点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 （1）本周110家样本洗煤厂（约占全国洗煤厂焦原煤入洗产能50%）开工率为57.4%，环比-3.2pct，同 比-11.6pct，当前仍处于5年同期低位水平；（2）本周247座高炉产能利用率为90.58%，环比-0.07pct，同 比+1.05pct，日均铁水产量241.54 万吨，环比-0.1%，同比+0.9%；（3）本周28个主要城市平均气温为 29.45 ℃，处于同期中位；（4）本周三峡出库流量为16414 立方米/秒，环比+29.39%，同比+39.95%。 环渤海港煤炭库存继续回落，目前处于同期高位 （1）截至6月13日，秦皇岛港口煤炭库存618 万吨，环比-5.65%，同比+19.31%，处于同期高位水平； （2）截至6月1 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【策略】中东局势动荡对资产价格有何影响？——策略周专题（2025年6月第2期） 以色列对伊朗发动打击事件对于A股以及港股整体而言影响或许也不会很大。一方面，历史来看，中东局势紧 张时A股及港股所受影响均较小。另一方面，中东地区在我国的进出口份额中占比也较低，冲突本身对于国内 经济的影响较弱。行业层面，短期或可"以静制动"，继续关注原有主线，中长期则需观察冲突的持续性。若冲 突持续时间短，可更多关注成长，反之则关注资源品、交运及红利板块等。 （张宇生/王国兴） 2025-06-15 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查 看 您可点击今日推送内容的第2条查看 【石油化工】坚守长期主义之十：地缘政治风险再起，"三桶油"及油服战略价值 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the coal industry, indicating an expectation for the sector to outperform the overall market [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that coal prices are expected to benefit from rising international oil prices and a gradual reduction in inventory levels [3]. - The demand for thermal coal is anticipated to remain stable despite being in a traditional off-peak season, supported by supply constraints and reduced imports [3]. - Coking coal prices are expected to stabilize and rebound as the peak season approaches, driven by improved steel production and profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - June marks the annual "Safety Production Month" in China, emphasizing safety and emergency preparedness [9]. - Coal transportation from Xinjiang has increased, with a total of 39.4 million tons shipped out, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.8% [9]. Price Trends for Thermal and Coking Coal - As of June 13, thermal coal prices remained stable, with various grades reporting little to no change [10][11]. - Coking coal prices have shown slight declines, but the report suggests a potential for stabilization as demand from steel mills increases [13]. International Oil Price Surge - Brent crude oil prices rose significantly, with a reported increase of $7.76 per barrel, marking an 11.67% rise [17]. - The relationship between international oil prices and coal prices has shown a downward trend, indicating a potential impact on coal pricing dynamics [17]. Port Inventory and Shipping Costs - Inventory levels at the Bohai Rim ports have decreased, with coal stock down to 28.688 million tons, a reduction of 63.10% week-on-week [22]. - Domestic shipping costs have declined, with average coastal shipping rates falling by 2.96% [29]. Valuation of Key Companies - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalization, and earnings projections [34]. - Companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal are recommended for their stable operations and high dividend yields [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [6]. Core Viewpoints - The rise in crude oil prices, influenced by geopolitical tensions, is expected to boost overseas coal market sentiment, necessitating close monitoring of international disturbances on coal prices [1][2]. - Seasonal demand for electricity is anticipated to support stable coal prices as summer peaks approach, with recommendations for companies with high long-term contract ratios and stable profitability, such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Crude oil prices surged due to military actions in the Middle East, with Brent crude futures rising by 7.02% on June 13 and a total increase of 11.67% for the week [1]. - Historical correlations suggest that rising crude oil prices may positively impact coal prices [1]. Price Trends - The average closing price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (5500 kcal) was 609 RMB/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.04% week-on-week [2]. - The average price for Australian Newcastle port thermal coal (5500 kcal) was 66 USD/ton, reflecting a decrease of 0.99% [2]. - European natural gas futures settled at 36 EUR/MWh, up by 0.60% [2]. Production and Inventory - The operating rate of 110 sample washing plants was 57.4%, down 3.2 percentage points week-on-week and 11.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a low level compared to the past five years [3]. - Coal inventories at Qinhuangdao port were 6.18 million tons, down 5.65% week-on-week but up 19.31% year-on-year, indicating a high level for the same period [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the upcoming summer electricity demand will support coal prices, recommending companies with stable earnings such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy [4]. Company Earnings Forecasts - The earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies are as follows: - China Shenhua: EPS 2.95 (2024A), PE 13 (2024A), rating "Accumulate" [5]. - China Coal Energy: EPS 1.46 (2024A), PE 7 (2024A), rating "Accumulate" [5]. - Shanxi Coking Coal: EPS 0.55 (2024A), PE 12 (2024A), rating "Accumulate" [5].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·煤炭开采 煤炭开采行业跟踪周报 港口库存仍处高位，煤价震荡运行 2025 年 06 月 15 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 行业近况 本周（6 月 9 日至 6 月 13 日）港口动力煤现货价环比持平，报收 609 元 /吨。 供给端，本周环渤海四港区日均调入量 182.46 万吨，环比上周增长 7.81 万吨，增幅 4.47%。矿山产地煤矿正常供应，港口供给略有增长。 需求端，本周环渤海四港区日均调出量 189.41 万吨，环比上周减少 2.27 万吨，降幅 1.18%；日均锚地船舶共 75 艘，环比上周增长 7 艘，增幅 10.11%。库存端，环渤海四港区库存端 2868.8 万吨，环比上周下降 63.1 万吨，降幅 2.15%。港口本周日均调出量环比下降，库存绝对值减少， 但绝对值仍处高位，煤价震荡运行。 我们分析认为：煤炭价格目前主要受库存高位影响以及汛期水电稳增 影响导致上涨动能有限，但伴随逐步进入迎峰度夏旺季期，煤价或有进 一步触底上行可能。 估值与建议： 仍旧关注保险资金增量；保费收入维持正增长，且向头部保险集中。固 收类资 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector assets [10][11] - The coal supply side is experiencing a contraction, with a decrease in coal mine capacity utilization rates, while demand is expected to recover, leading to a potential rebound in coal prices [10][11] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality coal companies that exhibit strong profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE), and dividends, which are expected to remain attractive investments [10][11] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Prices - As of June 14, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 610 CNY/ton, a decrease of 1 CNY/ton week-on-week [2][29] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is reported at 1250 CNY/ton, down 40 CNY/ton from the previous week [31] 2. Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94%, down 1 percentage point week-on-week, while coking coal mines have a utilization rate of 83.71%, down 0.9 percentage points [10][46] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has decreased by 9.50 thousand tons/day (-3.03%) and in coastal provinces by 0.30 thousand tons/day (-0.17%) [10][47] 3. Coal Inventory and Transportation - As of June 12, coal inventory in inland provinces has decreased by 12.60 thousand tons, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 38.50 thousand tons [47] - The report notes that the daily coal consumption is in the early stages of a seasonal increase, indicating a potential recovery in demand [10] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, while also considering companies with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and Guohua Energy [11][12]

风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 无所乐誉 来源：雪球 继续复习投资理念 ， 继续强化思想 ， 买入那些护城河很深的股票 ， 片仔癀 、 同仁堂 、 达仁 堂 、 泸州老窖 、 陕西煤业和海洋石油 ， 这几家公司都是我的持仓 ， 我认为这几家公司都有 很深的护城河 ， 所以今天继续识别护城河 。 在投资中 ， 许多人容易将短期优势误认为长期壁垒 。 根据巴菲特的观察 ， 最常见的四个认知 误区是 ： 优质产品 、 高市场份额 、 有效执行和卓越管理 。 我认为这些误区之所以危险 ， 在 于它们往往掩盖了企业真正的核心竞争力 。 要判断企业能否长期盈利 ， 需要关注两点 ： 一是所处行业是否稳定或处于上升期 ， 二是企业 自身是否具备难以复制的竞争优势 。 行业趋势相对容易判断 ， 比如科技领域的持续增长或传统 行业的萎缩 。 真正的难点在于 ， 如何穿透表象 ， 识别出那些能抵御竞争侵蚀的护城河 。 我认为真正的护城河大致可分为六类 ： 品牌溢价 、 网络效应 、 规模成本优势 、 用户高转换 成本 、 核心技术壁垒 以及 资源独占性 。 例如 ， ...

证券研究报告 ·公司深度报告 类型：首次覆盖 评级：谨慎推荐 当前价格：6.50 （2025.6.11） 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 山西焦煤 沪深300 历史股价走势图 数据来源：wind 公司基本数据 52周内股价区间：5.97-11.43 总市值（亿元）：369.01 流通市值（亿元）：3061.01 总股本（亿股）：56.77 分析师介绍 大同证券研究中心 分析师：刘永芳 执业证书编号：S0770524100001 E—mail ： liuyongfang@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号 山 西世贸中心A座F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 背靠集团根基，崛起焦煤龙头。山西焦煤是我国最具影响力的炼焦煤生 产企业之一，其控股股东为山西焦煤集团，最终由山西省国资委实际控 制。公司在 2023 年关停西山煤气化，转型开展配煤业务，2025 年关停 西山热电发电机组，并先后收购临汾尧都区 13 个煤矿、华晋焦煤 51%股 权等，以及竞得吕梁市兴县区块煤炭及共伴生铝土矿探矿权，通过淘汰 落后产能和整合资源，打造焦煤龙头企业。 聚焦煤炭 ...

从中证申万煤炭指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比85.39%、深圳证券交易所占比 14.61%。 从中证申万煤炭指数持仓样本的行业来看，能源占比92.38%、原材料占比6.07%、工业占比1.55%。 据了解，中证申万煤炭指数从申万煤炭开采行业中选取50只上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映煤炭开 采行业上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看，中证申万煤炭指数十大权重分别为：中国神华（16.64%）、陕西煤业（14.54%）、 永泰能源（8.28%）、兖矿能源（6.35%）、电投能源（6.07%）、中煤能源（5.3%）、山西焦煤 （5.08%）、淮北矿业（3.79%）、潞安环能（3.56%）、华阳股份（3.35%）。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样 本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理， ...

General Provisions - The company aims to protect the legal rights of shareholders, employees, and creditors, and to regulate its organization and behavior according to relevant laws and regulations [2][3] - The company was established as a joint-stock limited company approved by the National Economic and Trade Commission in 1999 and registered in Shanghai [2][3] - The company was approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its initial public offering of 100 million shares in 2001, listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [2][3] Company Information - The registered capital of the company is RMB 722,718,000 [3] - The company is located in the China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone [3] Corporate Governance - The chairman serves as the legal representative of the company, and the company must appoint a new legal representative within 30 days if the chairman resigns [4] - Shareholders are liable for the company's debts only to the extent of their subscribed shares, while the company is liable for its debts with its entire assets [4][5] Business Objectives and Scope - The company's business objective is to maximize efficiency by integrating coal, electricity, aluminum, and new energy services, utilizing advanced technology to enhance innovation capabilities [5][6] - The company engages in various activities including coal mining, electricity generation, and transportation services, among others [6] Share Issuance and Structure - The company's shares are issued in the form of stocks, with a par value of RMB 1 per share [7][8] - The total number of shares issued by the company is 722,718,000, all of which are ordinary shares [8][9] Shareholder Rights and Responsibilities - Shareholders have the right to receive dividends, attend meetings, supervise the company's operations, and transfer their shares [14][15] - Shareholders must comply with laws and regulations, pay for their subscribed shares, and cannot withdraw their capital except as legally permitted [18][19] Shareholder Meetings - The company holds annual and temporary shareholder meetings, with the annual meeting required to be held within six months after the end of the previous fiscal year [48][49] - Shareholder meetings must be convened in a manner that allows all shareholders to participate, including provisions for online voting [22][23] Decision-Making and Voting - Resolutions at shareholder meetings can be ordinary or special, with ordinary resolutions requiring a simple majority and special resolutions requiring a two-thirds majority [80][81] - The company must ensure that all proposals are clearly communicated to shareholders prior to meetings [58][59]