| 投资者关系 | 特定对象调研 分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 活动类别 | □媒体采访 业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | 现场参观 | | | 其他 | | 参与单位名 | 1、申万菱信 游彤煦 | | 称及人员姓 | 2、申万宏源 张文静 | | 名 | 3、南方基金 尹力、周熙霖 | | | 4、广发证券 曹倩雯 | | 上市公司参 | 1、董事会秘书 刘会丰 | | 与人员 | 2、证券事务代表 闻敏 | | | 3、证券事务专员 吕浚溥 | | | 4、专员 宋奕凝 | | 时间 | 年 月 日（周一） 2025 8 25 | | 地点 | 1、腾讯会议：292 267 222 | | | 2、腾讯会议：224 740 365 | | 形式 | 线上腾讯会议 | | | 1、简单介绍一下公司国内业务与海外业务近期的发展情况？ | | 交流内容及 | 答：国内业务是公司持续健康发展的基础，我们的目标是争 | | 具体问答记 | 取国内业务保持稳健发展，这是公司的重要战略。同时，海外业 | | 录 | 绩的增长也是公司当前的一项重要经营目标，我们的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The trend of the electric motor industry in China is shifting from coastal regions to inland areas, with only about 10% of companies having made this transition so far, indicating a continued trend of relocation in the future [1][20]. Group 1: Industry Transition - A thriving electric motor industry cluster has emerged in Jianghua County, Hunan Province, as companies relocate from the Guangdong Province [4][5]. - Factors such as abundant labor and lower land costs have attracted these companies to establish factories in Jianghua [4][5]. - The electric motor production is transitioning towards smart manufacturing and digital management, with a focus on higher-end products [4][11]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Jianghua County has transformed from a poverty-stricken area to a developing industrial hub, with significant investments from companies affected by industrial upgrades in the Pearl River Delta [5][21]. - The production value of the Jianghua industrial park is projected to reach 6 billion yuan in 2024, with expectations to grow to 10 billion yuan in the following year [6][21]. Group 3: Labor Dynamics - The local workforce in Jianghua is stable, with 98% of employees being local residents, which contributes to high retention rates [6][9]. - Companies are offering incentives such as housing subsidies to attract and retain workers, addressing labor shortages faced in coastal regions [9][10]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Jianghua's electric motor industry is experiencing rapid growth, with companies like Guomeng Technology and Ruiyi Motor expanding their production lines and product offerings [12][15]. - The competition is intensifying, with companies investing in automation and digitalization to enhance productivity and reduce costs [14][15]. Group 5: Future Prospects - Jianghua aims to establish a 100 billion yuan electric motor industry, with several companies already achieving significant production values [21][22]. - The industry is expected to continue evolving, with a focus on high-quality development and the establishment of a complete supply chain [11][22].

Core Viewpoint - Hubei Tianmen is positioned to successfully undertake the garment industry transfer from Guangzhou due to its foundational capabilities and strong socio-economic motivations [1][2][28]. Capability Dimension - Tianmen possesses essential capabilities in garment technology, industrial support, and labor reserve, enabling it to meet the production demands of Guangzhou garment enterprises [3][28]. - The local labor force has significant experience in garment production, with over 80% of women aged 30-40 having relevant work experience, facilitating quick onboarding for new positions [4][5]. - Tianmen has developed a comprehensive industrial ecosystem that includes supply of raw materials, production facilities, and logistics support, ensuring operational efficiency for garment enterprises [6][7][8]. - The introduction of leading enterprises from Guangzhou has brought advanced production technologies and management practices to Tianmen, enhancing local production capabilities [9][10][11]. Motivation Dimension - The social drive for family development aligns with the needs of Guangzhou garment business owners and workers, creating a strong motivation for labor and enterprises to return to Tianmen [12][28]. - Educational needs for children have been identified as a primary reason for labor return, as Tianmen offers better educational opportunities compared to Guangzhou [13][15]. - Traditional family structures in Tianmen encourage long-term employment, with many workers returning to care for elderly parents, thus stabilizing the labor force [16][17]. - The close-knit social networks in Tianmen reduce operational and labor costs for enterprises, facilitating smoother business operations and recruitment [18][19]. Economic Drive - Tianmen's significant cost advantages compared to Guangzhou lower operational costs for garment enterprises, enhancing profit margins and attracting industry transfer [21][28]. - Rental costs for production facilities in Tianmen are substantially lower than in Guangzhou, with a cost difference of 3-4 times, allowing enterprises to save significantly on fixed costs [22]. - Labor costs in Tianmen, while comparable in wages, offer better value due to lower living expenses, resulting in higher disposable income for workers and stable employment conditions [23]. - Raw material and logistics costs in Tianmen are manageable and can be optimized through bulk purchasing and local sourcing, further reducing operational risks [24][25][26]. Synergy of Capability and Motivation - The feasibility of Tianmen's undertaking of Guangzhou's garment industry is rooted in the synergy between its foundational capabilities and socio-economic motivations, creating a sustainable environment for industry growth [27][28][29].

Core Insights - The garment e-commerce industry in Tianmen, Hubei Province, has rapidly transformed from "OEM" to "global selling," achieving a transaction volume of 51.3 billion yuan and a total sales volume of 620 million pieces in 2024, marking a 25% year-on-year growth [1][10] - Tianmen has established a complete industrial chain for garment e-commerce, covering all aspects from weaving to cross-border logistics, driven by policy incentives and a robust entrepreneurial ecosystem [1][2] Industry Development - Tianmen's garment e-commerce sector has seen significant growth, with 7,000 operating entities and over 13,000 registered e-commerce stores [7] - The city has implemented the "Returnee Project," attracting thousands of former workers with skills and orders back to their hometown, creating a "core factory + satellite factory" collaboration model [4][7] Infrastructure and Support - The Tianmen government has invested in infrastructure such as worker dormitories, smart warehouses, and logistics centers, while also providing tailored support for enterprises [3][6] - Financial products like "Tianfu Loan" have been introduced to alleviate financing difficulties for local businesses [3] Technological Innovation - The introduction of digital technologies has enabled a "just-in-time" production system, significantly reducing production cycles from three days to four hours [3] - The establishment of the "Tianmen Index" and the "Tianmen Yishang" regional public brand aims to enhance the local garment industry's visibility and competitiveness [3][10] Brand Development - The "Tianmen Yishang" brand has been launched to improve the overall image and market competitiveness of local garment products, with plans to increase the number of authorized enterprises and enhance original design proportions [13][14] - The Tianmen Yishang brand pavilion serves as a model for high-end retail space, combining online and offline sales strategies [13] Employment and Training - The garment industry in Tianmen has created significant local employment opportunities, with 160,000 workers engaged in the sector [11] - Training programs for various roles, including marketing and sewing, have been established to meet the industry's growing demand for skilled labor [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of $1.6645 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of $630 million, up 79.7% [8]. - The increase in both volume and price contributed to the positive results, with a cargo volume of 1.83 million TEU, a 7.3% increase year-on-year, and an average revenue per container of $776 per TEU, a 22.77% increase [8]. - The company has a high dividend yield of 11.5%, with a dividend of HKD 1.30 per share and a payout ratio of approximately 73% [8]. - The demand for shipping services in Southeast Asia remains strong, with a 13% increase in exports from China to ASEAN countries in the first half of the year [8]. - The supply side is constrained by limited new orders for smaller container ships, with only 5.4% of the fleet having orders, and an aging fleet pushing for capacity exit [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: $2.429 billion - 2024: $3.058 billion - 2025E: $3.182 billion - 2026E: $2.962 billion - 2027E: $2.942 billion [7][12] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as: - 2023: $531 million - 2024: $1.028 billion - 2025E: $1.130 billion - 2026E: $859 million - 2027E: $790 million [7][12] - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 8.2 for 2025, which is below its historical range of 10-20 [8].

Core Viewpoint - The government work report emphasizes the importance of strengthening border region development and promoting local prosperity through the cultivation of characteristic industries that align with local advantages [1] Group 1: Industry Opportunities - The adjustment of industrial division is accelerating, with eastern regions transferring industries to northeastern and central-western areas, creating opportunities for border cities to attract industrial transfers [1] - Border regions are rich in resources, have low factor costs, and significant market potential, which can accelerate local development and assist in industrial upgrading [1] - The establishment of key development and open experimental zones, along with border economic cooperation zones, has injected momentum into the development of border industries through favorable policies [1] Group 2: Challenges in Transition - The transition from a channel economy to an industrial economy in border regions faces challenges, including increased competition for labor and land cost advantages, as well as heightened uncertainty in international trade [1] - The lack of a complete industrial chain is a prominent shortcoming, with local production relying heavily on the eastern regions for product design and key component support [1] - There is a significant contradiction in labor structure, with labor outflow and a preference for tertiary industries among the youth, leading to labor shortages in manufacturing [2] Group 3: Strategies for Improvement - To enhance industrial attractiveness, border regions need to improve their "blood-making" capabilities by developing infrastructure and talent retention strategies [2] - The improvement of transportation networks has alleviated traffic issues, but further development in industrial growth and talent attraction is necessary [2] - Border cities should leverage existing resource advantages to develop characteristic industries and attract leading enterprises to gradually enhance industrial appeal [2]

Core Insights - The company, Shenghui Integration, reported a total operating revenue of 1.295 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 62 million yuan, up 9.63% year-on-year [1] - The significant growth in revenue and profit is attributed to the acceleration of the company's internationalization strategy and continuous improvement in management efficiency [1] Revenue Growth and Internationalization - The company's overseas revenue reached 684 million yuan, a staggering increase of 191.58% year-on-year, accounting for 52.84% of total revenue, surpassing domestic revenue for the first time [2] - Key factors driving the rapid growth of overseas business include successful strategic positioning in Southeast Asia, innovative dual-track mechanisms of "standardized output + localized transformation," and the acceleration of previously secured overseas orders converting into actual revenue [2][3] Order Backlog and Future Growth - As of June 30, 2025, the company signed new orders worth 2.251 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.30%, with a backlog of 2.813 billion yuan, up 69.24% year-on-year [4] - A significant project worth 1.101 billion yuan won in collaboration with China State Construction Engineering Corporation highlights the company's strength in undertaking large projects, which is expected to positively impact future performance [4] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 106 million yuan, a substantial increase of 211.46% compared to the same period last year, indicating improved profitability and a healthy cash flow position [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 15 million yuan, which represents 24.01% of net profit, marking the fourth consecutive year of cash dividends [5] Industry Outlook - The company's strong performance is supported by robust demand in downstream industries, particularly in semiconductor, electronic components, and advanced manufacturing sectors [6] - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach 700.9 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2%, providing strategic growth opportunities for leading cleanroom engineering companies like Shenghui Integration [6] - The company aims to focus on core areas such as IC semiconductors and electronic components in the second half of the year, optimizing its profit model and value creation capabilities [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the resilience of China's capital goods exports amid global geopolitical risks and the potential impact of the 232 tariffs and ASEAN export restrictions on future export performance [1][2][3]. Export Performance - In July, China's export growth was slightly better than expected, with a year-on-year increase of 7.2% in dollar terms, up from 5.9% in the previous month [9]. - The export growth to ASEAN and Latin America showed significant improvement, recording increases of 16.6% and 7.7% respectively, likely due to preemptive shipments ahead of the August tariff implementation [9]. - Exports to the U.S. saw a decline of 21.7%, while exports to the EU and other regions rebounded, with growth rates of 9.2% and 19.3% respectively [9]. Risks and Future Outlook - The article highlights that exports are expected to moderate, primarily due to the impact of the 232 tariffs and regulatory scrutiny on transshipments [2]. - The key risks include the potential for additional tariffs on exempt products and the enforcement of stricter transshipment regulations by Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries [2]. - The article suggests that the export of capital goods may exhibit medium-term resilience, driven by global trends of industrial backup and capacity transfer to emerging markets due to geopolitical tensions [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - China's overall export growth in the first seven months of this year exceeded that of 2024, despite negative year-on-year growth in exports to the US, due to export diversification [2][8] - The adjustment of the so - called "reciprocal tariffs" by the US on August 7 and China's front - loaded exports in the first seven months, along with a relatively high export base in Q4 2024, will lead to a slowdown in China's export growth [3][11] Summary by Related Content Overall Export and Import Situation - In July, China's US - dollar - denominated exports increased by 7.2% year - on - year (estimated 5.8%, previous 5.9%), imports increased by 4.1% year - on - year (estimated 0.3%, previous 1.1%), and the trade surplus was $98.24 billion (previous $114.75 billion) [1][4] - From January to July, China's cumulative export value increased by 6.1% year - on - year (5.82% in 2024), and the cumulative import value in the first half of the year decreased by 2.7% year - on - year (1.03% in 2024) [1][4] Export to Major Trade Partners - In July, China's exports to ASEAN increased by 16.6% year - on - year (16.9% in June, 13.5% from January to July, 12% in 2024), exports to the EU increased by 9.2% year - on - year (7.6% in June, 7.0% from January to July, 3.0% in 2024), and exports to the US decreased by 21.7% year - on - year (down 16.1% in June, - 12.6% from January to July, 4.9% in 2024) [2][5] - In July, China's exports to South Korea increased by 4.6% year - on - year (down 6.7% in June, - 1.1% from January to July, - 1.8% in 2024), and exports to Japan increased by 2.5% year - on - year (6.6% in June, 4.4% from January to July, - 3.5% in 2024) [5] Export Diversification - In July, China's exports to countries and regions outside the top five export destinations increased by 13.5% year - on - year, faster than the overall 7.2% year - on - year growth of China's US - dollar - denominated exports in July [2][8] - In the first seven months, China's exports to Belt and Road Initiative countries increased by 10.4% year - on - year, and exports to Africa in July increased by 42.4% year - on - year (34.8% in June, 24.5% cumulative year - on - year from January to July, 3.5% in 2024) [2][8] Export Product Categories - In the first seven months, China's exports of mechanical and electrical products were $1.18 trillion, a year - on - year increase of 8.1% (7.5% in 2024), and exports of high - tech products increased by 6% year - on - year (4.8% in 2024) [3][9] - In the first seven months, exports of traditional labor - intensive products such as clothing, toys, and furniture decreased year - on - year, as did exports of home appliances and mobile phones, while exports of high - tech and high - value - added products such as integrated circuits, automobiles, and ships increased [3][9] Impact of US Tariff Policy - On July 31, the US signed an executive order to adjust the so - called "reciprocal tariffs" on multiple trading partners, with rates ranging from 10% to 41%, effective August 7, which will impact global trade [3][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance slightly exceeded expectations, with a projected net profit of approximately $180-200 million for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 220%-225% compared to $56 million in the same period of 2024 [9] - The increase in performance is attributed to the rise in freight rates due to market conditions and the contribution of new capacity delivered in 2024 [9] - The report highlights strong freight performance in Southeast Asia, with significant year-on-year growth in freight rates and volumes [9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections (in million USD): - 2023: 875 - 2024: 1,340 - 2025E: 1,351 - 2026E: 1,299 - 2027E: 1,539 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2023: -64% - 2024: 53% - 2025E: 0.8% - 2026E: -4% - 2027E: 19% [8] - Net profit projections (in million USD): - 2023: 21 - 2024: 366 - 2025E: 378 - 2026E: 334 - 2027E: 449 - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit: - 2023: -98% - 2024: 1,667% - 2025E: 3% - 2026E: -12% - 2027E: 34% [8] - The company maintains a low PE ratio of 4.8, significantly below comparable companies, supporting the "Buy" rating [9][10]