丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨电气设备 [Table_Title] 专题：国内海风项目建设进展如何？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期，市场对于 2025 年国内预计并网海风项目建设节奏，以及后续海风项目储备量情况较为 关注。基于此，我们撰写本专题进行专门梳理。据不完全统计，2025 年国内海风项目预计新增 并网 10-12GW（含部分并网）。其中，广东、江苏、浙江、海南、福建、山东预计为 2025 年 海风装机的主要构成部分。针对海风项目储备容量，若只统计已招标、已核准、已竞配项目， 项目容量合计约 91.15GW，未来装机成长空间广阔。若分区域看已招标、已核准、已竞配项目 容量，广东已招标、已竞配项目容量位居前列，浙江已核准容量领先。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 周圣钧 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524120003 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 %% %% research.95579.com 1 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声 ...

Core Insights - The central government emphasizes the strategic importance of the marine economy, aiming for a total marine production value exceeding 10 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [1][2] - The emerging marine industry is projected to account for 24.4% of the main marine industry value added in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.0% over the past five years [1][4] Group 1: Marine Economic Development - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting highlights the need for high-quality development of the marine economy, reinforcing its strategic position following the inclusion of "deep-sea technology" in the new productive forces category [1][3] - The marine economy's total production value is expected to reach 10,543.8 billion yuan in 2024, contributing 7.8% to the national GDP, with significant growth in marine shipbuilding and marine power sectors, both exceeding 14% [2] Group 2: Policy Support and Regional Development - Policies are being implemented to support emerging marine industries, with a focus on enhancing marine strategic technology and promoting regional coordinated development through the establishment of high-quality marine economic demonstration zones [3][5] - The three major marine economic circles in China are the Bohai Rim, Yangtze River Delta, and South China Sea, each contributing to regional development through their unique advantages and integration strategies [5] Group 3: Emerging Marine Industries - The emerging marine industry's value added is expected to grow significantly, with marine power and shipbuilding sectors showing CAGRs of 19.7% and 12.8% respectively over the past five years, indicating strong market potential [4] - The offshore wind power market is projected to reach an installed capacity of 70.2 GW in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, and forecasts suggest a substantial increase to 389.3 GW by 2035 [4]

Group 1: Economic Performance - Guangdong province has shown resilience in maintaining its foreign trade amidst a complex international environment, being the largest foreign trade province in China [5] - In the first half of 2025, China's total goods trade reached 21.79 trillion yuan, with exports amounting to 13 trillion yuan, marking a 7.2% increase and the first time exports surpassed 13 trillion yuan in the same period [3][5] Group 2: Technological Innovation - Guangdong has ranked first in regional innovation capability for eight consecutive years, with the "Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou" technology cluster being second globally in innovation index for five years [11] - The province has over 1,500 core artificial intelligence enterprises, including 24 unicorns and 147 "little giant" enterprises, leading the nation in these categories [23] Group 3: Manufacturing and Robotics - The manufacturing sector in Guangdong is thriving, with companies like Dongguan Jin Hongsheng Electric Co. reporting a 10% increase in mobile air conditioner orders in the first half of the year [7] - Guangdong has launched multiple new types of robots in the first half of the year, benefiting from a strong local supply chain, with 90% of suppliers located in the Greater Bay Area [21] Group 4: Marine Economy - Guangdong's marine economy is expanding, with the province creating 15 national-level marine ranch demonstration zones, leading the country in this area [31] - As of June 2023, Guangdong's offshore wind power installed capacity exceeded 12.51 million kilowatts, ranking first in the nation and generating approximately 30 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity [33]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Shandong has maintained a high talent retention rate of over 90% for three consecutive years, driven by the development of new energy industries and the concentration of talent in key cities like Jinan and Qingdao [1][7][30] - The report indicates that the demand for talent in the traditional manufacturing sector remains strong, while the demand for new energy professionals has surged by 2.85% [2][10] - Job seeker activity in Shandong has shown a recovery trajectory from the pandemic, stabilizing at a high level, although there is a noted conservative approach among job seekers favoring stable employment in state-owned enterprises and industries [3][5] Group 2 - The report reveals that the demand for positions in the new energy sector, such as electrical engineers and energy storage technology experts, has seen explosive growth, with annual salaries around 300,000 yuan [1][10][37] - Among cities, Dongying leads in job demand growth at 9.56%, attributed to its deep engagement in energy and high-end equipment manufacturing [14][16] - The report also highlights that Shandong's county-level economies are increasingly attracting talent, with cities like Longkou and Jiaozhou showing significant job demand due to their industrial strengths [20][22] Group 3 - The article notes that Shandong's talent outflow is primarily directed towards the three major economic regions: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta, which collectively account for over 60% of the outflow [30][32] - The influx of talent into Shandong is characterized by a significant concentration from neighboring provinces, indicating a strong regional appeal due to low migration costs and industrial synergies [33][35] - High-paying positions such as artificial intelligence algorithm engineers and new energy technology experts are attracting talent to Shandong, reflecting the province's strategic focus on emerging industries [37][38]

深入探讨极端天气对海上风电的影响，剖析我国在该领域的短板和风险隐患，提前布局针对性措施，对 保障我国海上风电产业的可持续发展具有重要意义。 随着全球能源结构低碳化进程不断加快，海上风电凭借其技术成熟度高、可实现大规模开发的显著特 性，正在迎来新的加速布局阶段。 从全球角度看，欧洲长期处于海上风电发展的前沿阵地。英国、德国、荷兰等国积极践行能源转型战 略，持续加大对深远海风电项目的投入力度，稳步推进项目建设，部分海上风电场已实现平价上网，为 商业化运营积累了宝贵经验。 近年来，亚洲地区海上风电市场发展迅猛，呈现出后来居上的态势。韩国、日本、越南等国纷纷出台激 励政策，从政策扶持、资金补贴、技术研发等多维度发力，全力抢占发展战略高地，推动区域海上风电 产业快速崛起。 根据《中国海洋能源发展报告2024》数据，2024年全球海上风电呈现规模化、集群化、平价化的新格 局。全球累计装机容量预计达到8391万千瓦，在建规模接近2500万千瓦，资源配置及场址招标规模突破 8000万千瓦，关键指标均创新高，充分彰显了海上风电产业发展的强劲动力。 然而，台风、飓风、雷暴等极端天气对海上风电设备构成严重威胁，影响其安全稳定运行， ...

Summary of Conference Call on Deep Sea Technology and Marine Economy Industry Overview - The focus of the conference call is on the **deep sea technology** and **marine economy** sectors, which are gaining significant attention in the market [1][2]. - The marine economy is projected to contribute **10 trillion yuan** to the national GDP by 2024, accounting for **7.8%** of the total GDP, indicating a substantial growth potential [2]. Key Points and Arguments - The government has recognized deep sea technology as a crucial component of the marine economy, emphasizing its role in driving economic growth [2][5]. - The marine economy's GDP contribution is noted to be **11.5%**, positioning it as a new engine for economic growth [2]. - Recent government reports have highlighted the importance of developing new technologies and products in deep sea technology, aiming for large-scale application and demonstration [2]. - The strategic importance of deep sea technology is underscored by historical remarks from national leaders, advocating for the establishment of deep sea research bases and the modernization of marine industries [3][5]. Development Plans and Trends - Coastal provinces are actively releasing development plans for high-quality marine economic growth, such as Shanghai's and Guangdong's recent initiatives [3]. - The marine economy encompasses various sectors, including deep sea technology, marine tourism, and marine fisheries, with a strong emphasis on marine equipment manufacturing and emerging industries [4]. - The deep sea technology sector is identified as a key pillar of the marine economy, with a focus on deep sea materials, equipment manufacturing, and application [5][6]. Equipment and Technological Needs - The development of deep sea technology requires advanced underwater equipment to address the complex challenges of deep sea exploration [7]. - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing a resurgence, with a **13.8%** increase in ship completion volume and a **58.8%** rise in new orders in 2024 [8]. - There is a growing demand for underwater robots and other specialized equipment for deep sea exploration and resource development [8]. Future Opportunities - The integration of digitalization and artificial intelligence in marine industries is anticipated to drive further advancements in deep sea technology [10]. - The establishment of underwater data centers is highlighted as a critical factor for enhancing data security and compliance for domestic and international enterprises [11][12]. - The marine communication sector is expected to grow alongside the expansion into deeper waters, necessitating improved communication technologies [12]. Conclusion - The deep sea technology and marine economy sectors present significant investment opportunities, driven by government support, technological advancements, and increasing market demand [1][2][5].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of the marine economy and the development of offshore wind power in China, highlighting the country's leadership in the global offshore wind energy sector and the need for further innovation and expansion in this industry [2][4][6]. Offshore Wind Power Development - As of the end of 2024, China's cumulative installed offshore wind power capacity is projected to reach 41.27 GW, accounting for 49.6% of the global total [4]. - China has been the world's largest contributor to new offshore wind power installations for seven consecutive years, with a market share of 60% in wind turbine production, 64% in blade production, 80% in gearbox production, and 73% in generator production [8][9]. Technological Advancements - Recent advancements include the development of the world's largest direct-drive floating offshore wind turbine, capable of withstanding extreme weather conditions [5]. - The offshore wind power industry in China benefits from a robust manufacturing system, allowing for the production of high-quality wind power equipment at the lowest costs [6]. Policy Support and Industry Collaboration - The Chinese government is providing targeted support for the offshore wind power industry, with local policies aimed at strengthening the supply chain and enhancing technological capabilities [9]. - The industry has established a comprehensive supply chain that includes research and design, equipment manufacturing, resource development, and operational services [8]. Future Directions - The focus is shifting towards deep-sea development, which is expected to be a core direction for the offshore wind power industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, as deep-sea wind resources are underutilized [11]. - The integration of offshore wind power with other marine activities, such as aquaculture and hydrogen production, is being promoted to enhance efficiency and economic returns [10][12].

Core Insights - China's offshore wind power industry has achieved global leadership in installed capacity and market scale, with a cumulative grid-connected capacity of 41.27 GW by the end of 2024, accounting for 49.6% of the global total [2][3] - The industry is focusing on deep-sea wind energy resource development and innovative models such as multi-energy coupling and "wind power +" to drive industrial upgrades [1][7] Industry Development - The offshore wind power sector in China has seen significant advancements, including the launch of the world's largest direct-drive floating offshore wind turbine, capable of withstanding extreme weather conditions [3] - The Jiangsu Dafeng 800 MW offshore wind project, the farthest from shore at 85.5 km, has successfully integrated domestic technology and achieved dynamic construction solutions [3][5] Technological Advancements - China's offshore wind power technology is mature, with a strong manufacturing capability that allows for the production of high-quality wind power equipment at the lowest cost [4] - The industry has established a complete supply chain, with domestic production capacities for wind turbines, blades, gearboxes, and generators accounting for 60%, 64%, 80%, and 73% of the global market, respectively [5] Policy Support - The Chinese government is providing targeted support for the offshore wind power industry, with local policies aimed at strengthening the supply chain and promoting the development of large-scale floating wind turbines [6] - The current electricity pricing mechanism is seen as a challenge, with ongoing efforts to improve market mechanisms during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6] Future Directions - The development of deep-sea wind energy resources is expected to be a core focus for the offshore wind power industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with significant untapped potential in global offshore wind resources [7] - The integration of hydrogen production with offshore wind power is being explored as a means to enhance energy storage and distribution, contributing to a more sustainable energy supply [8]

Group 1 - The world's largest direct-drive floating offshore wind turbine, with a capacity of 17 megawatts, has been launched in Fuzhou, China, marking a significant breakthrough in offshore wind power equipment manufacturing [1] - The turbine features a rotor diameter of 262 meters and a swept area of approximately 53,000 square meters, equivalent to 7.5 standard soccer fields, with a hub height of about 152 meters, comparable to a 50-story residential building [1] - Compared to semi-direct drive and doubly-fed technologies, this direct-drive turbine has an increased power generation tilt angle of 2 degrees and a survival tilt angle of 3 degrees, enhancing its adaptability to movement and ensuring a utilization rate of over 99% [1] Group 2 - The turbine is a collaborative effort led by China Huaneng and China Dongfang Electric Group, featuring domestically produced key components such as the main shaft bearing, blades, generator, converter, and transformer [2] - The research team has successfully overcome challenges in simulation technology and high-fidelity model testing for floating wind power systems, as well as precision manufacturing and assembly processes for blades and low-speed permanent magnet direct-drive motors [2] - The turbine can output up to 68 million kilowatt-hours of clean electricity annually, sufficient to meet the annual electricity needs of approximately 40,000 households, with plans for demonstration validation in the Yangjiang sea area of Guangdong [2]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing widespread losses among major companies, although some, like Longi Green Energy and Aiko Technology, are significantly reducing their losses due to the penetration of BC batteries into the market [1]. Group 1: Longi Green Energy - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a reduction of 2.443 billion to 2.843 billion yuan year-on-year [2]. - The company is still facing losses due to the main products' market prices falling below cost, but improved internal management and the introduction of HPBC 2.0 components have led to increased orders and shipments, resulting in a significant reduction in losses [2]. Group 2: Tongwei Co., Ltd. - Tongwei Co., Ltd. anticipates a net loss of approximately 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, compared to a net loss of 3.129 billion yuan in the same period last year [3]. - Despite the growth in photovoltaic installation scale, the company is facing losses due to an imbalance in supply and demand leading to depressed product prices [3]. Group 3: JA Solar Technology - JA Solar Technology expects a net loss of 2.5 billion to 3 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 874.6 million yuan in the same period last year [4]. - The company is experiencing intensified competition and price pressure across the photovoltaic supply chain, exacerbated by international trade protection policies, leading to a decline in sales prices and profitability [4]. Group 4: Junda Co., Ltd. - Junda Co., Ltd. projects a net loss of 200 million to 300 million yuan, compared to a loss of 166.34 million yuan in the same period last year [7]. - The company has significantly increased its overseas sales proportion from 23.85% in 2024 to 51.90% in the first half of 2025 by expanding into new markets [7]. - Junda successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising a net amount of 1.29 billion HKD [7]. Group 5: Aiko Technology - Aiko Technology expects a net loss of 170 million to 280 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a projected net loss of 410 million to 520 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [9]. - The company has optimized its product structure and significantly increased its overseas sales proportion, leading to improved overall gross margins and operational efficiency [9].