名前五的光伏龙头企业已经全部入局储能赛道。 而晶科能源股份有限公司（以下简称"晶科能源"）、晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"晶澳科 技"）、天合光能股份有限公司（以下简称"天合光能"）等龙头亦早已入局储能赛道。Infolink数据显 示，晶科能源位列2024年全球光伏组件出货榜榜首，晶澳科技和隆基绿能并列第二，天合光能位列第 四，通威股份位列第五。 "光储融合已成为能源转型的必然趋势，也是构建新型电力系统的关键路径。"万联证券投资顾问屈放在 接受《证券日报》记者采访时表 ...