Company Announcement - Constellium SE will host a conference call and webcast on April 30, 2025, at 10:00 AM (Eastern Time) to announce its first quarter 2025 results [1] - The press release regarding the results will be sent before market opening [1] Conference Call Details - The conference call will be led by CEO Jean-Marc Germain and CFO Jack Guo [1] - Details for accessing the conference call and webcast are available on the Constellium Investor Relations page [2] - A telephone participation option is provided with specific numbers for the United States, France, Germany, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom [2] - An archived recording of the conference call will be available for three weeks on the company’s website [2] Company Overview - Constellium is a global leader in developing innovative, value-added aluminum products for various markets, including aerospace, packaging, and automotive [3] - The company generated $7.3 billion in revenue in 2024 [3]

April 7, 2025 03:22 PM GMT China Materials | Asia Pacific Trip Takeaways: Day 1 – Beijing On day one of our trip, we met with copper, coal, and aluminium producers. Copper: MMG highlighted DRC political instability, which has led to electricity rationing in the last few weeks, prompting more reliance on diesel power. We see some read-across for other DRC operations such as Glencore's Katanga/Mutanda. However, the conflict remains distant (>1,000km), constituting minimal risks of stoppages. Mining costs are ...

Summary of Aluminum Corp. of China (Chalco) Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Aluminum Corp. of China (Chalco) - **Stock Ticker**: 2600.HK - **Market Cap**: HK$87.8 billion / $11.3 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$168.4 billion / $21.7 billion - **Industry**: Basic Materials Key Financial Highlights - **2024 Net Profit**: Rmb12.4 billion, representing an 85% year-over-year increase - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Rmb0.723, up 84% year-over-year - **Recurring Net Profit**: Estimated at Rmb13.1 billion, up 99% year-over-year - **Dividend**: Proposed final dividend of Rmb0.135 per share, total annual dividend of Rmb0.217, implying a 30% payout ratio for 2024, compared to 21% for 2023 [1][30] Revenue and Cost Analysis - **Total Revenue for 2024**: Rmb237.1 billion, a 5% increase from Rmb225.3 billion in 2023 - **Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)**: Rmb201.5 billion, up 2% year-over-year - **Gross Profit**: Rmb35.5 billion, a 29% increase year-over-year - **Sales Volume**: Aluminum sales volume was 7.60 million tons, up 12% year-over-year, while alumina sales volume was 6.35 million tons, down 3% year-over-year [19][30] Segment Performance - **Aluminum Segment**: Gross profit declined by 15% year-over-year, primarily due to higher COGS - **Alumina Segment**: Gross profit increased by 236% year-over-year, attributed to lower-than-expected costs - **Energy and Trading Segment**: Gross profit decreased by 63% year-over-year due to lower revenue and higher COGS [19][20] Future Outlook and Estimates - **2025E Net Profit**: Expected to remain elevated at Rmb11.4 billion, with a stable aluminum output of 7.6 million tons and an increase in alumina output to 22 million tons [2][33] - **Alumina Price Forecast**: Expected to remain depressed at Rmb3,431 per ton for 2025 and Rmb3,464 per ton for 2026 [2][33] - **Aluminum Industry Spread**: Anticipated to sustain at Rmb4,830 per ton in 2025 and Rmb4,700 per ton in 2026 [2][33] Valuation and Investment Thesis - **Price Target**: HK$6.30 for 12 months, with a current price of HK$5.12, indicating a 23% upside potential - **Valuation Ratios**: Trading at a P/E of 6.2 for 2024, with a projected P/E of 7.2 for 2025 [1][36] - **Investment Rating**: Maintain Buy rating for Chalco-H and Neutral for Chalco-A due to fair valuation [34][35] Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include lower aluminum and alumina pricing, potential removal of capacity caps in primary aluminum, slower-than-expected green demand, and higher supply from recycled aluminum [28][37] - **Upside Risks**: Include higher pricing driven by improved supply-demand balance and enhanced demand for green technologies [29][38] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - **Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 21% year-over-year to Rmb32.6 billion - **Free Cash Flow**: Grew by 59% year-over-year to Rmb25.2 billion - **Net Gearing**: Decreased to 64% from 100% at the end of 2023 [23][30] This summary encapsulates the key financial metrics, segment performance, future outlook, valuation, and associated risks for Aluminum Corp. of China, providing a comprehensive overview for potential investors.

Summary of Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd. (Chalco) - **Ticker**: 2600.HK - **Industry**: Greater China Materials - **Date of Call**: March 26, 2025 Key Financial Highlights - **Net Earnings**: FY24 net earnings increased by 85% YoY to Rmb12.4 billion, aligning with preliminary results [8] - **4Q24 Profit**: Implied profit for 4Q24 was Rmb3.4 billion, reflecting a 153% YoY increase and a 69% QoQ increase [8] - **PBT from Alumina**: Profit before tax (PBT) from alumina surged to Rmb11.7 billion in FY24 compared to Rmb1.1 billion in FY23 [8] - **PBT from Aluminum**: PBT from aluminum decreased by 20% YoY to Rmb9.0 billion despite a 12% YoY volume increase due to higher costs [8] - **Impairment**: The company recorded an impairment of Rmb2.6 billion in FY24, negatively impacting the bottom line [8] - **Balance Sheet**: Improved with net gearing dropping to 48% in FY24 from 76% in FY23 [8] - **Finance Costs**: Decreased by 10% YoY due to lower debt [8] - **Dividend**: An annual dividend of Rmb22 per share was declared, representing a payout ratio of 30% and a yield of 4.6% [8] Revenue and Profitability Metrics - **Revenue Growth**: Revenue for 1Q24 was Rmb48.96 billion, showing a 71% YoY increase [3] - **Gross Profit**: Gross profit for 1Q24 was Rmb6.79 billion, with a gross margin of 13.9% [3] - **EBIT**: EBIT for 1Q24 was Rmb5.39 billion, with an EBIT margin of 11% [3] - **Net Income**: Net income for 1Q24 was Rmb4.05 billion, reflecting a net margin of 4.6% [3] Market Outlook - **Aluminum Prices**: Expected to be supported by limited supply increases in both domestic and overseas markets, alongside solid demand [3] - **Margin Contribution**: Resilient aluminum prices and a correction in alumina prices are anticipated to contribute positively to margins [3] - **Investment Rating**: The company maintains an "Overweight" (OW) rating, indicating a positive outlook [5] Risks and Considerations - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: Potential risks include better-than-expected demand, greater supply cuts, and faster-than-expected production resumption [13][14] - **Cost Pressures**: Higher costs could continue to impact profitability, particularly in the aluminum segment [8] Analyst Insights - **Price Target**: The price target for Chalco is set at HK$7.00, indicating a potential upside of 35% from the current price [5] - **Market Capitalization**: Current market capitalization is Rmb119.59 billion [5] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, market outlook, and potential risks associated with Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd.

Core Viewpoint - Nanshan Aluminum reported a significant increase in net profit and is actively engaged in the domestic substitution of aviation aluminum materials [2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Nanshan Aluminum achieved operating revenue of 33.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.06% [2] - The net profit reached 5.96 billion yuan, up 48.81% compared to the previous year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.83 billion yuan, reflecting a 39.03% increase year-on-year [2] Industry Position and Strategy - Nanshan Aluminum has developed an integrated aluminum processing industry chain, covering upstream products like electricity, alumina, and aluminum alloy ingots, and downstream products including aluminum plates, profiles, and foils [2] - The company is the only domestic supplier of aviation aluminum extrusions for major aircraft manufacturers such as COMAC, Airbus, and Boeing, supporting key projects like C919 and ARJ21 [3] - The demand for high-end aviation aluminum is expected to rise significantly due to the rapid development of China's aviation industry and the mass production of domestically developed aircraft [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to leverage its industry chain advantages to ensure quality control and support the domestic production of aviation aluminum materials [4] - Nanshan Aluminum aims to enhance its product coverage and deepen cooperation in the aviation supply chain market [4] Shareholder Returns - The company emphasizes value-based market management, planning to distribute a cash dividend of 0.90 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 1.05 billion yuan [6] - Cumulatively, the company has distributed cash dividends amounting to approximately 1.98 billion yuan in the current year, with a cash dividend ratio of 40.92% [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total net sales for 2024 were just over $3 billion, with conversion revenue at $1.46 billion, a decrease of $10 million or 1% compared to 2023 [8][10] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $217 million, up approximately $7 million from 2023, with adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of conversion revenue improving by approximately 60 basis points to 14.9% [11][12] - Reported net income for 2024 was $47 million, or $2.87 per diluted share, consistent with 2023 [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace and high strength conversion revenue totaled $530 million, down $4 million or approximately 1%, reflecting a 4% decline in shipments [9] - Packaging conversion revenue was $490 million, down $13 million or approximately 3%, with a 3% decline in shipments [9] - General engineering conversion revenue for 2024 was $313 million, up 3% year over year due to a 6% increase in shipments [9] - Automotive conversion revenue was $120 million, up 3% over 2023 despite a 3% decline in shipments [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market backdrop in 2024 was complex and rapidly changing, with challenges in each end market, particularly in packaging [6][7] - The company expects market conditions to stabilize and become more favorable as it moves through 2025 [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on niche areas in served markets with significant barriers to entry, building strong competitive positions through product differentiation [16] - Investments are being made to upgrade facilities and expand capacity, particularly in the packaging and aerospace sectors [17][21][23] - The company anticipates a transformational year in 2025, driven by strategic investments and strong market positions [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strength of customer contracts and the potential for increased demand in the second half of 2025 [41][42] - The company expects to see meaningful EBITDA and EBITDA margin uplift in the second half of 2025, with around 60% of full-year EBITDA expected to come in during that period [31][59] Other Important Information - The company returned approximately $51 million to shareholders through dividend payments in 2024, marking the eighteenth consecutive year of dividends [15] - The company is assessing alternative inventory accounting methods and expects to provide an update prior to the release of first-quarter 2025 results [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the assumptions regarding scrap spreads and their impact on EBITDA? - The company modeled EBITDA improvement based on last year's performance, expecting 150 to 200 basis points of improvement from scrap spreads [35][36] Question: What is the outlook for the aerospace market and inventory levels? - Management expects build rates to increase with large OEM airframers, leading to a potential uptick in demand in the second half of the year [42] Question: What is the impact of pricing in the packaging segment? - The fourth quarter pricing decline was attributed to a mix impact, with strong demand anticipated for higher value-added products in the second half of the year [44][46] Question: What is the expected CapEx for 2025? - The company expects CapEx to be around $125 million for 2025, including finalizing investments in the RollCoat line and Trentwood expansion [61] Question: What is the status of NOLs and cash tax payments? - The company has utilized its NOLs and expects cash tax payments in 2025 to be in the range of $5 million to $7 million [62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 20% sequentially to $3.5 billion [10] - Net income attributable to Alcoa was $202 million, up from $90 million in the prior quarter, with earnings per share doubling to $0.76 [10] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by $222 million to $677 million, driven by higher alumina and aluminum prices, increased shipments, and lower energy costs [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the alumina segment, third-party revenue increased by 45% due to higher average realized prices and higher shipments [10] - The aluminum segment saw a 5% increase in third-party revenue, primarily from higher average realized prices [10] - The alumina segment's adjusted EBITDA increased by $349 million, mainly due to higher alumina prices and volumes [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alumina prices reached an all-time high in Q4 due to tight market conditions and lower-than-expected supply [26] - Global demand for aluminum remained resilient, particularly in the packaging and electrical sectors, while building and construction faced challenges [27] - The bauxite market is currently tight, with pricing into China at $120-$130 per ton, impacting alumina availability [56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance safety and operational excellence, particularly in Brazilian operations, and prioritize customer-focused decisions to become the supplier of choice [24] - Plans for targeted growth through organic and inorganic opportunities where returns exceed the cost of capital [25] - Deleveraging and repositioning debt are priorities for 2025, with expectations of generating sufficient cash for further debt reductions [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that alumina prices are expected to remain tight in the first half of 2025, with new production in India and Indonesia needed to balance the market [57] - The outlook for aluminum demand outside China is expected to rebound, supported by higher real incomes and lower interest rates [29] - Management expressed caution regarding potential tariffs and their impact on supply, demand, and trade flows [35] Other Important Information - The company completed a $385 million debt repayment while maintaining its quarterly dividend [9] - The profitability improvement program exceeded its $645 million target ahead of schedule, with significant savings from raw materials and productivity initiatives [8][14] - The company has a cash balance of $1.1 billion and expects capital expenditures of $700 million in 2025 [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of potential tariffs on Midwest premium and trade flows - Management indicated that the Midwest premium would likely increase significantly if tariffs are imposed, disrupting trade flows and potentially leading to higher costs for U.S. customers [43][45] Question: Net debt position and capital return timing - The company closed the year with $2.1 billion in adjusted net debt and will prioritize deleveraging in 2025, considering capital returns if excess cash is available [50][52] Question: Bauxite availability for new refineries - The bauxite market is tight, and alumina prices are expected to remain high, impacting the ramp-up of new refineries in India and China [56] Question: Cash balance and MOU progress at San Cyprian - Cash consumption is still depleting weekly, and while the MOU is a positive step, it does not guarantee a deal will be reached [62][64] Question: Monetizing excess energy offtake - The company has opportunities to monetize energy in Brazil and potentially in Wort, but these are currently being utilized for smelting operations [66] Question: Monetizing idle sites for data centers - The company has a history of successfully monetizing legacy assets and is in contact with developers for potential sales, but maximum value is the priority [70][73]