Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the hydrogen and fuel cell industry [1] Core Insights - Green hydrogen consumption is crucial, with green shipping opening up demand opportunities. As of June 2025, green hydrogen project approvals correspond to a production capacity of 7.6 million tons, but the project startup rate is only 24%, equating to about 1.8 million tons of green hydrogen capacity. The key to commercializing the industry lies in establishing a sustainable profit model and finding downstream applications that can accept green hydrogen prices [1][10] - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has introduced a legally binding net-zero emissions framework for the shipping industry, which is expected to come into effect around 2027. This framework will apply to all international vessels over 5,000 gross tons, making hydrogen-based fuels like green methanol a suitable option for compliance [1][28] Summary by Sections Section 1: Green Hydrogen Consumption and Demand from Green Shipping - Green hydrogen project approvals are high, but actual project implementation remains low, with only 24% of projects started [10] - The IMO's new regulations are pushing the shipping industry towards decarbonization, with significant penalties for non-compliance [23][25] Section 2: Rapid Growth in Demand for Methanol Ships - Methanol is becoming the preferred fuel for shipping companies, with 125 methanol dual-fuel ships ordered in 2023, accounting for 23% of new orders [2][42] - The economic viability of methanol as a fuel is critical, with fuel costs representing 30%-50% of operational costs for ships [2][48] Section 3: High Growth in Green Methanol Demand and Its Impact on Green Hydrogen - The demand for green methanol is expected to exceed 40 million tons by 2030, significantly driving green hydrogen consumption [3][4] - The introduction of 300 methanol-fueled ships will lead to a demand for approximately 6.8 million tons of green methanol, which will in turn drive the consumption of 750,000 to 1.3 million tons of green hydrogen [4] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies that are early adopters of green methanol projects and collaborate with methanol shipowners are expected to benefit significantly. Recommended companies include Huadian Technology, Huaguang Huaneng, and Jidian Co [4]

Group 1: Industrial Production - Industrial production remains relatively stable, with the blast furnace operating rate maintaining at 0.7% year-on-year [2][5][8] - The chemical production chain shows a slight decline, with soda ash and PTA operating rates down by 2.6 percentage points to 6% and 0.9 percentage points to 1.3% respectively [2][15] - The automotive sector's semi-steel tire operating rate is still below last year's level, up by 2.7 percentage points to -6.3% [2][15] Group 2: Construction Industry - The construction industry shows a mixed performance, with the nationwide grinding operating rate down by 2.4 percentage points to 3.7% [2][27] - Cement shipment rates remain low, with a year-on-year increase of 1.2% to 3% [2][27] - Asphalt operating rates have seen a recovery, up by 0.6 percentage points to 7.4% [2][35] Group 3: Real Estate Transactions - Real estate transactions are at a low point, with the average daily transaction area for new homes down by 19.1% year-on-year, despite a 13.1% increase [2][44] - First-tier cities continue to see a decline in transactions, down by 18.6% to 39.9% [2][44] - Third-tier cities show significant improvement, with transaction volumes up by 72.4% to 17% [2][44] Group 4: Transportation and Shipping - National railway and highway freight volumes have decreased, with year-on-year declines of 1.3% to 1.2% and 0.9% to 0.8% respectively [2][54] - Port cargo throughput and container throughput have also shown a decline, down by 9.3% to 6.8% and 4.7% to 0.9% respectively [2][54] - The overall intensity of human mobility remains high, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 2% to 12.6% [2][63] Group 5: Price Trends - Agricultural product prices are mixed, with pork and vegetable prices rising by 0.1% and 0.8% respectively, while egg and fruit prices fell by 2.2% and 0.1% [3][85] - Industrial product prices have generally increased, with the South China industrial price index rising by 1.1% [3][93] - The energy and chemical price index increased by 1.3%, while the metal price index rose by 0.7% [3][93]

以下文章来源于巴顿比格斯 ，作者巴顿比格斯 巴顿比格斯 . 7月15日，商品期货涨跌互现，集运欧线表现抢眼，新晋主力2510合约盘中更是一度逼近涨停，终盘仍录得15.38%的涨幅，强势领涨商品市场。 目前主力EC2510合约深度贴水标的现货指数，开始基差修复。除移仓换月因素外，现货市场超预期回暖也是集运指数大涨的关键推手。 7月以来，马士基欧线现舱报价持续小幅上行，此前市场预期高点可能再度提升。新一期期货标的继续上行--SCFIS欧线结算运价指数报 2421.94点，环比上涨7.26%。 实际上，近期的驱动不在于现货层面或者说航司运力问题，当前运力供给充裕，核心矛盾在于欧洲港口拥堵。 历史不会重复，但是它自然成韵。 文 | 巴顿比格斯 来源 | 巴顿比格斯 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 今年上半年红海绕航仍在持续，克拉克森数据显示，上半年苏伊士运河集装箱船舶月均通行量稳定在150艘，与2024年持平。根据德路里的 分析报告，今年上半年欧洲主要港口拥堵问题严峻。 ...... 造成欧洲港口拥堵持续的原因主要有如下几点。 首先，美国不稳定的关税政策首当其冲，成为扰乱全球贸易流的关键因素。特朗普政府反复无 ...

山东远洋开通首条印马国际支线航线，布局东南亚航运新枢纽 山东远洋：从本地资源整合到国际战略出海 此次支线航线的开通，是山东远洋海运集团"走出去"战略的又一重要节点。自2020年成立以来，该公司依托山东港口集团一体化平台，整合全省港航资 源，积极打造以集装箱、干散货和滚装运输为核心的综合性国际航运企业。2024年7月，山东远洋完成股份制改革，正式挂牌为"山东远洋海运集团股份有 限公司"，为登陆资本市场、高质量发展打下制度与治理基础。 与此同时，山东远洋也在加快构建国际化战略网络。2024年10月，该公司还与迪拜夏拉夫集团达成战略合作，正式进军中东航线市场，拓展船舶代理及物 流服务，强化在西亚及非洲区域的支线网络布局。 助力RCEP建设，加速"海洋强省"发展 7月15日，随着汽笛长鸣，一艘挂有"山港青岛"标识的集装箱船从青岛港前湾集装箱码头（QQCT）缓缓驶离，标志着山东远洋海运集团首条RCEP区域 （印度尼西亚－马来西亚）国际支线航线正式启航。作为"山港快线"品牌打造的又一全新力作，该航线的开通进一步拓展了山东远洋的全球网络版图，也 为中国企业深耕东南亚市场、提升区域协同效能提供了全新通道。 打通印马航线，强化 ...

购买第一艘自有船，这家上市公司"杀入"集装箱船市场 纳斯达克上市公司Heidmar航运控股公司（Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.）于2025年7月7日宣布，成功收购了其第一艘自有集装箱船——A. Obelix。此次收购标志着这家上市公司首次进军集装箱航运市场，扩展其业务版图，进入支线集装箱船这一关键领域。 A. Obelix 是一艘1,698 TEU的无吊集装箱船，2008年建造于德国Wadan船厂。这艘船目前在东地中海-黑海地区运营，配备了330个冷藏插座，能 够为冷链运输提供高效服务。Heidmar方面进一步透露其以2,525万美元的价格收购了这艘船，并签订了为期2.5年的租约，预计将为公司带来稳定 的收入流。 此次收购是Heidmar实施资本高效共同投资战略的一部分。在这一模式下，Heidmar将与投资者合作，共同收购并管理资产，扩展其商业和技术管 理能力。通过这种合作模式，Heidmar不仅能够增强其在航运领域的市场份额，还能进一步提高收入来源多样性。 另据信德海事网了解，多个航运公司近期已开始加大对支线船型的投资，包括希腊航运巨头Latsco Shipping与中国黄埔 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The prices of container shipping index (European line) futures varied on Wednesday. The main contract EC2510 rose 1.4%, while the far - month contracts had a decline of -1% to -2%. The recent rebound of the spot index indicates that the price increase by leading shipping companies is likely to be implemented, reducing market concerns about peak - season freight rates. With the change of the main contract, the basis repair logic drove the sharp rise of near - month contracts. However, various economic data in the US suggest future economic activities may face greater challenges, and the container shipping index (European line) has weak demand expectations and large price fluctuations. But the rapid rebound of spot - end price indicators may drive the futures price to rise in the short term. Investors are advised to be cautious and pay attention to operation rhythm and risk control [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data - EC2510 main contract closed at 2153.00, up 62.3; EC2508 - EC2510 spread was 554.90, up 84.50; EC2508 - EC2512 spread was 394.00, up 104.00; EC contract basis was 268.94, down 27.00; EC main contract open interest was 18747, down 2808 [1] 3.2 Spot Market Data - SCFIS (European line) (weekly) was 2421.94, up 163.90; SCFIS (US West line) (weekly) was 1266.59, down 291.18; SCFI (composite index) (weekly) was 1733.29, down 30.20; CCFI (composite index) (weekly) was 1313.70, down 29.29; CCFI (European line) (weekly) was 1726.41, up 32.11; Baltic Dry Index (daily) was 1866.00, down 83.00; Panama Freight Index (daily) was 1990.00, down 41.00; average charter price of Panama - type ships was 14883.00, up 422.00; average charter price of Cape - type ships was 16909.00, up 914.00 [1] 3.3 Economic News - China's GDP in the first half of the year was 66.05 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.3%. Fixed - asset investment increased by 2.8%, and real estate development investment decreased by 11.2%. In June, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.8% year - on - year, and social consumer goods retail总额 increased by 4.8% [1] - The US and Indonesia reached an agreement. Indonesia will buy US energy worth $15 billion, US agricultural products worth $4.5 billion and 50 Boeing aircraft. The US will impose a 19% tariff on all Indonesian imports, and US exports to Indonesia will enjoy duty - free and non - tariff barrier treatment. The original plan was to impose a 32% tariff on Indonesia starting from August 1 [1] - The EU has no intention to take any trade counter - measures before August 1. If trade negotiations with the US fail, the implementation of counter - measures may be postponed to August 6 [1] 3.4 Economic Indicators in the US - The US S&P Global Composite PMI index in June dropped slightly from 53 in May to 52.8. Price pressure increased significantly. In May, core PCE increased by 2.7% year - on - year, slightly exceeding the market expectation of 2.6%. Real personal consumption expenditure decreased by 0.3% month - on - month, the largest decline since the beginning of the year. Personal income decreased by 0.4% month - on - month, the largest decline since 2021 [1] 3.5 Eurozone Economic Situation - The German ZEW economic sentiment index reached a three - year high. The CPI in May was stable at 2.3%, but industrial output decreased by 2.4% month - on - month, and the manufacturing industry was still under pressure [1]

在本届链博会展台，太古地产在中国内地单体投资额最高、规模最大的综合发展项目北京太古坊以沙盘 模型展示项目未来发展蓝图，诠释高品质商业综合社区的标准及体验。秉持城市更新和社区营造理念， 太古地产将文化与商业融合，打造人文质感的品质生活消费场景，以空间激活城市生命力。国泰集团借 助VR技术还原尔雅公务舱，展会观众可以沉浸式体验这一航空市场的标杆之作，感受舒适与隐私兼备 的机上空间。今年上半年，国泰集团达成全球100个客运航点的重要里程碑。凭借在航线布局、服务品 质及旅客体验方面的持续精进与不断突破，国泰集团力争以更加卓越、便捷、舒适的飞行体验，推动全 球航空业的持续繁荣与发展。 面对高质量发展的新要求，太古集团旗下业务以创新思维驱动运营升级，积极探索可持续发展路径。此 次参展链博会，太古集团展台也呈现了一系列实践成果与进展，借此契机与业界各方交流经验、凝聚共 识，助力产业迈向新高度。 太古可口可乐则围绕2050年净零排放目标，将可持续基因深植研发、生产与运营全链路，重塑饮料行业 的绿色低碳发展模式。太古糖业以天然代糖系列、银耳羹等新品为创新支点，引领健康消费新潮流。港 机集团立足75年专业积淀，以全面服务体系带动 ...

2025年7月16日 賃図日报 (航运研究小组) 远月基差修复，符合日报预期，美财长称中美谈判"态势良好"，今日盘面若冲高可考虑部分止盈。 | SCFIS、NCFI运价指数 | | | --- | --- | | 7月14日 | 7月11日 | | 上海出口集装箱结算运价指数SCFIS（欧洲航线）2421.94点，较上期上涨7.3% | 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（综合指数）1218.03点，较上期下跌3.19% | | 上海出口集装箱结算运价指数SCFIS（美西航线）1266.59点，较上期下跌18.7% | 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（欧洲航线）1435.21点，较上期下跌0.50% 宁波出口集装箱运价指数NCFI（美西航线）1186.59点，较上期上涨0.85% | | 7月11日 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI公布价格1733.29点，较上期下跌30.20点 | 7月11日 | | 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI欧线价格2099USD/TEU, 较上期下跌0.10% | 中国出口集装箱运价指数CCFI（综合指数）1313.70点，较上期下跌2.2% | | 上海出口集装箱运价指数SCFI美西航 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Securities Hong Kong 100 Industrial Index, which has shown significant growth over the past month, three months, and year-to-date [1] - The China Securities Hong Kong 100 Industrial Index reported a 12.33% increase over the past month, a 16.66% increase over the past three months, and a 9.65% increase year-to-date [1] - The index is classified according to the China Securities industry classification standard, with a base date of December 31, 2004, and a base point of 1000.0 [1] Group 2 - The index is composed entirely of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] - The industry composition of the index includes express delivery at 56.33%, industrial group enterprises at 11.17%, comprehensive logistics at 11.01%, commercial vehicles at 7.85%, shipping at 7.33%, and air transportation at 6.32% [1] - The index sample is adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For domestic assets, there are mainly structural opportunities, with the policy - driven logic strengthening. There is a higher probability of incremental domestic policies being implemented in the fourth quarter. Attention should be paid to the impact of breaking the "involution" on the supply - side on assets. Overseas, attention should be paid to the progress of tariff frictions and geopolitical risks. In the long run, the weak - dollar pattern continues. Volatility jumps should be guarded against, and non - dollar assets should be focused on. Strategic allocation to resources such as gold should be maintained [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Highlights - **Overseas Macro**: The "reciprocal tariff" rates of the United States on most economies have been announced. Except for Japan and Malaysia, most rates have been lowered, and short - term tariff uncertainty has declined. In May, the US wholesale sales monthly rate was - 0.3% (expected 0.2%, previous value revised from 0.1% to 0%), and the wholesale inventory monthly rate final value was - 0.3% (expected - 0.3%, previous value - 0.3%). In June, the 1 - year inflation expectation of the New York Fed was 3.0% (expected 3.1%, previous value 3.2%). In June, the new non - farm payrolls in the US were better than expected again, with a significant rebound in government employment and a large decline in private - sector employment. The proportion of permanent unemployment increased, and the number of continued unemployment claims also continued to rise. Coupled with the slowdown in hourly wage growth, it indicates concerns in the job market. On July 4, the "Big and Beautiful" bill in the US was implemented, which may have limited long - term boost to the US economy and will increase the US deficit by $3.3 trillion in the next 10 years [6]. - **Domestic Macro**: In June, China's export volume rebounded slightly to 5.8% year - on - year, CPI rose 0.1% year - on - year, and PPI fell 3.6% year - on - year. The year - on - year growth rate of China's export volume in June increased by 1.0 percentage points compared with May. The recovery of exports to the US was the main boost, and the year - on - year growth rate of exports to the US increased by 18.4 percentage points compared with May, possibly mainly benefiting from the "rush to import" in the US after the relaxation of Sino - US tariffs in May. In addition, exports to ASEAN remained at a high level, and the "rush to re - export" continued to play a role. In June 2025, the national consumer price rose 0.1% year - on - year, with food prices falling 0.3%, non - food prices rising 0.1%, consumer goods prices falling 0.2%, and service prices rising 0.5%. On July 1, the Sixth Meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Commission proposed to "regulate the low - price and disorderly competition of enterprises in accordance with regulations and promote the orderly withdrawal of backward production capacity." As early as July 2024, the Politburo meeting raised the issue of "involution" to the central level. Commodities oriented to domestic demand such as coking coal, rebar, and glass, as well as polysilicon, which has been falling since the beginning of the year, were greatly affected by the "anti - involution" policy during the week [6]. 3.2 Viewpoint Highlights 3.2.1 Macro - Overseas stagflation trading has cooled down, and the long - short allocation ideas are differentiated. Domestically, there are moderate reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, and the fiscal end implements the established policies in the short term. Overseas, the inflation expectation structure has flattened, the economic growth expectation has improved, and stagflation trading has cooled down [7]. 3.2.2 Finance - Stock market sentiment has rebounded, and the bond market maintains a volatile outlook. Stock index futures continue a moderate upward trend but are affected by insufficient incremental funds and are expected to fluctuate. Stock index options should be maintained with caution due to the continuous deterioration of option liquidity and are expected to fluctuate. Bond market sentiment has weakened for treasury bond futures, and they are affected by factors such as unexpected tariffs, unexpected supply, and unexpected monetary easing and are expected to fluctuate [7]. 3.2.3 Precious Metals - Risk appetite has risen, and precious metals are in short - term adjustment. Gold and silver continue to adjust, affected by Trump's tariff policy and the Fed's monetary policy, and are expected to fluctuate [7]. 3.2.4 Shipping - Sentiment has declined, and attention is paid to the sustainability of the increase in the loading rate in June. For the container shipping route to Europe, attention is paid to the game between the peak - season expectation and the implementation of price increases, affected by tariff policies and shipping companies' pricing strategies, and is expected to fluctuate [7]. 3.2.5 Black Building Materials - Market sentiment leads, and attention is focused on the realization of positive factors. Steel products have continuous positive news and strong performance on the disk, affected by the progress of special bond issuance, steel exports, and molten iron production, and are expected to fluctuate. Iron ore has limited fundamental negatives, and macro sentiment boosts the ore price, affected by overseas mine production and shipment, domestic molten iron production, weather factors, port ore inventory changes, and policy - level dynamics, and is expected to fluctuate. Coke has limited supply - demand contradictions, and the first round of price increases has started, affected by steel mill production, coking costs, and macro sentiment, and is expected to fluctuate. Coking coal has slow supply recovery and slow upstream de - stocking, affected by steel mill production, coal mine safety inspections, and macro sentiment, and is expected to fluctuate. Silicon iron has little supply - demand contradiction and follows the sector's fluctuations, affected by raw material costs and steel procurement, and is expected to fluctuate. Manganese silicon has limited supply - demand drivers and follows the sector's operation, affected by cost prices and overseas quotes, and is expected to fluctuate. Glass stimulates speculation on the disk, and inventory has slightly decreased, affected by spot production and sales, and is expected to fluctuate. Soda ash still has an oversupply situation, and inventory continues to accumulate, affected by soda ash inventory, and is expected to fluctuate [7]. 3.2.6 Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials - The game of reciprocal tariffs vs. the expectation of domestic policy stimulus, non - ferrous metals stop falling and rebound. Copper is affected by the possible early implementation of US tariffs on copper, and its price is under pressure, affected by supply disruptions, unexpected domestic policies, the Fed being less dovish than expected, domestic demand recovery falling short of expectations, and economic recession, and is expected to fluctuate. Alumina is affected by the rumor that the mining license incident has eased, and the alumina disk has declined, affected by ore production not recovering as expected, electrolytic aluminum production recovering more than expected, and extreme sector trends, and is expected to fluctuate. Aluminum has a large inventory accumulation, and the aluminum price is under pressure to decline, affected by macro risks, supply disruptions, and demand falling short of expectations, and is expected to fluctuate. Zinc has a supply - demand surplus, and the zinc price fluctuates weakly, affected by macro - turning risks and zinc ore supply recovering more than expected, and is expected to fluctuate and decline. Lead has a solid cost support, and the lead price fluctuates, affected by supply - side disruptions and slow battery exports, and is expected to fluctuate. Nickel has increased nickel ore exports from Philippine nickel enterprises, and the short - term nickel price fluctuates widely, affected by unexpected macro and geopolitical changes, Indonesian policy risks, and supply not being released as expected in some links, and is expected to fluctuate and decline. Stainless steel has a weakening nickel - iron price, and the stainless - steel disk runs weakly, affected by Indonesian policy risks and demand growth exceeding expectations, and is expected to fluctuate. Tin has a resilient supply - demand fundamental, and the tin price fluctuates, affected by the expected resumption of production in Wa State and changes in demand improvement expectations, and is expected to fluctuate. Industrial silicon is affected by the continuous "anti - involution" sentiment, and the silicon price has rebounded, affected by unexpected supply - side production cuts and unexpected photovoltaic installations, and is expected to fluctuate. Lithium carbonate is affected by the speculation of supply disruptions under the "anti - involution" background, and the lithium carbonate position has increased and the price has risen, affected by demand falling short of expectations, supply disruptions, and new technological breakthroughs, and is expected to fluctuate [7]. 3.2.7 Energy and Chemicals - OPEC+ has increased production more than expected, and crude oil will drag down the energy and chemical sector to fluctuate weakly. Crude oil has supply pressure, and attention is paid to geopolitical disturbances, affected by OPEC+ production policies and Middle - East geopolitical situations, and is expected to fluctuate. LPG's disk returns to trading the fundamental looseness, and the PG disk may fluctuate weakly, affected by cost - end progress such as crude oil and overseas propane, and is expected to fluctuate and decline. Asphalt futures continue to fall, affected by unexpected demand, and are expected to decline. High - sulfur fuel oil's discount continues to fall, and its weakness is strengthened, affected by crude oil and natural gas prices, and is expected to decline. Low - sulfur fuel oil's low - high sulfur spread continues to rebound, affected by crude oil and natural gas prices, and is expected to decline. Methanol has a decline in domestic operation against an increase in imports, and it fluctuates weakly, affected by macro - energy and upstream - downstream device dynamics, and is expected to fluctuate. Urea has a situation of strong domestic supply and weak demand that is difficult to change, and it depends on exports to drive, affected by market transaction conditions, policy trends, and demand realization, and is expected to fluctuate. Ethylene glycol has a stable basis, and devices are restarting one after another, and it continues to fluctuate, affected by ethylene glycol inventory, and is expected to fluctuate and rise. PX is stable for the time being, and it fluctuates strongly, affected by crude oil fluctuations and downstream device abnormalities, and is expected to fluctuate. PTA has a weakening supply - demand situation and a strong cost - end PX, and it fluctuates, affected by polyester production, and is expected to fluctuate. Short - fiber has a falling basis, rising processing fees, and its absolute value follows the raw material fluctuations, affected by terminal textile and clothing exports, and is expected to fluctuate and rise. Bottle chips start to be overhauled, and the bottle - chip processing fees reach the bottom, affected by the later start - up of bottle chips, and are expected to fluctuate. PP is driven by commodity sentiment and fluctuates, affected by oil prices and domestic and overseas macro - situations, and is expected to fluctuate. Plastic has limited spot support and fluctuates, affected by oil prices and domestic and overseas macro - situations, and is expected to fluctuate. Styrene is in a driving vacuum period and fluctuates, affected by oil prices, macro policies, and device dynamics, and is expected to fluctuate and decline. PVC has strong expectations and weak reality and fluctuates, affected by expectations, costs, and supply, and is expected to fluctuate. Caustic soda's spot price continues to rebound, and it is cautiously optimistic, affected by market sentiment, start - up, and demand, and is expected to fluctuate [9]. 3.2.8 Agriculture - There may be La Nina at the end of the year, which boosts the sentiment of going long on protein meal. Oils are affected by the good growth of US soybeans, and market sentiment has weakened, affected by US soybean weather and Malaysian palm oil production and demand data, and are expected to fluctuate. Protein meal, corn, and starch may have a La Nina at the end of the year, which boosts the market sentiment of going long. Protein meal is affected by US soybean area and weather, domestic demand, macro - situations, and Sino - US and Sino - Canadian trade wars, and is expected to fluctuate and rise. Corn is affected by demand falling short of expectations, macro - situations, and weather, and is expected to fluctuate and decline. Rubber is supported by macro sentiment, and the rubber price runs, affected by producing - area weather, raw material prices, and macro - changes, and is expected to fluctuate. Synthetic rubber fluctuates on the disk, affected by large fluctuations in crude oil, and is expected to fluctuate. Pulp is dominated by macro factors and rises within the range, affected by macro - economic changes and US dollar - denominated quotes, and is expected to fluctuate. Cotton's price fluctuates narrowly, affected by demand and output, and is expected to fluctuate. Sugar is affected by changes in imports, affected by abnormal weather, and is expected to fluctuate. Logs are in a dilemma and fluctuate, affected by shipment volume and dispatch volume, and are expected to fluctuate and decline [9].